Grounded-Flick 0x4e94d9…d0d649
bot hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1.01K
Unrealized P&L
-$109
Hit rate
67.3%
Resolved
420
Trades
5,569
lifetime
Volume
$54.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$1.84K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-01
last 10-29 19:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 119 days
Categories
Other
60% 53% +$1,081
Politics
26% 44% +$112
Tech
7% 43% -$45
Crypto
6% 62% -$116
Sports
0% 33% +$2
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$24
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 113 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +1,377 $274 19¢ $262 -$13 10-19 12:15
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? Yes +541 $274 46¢ $252 -$22 10-26 21:09
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +489 $195 26¢ $130 -$65 09-24 12:05
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? Yes +162 $96 66¢ $108 +$12 10-20 21:35
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +106 $89 94¢ $100 +$11 09-21 11:44
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,958 $139 5¢ $100 -$39 10-29 19:00
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027? No +100 $86 92¢ $92 +$6 07-21 18:41
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +201 $48 40¢ $82 +$33 10-09 05:18
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +3,204 $83 2¢ $72 -$11 10-27 12:13
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +105 $50 63¢ $66 +$17 09-29 02:43
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +130 $85 50¢ $65 -$19 10-26 07:34
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +218 $28 28¢ $61 +$33 10-28 08:43
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +305 $48 16¢ $50 +$2 10-22 19:33
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Yes +527 $141 9¢ $47 -$94 09-11 15:24
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? Yes +94 $42 47¢ $44 +$2 10-26 03:55
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026? No +44 $40 93¢ $41 +$1 10-23 19:49
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +257 $47 15¢ $39 -$8 09-27 16:09
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +240 $62 15¢ $35 -$28 09-15 11:53
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +38 $25 65¢ $25 $0 10-12 16:03
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +29 $5 72¢ $21 +$16 09-25 16:14
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +30 $21 65¢ $20 -$2 08-27 14:01
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? Yes +35 -$30 54¢ $19 +$49 10-28 21:34
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? Yes +67 $30 28¢ $19 -$11 09-18 02:51
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? Yes +220 $33 8¢ $19 -$14 09-14 18:18
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +17 -$34 92¢ $16 +$50 07-15 23:10
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +18 $2 82¢ $15 +$12 06-05 17:54
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes +433 $22 3¢ $13 -$9 10-24 15:36
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +28 $10 36¢ $10 $0 10-21 01:14
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +10 $4 97¢ $10 +$6 05-29 18:53
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31 Yes +62 $32 15¢ $9 -$22 08-13 18:50