Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

+$17

Hit rate

87.0%

Resolved

Trades

239

lifetime

Volume

$1.90K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$176

13 positions

First seen

2026-10-28

last 10-30 10:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

67% 78% -$6

Politics

20% — —

Sports

8% 100% +$0

Tech

3% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 184 trades/day

Open positions (13) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	+63	$31	98¢	$61	+$31	10-29 12:45
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+18	$13	76¢	$13	+$0	10-29 20:36
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+40	$12	30¢	$12	$0	10-29 20:36
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	+16	$11	70¢	$11	+$0	10-29 20:36
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	+14	$11	78¢	$11	+$0	10-29 20:36
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+15	$11	70¢	$11	$0	10-29 20:36
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+15	$11	70¢	$11	$0	10-29 20:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	+92	$11	12¢	$11	$0	10-29 20:36
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	No	+29	$14	36¢	$10	-$4	10-29 10:28
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	+14	$11	74¢	$10	-$1	10-29 20:36
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	+11	$10	91¢	$10	+$0	10-29 09:47
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	+10	$8	31¢	$3	-$5	10-28 21:49
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+29	$5	2¢	$0	-$5	10-28 20:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?	1	$59	66	+66	open	—	10-29 09:24
Will Brann win the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League Championship?	1	$55	59	+59	open	—	10-29 17:32
Will SpaceXAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	10-30 12:14
Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Lugo in the 2026 Spanish general election?	1	$48	50	+50	open	—	10-29 01:55
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	1	$40	40	+40	open	—	10-29 16:01
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	1	$39	39	+39	open	—	10-30 10:37
Will Joint List win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	1	$39	105	+105	open	—	10-28 15:48
Will Alisson (Liverpool) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Premier League season?	1	$37	40	+40	open	—	10-29 19:06
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	2	$33	33	+33	open	—	10-30 11:45
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	1	$32	39	+39	open	—	10-30 10:37
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on October 29?	1	$32	33	+33	No	+$1	10-28 15:25
Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	2	$31	63	+63	open	—	10-29 12:45
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	1	$29	46	+46	open	—	10-29 20:56
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C on October 31?	1	$29	35	+35	open	—	10-29 21:15
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	1	$27	27	+27	open	—	10-30 10:38
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 30?	1	$26	29	+29	open	—	10-29 12:01
Torino FC to score first vs. Frosinone Calcio?	1	$26	45	+45	open	—	10-29 12:20
Will Chicago Fire FC be runner-up in the 2026 MLS?	1	$25	27	+27	open	—	10-29 10:26
Will Databricks have the greatest valuation growth in October 2026?	1	$24	25	+25	open	—	10-28 18:15
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 31?	1	$24	25	+25	open	—	10-29 10:17
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-01 House election by 50% or more?	1	$24	24	+24	open	—	10-30 10:47
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	1	$23	27	+27	open	—	10-30 10:38
Will Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez win the 2027 Nayarit Governor Election?	1	$23	98	+98	open	—	10-29 20:02
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026?	1	$22	30	+30	open	—	10-29 21:03
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 31?	1	$22	31	+31	open	—	10-29 21:51
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 31?	1	$20	37	+37	open	—	10-29 20:15
Will Brice Turang lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in hits?	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	10-29 01:47
Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 16m?	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	10-29 09:02
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on November 1?	1	$19	20	+20	open	—	10-30 10:11
Will Aston Villa score the most goals in the UCL league phase?	1	$19	20	+20	open	—	10-29 20:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 12:14:52	Will SpaceXAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc42eaa…
10-30 11:50:18	Will the Swiss National Bank decrease the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x90ce75…
10-30 11:47:15	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C or below on November 1?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x630e0d…
10-30 11:45:48	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0xbf6e64…
10-30 11:45:48	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x12aa85…
10-30 11:39:46	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x505d28…
10-30 11:39:46	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x348717…
10-30 11:28:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x521d52…
10-30 11:08:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on November 1?	No	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0xf9f92b…
10-30 10:57:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x053adc…
10-30 10:50:34	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb9b3aa…
10-30 10:50:34	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x676298…
10-30 10:47:25	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-01 House election by 50% or more?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x1e2f4c…
10-30 10:40:58	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	88¢	$11	0xe546dd…
10-30 10:38:28	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	27	87¢	$23	0x807a31…
10-30 10:38:28	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x52185a…
10-30 10:37:45	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	39	82¢	$32	0xcc2344…
10-30 10:37:45	Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x96f92e…
10-30 10:36:48	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C or higher on November 1?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x131f9e…
10-30 10:18:21	Jack O'Connell announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb3d20b…
10-30 10:18:21	James Norton announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x720cb0…
10-30 10:13:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8d1792…
10-30 10:11:15	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on November 1?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x74f8ae…
10-30 10:02:27	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 10°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc3b3cf…
10-30 09:59:06	Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 22, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeeb759…
10-30 09:59:06	Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xebcc14…
10-30 09:59:06	Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x193b8f…
10-30 08:51:30	Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x63b717…
10-29 21:51:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 31?	No	BUY	31	71¢	$22	0xcf1b5b…
10-29 21:40:55	Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xc1c372…
10-29 21:19:45	Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf7783c…
10-29 21:15:27	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C on October 31?	No	BUY	35	81¢	$29	0xdd734a…
10-29 21:03:27	Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	30	75¢	$22	0xce397e…
10-29 20:56:45	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	46	63¢	$29	0x0903d8…
10-29 20:47:57	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 31?	No	BUY	36	52¢	$19	0x908e3b…
10-29 20:37:31	Will Aston Villa score the most goals in the UCL league phase?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xf46ae7…
10-29 20:36:16	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xda4673…
10-29 20:36:16	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xb97214…
10-29 20:36:15	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf3820c…
10-29 20:36:15	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xd24204…
10-29 20:36:15	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x61dd45…
10-29 20:36:13	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xbd10f3…
10-29 20:36:13	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xb388ff…
10-29 20:36:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x8df5a0…
10-29 20:36:12	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xf392cc…
10-29 20:36:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x90bd86…
10-29 20:36:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x4fbc6c…
10-29 20:36:12	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x438b61…
10-29 20:36:12	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x0397bf…
10-29 20:36:10	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa20e86…
10-29 20:36:10	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x9c5c49…
10-29 20:36:10	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x7e0642…
10-29 20:36:09	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xc3e491…
10-29 20:36:09	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x9ecf42…
10-29 20:36:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x8db887…
10-29 20:36:09	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x7d2617…
10-29 20:36:06	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x959fb6…
10-29 20:36:06	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x8ced70…
10-29 20:36:06	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x58d99f…
10-29 20:36:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x1ac623…
10-29 20:36:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xff033f…
10-29 20:36:03	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf87a17…
10-29 20:36:03	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xbd5fd4…
10-29 20:36:03	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xae44a4…
10-29 20:36:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x7757ee…
10-29 20:36:01	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xad7535…
10-29 20:36:01	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x1947c4…
10-29 20:36:00	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xfe455b…
10-29 20:36:00	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x5468ca…
10-29 20:36:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x107196…
10-29 20:35:58	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xeadb5a…
10-29 20:35:58	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa7a0c5…
10-29 20:35:58	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x9d74fb…
10-29 20:35:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x9c364f…
10-29 20:35:58	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x0e6740…
10-29 20:35:57	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xe9950a…
10-29 20:35:57	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x87db32…
10-29 20:35:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x3ca90c…
10-29 20:35:55	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xda66b1…
10-29 20:35:55	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x7ea81f…
10-29 20:35:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x2e8e39…
10-29 20:35:55	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x030afd…
10-29 20:35:54	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xbdfaee…
10-29 20:35:54	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x395928…
10-29 20:35:52	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x825910…
10-29 20:35:52	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x7e9b0f…
10-29 20:35:52	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x7e6073…
10-29 20:35:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x9df2f2…
10-29 20:35:51	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x8f4d81…
10-29 20:35:49	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x798776…
10-29 20:35:49	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x449b07…
10-29 20:35:48	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xd9698b…
10-29 20:35:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x8c5be7…
10-29 20:35:48	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x795345…
10-29 20:35:46	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x8b81ad…
10-29 20:35:43	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x30bc5b…
10-29 20:33:43	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x4470c8…
10-29 20:33:42	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xa5ca35…
10-29 20:33:40	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xc6934a…
10-29 20:33:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x60a525…