Grounded-Flick — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,730

lifetime

Volume

$19.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 08-11 18:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

71% 100% +$1

Politics

21% — —

Tech

4% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 93 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in shanghai on april 10 2026 19corhigher	6	$1.2K	1,249	0	+1,249	open	—	04-09 15:55
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$968	526	522	+4	open	—	04-09 08:03
highest temperature in chengdu on april 9 2026 30c	8	$801	421	395	+26	open	—	04-09 08:05
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	17	$701	478	345	+133	open	—	07-20 08:40
highest temperature in shanghai on april 11 2026 17c	6	$657	361	357	+4	open	—	04-11 03:47
highest temperature in shanghai on april 7 2026 17c	7	$637	326	324	+2	open	—	04-07 13:34
highest temperature in shanghai on april 6 2026 25c	13	$569	301	290	+11	open	—	04-06 04:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	48	$474	420	651	-232	open	—	07-04 05:52
highest temperature in shanghai on april 14 2026 17c	2	$474	277	273	+4	open	—	04-14 08:35
highest temperature in chengdu on april 17 2026 27c	4	$401	205	205	+0	open	—	04-17 07:58
highest temperature in shanghai on april 17 2026 20c	3	$376	226	224	+2	open	—	04-17 05:51
highest temperature in shanghai on april 4 2026 20c	6	$366	435	427	+8	open	—	04-04 07:11
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	28	$352	1,046	678	+368	open	—	08-11 18:47
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	31	$348	320	320	+0	open	—	06-19 13:28
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	56	$335	396	183	+213	open	—	07-20 14:55
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	124	$325	589	638	-49	open	—	06-23 11:22
highest temperature in shanghai on april 13 2026 18c	2	$319	326	0	+326	open	—	04-13 06:42
highest temperature in shanghai on april 11 2026 18c	2	$312	189	150	+39	open	—	04-11 04:25
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	26	$259	313	300	+13	open	—	06-12 14:59
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	39	$254	246	232	+14	open	—	07-15 23:10
will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	43	$240	289	280	+8	open	—	06-12 16:09
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	33	$235	275	274	+1	open	—	06-12 15:06
highest temperature in shanghai on april 5 2026 23c	3	$234	160	95	+65	open	—	04-05 05:42
us iran nuclear deal by july 31	40	$234	267	286	-19	open	—	06-14 20:41
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 10 2026 29c	2	$225	239	0	+239	open	—	04-10 05:08
highest temperature in wuhan on april 10 2026 26c	1	$222	256	0	+256	open	—	04-10 07:01
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	33	$214	90	369	-279	open	—	06-16 16:08
highest temperature in hong kong on april 8 2026 26c	2	$210	228	0	+228	open	—	04-08 01:02
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	30	$198	282	282	+0	open	—	06-12 08:37
highest temperature in chengdu on april 17 2026 29c	3	$196	106	105	+1	open	—	04-17 08:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 20:22:06	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 14 20260809003127366	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe34802…
08-11 20:10:09	will kai or speed die to a skeleton 20260811133428569	Yes	BUY	24	89¢	$21	0x37daf2…
08-11 20:09:55	will kai or speed die to a skeleton 20260811133428569	Yes	BUY	24	90¢	$22	0x30c82e…
08-11 20:09:34	will kai or speed die to a skeleton 20260811133428569	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x4b5b27…
08-11 19:49:42	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 20 20260808192512604	No	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0xc6a6c4…
08-11 19:49:40	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 20 20260808192512604	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xb3897b…
08-11 19:31:15	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xa476fa…
08-11 19:27:57	will kai or speed die to a warden 20260811135624365	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xffd9f6…
08-11 19:02:03	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0xe1720a…
08-11 18:53:54	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0xbd5be3…
08-11 18:53:52	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x0ca58c…
08-11 18:47:24	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	200	20¢	$40	0x6d8d4c…
08-11 18:44:00	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0x6debbd…
08-11 18:43:22	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	3	18¢	$0	0xa2db8b…
08-11 18:43:19	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x86ae5e…
08-11 18:43:03	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0xb77bc3…
08-11 18:13:40	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0xf863cb…
08-11 18:10:49	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	96	19¢	$18	0x9a711b…
08-11 18:10:49	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	14	18¢	$3	0x05f47d…
08-11 17:58:07	will kai or speed die to a zombie 20260811133404154	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x93c367…
08-11 15:43:51	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$10	0x849155…
08-11 15:43:43	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x76bff1…
08-11 15:41:25	will kai or speed die to a spider 20260806175301186	No	BUY	59	5¢	$3	0x7d2ec7…
08-11 15:41:13	will kai or speed die to a spider 20260806175301186	No	BUY	41	5¢	$2	0xfb3594…
08-11 15:37:31	will kai or speed die to a spider 20260806175301186	No	BUY	94	8¢	$7	0xc5e6c8…
08-11 15:08:21	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	198	20¢	$40	0xa1e518…
08-11 14:39:07	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	223	20¢	$45	0x8b43fe…
08-11 14:35:09	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0xd47f5c…
08-11 14:33:00	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 18 20260808192512602	Yes	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0x13df24…
08-11 14:16:12	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 18 20260808192512602	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x5b722b…
08-11 13:17:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x4d66e7…
08-11 13:17:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x21d3ff…
08-11 11:29:09	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0x0fa525…
08-11 11:28:04	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0x2310ad…
08-11 03:46:22	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 18 20260808192512602	Yes	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0xf95b8a…
08-10 23:50:40	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 18 20260808192512602	Yes	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x6e7ad4…
08-10 23:43:57	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	75	12¢	$9	0xb58c12…
08-10 23:43:57	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	75	12¢	$9	0x245f81…
08-10 23:14:43	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x620905…
08-10 23:14:42	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	BUY	4	59¢	$3	0x361d57…
08-10 22:54:45	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x7e2502…
08-10 17:47:21	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	11	68¢	$8	0x7b48b9…
08-10 14:04:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	30	61¢	$18	0xa6f286…
08-10 13:02:21	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x172a06…
08-10 12:47:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	No	BUY	56	37¢	$21	0xc1365f…
08-10 12:47:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	No	BUY	56	37¢	$21	0x08cc26…
08-10 12:47:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x3d979c…
08-10 12:28:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	32	61¢	$19	0xc02fdb…
08-10 12:28:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x48c944…
08-10 12:28:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x18e944…
08-09 19:54:57	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	40	61¢	$24	0x0f4629…
08-09 19:52:36	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	17	62¢	$10	0xa1dad3…
08-09 19:52:07	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x648d5d…
08-09 17:25:51	will kai or speed be eliminated by the void 20260807142948643	No	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0xb31ed4…
08-09 17:25:46	will kai or speed be eliminated by the void 20260807142948643	No	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xa2cb42…
08-09 17:08:04	will kai or speed be eliminated by the void 20260807142948643	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa3a34d…
08-09 17:07:48	will kai or speed be eliminated by the void 20260807142948643	No	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x9deacb…
08-09 17:07:24	will kai or speed be eliminated by the void 20260807142948643	No	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x4f0ec7…
08-09 12:40:45	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	BUY	21	32¢	$7	0xfaf544…
08-09 12:39:37	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x8d6a20…
08-09 12:30:16	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xc6ccc8…
08-09 05:15:46	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	116	17¢	$20	0x1cccc1…
08-09 05:07:21	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0xb14684…
08-09 03:53:21	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x22a348…
08-09 03:43:30	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0xed3e25…
08-09 03:38:04	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x293cc9…
08-09 03:17:51	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	83	17¢	$14	0x6c6df4…
08-09 03:01:58	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	321	18¢	$58	0x89de0a…
08-09 03:01:36	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x7d986f…
08-09 02:17:40	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x0f773e…
08-09 02:16:34	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xbce6a0…
08-09 01:45:51	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xf2945f…
08-09 01:45:51	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x448fe5…
08-08 23:45:15	nato downs another russian drone by august 31 20260726215001931	Yes	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0xb49171…
08-08 23:45:15	nato downs another russian drone by august 31 20260726215001931	Yes	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0x64e645…
08-08 03:35:34	us bank failure by december 31 2026 20260720194747677	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x3f1a67…
08-07 14:28:48	us bank failure by december 31 2026 20260720194747677	Yes	BUY	0	72¢	$0	0x6582f8…
08-02 16:35:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xeae07b…
08-02 15:18:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	8	90¢	$8	0xaa5ae0…
08-02 14:36:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x52b679…
07-27 00:50:37	us bank failure by december 31 2026 20260720194747677	Yes	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x150b77…
07-24 20:30:22	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x7166f1…
07-24 19:14:06	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?	Yes	SELL	28	6¢	$2	0xb44c48…
07-24 13:13:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	Yes	BUY	35	55¢	$19	0x5a71b0…
07-24 13:13:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	Yes	BUY	35	56¢	$20	0xaa2d7c…
07-23 21:13:13	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0xc6d197…
07-22 21:57:36	will tesla say software during earnings call 20260713183304170	No	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x6477e2…
07-22 21:14:34	will the houthis successfully target shipping by august 31 2026 20260708165455694 787	Yes	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0x396861…
07-22 21:14:33	will the houthis successfully target shipping by august 31 2026 20260708165455694 787	Yes	SELL	19	66¢	$13	0x6f0677…
07-22 21:14:31	will the houthis successfully target shipping by august 31 2026 20260708165455694 787	Yes	SELL	13	66¢	$9	0x571881…
07-22 21:14:04	will the houthis successfully target shipping by august 31 2026 20260708165455694 787	Yes	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x6215dd…
07-22 21:13:04	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693 459	Yes	SELL	47	49¢	$23	0x8830fc…
07-22 20:42:55	will openais valuation hit high 1pt0t by december 31 846 461	Yes	BUY	42	52¢	$22	0x718271…
07-22 15:23:55	tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 22 2026 0pt5	Yes	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xea57fe…
07-22 07:30:48	will tesla say spacex during earnings call 20260713183304179	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x63ec55…
07-22 02:02:55	will tesla say spacex during earnings call 20260713183304179	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x0b49c8…
07-21 18:41:03	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x1d8765…
07-21 11:45:52	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xbfb185…
07-20 14:55:27	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	61¢	$9	0x9f8379…
07-20 14:55:13	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0xdf7003…