Oblong-Skill — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8.18K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.6%

Resolved

Trades

4,325

lifetime

Volume

$4.09M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$947

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 08-09 12:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Crypto

59% 92% +$582

Politics

19% 100% +$17

Other

17% 90% $-8,796

Sports

4% 100% +$12

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	67	$195.8K	140,114	136,990	+3,123	open	—	05-31 23:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	23	$92.4K	60,245	60,245	+0	open	—	06-11 19:42
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	16	$40.5K	25,304	23,969	+1,335	open	—	05-27 16:06
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	12	$32.8K	23,492	23,492	+0	open	—	06-07 16:27
btc updown 5m 1772253000	49	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	02-28 04:36
btc updown 15m 1771790400	20	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	02-22 20:16
eth updown 15m 1771805700	13	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	02-23 00:30
bitcoin up or down march 6 7am et	80	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	03-06 13:53
solana up or down march 11 8pm et	7	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	03-12 01:00
btc updown 5m 1771656000	9	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	02-21 06:45
btc updown 5m 1772123700	1	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	02-26 16:41
btc updown 5m 1773618000	1	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	03-15 23:45
btc updown 5m 1771863900	1	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	02-23 16:30
btc updown 5m 1775089800	2	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	04-02 00:35
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 5pm et	1	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	03-27 22:02
bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 2am et	1	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	03-16 07:01
btc updown 5m 1775482500	1	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	04-06 13:40
ethereum up or down february 20 12pm et	18	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	02-20 18:28
bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 12pm et	1	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	03-30 17:03
bitcoin up or down march 1 1pm et	1	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	03-01 20:40
sol updown 15m 1772845200	1	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	03-07 01:15
btc updown 5m 1772139900	9	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	02-26 21:11
btc updown 15m 1773281700	1	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	03-12 02:30
ethereum up or down february 27 4am et	8	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	02-27 10:39
btc updown 5m 1771777200	1	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	02-22 16:25
ethereum up or down march 5 6pm et	1	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	03-06 00:14
bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 10am et	1	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	03-16 16:14
eth updown 15m 1771633800	21	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	02-21 00:46
btc updown 5m 1771857600	1	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	02-23 14:45
bitcoin up or down march 8 5pm et	1	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	03-08 22:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 12:33:06	hype updown 5m 1786278600	Up	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0xf935ae…
08-09 12:33:06	hype updown 5m 1786278600	Up	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x83766e…
08-09 12:32:36	hype updown 5m 1786278600	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xbfa696…
08-09 12:32:15	hype updown 5m 1786278600	Up	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x3a7511…
08-09 12:32:15	hype updown 5m 1786278600	Up	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x23b4c7…
08-09 12:02:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x0ca6ab…
08-09 11:59:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xbafaff…
08-09 11:58:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xee070c…
08-09 11:57:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5af5ed…
08-09 11:56:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x753ed1…
08-07 00:25:05	eth updown 5m 1786062000	Down	BUY	10,000	3¢	$296	0x7e71ed…
08-07 00:01:14	ethereum up or down august 6 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	943	100¢	$942	0x79d7b7…
08-07 00:01:09	ethereum up or down august 6 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x8e133c…
08-07 00:01:03	ethereum up or down august 6 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x93d5c6…
08-07 00:00:57	ethereum up or down august 6 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x319e8a…
08-07 00:00:53	ethereum up or down august 6 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x9bef96…
08-07 00:00:47	ethereum up or down august 6 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x1996a1…
08-07 00:00:41	ethereum up or down august 6 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xddd764…
08-07 00:00:35	ethereum up or down august 6 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xb619f8…
08-07 00:00:29	ethereum up or down august 6 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xb1df1c…
08-07 00:00:21	ethereum up or down august 6 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x92e8be…
08-07 00:00:03	ethereum up or down august 6 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0xfbd4f9…
08-05 20:43:30	uwcl mur ffc 2026 08 05 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	2,038	100¢	$2,036	0x24d3b9…
08-01 16:06:18	setkamecz ada marian 2026 08 01 game handicap away 1pt5	Dvoracek Adam	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x9fb626…
07-31 20:00:05	sol updown 15m 1785527100	Up	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x5ac36e…
07-31 19:07:50	bra vit pal 2026 07 29 corners team away 3pt5	Under	BUY	310	100¢	$309	0xdc215b…
07-31 16:56:00	will lonnie lincoln die in spider man brand new day 20260702162526780	No	BUY	739	100¢	$738	0xc86d65…
07-30 23:24:48	iran military action against a gulf state on july 27 20260708212322952	No	BUY	1,940	100¢	$1,938	0x54a722…
07-29 22:00:17	cs2 mibr ldp 2026 07 29 game1 round total 21pt5	Under	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0xbf9d42…
07-29 20:32:47	cs2 g1 hon1 2026 07 29 game2 round handicap g1 3pt5	GenOne	BUY	290	100¢	$290	0x057832…
07-28 15:30:08	will trump say filibuster during fox friends appearance 20260728022316507	No	BUY	522	100¢	$521	0xd2c62f…
07-28 08:30:25	sol updown 5m 1785227100	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xbf61bd…
07-28 08:30:25	sol updown 5m 1785227100	Down	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x8a9b3e…
07-28 08:30:07	sol updown 5m 1785227100	Down	BUY	694	99¢	$687	0x95504b…
07-28 08:30:07	sol updown 5m 1785227100	Down	BUY	169	99¢	$168	0x73c0bc…
07-26 03:07:57	bitcoin up or down july 25 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	1,935	100¢	$1,933	0x97c9c4…
07-26 03:07:54	bitcoin up or down july 25 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0x68315f…
07-26 03:07:34	bitcoin up or down july 25 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	3,065	100¢	$3,062	0x5ce9ba…
07-26 00:43:40	cs2 vita pre 2026 05 18 game1 odd even total kills	Even	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xf3f2b5…
07-25 20:53:45	cs2 kinoa masq 2026 05 22 game2 odd even total kills	Even	BUY	6,602	100¢	$6,595	0xd30e38…
07-25 05:59:48	will trump say transgender during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255816	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0xea88b9…
07-25 03:31:24	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x334429…
07-25 03:30:45	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9eea14…
07-25 03:30:43	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xaedc68…
07-25 03:30:42	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	Yes	BUY	539	100¢	$539	0x7d06c3…
07-24 22:06:03	will trump say data center during announcement on american nuclear innovation 20260724142730935	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xba5eac…
07-24 20:25:46	will abnb reach 158 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	6,511	100¢	$6,505	0x287399…
07-23 20:00:40	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x5c8735…
07-23 20:00:31	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8e1292…
07-23 20:00:18	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	445	100¢	$444	0xdb5455…
07-23 18:12:54	will leavitt say world cup during the next white house press briefing 20260723134130097	Yes	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,973	0x678158…
07-23 15:10:55	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x632691…
07-23 15:05:55	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4a6f9f…
07-23 15:04:09	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9690c1…
07-23 15:02:30	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xd86069…
07-23 15:01:52	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	696	100¢	$695	0xaa7360…
07-23 15:00:42	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x3c1682…
07-23 15:00:40	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	109	100¢	$108	0xf5c5ad…
07-23 15:00:28	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0f04a8…
07-23 15:00:24	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x36eed1…
07-23 15:00:16	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xc4bdfd…
07-23 15:00:15	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3aa1d3…
07-23 15:00:12	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	335	100¢	$335	0x4ef5c5…
07-23 07:56:06	usl1 wes nyc 2026 07 22 corners first half total 5pt5	Over	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x21555c…
07-23 07:52:51	usl1 por uni 2026 07 22 corners second half total 5pt5	Over	BUY	280	100¢	$280	0xc46ad8…
07-23 07:52:51	usl1 por uni 2026 07 22 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	273	100¢	$273	0x9a73f8…
07-22 19:03:46	itf rodr zeitune 2026 07 22	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc34681…
07-22 17:57:39	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7,082	35¢	$2,500	0x782ee1…
07-22 17:04:18	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	128	39¢	$50	0xfca4aa…
07-22 16:59:28	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	256	39¢	$100	0x19118b…
07-22 16:47:46	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	39¢	$12	0x98cabd…
07-22 16:46:48	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	385	39¢	$150	0x6c3c31…
07-22 16:36:54	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	39¢	$78	0x73b5fc…
07-22 16:31:13	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	39¢	$10	0x591910…
07-22 16:20:03	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	39¢	$3	0x669b7e…
07-22 16:14:52	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,873	39¢	$730	0xd66070…
07-22 14:50:51	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	41¢	$5	0x6f8df4…
07-22 08:49:55	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,000	43¢	$4,300	0xb5bccc…
07-22 01:34:04	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,716	46¢	$789	0xbc6411…
07-22 01:32:33	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0x8d9f97…
07-22 01:32:27	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	46¢	$8	0x8618bf…
07-22 01:29:42	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0x5325bd…
07-22 01:27:15	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x54f49f…
07-22 01:25:52	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0xe833fe…
07-22 01:23:07	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x421296…
07-22 01:23:06	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	46¢	$10	0x0c0777…
07-22 01:23:00	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	46¢	$10	0xad96ea…
07-22 01:22:52	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	46¢	$10	0x6be1bc…
07-22 01:21:13	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x8381f8…
07-22 01:19:51	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x4f86d9…
07-22 01:13:15	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xa51fc2…
07-22 01:11:49	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xe2f4b5…
07-22 01:03:01	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	46¢	$4	0x8375e3…
07-22 00:57:07	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,174	46¢	$1,000	0xbb2898…
07-22 00:56:51	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0xb6e01a…
07-22 00:55:09	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0x365f5e…
07-22 00:54:06	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0xb8cdc9…
07-22 00:50:57	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xca176c…
07-22 00:46:12	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	46¢	$46	0xb8cec8…
07-22 00:43:43	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0x81bcaf…