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bot 8W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (24h)
+$321
Unrealized P&L
-$256
Hit rate
68.2%
Resolved (24h)
6
Trades (24h)
4
5,735 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$63
$60.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$1.63K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-01
last 11-05 19:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 125 days
Categories
Other
55% 53% +$1,105
Politics
32% 46% +$1,059
Tech
7% 40% -$260
Crypto
5% 62% -$116
Sports
0% 33% +$2
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$34
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 103 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +629 $175 27¢ $172 -$4 11-05 04:42
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? Yes +267 $119 55¢ $145 +$26 10-31 12:31
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +1,293 $258 10¢ $123 -$135 10-30 03:05
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +130 $85 86¢ $111 +$26 10-26 07:34
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +106 $89 97¢ $103 +$15 09-21 11:44
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027? No +100 $86 95¢ $95 +$9 07-21 18:41
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +489 $195 19¢ $93 -$102 09-24 12:05
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +226 $93 36¢ $82 -$11 11-04 17:17
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? No +76 $66 98¢ $75 +$9 10-31 00:36
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +115 $60 56¢ $65 +$5 11-05 19:59
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +212 $26 29¢ $62 +$35 11-05 19:13
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +151 $57 34¢ $51 -$5 10-16 16:52
Ossoff ahead of Newsom on November 30? Yes +49 $41 97¢ $47 +$6 11-04 14:24
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026? No +44 $40 97¢ $43 +$3 10-23 19:49
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat? Yes +43 $31 99¢ $42 +$11 11-04 01:01
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +305 $48 12¢ $35 -$13 10-22 19:33
Will Young Kim win the CA-40 House seat? No +37 $20 92¢ $34 +$14 10-25 01:20
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Yes +527 $141 6¢ $29 -$112 09-11 15:24
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +38 $25 66¢ $25 +$0 10-12 16:03
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +257 $47 10¢ $24 -$23 09-27 16:09
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +25 -$4 88¢ $22 +$26 10-30 13:23
Will You Can See Everything win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? No +56 $27 38¢ $21 -$6 10-16 05:47
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +29 $5 71¢ $21 +$15 09-25 16:14
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? Yes +220 $33 8¢ $19 -$14 09-14 18:18
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +240 $62 8¢ $18 -$44 09-15 11:53
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +17 -$34 87¢ $15 +$49 07-15 23:10
will trump rename an ocean in 2026 Yes +561 $51 3¢ $15 -$36 11-05 13:12
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? No +15 $10 100¢ $15 +$5 06-01 03:42
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +18 $2 82¢ $15 +$12 06-05 17:54
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? Yes +67 $30 20¢ $13 -$17 09-18 02:51