Realized P&L (90d)
+$15.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.95K
Hit rate
56.2%
Resolved (90d)
517
Trades (90d)
5,221
5,221 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$448.0K
$448.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$86
Open exposure
$39.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-04
last 10-31 23:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 83 days
Categories
Other
52% 53% +$12,208
Politics
37% 61% +$5,458
Tech
6% 56% -$945
Sports
3% 37% -$1,474
Crypto
1% 71% +$643
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 256 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -10,000 -$5,862 88¢ $-8850 -$2,988 08-27 00:32
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +5,814 $5,000 96¢ $5.6K +$552 09-10 13:46
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +187,872 $3,080 3¢ $4.8K +$1,711 10-15 10:07
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +3,860 $2,855 57¢ $2.2K -$635 10-28 00:00
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? No +1,600 $400 84¢ $1.3K +$944 10-29 17:49
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? No +1,241 $907 96¢ $1.2K +$288 10-31 22:52
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +1,500 $780 78¢ $1.2K +$382 10-15 05:25
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +1,613 $1,000 69¢ $1.1K +$113 10-20 22:33
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +1,859 $699 56¢ $1.1K +$352 10-01 19:44
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +940 $679 100¢ $935 +$256 10-20 14:30
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +1,042 $678 82¢ $849 +$171 10-27 20:36
Blue tsunami in 2026? Yes +1,167 $700 64¢ $752 +$52 10-29 06:06
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No +750 $501 96¢ $716 +$216 08-28 03:03
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? No +700 $197 99¢ $692 +$494 10-15 14:03
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +1,467 $716 42¢ $618 -$97 10-19 05:26
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +1,348 $400 44¢ $600 +$200 10-20 21:43
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +862 $500 68¢ $591 +$91 10-26 21:23
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +806 $500 70¢ $569 +$69 10-09 21:34
US recession by end of 2026? No +602 $500 94¢ $566 +$66 09-16 01:18
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? Yes +877 $500 64¢ $561 +$61 10-16 22:01
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +100,000 $400 1¢ $550 +$150 10-01 06:16
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +1,094 $547 48¢ $530 -$16 10-30 15:45
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? Yes +513 $300 100¢ $512 +$212 08-26 13:33
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat? Yes +606 $345 84¢ $509 +$164 08-22 02:28
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +1,351 $500 34¢ $466 -$34 10-31 05:12
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +536 $424 85¢ $458 +$34 08-09 12:47
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +639 $396 70¢ $451 +$54 10-09 20:11
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? No +653 $400 68¢ $447 +$47 10-29 02:37
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +625 $400 69¢ $431 +$31 10-20 00:20
No one announced as next James Bond? No +482 $398 84¢ $403 +$5 09-08 23:56