Grounded-Flick 0x4e94d9…d0d649
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
-$198
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
1,616
lifetime
Volume
$18.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$912
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-01
last 07-20 14:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
71% 100% +$1
Politics
21% — —
Tech
4% — —
Crypto
4% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 93 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No -265 $-142 81¢ $-215 $-72 06-16 16:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -121 $-75 99¢ $-119 $-44 07-04 05:52
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -127 $-61 82¢ $-105 $-43 06-10 16:03
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -111 $-62 68¢ $-75 $-13 06-22 22:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -240 $-46 26¢ $-64 $-18 05-30 08:03
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No -177 $-82 24¢ $-42 +$40 06-22 12:51
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -45 $-24 74¢ $-33 $-9 06-02 13:21
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -46 $-17 70¢ $-32 $-16 06-23 08:49
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +43 $21 68¢ $30 +$8 06-24 12:39
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? Yes -185 $-16 15¢ $-27 $-11 07-08 14:44
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? No +86 $22 29¢ $25 +$3 07-19 13:54
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes -92 $33 24¢ $-22 $-55 07-08 01:18
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -16 $-9 86¢ $-14 $-5 05-30 20:23
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? No -27 $-11 47¢ $-13 $-2 06-29 19:11
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +38 $20 32¢ $12 $-8 07-10 02:30
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes -12 $-7 100¢ $-12 $-5 06-11 22:10
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -14 $-6 82¢ $-11 $-5 05-29 18:53
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +18 $2 60¢ $11 +$8 06-05 17:54
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +14 $-35 73¢ $11 +$46 07-15 23:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -97 $-12 11¢ $-10 +$2 07-06 14:36
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? Yes -137 $-4 6¢ $-8 $-5 07-11 10:12
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No -99 $-8 8¢ $-7 +$1 06-22 14:45
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? No -5 $-3 92¢ $-5 $-1 06-25 07:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -95 $-6 4¢ $-4 +$2 06-24 16:07
US strike on Mexico by December 31? Yes +23 $1 12¢ $3 +$2 06-24 12:58
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? Yes -20 $-3 10¢ $-2 +$1 06-28 20:45
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +4 $1 15¢ $1 $-0 06-26 09:17
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? Yes -5 $-0 9¢ $-0 +$0 06-29 22:56
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027? Yes +10 $1 4¢ $0 $-0 06-19 04:02
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026? No +0 $-2 86¢ $0 +$3 06-25 13:06