Grounded-Flick 0x4e94d9…d0d649
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
-$156
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
1,461
lifetime
Volume
$16.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$1.10K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-01
last 06-30 05:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
74% 100% +$1
Politics
19% — —
Tech
4% — —
Crypto
4% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 93 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No -265 $-142 72¢ $-192 $-50 06-16 16:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -112 $-67 99¢ $-111 $-44 05-29 15:01
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +167 $71 65¢ $108 +$37 06-23 20:13
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -127 $-61 76¢ $-97 $-36 06-10 16:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -110 $-66 62¢ $-69 $-2 06-19 12:42
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -111 $-62 60¢ $-67 $-4 06-22 22:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +480 $62 11¢ $50 $-12 06-03 20:56
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes +244 $100 20¢ $48 $-52 06-17 10:24
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No -42 $-22 99¢ $-42 $-20 05-31 11:54
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No -177 $-82 23¢ $-41 +$42 06-22 12:51
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -240 $-46 14¢ $-32 +$13 05-30 08:03
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -45 $-24 70¢ $-31 $-7 06-02 13:21
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -46 $-17 56¢ $-26 $-9 06-23 08:49
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +43 $21 60¢ $26 +$4 06-24 12:39
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +48 $24 40¢ $19 $-4 06-15 23:53
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? Yes -149 $-11 13¢ $-19 $-9 06-30 05:59
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +59 $18 29¢ $17 $-1 06-20 20:21
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -16 $-9 80¢ $-13 $-4 05-30 20:23
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes -12 $-7 100¢ $-12 $-5 06-11 22:10
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? No -27 $-11 42¢ $-12 $-1 06-29 19:11
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -14 $-6 72¢ $-10 $-4 05-29 18:53
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No -99 $-8 10¢ $-10 $-2 06-22 14:45
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +18 $2 54¢ $10 +$7 06-05 17:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +46 $7 16¢ $8 +$1 06-24 14:42
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -95 $-6 6¢ $-6 +$0 06-24 16:07
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -5 $-19 100¢ $-5 +$14 06-19 13:28
US strike on Mexico by December 31? Yes +23 $1 19¢ $4 +$3 06-24 12:58
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? Yes +109 $14 4¢ $4 $-9 06-14 21:01
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? No -5 $-3 78¢ $-4 $-1 06-25 07:52
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? Yes +37 $6 10¢ $4 $-2 06-18 03:13