Watchful-Nothing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$249

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.9%

Resolved

1,000

Trades

1,902

lifetime

Volume

$23.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-28 14:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 168 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 59% -$257

Other

0% 62% +$9

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	5	$395	631	631	+0	Down	+$55	05-18 01:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2PM ET	6	$374	667	667	+0	Down	-$47	05-25 18:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8AM ET	4	$315	446	446	+0	Up	+$25	05-25 12:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2PM ET	4	$292	306	306	+0	Up	+$24	05-16 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	2	$270	267	267	+0	Up	+$24	05-25 10:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	2	$253	206	206	+0	Up	+$53	05-16 11:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1PM ET	4	$246	400	400	+0	Down	+$6	05-16 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	2	$242	255	255	+0	Up	+$111	05-14 13:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	2	$240	319	319	+0	Down	+$40	05-17 03:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8PM ET	4	$232	217	217	+0	Down	-$8	05-16 00:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	2	$226	373	373	+0	Up	+$27	05-25 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	2	$220	160	160	+0	Up	+$20	05-15 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	2	$215	186	186	+0	Up	+$15	05-17 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	2	$210	175	175	+0	Up	+$10	05-16 10:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7AM ET	2	$209	154	154	+0	Up	+$9	05-16 11:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11AM ET	2	$204	173	173	+0	Down	+$10	05-25 15:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 20:15 UTC	6	$195	377	377	+0	Up	+$15	06-06 20:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 13:15 UTC	2	$180	200	200	+0	Down	+$40	06-06 13:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 15:30 UTC	4	$175	334	334	+0	Down	+$15	08-29 15:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	4	$174	252	252	+0	Down	+$34	05-11 18:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 14:15 UTC	4	$170	190	190	+0	Up	+$10	08-25 14:21
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$158	137	137	+0	Down	+$18	05-11 17:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 18:45 UTC	4	$154	178	178	+0	Down	+$14	06-04 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	2	$151	141	141	+0	Up	+$33	05-05 14:18
bitcoin up or down august 29 2026 11am et	2	$150	267	267	+0	Down	-$11	08-29 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$149	95	95	+0	Up	+$9	05-11 18:06
bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 12pm et	2	$132	195	195	+0	Up	+$8	08-21 16:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	2	$131	144	144	+0	Up	+$9	05-05 01:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 00:00 UTC	4	$131	217	215	+3	Up	-$7	02-14 00:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	2	$130	97	97	+0	Down	+$16	05-22 15:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 14:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x2c7119…
10-28 13:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	57	7¢	$4	0x6b5310…
10-24 14:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0xa05109…
10-24 14:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	16	12¢	$2	0x0f72ed…
10-24 14:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0xf2854d…
10-24 12:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x48271f…
10-24 12:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x564eee…
10-24 12:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x1f40b1…
10-24 11:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xfd8c21…
10-24 11:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0x84c82f…
10-24 11:42:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0xae62cb…
10-22 16:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0xf90f7c…
10-22 16:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x7304e7…
10-22 16:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	17	29¢	$5	0x3609cd…
10-22 16:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0x2b468f…
10-19 13:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf30e3e…
10-19 13:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x3af543…
10-19 13:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0xbf2091…
10-19 13:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xf0919c…
10-17 20:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x791566…
10-17 20:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	21	19¢	$4	0xbbee85…
10-17 20:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x070772…
10-17 20:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	27	16¢	$4	0x2aa1ec…
10-17 20:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	27	15¢	$4	0x6640f5…
10-17 20:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x2c3f48…
10-17 20:12:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x4e80d1…
10-17 20:09:39	Will AS Saint-Étienne win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x26a333…
10-17 18:27:29	Will AS Saint-Étienne win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x4e30d8…
10-17 17:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	56	42¢	$23	0xffab24…
10-17 17:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	56	16¢	$9	0x378c2a…
10-17 14:07:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xa6a75a…
10-17 12:04:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x30a3f1…
10-17 12:02:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x36ff98…
10-14 18:05:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 18:05 UTC	Up	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0x2da2b8…
10-14 18:05:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 18:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xccf47d…
10-14 17:45:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 17:45 UTC	Up	SELL	43	24¢	$10	0xa0f454…
10-14 17:45:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xae5a09…
10-14 17:32:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xe363ac…
10-14 17:28:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 17:25 UTC	Up	SELL	22	12¢	$3	0xbe690e…
10-14 17:26:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x266719…
10-14 17:22:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 17:20 UTC	Up	SELL	71	1¢	$1	0x18339d…
10-14 17:21:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xc80b7e…
10-14 17:17:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x0c916f…
10-14 17:12:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 17:10 UTC	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x1d506e…
10-13 17:27:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 17:25 UTC	Down	SELL	15	50¢	$8	0x4f9aed…
10-13 17:26:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0xd6431d…
10-13 12:58:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:55 UTC	Up	SELL	4	94¢	$3	0xe0de04…
10-13 12:57:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x156e6f…
10-13 12:57:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x94c8c1…
10-13 12:56:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:55 UTC	Up	SELL	15	59¢	$9	0xc5a592…
10-13 12:56:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:55 UTC	Up	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x242752…
10-13 11:41:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 11:40 UTC	Up	SELL	8	31¢	$3	0x24c476…
10-13 11:41:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x3ad239…
10-13 11:38:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 11:35 UTC	Up	SELL	56	51¢	$28	0x44268f…
10-13 11:38:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	56	16¢	$9	0x020a1e…
10-13 11:20:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xaa0585…
10-13 11:13:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 11:10 UTC	Down	BUY	72	4¢	$3	0xc0b6d1…
10-12 18:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	33	42¢	$14	0x61019e…
10-12 18:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	33	21¢	$7	0x8d3af2…
10-12 18:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x422521…
10-12 18:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x8e5c27…
10-12 18:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	13	29¢	$4	0x04d722…
10-12 18:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x6807ee…
10-12 18:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	53	29¢	$15	0x222745…
10-12 18:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xa9096b…
10-12 16:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	15	88¢	$14	0xfaa8e9…
10-12 16:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x752863…
10-12 15:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	24	31¢	$7	0x6c0d18…
10-12 15:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	24	33¢	$8	0x444bff…
10-12 15:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x47e6df…
10-12 15:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	19	44¢	$8	0xf14ff1…
10-12 15:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	42¢	$8	0xb80c65…
10-12 13:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	11	80¢	$9	0x1ae3c1…
10-12 13:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xd6c7b0…
10-12 13:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	18	56¢	$10	0x0a8a84…
10-12 13:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0x80631d…
10-12 12:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x24d57d…
10-12 12:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x6cb374…
10-12 12:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	10	57¢	$5	0x5c756a…
10-12 12:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x60507b…
10-12 11:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	57	6¢	$3	0x776671…
10-12 11:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	57	7¢	$4	0x37d110…
10-12 00:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	37	65¢	$24	0xea46a8…
10-12 00:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xa3dcf6…
10-11 19:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	32	55¢	$18	0x44233c…
10-11 19:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0xcc1e06…
10-11 19:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x7669b1…
10-11 19:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	53	1¢	$1	0x548d5c…
10-11 19:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xbbe763…
10-11 19:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	39	29¢	$11	0xd59867…
10-11 19:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	39	25¢	$10	0x02ca99…
10-11 11:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	13	59¢	$8	0x746686…
10-11 11:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0x0ef688…
10-11 11:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	16	54¢	$9	0x12e8b1…
10-11 11:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x3f2925…
10-10 13:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	16	97¢	$16	0xf37f0f…
10-10 13:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0x70d893…
10-10 12:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xd74c83…
10-09 22:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	31	92¢	$28	0x71251c…
10-09 22:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	31	26¢	$8	0x3121a5…