Compassionate-Leverage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$30.9K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.5%

Resolved

6,311

Trades

217,711

lifetime

Volume

$1.71M

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 10-20 02:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 106 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 43% -$30,876

Sports

0% 55% -$66

Other

0% 50% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 20349 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	10	$4.4K	4,096	3,445	+650	Up	+$408	05-22 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	11	$4.4K	5,271	4,263	+1,008	Up	+$392	05-22 03:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 05:00 UTC	186	$3.6K	8,745	0	+8,745	Up	+$291	08-07 05:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 00:30 UTC	184	$3.5K	6,737	0	+6,737	Up	-$219	08-07 00:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 23:00 UTC	69	$3.1K	4,698	0	+4,698	Up	-$2,726	09-30 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	204	$3.0K	5,203	0	+5,203	Down	-$175	10-05 23:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 02:15 UTC	177	$3.0K	6,124	0	+6,124	Down	-$112	08-07 02:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	104	$2.8K	5,155	0	+5,155	Down	-$29	10-02 17:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 23:15 UTC	206	$2.7K	5,486	0	+5,486	Down	-$2,408	09-30 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	198	$2.7K	5,239	0	+5,239	Up	+$44	10-03 09:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 01:15 UTC	172	$2.7K	5,387	9	+5,378	Up	-$155	08-07 01:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	127	$2.6K	4,648	0	+4,648	Up	-$460	10-04 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	155	$2.6K	4,546	0	+4,546	Down	-$518	10-07 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	145	$2.6K	4,789	0	+4,789	Down	-$346	10-03 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	115	$2.6K	4,367	0	+4,367	Down	-$171	10-08 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	94	$2.5K	3,773	0	+3,773	Up	-$391	10-02 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	88	$2.4K	3,787	0	+3,787	Up	-$742	10-02 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	155	$2.4K	4,453	0	+4,453	Up	-$282	10-03 06:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 11:00 UTC	66	$2.3K	5,101	0	+5,101	Up	-$97	08-07 11:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 08:30 UTC	60	$2.3K	4,918	0	+4,918	Up	-$286	08-07 08:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	77	$2.3K	3,070	0	+3,070	Down	-$635	10-06 23:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 11:15 UTC	55	$2.3K	5,025	10	+5,015	Up	-$252	08-07 11:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	100	$2.3K	3,910	0	+3,910	Down	-$56	10-04 00:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	116	$2.3K	4,424	0	+4,424	Up	+$137	07-29 07:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	111	$2.3K	3,625	0	+3,625	Down	-$492	10-01 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	77	$2.3K	3,865	0	+3,865	Up	-$146	10-05 14:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 09:30 UTC	119	$2.2K	3,943	0	+3,943	Up	-$297	10-04 09:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 05:45 UTC	100	$2.2K	3,625	0	+3,625	Down	-$108	10-04 05:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 00:45 UTC	151	$2.2K	3,736	0	+3,736	Down	-$84	08-07 00:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	75	$2.1K	3,551	0	+3,551	Up	-$109	10-04 02:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 02:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xe727e1…
10-20 02:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xe4a149…
10-20 02:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x669e23…
10-20 02:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8f6895…
10-20 02:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xa5cb7f…
10-20 02:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xb50ea9…
10-20 01:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6b68fd…
10-20 01:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xaef252…
10-20 01:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xee5c27…
10-20 01:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x497e4b…
10-20 01:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xaa17c3…
10-20 01:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x97c3cd…
10-20 01:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x512779…
10-20 01:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xc335e7…
10-20 01:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x656085…
10-20 01:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x29b4e5…
10-20 01:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x7d273e…
10-20 01:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xe70b9b…
10-20 01:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xbda764…
10-20 01:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xb867df…
10-20 01:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x8794e9…
10-20 01:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa5133f…
10-20 01:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xe6e06e…
10-20 01:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xcb7c7b…
10-20 01:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x87caac…
10-20 01:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xb76905…
10-20 01:16:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x9fd01f…
10-20 01:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x4029a8…
10-20 01:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0xfc8a70…
10-20 01:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x2eafb9…
10-20 01:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x9d05e2…
10-20 01:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x377d68…
10-20 01:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x050986…
10-20 01:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x7fdebd…
10-20 01:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x6f3825…
10-20 01:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xcc70d4…
10-20 01:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x4d05cd…
10-20 00:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xf088ac…
10-20 00:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xe7ae7d…
10-20 00:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x630b09…
10-20 00:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xccb031…
10-20 00:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x8f1883…
10-20 00:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xa8200f…
10-20 00:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x5ebcff…
10-20 00:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x9a1c26…
10-20 00:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xc34bc7…
10-19 17:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8a257a…
10-19 16:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x2d6aa9…
10-19 16:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xb859c2…
10-19 16:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	34¢	$0	0x081308…
10-19 16:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x454acf…
10-19 16:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xc1beaf…
10-19 15:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x278d3a…
10-19 15:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x23aba3…
10-19 15:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xfc9379…
10-19 15:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x948a54…
10-19 15:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x66f37e…
10-19 15:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x66140d…
10-19 15:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x44b17d…
10-19 15:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x7f7d2c…
10-19 15:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xdf0b42…
10-19 15:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x831647…
10-19 15:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xa9c85e…
10-19 15:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x48a771…
10-19 15:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x329b6a…
10-19 15:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x3471fb…
10-19 15:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xb772ac…
10-19 15:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa92fe5…
10-19 15:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x7fd94a…
10-19 15:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x2eaee7…
10-19 15:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xf09ad2…
10-19 15:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x6c49f4…
10-19 15:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x199305…
10-19 15:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x055b04…
10-19 15:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x4d563f…
10-19 15:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xadedee…
10-19 15:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xab82be…
10-19 15:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xba43f5…
10-19 15:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x79a1da…
10-19 15:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x71173b…
10-19 15:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x942750…
10-19 15:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x9396d8…
10-19 15:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xea1a1b…
10-19 15:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xaa3b19…
10-19 15:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x155064…
10-19 15:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x849a16…
10-19 14:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x1a7b03…
10-19 14:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xec13cc…
10-19 14:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x30bcb5…
10-19 14:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x23fb27…
10-19 14:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf8b8f9…
10-19 14:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd6908b…
10-19 14:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0xd8ca03…
10-19 14:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x7e3886…
10-19 14:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x37c1c4…
10-19 14:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xea8be9…
10-19 14:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x49446a…
10-19 14:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xa37dc8…
10-19 14:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x05bbce…
10-19 14:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0xdd1f4b…