Wrong-Attendance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$137

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.0%

Resolved

307

Trades

6,238

lifetime

Volume

$40.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-16

last 05-21 13:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 50% +$147

Other

3% 0% $-10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 206 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	5	$429	573	565	+8	open	—	04-13 17:52
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	5	$376	958	904	+54	open	—	04-18 08:26
bitcoin up or down on february 28	23	$315	1,510	1,260	+250	open	—	02-28 14:15
will ethereum reach 2400 in march 2026	3	$308	400	400	+0	open	—	03-13 14:05
ethereum up or down on march 1	22	$299	2,600	2,600	+0	open	—	03-01 14:03
ethereum up or down on february 28	10	$284	1,250	1,250	+0	open	—	02-28 14:00
bitcoin up or down on march 3	26	$282	3,400	1,684	+1,716	open	—	03-03 15:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	2	$263	200	196	+4	open	—	04-13 02:05
bitcoin up or down on march 4	27	$251	2,161	2,161	+0	open	—	03-04 12:07
ethereum up or down on march 8	15	$250	2,500	1,664	+836	open	—	03-08 13:27
btc updown 5m 1774341300	16	$211	222	111	+111	open	—	03-24 08:41
eth updown 15m 1774356300	22	$208	222	222	+0	open	—	03-24 12:50
bitcoin up or down on march 8	8	$197	1,247	1,247	+0	open	—	03-08 15:06
ethereum up or down on march 3	24	$192	2,400	345	+2,055	open	—	03-03 12:56
eth updown 5m 1774350300	17	$182	200	92	+108	open	—	03-24 11:11
msm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 01 2026 0pt84	2	$153	143	143	+0	open	—	04-01 10:42
btc updown 5m 1774344000	24	$137	304	0	+304	open	—	03-24 09:20
eth updown 15m 1775369700	4	$135	161	153	+8	open	—	04-05 06:27
eth updown 5m 1774351800	6	$128	136	68	+68	open	—	03-24 11:36
bitcoin up or down on march 1	12	$126	500	349	+151	open	—	03-01 01:18
btc updown 5m 1774342500	13	$123	274	0	+274	open	—	03-24 08:59
chwy quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 25 2026 0pt28	2	$121	111	111	+0	open	—	03-25 12:02
ethereum up or down on february 27	23	$112	250	250	+0	open	—	02-27 10:12
btc updown 5m 1774341900	5	$111	246	0	+246	open	—	03-24 08:45
btc updown 5m 1774347300	3	$101	224	0	+224	open	—	03-24 10:15
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	1	$100	500	0	+500	open	—	03-19 01:46
bitcoin up or down on march 6	2	$100	500	250	+250	open	—	03-06 13:25
btc updown 5m 1774346700	21	$100	222	0	+222	open	—	03-24 10:05
bitcoin up or down april 5 2026 3am et	10	$98	73	73	+0	open	—	04-05 07:59
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	2	$96	89	89	+0	open	—	05-14 22:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 13:54:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0xcf18aa…
05-21 12:46:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xbc97ec…
05-21 12:08:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x6ca8f0…
05-21 11:30:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf1a2a0…
05-21 10:29:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	46¢	$3	0x344d7f…
05-21 10:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	19	17¢	$3	0x6fef80…
05-21 09:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xe1f3a0…
05-21 09:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xb9e288…
05-21 06:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x72e47c…
05-21 06:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xb5ebfe…
05-20 17:11:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x3ffd0e…
05-20 15:25:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x5146c8…
05-20 14:40:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x689b14…
05-20 13:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20?	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x86e58a…
05-20 13:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	52	7¢	$4	0x582c84…
05-20 13:31:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	32	15¢	$5	0xd92288…
05-20 13:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	52	8¢	$4	0xa005f2…
05-20 09:31:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe47bcd…
05-20 06:25:30	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0x7ea4d9…
05-19 15:58:24	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x47f300…
05-19 15:20:38	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x3ba0d8…
05-19 15:09:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	3	53¢	$1	0xa4e84a…
05-19 15:08:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	15	52¢	$8	0xac4b66…
05-19 15:04:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0x002010…
05-19 11:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	19	38¢	$7	0x78413a…
05-19 11:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x703f53…
05-19 10:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	17	51¢	$9	0x2558ff…
05-19 10:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x28e411…
05-19 10:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x73dff7…
05-19 10:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x0a65eb…
05-19 04:52:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12AM ET	Up	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x5b07d1…
05-19 03:55:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc1f21e…
05-19 03:55:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2cdcc8…
05-19 03:54:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x0f8810…
05-19 03:53:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1ea872…
05-19 02:54:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x280ccb…
05-19 01:37:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xce909d…
05-19 00:55:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xfaf50a…
05-19 00:55:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8PM ET	Up	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xf3736d…
05-19 00:55:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xaec4bd…
05-19 00:50:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x195d43…
05-18 23:36:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xee5bcc…
05-18 22:58:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x79fd13…
05-18 22:58:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6a5a7d…
05-18 21:59:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6e29f6…
05-18 20:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x023346…
05-18 20:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x49db16…
05-18 20:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x37f85b…
05-18 20:34:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x8561ac…
05-18 20:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xb3989b…
05-18 15:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xc44be6…
05-18 15:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x6e5214…
05-18 15:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2048e8…
05-18 15:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0xce14ae…
05-18 15:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb957d7…
05-18 15:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd2d820…
05-18 15:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb547f4…
05-18 15:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1d2cb7…
05-18 15:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x46f69b…
05-18 15:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x9c720b…
05-18 15:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8fd265…
05-18 15:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5c757f…
05-18 15:48:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x6a552c…
05-18 15:36:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	53	29¢	$15	0x6f5926…
05-18 15:19:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xb8aa4a…
05-18 15:00:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x3c0052…
05-18 14:47:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x448f3b…
05-18 14:47:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x60aca3…
05-18 14:47:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x17fe14…
05-18 14:46:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xed1783…
05-18 14:32:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xbe3b70…
05-18 14:03:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x296aa7…
05-18 14:03:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0xc4a8aa…
05-18 13:32:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x763457…
05-18 13:32:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf7bd26…
05-18 13:32:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa4cc9b…
05-18 13:31:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xa9a37e…
05-18 13:26:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xd2aa2c…
05-18 13:05:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x6bce37…
05-18 12:55:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xdab167…
05-18 12:55:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x55c25c…
05-18 12:50:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc2f155…
05-18 12:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	20	98¢	$19	0x1d7a37…
05-18 12:41:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0x9108e8…
05-18 12:40:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xdf8b2a…
05-18 12:40:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa2df9d…
05-18 12:35:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2ebf65…
05-18 12:30:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5ee16c…
05-18 12:16:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x476e65…
05-18 12:04:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xdbf12d…
05-18 12:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x5266d9…
05-18 11:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x246a2a…
05-18 11:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x2de70b…
05-18 11:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x3cb5eb…
05-18 10:43:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	17	16¢	$3	0x572ef6…
05-18 10:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	19	15¢	$3	0xa026c7…
05-18 10:38:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xa749c6…
05-18 10:37:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0xb3d10a…
05-18 10:36:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0xfcfb5d…
05-18 10:23:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x641384…