Watchful-Nothing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$59

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.1%

Resolved

Trades

922

lifetime

Volume

$15.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-21 14:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% +$59

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	5	$395	631	631	+0	open	—	05-18 01:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8AM ET	4	$315	446	446	+0	open	—	05-25 12:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2PM ET	4	$292	306	306	+0	open	—	05-16 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	2	$270	267	267	+0	open	—	05-25 10:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	2	$253	206	206	+0	open	—	05-16 11:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1PM ET	4	$246	400	400	+0	open	—	05-16 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	2	$242	255	255	+0	open	—	05-14 13:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	2	$240	319	319	+0	open	—	05-17 03:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8PM ET	4	$232	217	217	+0	open	—	05-16 00:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	2	$226	373	373	+0	open	—	05-25 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	2	$220	160	160	+0	open	—	05-15 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	2	$215	186	186	+0	open	—	05-17 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	2	$210	175	175	+0	open	—	05-16 10:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7AM ET	2	$209	154	154	+0	open	—	05-16 11:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11AM ET	2	$204	173	173	+0	open	—	05-25 15:20
btc updown 15m 1780776900	6	$195	377	377	+0	open	—	06-06 20:28
btc updown 15m 1780751700	2	$180	200	200	+0	open	—	06-06 13:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2PM ET	3	$175	397	269	+128	open	—	05-25 18:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	4	$174	252	252	+0	Down	+$34	05-11 18:57
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$158	137	137	+0	Down	+$18	05-11 17:46
btc updown 15m 1780598700	4	$154	178	178	+0	open	—	06-04 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	2	$151	141	141	+0	Up	+$33	05-05 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$149	95	95	+0	Up	+$9	05-11 18:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	2	$131	144	144	+0	Up	+$9	05-05 01:07
btc updown 15m 1771027200	4	$131	217	215	+3	open	—	02-14 00:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	2	$130	97	97	+0	open	—	05-22 15:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$128	160	160	+0	open	—	05-28 14:32
btc updown 5m 1780599300	2	$128	168	168	+0	open	—	06-04 18:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$123	131	131	+0	open	—	05-21 16:22
bitcoin up or down february 11 3pm et	4	$121	110	110	+0	open	—	02-11 21:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 14:39:49	btc updown 15m 1784644200	Down	SELL	62	17¢	$11	0x726e66…
07-21 14:39:13	btc updown 15m 1784644200	Down	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xfde1ef…
07-20 11:38:00	btc updown 5m 1784547300	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x94dbd7…
07-20 11:37:34	btc updown 5m 1784547300	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa499f1…
07-19 15:15:45	btc updown 5m 1784474100	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xff21be…
07-19 15:15:01	btc updown 5m 1784474100	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x91214f…
07-17 00:30:35	btc updown 5m 1784248200	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x74e2a8…
07-17 00:06:02	btc updown 15m 1784246400	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x1e3b1e…
07-16 23:25:07	btc updown 5m 1784244300	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x31c046…
07-16 19:05:43	btc updown 5m 1784228700	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xa8d6f6…
07-16 14:01:41	btc updown 5m 1784210400	Up	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0x0e849e…
07-16 14:00:32	btc updown 5m 1784210400	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x85abc4…
07-16 13:56:23	btc updown 5m 1784210100	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x7c7f08…
07-16 13:55:40	btc updown 5m 1784210100	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x75eef7…
07-15 15:53:17	btc updown 5m 1784130600	Down	SELL	16	84¢	$14	0x85bcc2…
07-15 15:51:02	btc updown 5m 1784130600	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x65cffd…
07-15 14:56:23	btc updown 15m 1784126700	Down	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0xab376d…
07-15 14:49:22	btc updown 15m 1784126700	Down	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x6ce6d3…
07-12 13:33:13	btc updown 5m 1783863000	Up	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0xae013b…
07-12 13:31:10	btc updown 5m 1783863000	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x461dde…
07-11 16:56:59	btc updown 5m 1783788900	Up	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0x887ee5…
07-11 16:54:58	btc updown 5m 1783788900	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb27ac0…
07-11 15:19:17	bitcoin up or down july 11 2026 11am et	Down	SELL	37	32¢	$12	0xd73d41…
07-11 15:18:10	bitcoin up or down july 11 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xf1e25f…
07-11 13:15:11	btc updown 5m 1783775700	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x9d32c8…
07-11 12:03:17	btc updown 5m 1783771200	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xade186…
07-10 22:11:34	btc updown 15m 1783720800	Down	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x55faa1…
07-10 22:10:43	btc updown 15m 1783720800	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xacc773…
07-10 16:48:26	btc updown 5m 1783701900	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x1e3064…
07-10 16:47:34	btc updown 5m 1783701900	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x8f253e…
07-10 14:55:04	btc updown 5m 1783695300	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x98cd28…
07-09 18:52:50	btc updown 15m 1783622700	Down	SELL	21	87¢	$19	0xa95059…
07-09 18:50:02	btc updown 15m 1783622700	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xde570c…
07-09 14:13:32	btc updown 5m 1783606200	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x19be35…
07-09 14:05:59	btc updown 5m 1783605900	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x509117…
07-08 14:13:16	btc updown 5m 1783519800	Up	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0xe70227…
07-08 14:11:25	btc updown 5m 1783519800	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xe28090…
06-13 16:27:07	btc updown 5m 1781367900	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xe65fd1…
06-13 14:22:07	btc updown 15m 1781360100	Down	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0x98889e…
06-13 14:15:55	btc updown 15m 1781360100	Down	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0xde2537…
06-13 14:09:19	btc updown 15m 1781359200	Down	SELL	21	19¢	$4	0x3ec29a…
06-13 14:02:34	btc updown 15m 1781359200	Down	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0x819d1b…
06-13 14:02:01	btc updown 5m 1781359200	Down	SELL	28	28¢	$8	0x6616c6…
06-13 14:00:24	btc updown 5m 1781359200	Down	BUY	28	64¢	$18	0x231259…
06-13 13:59:28	btc updown 5m 1781358900	Down	SELL	19	38¢	$7	0x44c9bb…
06-13 13:56:25	btc updown 5m 1781358900	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x4b87a6…
06-13 10:45:33	btc updown 5m 1781347500	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xb221da…
06-12 14:21:01	btc updown 15m 1781273700	Up	SELL	23	50¢	$11	0x351428…
06-12 14:19:18	btc updown 15m 1781273700	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x8442e8…
06-12 12:50:48	btc updown 15m 1781268300	Down	SELL	24	15¢	$4	0x5dfb7e…
06-12 12:49:28	btc updown 15m 1781268300	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x130565…
06-12 12:47:12	btc updown 5m 1781268300	Down	SELL	56	28¢	$16	0x29d4f9…
06-12 12:46:55	btc updown 5m 1781268300	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x823955…
06-11 17:02:54	btc updown 5m 1781197200	Down	SELL	7	64¢	$5	0x5924d3…
06-11 17:00:19	btc updown 5m 1781197200	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x28bd58…
06-11 16:58:03	btc updown 5m 1781196900	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x67f259…
06-10 13:32:18	btc updown 15m 1781098200	Down	SELL	31	34¢	$11	0xcfd8c5…
06-10 13:31:31	btc updown 15m 1781098200	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x91a39c…
06-10 12:53:42	btc updown 5m 1781095800	Up	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x41b430…
06-10 12:52:04	btc updown 5m 1781095800	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x5cc7e5…
06-10 12:41:45	btc updown 5m 1781095200	Up	SELL	22	55¢	$12	0xbfcd76…
06-10 12:40:54	btc updown 5m 1781095200	Up	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0xcd5f96…
06-10 12:36:15	btc updown 5m 1781094900	Up	SELL	30	39¢	$12	0x92e028…
06-10 12:35:51	btc updown 5m 1781094900	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x95341f…
06-10 12:26:10	btc updown 5m 1781094300	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x1d1d2b…
06-10 12:25:30	btc updown 5m 1781094000	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xbd0e11…
06-10 12:24:13	btc updown 5m 1781094000	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x022dc2…
06-10 11:36:22	btc updown 5m 1781091300	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xcbc777…
06-09 12:20:18	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 8am et	Down	SELL	66	38¢	$25	0xf07936…
06-09 12:18:46	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x7a25e5…
06-09 12:17:40	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 8am et	Down	SELL	71	39¢	$28	0x90e775…
06-09 12:16:45	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	71	38¢	$27	0x08d2c7…
06-09 12:00:07	btc updown 5m 1781006400	Down	BUY	34	53¢	$18	0xaf4000…
06-08 21:23:31	btc updown 5m 1780953600	Down	SELL	30	61¢	$19	0xf8839d…
06-08 21:23:06	btc updown 5m 1780953600	Down	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0x5925b7…
06-08 18:36:55	btc updown 5m 1780943700	Down	SELL	12	66¢	$8	0xaef1d4…
06-08 18:35:25	btc updown 5m 1780943700	Down	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0x87b893…
06-08 17:45:03	btc updown 5m 1780940700	Down	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x33fb11…
06-08 17:29:48	btc updown 5m 1780939800	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc725ea…
06-08 17:25:43	btc updown 5m 1780939500	Up	SELL	13	74¢	$9	0x23285b…
06-08 17:25:16	btc updown 5m 1780939500	Up	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0xca205c…
06-08 15:17:12	btc updown 5m 1780931700	Up	SELL	132	5¢	$7	0x46631c…
06-08 15:15:27	btc updown 5m 1780931700	Up	BUY	132	47¢	$62	0x256e4f…
06-08 15:06:45	btc updown 5m 1780931100	Down	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0xce3369…
06-08 14:39:30	btc updown 5m 1780929300	Up	SELL	111	28¢	$31	0x3512ee…
06-08 14:35:51	btc updown 5m 1780929300	Up	BUY	111	36¢	$40	0x4e0edb…
06-08 14:21:54	btc updown 15m 1780928100	Up	SELL	114	39¢	$45	0x83b638…
06-08 14:20:19	btc updown 15m 1780928100	Up	BUY	114	35¢	$40	0xc412c9…
06-08 14:06:27	btc updown 15m 1780927200	Up	SELL	143	41¢	$59	0xf47365…
06-08 14:04:19	btc updown 15m 1780927200	Up	BUY	143	28¢	$40	0x93e1d0…
06-08 13:42:24	btc updown 15m 1780925400	Up	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x5916eb…
06-08 12:38:24	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 8am et	Up	SELL	160	37¢	$59	0x6288f1…
06-08 12:31:07	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	160	25¢	$40	0x243519…
06-08 12:16:30	btc updown 15m 1780920900	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x3637b3…
06-08 11:38:45	btc updown 5m 1780918800	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xac8fc4…
06-08 11:21:48	btc updown 5m 1780917600	Up	SELL	23	70¢	$16	0x8d4519…
06-08 11:20:54	btc updown 5m 1780917600	Up	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xd5a807…
06-08 11:20:09	btc updown 5m 1780917600	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x691282…
06-08 10:52:24	btc updown 5m 1780915800	Down	SELL	21	63¢	$13	0x2e9812…
06-08 10:50:21	btc updown 5m 1780915800	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xc1f7a3…