Grounded-Flick 0x4e94d9…d0d649
bot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
+$19
Unrealized P&L
+$89
Hit rate
37.3%
Resolved (7d)
7
Trades (7d)
127
5,618 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$4.06K
$56.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$2.68K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-01
last 10-31 00:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 119 days
Categories
Other
59% 53% +$1,081
Politics
28% 44% +$112
Tech
7% 43% -$45
Crypto
6% 62% -$116
Sports
0% 33% +$2
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$24
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 113 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +532 $487 94¢ $503 +$16 10-30 12:31
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? Yes +439 $216 55¢ $239 +$24 10-31 00:59
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +1,293 $258 18¢ $233 -$25 10-30 03:05
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +321 $174 70¢ $223 +$49 10-30 19:27
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +325 $144 48¢ $158 +$13 10-30 12:29
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +489 $195 26¢ $130 -$65 09-24 12:05
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? Yes +162 $96 66¢ $108 +$12 10-20 21:35
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +106 $89 96¢ $103 +$14 09-21 11:44
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +142 $92 72¢ $101 +$9 10-30 12:29
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027? No +100 $86 93¢ $93 +$6 07-21 18:41
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +201 $48 42¢ $84 +$35 10-09 05:18
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +3,204 $83 3¢ $82 -$2 10-27 12:13
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +130 $85 52¢ $67 -$18 10-26 07:34
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +218 $28 26¢ $58 +$30 10-28 08:43
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? Yes +94 $42 61¢ $57 +$16 10-26 03:55
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +69 $56 80¢ $56 -$1 10-30 15:24
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +305 $48 16¢ $50 +$2 10-22 19:33
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Yes +527 $141 9¢ $47 -$94 09-11 15:24
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +257 $47 18¢ $46 -$1 09-27 16:09
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026? No +44 $40 93¢ $41 +$1 10-23 19:49
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +240 $62 14¢ $32 -$30 09-15 11:53
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +55 $22 44¢ $24 +$2 10-30 15:29
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +38 $25 62¢ $24 -$1 10-12 16:03
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +29 $5 74¢ $21 +$16 09-25 16:14
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? Yes +220 $33 9¢ $20 -$13 09-14 18:18
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +151 $57 13¢ $20 -$37 10-16 16:52
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? Yes +35 -$30 50¢ $18 +$48 10-28 21:34
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +25 -$4 70¢ $17 +$21 10-30 13:23
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +17 -$34 88¢ $15 +$49 07-15 23:10
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +18 $2 82¢ $15 +$13 06-05 17:54