Grounded-Flick 0x4e94d9…d0d649
bot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$721
Unrealized P&L
+$44
Hit rate
66.4%
Resolved
427
Trades
5,631
lifetime
Volume
$57.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$3.44K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-01
last 11-01 03:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 121 days
Categories
Other
58% 52% +$1,049
Politics
29% 43% +$81
Tech
7% 40% -$260
Crypto
6% 62% -$116
Sports
0% 33% +$2
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$34
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 113 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +532 $487 96¢ $508 +$21 10-30 12:31
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +527 $496 94¢ $498 +$2 10-31 13:42
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +556 $394 72¢ $403 +$9 11-01 02:08
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +477 $219 48¢ $231 +$13 10-31 12:18
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +321 $174 72¢ $229 +$55 10-30 19:27
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +1,293 $258 18¢ $226 -$31 10-30 03:05
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? Yes +267 $119 56¢ $148 +$29 10-31 12:31
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +489 $195 27¢ $132 -$63 09-24 12:05
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? Yes +162 $96 66¢ $108 +$12 10-20 21:35
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +106 $89 96¢ $102 +$14 09-21 11:44
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027? No +100 $86 93¢ $93 +$6 07-21 18:41
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +201 $48 44¢ $88 +$39 10-09 05:18
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +3,204 $83 3¢ $82 -$2 10-27 12:13
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +130 $85 54¢ $69 -$16 10-26 07:34
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +69 $56 80¢ $56 -$1 10-30 15:24
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? Yes +94 $42 60¢ $56 +$14 10-26 03:55
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +218 $28 24¢ $53 +$25 10-28 08:43
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +110 $46 42¢ $47 +$1 11-01 03:55
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +257 $47 17¢ $44 -$3 09-27 16:09
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026? No +44 $40 95¢ $42 +$2 10-23 19:49
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +305 $48 12¢ $37 -$12 10-22 19:33
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Yes +527 $141 6¢ $29 -$112 09-11 15:24
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +240 $62 12¢ $28 -$35 09-15 11:53
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +38 $25 62¢ $24 -$2 10-12 16:03
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +29 $5 76¢ $22 +$17 09-25 16:14
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? Yes +35 -$30 53¢ $19 +$48 10-28 21:34
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +25 -$4 74¢ $18 +$22 10-30 13:23
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +151 $57 11¢ $16 -$41 10-16 16:52
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? Yes +220 $33 7¢ $15 -$18 09-14 18:18
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +17 -$34 88¢ $15 +$49 07-15 23:10