Watchful-Nothing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$59

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.1%

Resolved

Trades

854

lifetime

Volume

$15.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-09 12:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% +$59

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	5	$395	631	631	+0	open	—	05-18 01:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8AM ET	4	$315	446	446	+0	open	—	05-25 12:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2PM ET	4	$292	306	306	+0	open	—	05-16 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	2	$270	267	267	+0	open	—	05-25 10:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	2	$253	206	206	+0	open	—	05-16 11:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1PM ET	4	$246	400	400	+0	open	—	05-16 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	2	$242	255	255	+0	open	—	05-14 13:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	2	$240	319	319	+0	open	—	05-17 03:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8PM ET	4	$232	217	217	+0	open	—	05-16 00:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	2	$226	373	373	+0	open	—	05-25 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	2	$220	160	160	+0	open	—	05-15 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	2	$215	186	186	+0	open	—	05-17 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	2	$210	175	175	+0	open	—	05-16 10:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7AM ET	2	$209	154	154	+0	open	—	05-16 11:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11AM ET	2	$204	173	173	+0	open	—	05-25 15:20
btc updown 15m 1780776900	6	$195	377	377	+0	open	—	06-06 20:28
btc updown 15m 1780751700	2	$180	200	200	+0	open	—	06-06 13:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2PM ET	3	$175	397	269	+128	open	—	05-25 18:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	4	$174	252	252	+0	Down	+$34	05-11 18:57
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$158	137	137	+0	Down	+$18	05-11 17:46
btc updown 15m 1780598700	4	$154	178	178	+0	open	—	06-04 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	2	$151	141	141	+0	Up	+$33	05-05 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$149	95	95	+0	Up	+$9	05-11 18:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	2	$131	144	144	+0	Up	+$9	05-05 01:07
btc updown 15m 1771027200	4	$131	217	215	+3	open	—	02-14 00:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	2	$130	97	97	+0	open	—	05-22 15:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$128	160	160	+0	open	—	05-28 14:32
btc updown 5m 1780599300	2	$128	168	168	+0	open	—	06-04 18:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$123	131	131	+0	open	—	05-21 16:22
bitcoin up or down february 11 3pm et	4	$121	110	110	+0	open	—	02-11 21:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 12:20:18	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 8am et	Down	SELL	66	38¢	$25	0xf07936…
06-09 12:18:46	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x7a25e5…
06-09 12:17:40	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 8am et	Down	SELL	71	39¢	$28	0x90e775…
06-09 12:16:45	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	71	38¢	$27	0x08d2c7…
06-09 12:00:07	btc updown 5m 1781006400	Down	BUY	34	53¢	$18	0xaf4000…
06-08 21:23:31	btc updown 5m 1780953600	Down	SELL	30	61¢	$19	0xf8839d…
06-08 21:23:06	btc updown 5m 1780953600	Down	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0x5925b7…
06-08 18:36:55	btc updown 5m 1780943700	Down	SELL	12	66¢	$8	0xaef1d4…
06-08 18:35:25	btc updown 5m 1780943700	Down	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0x87b893…
06-08 17:45:03	btc updown 5m 1780940700	Down	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x33fb11…
06-08 17:29:48	btc updown 5m 1780939800	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc725ea…
06-08 17:25:43	btc updown 5m 1780939500	Up	SELL	13	74¢	$9	0x23285b…
06-08 17:25:16	btc updown 5m 1780939500	Up	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0xca205c…
06-08 15:17:12	btc updown 5m 1780931700	Up	SELL	132	5¢	$7	0x46631c…
06-08 15:15:27	btc updown 5m 1780931700	Up	BUY	132	47¢	$62	0x256e4f…
06-08 15:06:45	btc updown 5m 1780931100	Down	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0xce3369…
06-08 14:39:30	btc updown 5m 1780929300	Up	SELL	111	28¢	$31	0x3512ee…
06-08 14:35:51	btc updown 5m 1780929300	Up	BUY	111	36¢	$40	0x4e0edb…
06-08 14:21:54	btc updown 15m 1780928100	Up	SELL	114	39¢	$45	0x83b638…
06-08 14:20:19	btc updown 15m 1780928100	Up	BUY	114	35¢	$40	0xc412c9…
06-08 14:06:27	btc updown 15m 1780927200	Up	SELL	143	41¢	$59	0xf47365…
06-08 14:04:19	btc updown 15m 1780927200	Up	BUY	143	28¢	$40	0x93e1d0…
06-08 13:42:24	btc updown 15m 1780925400	Up	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x5916eb…
06-08 12:38:24	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 8am et	Up	SELL	160	37¢	$59	0x6288f1…
06-08 12:31:07	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	160	25¢	$40	0x243519…
06-08 12:16:30	btc updown 15m 1780920900	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x3637b3…
06-08 11:38:45	btc updown 5m 1780918800	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xac8fc4…
06-08 11:21:48	btc updown 5m 1780917600	Up	SELL	23	70¢	$16	0x8d4519…
06-08 11:20:54	btc updown 5m 1780917600	Up	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xd5a807…
06-08 11:20:09	btc updown 5m 1780917600	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x691282…
06-08 10:52:24	btc updown 5m 1780915800	Down	SELL	21	63¢	$13	0x2e9812…
06-08 10:50:21	btc updown 5m 1780915800	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xc1f7a3…
06-08 10:41:57	btc updown 5m 1780915200	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xd363be…
06-07 16:11:34	btc updown 5m 1780848600	Down	SELL	72	68¢	$49	0x058d8c…
06-07 16:11:16	btc updown 5m 1780848600	Down	BUY	72	55¢	$40	0xcaf5c4…
06-06 20:28:25	btc updown 15m 1780776900	Down	SELL	91	15¢	$14	0x26d758…
06-06 20:28:09	btc updown 15m 1780776900	Down	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xcee039…
06-06 20:24:54	btc updown 15m 1780776900	Down	SELL	143	32¢	$46	0x1271ee…
06-06 20:22:48	btc updown 15m 1780776900	Down	BUY	143	28¢	$40	0x94fc9a…
06-06 20:19:45	btc updown 15m 1780776900	Down	SELL	143	31¢	$45	0xa03f6d…
06-06 20:18:57	btc updown 15m 1780776900	Down	BUY	143	28¢	$40	0xe72f5f…
06-06 19:05:24	btc updown 5m 1780772700	Down	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x58cf08…
06-06 18:57:13	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 2pm et	Down	SELL	44	13¢	$6	0xa291a3…
06-06 18:53:37	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	44	39¢	$17	0x90784f…
06-06 18:41:49	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 2pm et	Down	SELL	61	46¢	$28	0xc042fc…
06-06 18:40:34	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x3bd116…
06-06 18:24:52	btc updown 15m 1780769700	Down	SELL	61	38¢	$23	0xdb6fdd…
06-06 18:23:28	btc updown 15m 1780769700	Down	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0xb82f31…
06-06 13:22:40	btc updown 15m 1780751700	Down	SELL	200	55¢	$110	0xce376a…
06-06 13:21:58	btc updown 15m 1780751700	Down	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0x2ecb62…
06-06 12:43:57	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x2a1dd4…
06-06 12:37:27	btc updown 15m 1780749000	Down	SELL	29	40¢	$12	0x855a26…
06-06 12:33:39	btc updown 15m 1780749000	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x957bab…
06-06 12:30:34	btc updown 5m 1780749000	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x52218d…
06-05 18:46:36	btc updown 5m 1780685100	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0x7b4f6f…
06-05 18:45:22	btc updown 5m 1780685100	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x3c3bbb…
06-05 14:01:57	btc updown 5m 1780668000	Down	SELL	50	47¢	$23	0x36c316…
06-05 14:01:21	btc updown 5m 1780668000	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x8802cf…
06-05 13:59:55	btc updown 5m 1780668000	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x352ae6…
06-05 13:55:30	btc updown 5m 1780667700	Down	SELL	22	70¢	$16	0x4725d5…
06-05 13:54:27	btc updown 5m 1780667700	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x903245…
06-05 13:17:15	btc updown 5m 1780665300	Up	SELL	62	25¢	$16	0x361cd5…
06-05 13:16:03	btc updown 5m 1780665300	Up	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0xb2de52…
06-05 13:06:40	btc updown 15m 1780664400	Down	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x063627…
06-05 13:04:52	btc updown 15m 1780664400	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x820b14…
06-05 11:05:19	btc updown 15m 1780657200	Up	SELL	87	31¢	$27	0x281f1a…
06-05 11:02:54	btc updown 15m 1780657200	Up	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0xf6fd8b…
06-05 10:46:49	btc updown 15m 1780656300	Up	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xaaed9d…
06-05 10:00:19	btc updown 5m 1780653600	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x84e1dc…
06-04 18:56:45	btc updown 5m 1780599300	Down	SELL	168	49¢	$82	0x0363ac…
06-04 18:55:52	btc updown 5m 1780599300	Down	BUY	168	27¢	$45	0x2a03a9…
06-04 18:54:13	btc updown 15m 1780598700	Down	SELL	59	43¢	$25	0x9c3fc3…
06-04 18:53:18	btc updown 15m 1780598700	Down	BUY	59	36¢	$21	0xf2967b…
06-04 18:48:48	btc updown 5m 1780598700	Down	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x86958e…
06-04 18:46:58	btc updown 15m 1780598700	Up	SELL	119	49¢	$58	0xa424e0…
06-04 18:46:04	btc updown 15m 1780598700	Up	BUY	119	41¢	$49	0xd148d1…
06-04 17:26:04	btc updown 5m 1780593900	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xfbda52…
06-04 16:13:13	btc updown 5m 1780589400	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x4b9bf5…
06-04 16:10:19	btc updown 5m 1780589400	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x3a7303…
06-03 15:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	24	56¢	$13	0x027fc6…
06-03 15:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x413199…
06-02 19:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	48	82¢	$39	0x6c0dfc…
06-02 19:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x83ce14…
06-02 18:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xdcd251…
06-01 22:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	169	20¢	$33	0x516e39…
06-01 22:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	169	35¢	$59	0xb70057…
06-01 21:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	127	26¢	$33	0x7dc7c6…
06-01 21:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	127	24¢	$30	0xe3a9ea…
06-01 21:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xb273af…
06-01 21:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	167	4¢	$7	0xb47b82…
06-01 21:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0xba4ca7…
06-01 20:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	74	37¢	$27	0x6d0a2b…
06-01 20:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x6ea725…
06-01 14:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	93	22¢	$20	0x374ce4…
06-01 14:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	71	38¢	$27	0x41486c…
06-01 14:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	71	42¢	$30	0x91fc54…
06-01 13:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	70	56¢	$39	0x8ca4d9…
06-01 13:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0x13d7f9…
05-30 21:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xd1c515…
05-30 21:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xd4d905…