Grounded-Flick 0x4e94d9…d0d649
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Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
-$127
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
893
lifetime
Volume
$12.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$985
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-01
last 06-09 20:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
85% 100% +$1
Politics
11% — —
Crypto
3% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 93 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -192 $-80 70¢ $-134 $-54 05-28 18:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -112 $-67 90¢ $-101 $-34 05-29 15:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +233 $87 30¢ $70 $-17 06-08 11:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +480 $62 15¢ $70 +$7 06-03 20:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +249 $47 22¢ $54 +$7 06-06 00:19
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? Yes +130 $35 36¢ $46 +$11 06-08 21:10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -240 $-46 18¢ $-42 +$4 05-30 08:03
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes +82 $50 48¢ $40 $-10 06-09 20:39
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +79 $32 45¢ $35 +$4 06-08 20:18
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? Yes +117 $28 26¢ $31 +$3 06-08 09:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $21 60¢ $30 +$9 06-01 14:32
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No -42 $-22 67¢ $-28 $-6 05-31 11:54
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -45 $-24 55¢ $-25 $-1 06-02 13:21
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +133 $57 18¢ $25 $-32 06-03 11:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +212 $21 12¢ $24 +$3 06-07 23:34
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +215 $31 10¢ $22 $-9 06-08 21:50
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -45 $-16 47¢ $-21 $-5 05-28 13:14
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No +211 $19 10¢ $21 +$2 06-09 14:30
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -31 $-16 62¢ $-19 $-3 05-27 20:49
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +63 $13 29¢ $18 +$5 06-06 02:03
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $13 44¢ $17 +$4 06-01 14:29
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No -46 $-9 34¢ $-15 $-6 05-29 15:11
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +36 $19 40¢ $15 $-4 05-29 11:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +45 $11 32¢ $14 +$3 06-05 15:41
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? Yes +100 $13 13¢ $13 +$0 06-09 05:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +81 $15 16¢ $13 $-3 06-08 11:07
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +48 $13 24¢ $11 $-1 06-05 18:04
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? Yes +39 $12 27¢ $11 $-2 06-04 09:38
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -16 $-9 62¢ $-10 $-1 05-30 20:23
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026? No +15 $9 62¢ $10 +$0 06-07 20:13