Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8PM ET
open
Total volume
$1,211
Trades
155
Unique wallets
71
Liquidity
$10,990
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-15
last 05-16 01:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+22.7¢
(top1%: 62% YES on $31
vs crowd: 39% YES on $1.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $6 | $3 | +$3 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $8 | $8 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $163 | $93 | +$70 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 62 | $244 | $529 | $284 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $19 | $12 | +$7 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $162 | $93 | +$69 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $98 | $290 | $192 |
| Median | 17 | $32 | $28 | +$4 |
| Below median | 15 | $29 | $43 | $14 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 10 | $29 | $12 | +$17 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $42 | $121 | $79 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 9 | $2 | $35 | $33 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scarce-Review-Backdrop 0x9322…1c04 | Down | +300 | $290 | $290 | 1 | 05-16 00:59 |
| Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Up | +281 | $146 | $146 | 17 | 05-16 00:55 |
| Weird-Spell-Fries 0xfcba…dffa | Down | +224 | $121 | $121 | 2 | 05-16 00:53 |
| Brief-Transit 0xe3a2…cdf3 | Up | +132 | $67 | $67 | 1 | 05-15 23:55 |
| Ignorant-Beneficiary-Warren 0xb305…ca4e | Up | +120 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-16 00:59 |
| Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Down | +103 | $32 | $32 | 9 | 05-16 00:51 |
| Safe-Effort 0x8d09…2593 | Up | +70 | $37 | $37 | 1 | 05-16 00:05 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | +66 | $49 | $49 | 4 | 05-16 00:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x4e65…cb6c | Down | +46 | $23 | $23 | 13 | 05-15 23:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x5808…e67f | Up | +41 | $30 | $30 | 8 | 05-16 00:36 |
| Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75 | Down | +40 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-16 00:50 |
| Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75 | Up | +38 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 00:59 |
| Frank-Spoon 0x1e83…1176 | Down | +23 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 05-16 00:25 |
| Cooked-Carrier 0xcaa2…7743 | Down | +22 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-16 00:51 |
| Old-Mechanism 0x83a0…857d | Down | +21 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-16 00:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xd344…e41b | Up | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 00:59 |
| Discrete-Suite 0xcede…e6c9 | Down | +20 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-16 00:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x6507…2d2c | Up | +16 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-16 00:50 |
| Well-Worn-Exhibition 0x34d9…ba9c | Up | +16 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-16 00:40 |
| Harmful-Face 0xf539…42a3 | Up | +15 | $8 | $8 | 3 | 05-15 23:58 |
| Upbeat-Catch 0x9fac…c50d | Up | +15 | $8 | $8 | 3 | 05-15 23:58 |
| Haunting-Chronicle 0x3555…c4d1 | Up | +14 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-16 00:50 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | +14 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-16 00:46 |
| Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9 | Down | +12 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-16 00:55 |
| Thin-Hardboard 0xb34d…8387 | Up | +12 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-16 00:00 |
| Dimpled-Bagpipe 0xd11a…f206 | Down | +12 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-16 00:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x9a0c…5615 | Up | +11 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-16 00:00 |
| Imperturbable-Samovar 0x8c03…12b2 | Down | +10 | $6 | $6 | 6 | 05-16 00:04 |
| Slow-Monk 0xbac5…ccba | Down | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 23:55 |
| Impish-Wraparound 0x8397…5809 | Up | +10 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 05-16 00:50 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Up | +10 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-16 00:53 |
| Tangible-Chop 0x4ad8…969f | Up | +10 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-15 23:58 |
| Miniature-Dispute 0xa496…b80e | Up | +10 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-15 23:58 |
| Wrong-Attendance 0xe2d9…101a | Down | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 23:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x8176…709a | Up | +10 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 05-16 00:35 |
| Stained-Venue 0x51cb…eca8 | Up | +9 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-16 00:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x258b…db84 | Down | +8 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-16 00:53 |
| Winding-Proofreader 0x863b…1370 | Down | +7 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-16 00:00 |
| Awesome-Expedition 0x5101…1ae4 | Down | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 00:31 |
| Quick-Total 0x1749…55d6 | Down | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 00:19 |
| Flimsy-Captor 0x0056…ee7a | Up | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-16 00:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x093c…7f43 | Up | +6 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-16 00:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x3115…75af | Down | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 23:55 |
| This-Negligee 0x5787…c02e | Down | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 00:59 |
| Hospitable-Gastropod 0xd7f4…831e | Up | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 23:58 |
| Grizzled-Migration 0x7e18…84c4 | Up | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 23:58 |
| Mean-Melatonin 0xab03…4494 | Up | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-16 00:05 |
| Grimy-Prize 0xf6a0…6004 | Down | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-16 00:00 |
| Imaginative-Terrace 0x206d…de0d | Down | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 00:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x8623…66d4 | Up | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-16 00:10 |
| Spectacular-Harmonica 0x47ac…7fe2 | Up | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-16 00:19 |
| Wonderful-Volatility 0x0739…aba8 | Down | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 23:55 |
| Pointless-Marsh 0x053e…eb1b | Up | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 00:09 |
| Wide-Eyed-Mortal 0x765d…2e22 | Up | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 00:48 |
| Suburban-Authority 0xabac…3631 | Up | +3 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-16 00:35 |
| Sparkling-Wash 0x44a3…9326 | Down | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 23:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xe6d0…efe4 | Down | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 00:55 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 01:00:48 | Exalted-Farming 0x6316…0134 | Down | SELL | 71 | 100¢ | $71 | 0x5e774c… |
| 05-16 00:59:09 | Ignorant-Beneficiary-Warren 0xb305…ca4e | Up | BUY | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x865908… |
| 05-16 00:59:09 | (anonymous) 0xd344…e41b | Up | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x6722f0… |
| 05-16 00:59:07 | Scarce-Review-Backdrop 0x9322…1c04 | Down | BUY | 300 | 97¢ | $290 | 0x03f053… |
| 05-16 00:59:05 | Lasting-Dust 0xa175…516f | Down | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x47c20b… |
| 05-16 00:59:03 | This-Negligee 0x5787…c02e | Down | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x758483… |
| 05-16 00:59:03 | Ignorant-Beneficiary-Warren 0xb305…ca4e | Up | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x1be75f… |
| 05-16 00:59:02 | Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75 | Up | BUY | 38 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x633e44… |
| 05-16 00:59:02 | Stained-Venue 0x51cb…eca8 | Up | BUY | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xde8481… |
| 05-16 00:58:56 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x824504… |
| 05-16 00:58:56 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x3ff00b… |
| 05-16 00:55:56 | Knobby-Liquid 0xaa5f…76d4 | Up | SELL | 4 | 31¢ | $1 | 0xfc1d92… |
| 05-16 00:55:49 | Klutzy-Pantyhose 0xd9fd…87e3 | Down | SELL | 0 | 68¢ | $0 | 0x7c2097… |
| 05-16 00:55:49 | (anonymous) 0xe6d0…efe4 | Down | BUY | 1 | 69¢ | $1 | 0x56e25a… |
| 05-16 00:55:44 | Front-Chromolithograph 0xd478…9239 | Down | SELL | 4 | 69¢ | $3 | 0xdf8c79… |
| 05-16 00:55:42 | (anonymous) 0x258b…db84 | Up | SELL | 6 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x7309d1… |
| 05-16 00:55:40 | Knobby-Liquid 0xaa5f…76d4 | Up | SELL | 4 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x28f0cd… |
| 05-16 00:55:39 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Up | BUY | 10 | 30¢ | $3 | 0xa3acca… |
| 05-16 00:55:37 | Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9 | Down | BUY | 12 | 70¢ | $8 | 0x017be9… |
| 05-16 00:54:02 | Flimsy-Captor 0x0056…ee7a | Up | BUY | 6 | 50¢ | $3 | 0x6a1dbe… |
| 05-16 00:53:57 | (anonymous) 0x258b…db84 | Down | BUY | 8 | 51¢ | $4 | 0x835609… |
| 05-16 00:53:50 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Up | BUY | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0x6c966f… |
| 05-16 00:53:50 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Up | BUY | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x72b691… |
| 05-16 00:53:43 | Weird-Spell-Fries 0xfcba…dffa | Down | BUY | 209 | 54¢ | $113 | 0x111132… |
| 05-16 00:53:43 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Up | BUY | 20 | 47¢ | $9 | 0x777766… |
| 05-16 00:51:00 | Cooked-Carrier 0xcaa2…7743 | Down | BUY | 22 | 46¢ | $10 | 0xba42a5… |
| 05-16 00:51:00 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Down | BUY | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0x8c6dba… |
| 05-16 00:51:00 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Down | BUY | 9 | 43¢ | $4 | 0x482406… |
| 05-16 00:51:00 | Close-Team 0x8f92…4653 | Up | SELL | 25 | 58¢ | $14 | 0x6cc917… |
| 05-16 00:50:59 | Mature-Marshland 0x4cb2…e474 | Up | SELL | 10 | 60¢ | $6 | 0x123bfd… |
| 05-16 00:50:59 | (anonymous) 0x6507…2d2c | Up | BUY | 13 | 59¢ | $8 | 0xf891c1… |
| 05-16 00:50:59 | Front-Chromolithograph 0xd478…9239 | Down | SELL | 4 | 39¢ | $1 | 0x62e1b0… |
| 05-16 00:50:59 | Live-Fame 0x8a01…a6c5 | Up | SELL | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0xf3cbd9… |
| 05-16 00:50:59 | Mature-Marshland 0x4cb2…e474 | Up | SELL | 10 | 60¢ | $6 | 0xf32c74… |
| 05-16 00:50:57 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Down | BUY | 10 | 38¢ | $4 | 0x251990… |
| 05-16 00:50:55 | Haunting-Chronicle 0x3555…c4d1 | Up | BUY | 14 | 67¢ | $10 | 0x5c02e4… |
| 05-16 00:50:55 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Down | BUY | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x13b09d… |
| 05-16 00:50:53 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Down | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x50d78d… |
| 05-16 00:50:53 | Velvety-Alphabet 0x27ec…55bc | Down | BUY | 4 | 33¢ | $1 | 0x296ddf… |
| 05-16 00:50:53 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Down | BUY | 21 | 30¢ | $6 | 0x7b8f02… |
| 05-16 00:50:52 | (anonymous) 0xd5b1…9499 | Up | SELL | 3 | 70¢ | $2 | 0x009c0e… |
| 05-16 00:50:52 | Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75 | Down | BUY | 40 | 30¢ | $12 | 0x3c0a0a… |
| 05-16 00:50:50 | Impish-Wraparound 0x8397…5809 | Up | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x70f6b3… |
| 05-16 00:48:39 | Tiny-Grove 0x0f6f…cb6b | Up | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0xe1e951… |
| 05-16 00:48:39 | Wide-Eyed-Mortal 0x765d…2e22 | Up | BUY | 3 | 87¢ | $2 | 0xd04a3e… |
| 05-16 00:46:05 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 8 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x61a986… |
| 05-16 00:45:52 | Unknown-Sneaker 0xa596…081d | Up | BUY | 2 | 83¢ | $2 | 0xe3ff23… |
| 05-16 00:40:51 | Made-Up-Township-Sideburns 0x29e9…6c7e | Up | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xaaa88c… |
| 05-16 00:40:46 | Well-Worn-Exhibition 0x34d9…ba9c | Up | BUY | 16 | 94¢ | $15 | 0x8ed2d4… |
| 05-16 00:40:46 | Familiar-Mini 0xddb0…f95a | Up | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x01d973… |
| 05-16 00:40:43 | Old-Mechanism 0x83a0…857d | Down | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x80471d… |
| 05-16 00:40:43 | Barren-Thanks 0xc0a5…1e0f | Up | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xb8ddf7… |
| 05-16 00:38:59 | Watchful-Nothing 0x68e5…c63a | Down | SELL | 56 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x979649… |
| 05-16 00:36:04 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Up | BUY | 20 | 76¢ | $15 | 0x877b53… |
| 05-16 00:36:03 | (anonymous) 0x5808…e67f | Up | BUY | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0xdbfaf0… |
| 05-16 00:35:54 | Suburban-Authority 0xabac…3631 | Up | BUY | 1 | 76¢ | $1 | 0x124da6… |
| 05-16 00:35:29 | (anonymous) 0x8176…709a | Up | BUY | 6 | 76¢ | $5 | 0x8c6a69… |
| 05-16 00:35:28 | Suburban-Authority 0xabac…3631 | Up | BUY | 1 | 76¢ | $1 | 0xc7a949… |
| 05-16 00:34:02 | (anonymous) 0x5808…e67f | Up | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x57ad58… |
| 05-16 00:31:03 | (anonymous) 0x5808…e67f | Up | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0xbf1a86… |
| 05-16 00:31:03 | Awesome-Expedition 0x5101…1ae4 | Down | BUY | 7 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x033132… |
| 05-16 00:29:03 | (anonymous) 0x5808…e67f | Up | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0xca8bc5… |
| 05-16 00:25:59 | Frank-Spoon 0x1e83…1176 | Down | BUY | 7 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x2d9174… |
| 05-16 00:25:52 | Impish-Wraparound 0x8397…5809 | Up | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x4826eb… |
| 05-16 00:25:52 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Down | BUY | 21 | 26¢ | $5 | 0x46da08… |
| 05-16 00:25:52 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Down | BUY | 15 | 25¢ | $4 | 0xaa1ae8… |
| 05-16 00:25:52 | Velvety-Alphabet 0x27ec…55bc | Up | SELL | 2 | 74¢ | $2 | 0x18d5e2… |
| 05-16 00:25:48 | Dangerous-Stalk 0x5777…8d65 | Up | SELL | 48 | 75¢ | $36 | 0x6682da… |
| 05-16 00:25:40 | (anonymous) 0x8176…709a | Up | BUY | 4 | 76¢ | $3 | 0xc3ae53… |
| 05-16 00:25:33 | Dimpled-Bagpipe 0xd11a…f206 | Down | BUY | 12 | 25¢ | $3 | 0x3b08c5… |
| 05-16 00:24:19 | Frank-Spoon 0x1e83…1176 | Down | BUY | 9 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x8fdd34… |
| 05-16 00:24:17 | Velvety-Alphabet 0x27ec…55bc | Down | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x254520… |
| 05-16 00:24:16 | Old-Mechanism 0x83a0…857d | Down | BUY | 4 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x8db4a1… |
| 05-16 00:21:03 | (anonymous) 0x5808…e67f | Up | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0xd02f76… |
| 05-16 00:21:03 | (anonymous) 0x093c…7f43 | Up | BUY | 3 | 73¢ | $2 | 0xbec22c… |
| 05-16 00:21:00 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 6 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x21e108… |
| 05-16 00:20:58 | Frank-Spoon 0x1e83…1176 | Down | BUY | 7 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x4aa8c4… |
| 05-16 00:20:53 | Imaginative-Terrace 0x206d…de0d | Down | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x5d3afe… |
| 05-16 00:20:53 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Up | BUY | 6 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x72f140… |
| 05-16 00:19:06 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Up | BUY | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0x17f0b0… |
| 05-16 00:19:06 | Spectacular-Harmonica 0x47ac…7fe2 | Up | BUY | 4 | 68¢ | $3 | 0x2415c5… |
| 05-16 00:19:04 | Quick-Total 0x1749…55d6 | Down | BUY | 6 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x3d23ba… |
| 05-16 00:19:02 | (anonymous) 0x5808…e67f | Up | BUY | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0x953a6d… |
| 05-16 00:18:55 | Klutzy-Pantyhose 0xd9fd…87e3 | Down | SELL | 1 | 33¢ | $0 | 0xb3ffcf… |
| 05-16 00:16:00 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Down | BUY | 11 | 32¢ | $4 | 0x753361… |
| 05-16 00:15:39 | Watchful-Nothing 0x68e5…c63a | Down | BUY | 56 | 36¢ | $20 | 0xe9a831… |
| 05-16 00:13:46 | Klutzy-Pantyhose 0xd9fd…87e3 | Up | SELL | 0 | 63¢ | $0 | 0x2dab5d… |
| 05-16 00:11:03 | (anonymous) 0x5808…e67f | Up | BUY | 5 | 63¢ | $3 | 0x048c91… |
| 05-16 00:10:54 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Up | BUY | 21 | 63¢ | $13 | 0x8eb376… |
| 05-16 00:10:54 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Up | BUY | 21 | 63¢ | $13 | 0x50d3c8… |
| 05-16 00:10:52 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Up | BUY | 21 | 63¢ | $13 | 0xc0c00b… |
| 05-16 00:10:40 | (anonymous) 0x8623…66d4 | Up | BUY | 5 | 63¢ | $3 | 0x685d22… |
| 05-16 00:09:06 | Pointless-Marsh 0x053e…eb1b | Up | BUY | 3 | 68¢ | $2 | 0x73c509… |
| 05-16 00:09:04 | (anonymous) 0x5808…e67f | Up | BUY | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0xe1c4b9… |
| 05-16 00:09:04 | (anonymous) 0x093c…7f43 | Up | BUY | 3 | 68¢ | $2 | 0x17f49d… |
| 05-16 00:08:59 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 20 | 32¢ | $6 | 0x3ea30b… |
| 05-16 00:05:57 | Safe-Effort 0x8d09…2593 | Up | BUY | 70 | 53¢ | $37 | 0xa63444… |
| 05-16 00:05:57 | Discrete-Suite 0xcede…e6c9 | Down | BUY | 20 | 47¢ | $9 | 0xd806f4… |
| 05-16 00:05:53 | Mean-Melatonin 0xab03…4494 | Up | BUY | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0xbc3069… |
| 05-16 00:05:53 | Buttery-Trace 0xb021…ebd9 | Up | BUY | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0x2ec2fe… |