Oblong-Skill — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8.18K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.6%

Resolved

Trades

4,041

lifetime

Volume

$3.81M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$944

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 06-30 04:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 92% +$582

Politics

19% 100% +$17

Other

16% 90% $-8,796

Sports

4% 100% +$12

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 146 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	67	$195.8K	140,114	136,990	+3,123	open	—	05-31 23:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	23	$92.4K	60,245	60,245	+0	open	—	06-11 19:42
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	16	$40.5K	25,304	23,969	+1,335	open	—	05-27 16:06
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	12	$32.8K	23,492	23,492	+0	open	—	06-07 16:27
btc updown 5m 1772253000	49	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	02-28 04:36
eth updown 15m 1771805700	13	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	02-23 00:30
btc updown 15m 1771790400	20	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	02-22 20:16
bitcoin up or down march 6 7am et	80	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	03-06 13:53
solana up or down march 11 8pm et	7	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	03-12 01:00
btc updown 5m 1771656000	9	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	02-21 06:45
bitcoin up or down march 9 7am et	6	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	03-09 12:01
btc updown 5m 1771863900	1	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	02-23 16:30
btc updown 5m 1772123700	1	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	02-26 16:41
bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 12pm et	1	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	03-30 17:03
btc updown 5m 1773618000	1	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	03-15 23:45
bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 2am et	1	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	03-16 07:01
btc updown 5m 1772139900	9	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	02-26 21:11
btc updown 5m 1771857600	1	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	02-23 14:45
btc updown 5m 1771777200	1	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	02-22 16:25
sol updown 15m 1772845200	1	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	03-07 01:15
eth updown 15m 1771633800	21	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	02-21 00:46
ethereum up or down february 20 12pm et	18	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	02-20 18:28
btc updown 5m 1773629400	1	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	03-16 02:55
btc updown 5m 1775482500	1	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	04-06 13:40
bitcoin up or down march 1 1pm et	1	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	03-01 20:40
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 5pm et	1	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	03-27 22:02
ethereum up or down march 5 6pm et	1	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	03-06 00:14
btc updown 5m 1775089800	2	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	04-02 00:35
ethereum up or down february 27 4am et	8	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	02-27 10:39
btc updown 15m 1773281700	1	$30.0K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	03-12 02:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 04:26:05	mlb sf ari 2026 06 29	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0xe035ad…
06-29 23:47:41	SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?	No	BUY	1,625	100¢	$1,623	0xc98705…
06-29 23:47:41	SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?	No	BUY	1,750	100¢	$1,748	0x09b788…
06-29 23:47:40	SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xfea205…
06-29 23:47:40	SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x5d08ed…
06-29 23:47:40	SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?	No	BUY	1,750	100¢	$1,748	0x4b602d…
06-29 23:47:38	SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x8e15d9…
06-29 23:47:38	SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x8a606f…
06-29 23:47:38	SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?	No	BUY	875	100¢	$874	0x6c45fe…
06-29 13:00:02	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,980	0x0c36d0…
06-28 20:05:13	bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xb2a3b6…
06-28 20:04:31	bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	7,828	100¢	$7,820	0x8cbb57…
06-28 08:09:28	lol t1 tl2 2026 06 28 game4 any player penta kill	Yes	BUY	23	49¢	$11	0x8f20c6…
06-27 19:26:58	bitcoin up or down june 27 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0xb860d5…
06-25 22:22:55	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 assists florian wirtz gte1	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc8b98d…
06-25 22:22:32	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 assists florian wirtz gte1	Yes	BUY	2,220	100¢	$2,218	0x2fde28…
06-25 03:14:23	fifwc rsa kr 2026 06 24 shots on target lee donggyeong gte1	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x7d5be5…
06-25 03:14:23	fifwc rsa kr 2026 06 24 goals plus assists hwang heechan gte4	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x721365…
06-25 03:14:22	fifwc rsa kr 2026 06 24 saves jo hyeonwoo gte3	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x150998…
06-25 03:13:16	fifwc rsa kr 2026 06 24 saves ricardo goss gte2	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x31b9a3…
06-25 02:00:19	mlb hou tor 2026 06 24 hr christian walker 0pt5	Under	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0b0fd8…
06-23 22:11:28	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 shots on target ollie watkins gte2	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x51650c…
06-23 19:13:22	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 shots on target ruben neves gte3	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xfad48e…
06-23 19:13:22	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 goals plus assists ruben neves gte2	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x933bc9…
06-23 19:12:40	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 goals plus assists goncalo guedes gte1	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xa4c6fc…
06-23 19:12:38	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 goals abbosbek fayzullayev gte2	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x8b5d5d…
06-23 16:00:05	bitcoin up or down june 23 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0x9b2d19…
06-18 04:00:04	sol updown 15m 1781754300	Down	BUY	303	97¢	$295	0x3c6ccb…
06-17 06:17:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 16 2026 20260612160513701	No	BUY	10,000	98¢	$9,764	0x3c3f21…
06-15 06:31:25	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 shots on target alexander bernhardsson gte1	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x17c9d9…
06-14 19:06:16	chi1 cd1 cdl 2026 06 14 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	279	100¢	$279	0x024dc3…
06-14 06:00:57	bitcoin up or down june 14 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	10,000	99¢	$9,900	0x9c00b0…
06-13 06:19:30	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 goals plus assists chris richards gte1	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd4ab1f…
06-12 23:13:19	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 shots on target liam millar gte1	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc82238…
06-11 19:42:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	454	52¢	$236	0x903128…
06-11 19:41:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2,563	52¢	$1,333	0x2d750d…
06-11 19:29:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	47	64¢	$30	0x1c484a…
06-11 19:29:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	16,937	64¢	$10,839	0x5c4e6a…
06-11 17:34:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	139	31¢	$44	0x8e7f08…
06-11 17:34:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	106	31¢	$33	0x4b2c22…
06-11 17:34:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	245	30¢	$74	0x18ccf6…
06-11 17:29:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20,000	73¢	$14,600	0xc6e2f8…
06-11 15:16:25	atp doubles ariaing forcver 2026 06 11 first set winner Arias Ingildsen vs Forcano Vervoort	Forcano/Vervoort	BUY	355	100¢	$355	0xb0231e…
06-11 14:54:48	cs2 mouz lgc 2026 06 11 game1 round total 21pt5	Under	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe22e53…
06-11 12:41:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	310	84¢	$260	0x4c91bf…
06-11 12:31:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	925	84¢	$777	0x6ea87b…
06-11 12:30:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xfc65b7…
06-11 12:29:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	80	84¢	$67	0x482fa6…
06-11 12:27:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x120e8a…
06-11 12:24:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	101	84¢	$85	0x3d5cba…
06-11 12:24:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	595	84¢	$500	0x79d511…
06-11 12:24:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	9,737	84¢	$8,179	0x73d6c3…
06-11 12:23:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	8,230	84¢	$6,914	0x5b3366…
06-11 09:42:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20,000	83¢	$16,600	0x50955d…
06-11 06:01:09	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 10 2026	No	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,984	0xac7b83…
06-10 13:50:24	btc updown 5m 1781099100	Up	BUY	9,000	99¢	$8,910	0x542767…
06-10 13:50:24	btc updown 5m 1781099100	Up	BUY	1,000	99¢	$990	0x0a83fa…
06-10 05:29:01	Will Robert Morin advance from the CA-07 primary election?	No	BUY	407	100¢	$407	0x6ade4c…
06-10 05:28:27	will ryan duckett advance from the ca 37 primary election	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x68b8f8…
06-10 05:28:27	Will Ethan Agarwal advance from the CA-17 primary?	No	BUY	176	100¢	$176	0x11a736…
06-10 02:08:03	mlb sea bal 2026 06 09	Seattle Mariners	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0x6b6594…
06-09 16:40:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	631	80¢	$504	0xcae3aa…
06-09 16:40:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	80¢	$800	0xa6c39b…
06-09 16:40:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	500	80¢	$400	0x881cb7…
06-09 16:40:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	17,869	80¢	$14,296	0xc23e21…
06-09 13:05:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20,000	79¢	$15,800	0x09809a…
06-07 22:49:31	iran closes its airspace by june 22	Yes	BUY	196	100¢	$196	0xb1787b…
06-07 22:49:31	iran closes its airspace by june 22	Yes	BUY	1,100	100¢	$1,099	0x7e211b…
06-07 22:49:31	iran closes its airspace by june 22	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x6f8d44…
06-07 22:49:31	iran closes its airspace by june 22	Yes	BUY	1,100	100¢	$1,099	0x0ad73d…
06-07 19:46:24	val lev1 ge1 2026 06 07 game2 round handicap lev1 4pt5	Global Esports	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe148ae…
06-07 18:43:24	val lev1 ge1 2026 06 07 game1 round handicap ge1 5pt5	Global Esports	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x7f30c0…
06-07 16:27:51	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	20,000	71¢	$14,200	0xb92308…
06-07 06:20:33	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	20,000	70¢	$14,000	0x61f8f9…
06-07 03:00:06	solana up or down june 6 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xfe2f67…
06-06 19:55:13	cs2 pain big5 2026 06 06 game1 round total 24pt5	Under	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x38ea5f…
06-06 15:25:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	3,325	66¢	$2,194	0x715bb6…
06-06 15:24:13	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0xf744d2…
06-06 15:24:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0xa07ae2…
06-06 15:24:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x7145c1…
06-06 15:24:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x245aac…
06-06 15:17:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	73	66¢	$48	0x36fc42…
06-06 14:04:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	3,478	65¢	$2,261	0x7eac54…
06-06 11:40:19	cs2 hs2 atreid 2026 06 03 game1 odd even total rounds	Even	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0xeec8b9…
06-06 09:34:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	13	65¢	$9	0x5da4ee…
06-06 09:34:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x8a0f72…
06-06 09:34:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x4af013…
06-04 18:00:03	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,980	0x8d5bbc…
06-04 12:18:15	dota2 byowlc voodoo 2026 06 03 game1 both teams destroy barracks	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe2109d…
06-02 22:16:16	Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds?	Even	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xa78505…
06-02 18:52:15	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8f55ae…
06-02 18:47:23	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x85b16b…
06-02 18:16:15	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xfefbd2…
06-02 18:09:14	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x9e034a…
06-02 18:03:48	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	159	100¢	$159	0x4d1e01…
06-02 18:03:31	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xff10b1…
06-02 18:01:09	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3ebf60…
06-02 18:00:53	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xba90be…
06-02 11:27:31	atp rocha valle 2026 06 02 first set total 10pt5	Under	BUY	2,576	100¢	$2,573	0xa4ae48…
06-01 16:45:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	1,020	100¢	$1,019	0x593bad…