Ultimate-Soybean — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$40

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.6%

Resolved

904

Trades

1,776

lifetime

Volume

$6.75K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 11-12 09:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 185 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 78% +$34

Other

2% 78% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC	3	$154	107	107	+0	Down	-$46	10-15 02:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9AM ET	4	$133	92	92	+0	Down	+$21	05-19 13:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9PM ET	7	$110	97	94	+2	Up	+$2	05-16 01:50
bitcoin up or down july 12 2026 10pm et	8	$79	69	69	+0	Down	-$1	07-13 02:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1AM ET	2	$72	47	47	+0	Down	+$22	05-17 06:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET	2	$72	47	47	+0	Down	+$22	06-14 02:00
bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 6pm et	4	$71	58	58	+0	Down	+$11	06-05 22:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 1AM ET	2	$70	46	46	+0	Up	+$18	09-15 05:57
bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 3am et	2	$69	44	44	+0	Up	+$19	07-06 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2AM ET	2	$69	45	45	+0	Down	+$19	06-09 06:58
bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 6am et	2	$67	45	45	+0	Up	+$17	07-06 10:22
bnb up or down july 6 2026 6am et	6	$66	45	45	+0	Up	+$17	07-06 10:21
bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 8pm et	10	$61	48	48	+0	Down	+$1	06-21 00:59
bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 9pm et	4	$52	35	35	+0	Down	+$4	06-10 02:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	7	$41	26	26	+0	Down	+$1	09-28 03:27
bitcoin up or down july 14 2026 5am et	8	$38	30	30	+0	Down	-$2	07-14 10:00
bitcoin up or down july 13 2026 4am et	6	$38	35	35	+0	Up	-$2	07-13 08:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11PM ET	2	$37	24	24	+0	Up	+$11	05-18 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10PM ET	2	$36	24	24	+0	Down	+$12	05-19 03:00
bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 12am et	7	$36	41	28	+13	Down	-$1	06-28 04:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9AM ET	2	$35	24	24	+0	Up	+$11	05-26 13:58
bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 8am et	5	$34	22	22	+0	Down	+$0	06-28 13:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3AM ET	2	$33	21	21	+0	Down	+$9	05-20 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1AM ET	7	$30	31	31	+0	Up	+$6	05-06 06:04
bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 4am et	2	$30	21	21	+0	Down	+$6	07-09 08:51
bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 4am et	4	$30	24	24	+0	Up	+$3	06-06 08:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7AM ET	2	$29	19	19	+0	Up	+$9	05-22 12:01
bitcoin up or down july 7 2026 2am et	6	$29	23	23	+0	Up	-$1	07-07 06:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12AM ET	2	$29	19	19	+0	Up	+$9	05-26 04:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10PM ET	8	$28	22	22	+0	Down	+$2	05-16 02:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 09:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x953ad1…
11-11 12:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	78¢	$5	0x608c0a…
11-11 12:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x358697…
11-05 14:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xf40732…
11-05 10:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x369bd0…
11-04 14:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x710cea…
10-31 09:11:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x9dc6ba…
10-31 08:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xe6c679…
10-31 05:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x0c3479…
10-31 05:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xe148e5…
10-31 05:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1AM ET	Up	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x32b600…
10-31 05:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x178749…
10-30 02:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xabc495…
10-29 10:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	8	78¢	$6	0x042d08…
10-29 10:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x9b282c…
10-27 07:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x8235a5…
10-21 05:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x9e40e1…
10-21 02:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x2f4b67…
10-20 12:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x9a614b…
10-20 09:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x3c697e…
10-20 02:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x9c0118…
10-19 07:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x821ced…
10-19 04:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x3ccecc…
10-19 04:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xea3a3d…
10-16 06:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x76bbc9…
10-15 06:49:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x903b2a…
10-15 03:05:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x2b6bc2…
10-15 02:56:07	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	17	55¢	$9	0x399df7…
10-15 02:55:55	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	90	49¢	$44	0x6834ef…
10-15 02:29:20	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0x4dc024…
10-15 02:20:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xaf2104…
10-15 01:26:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 01:15 UTC	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xa4c4d8…
10-15 01:25:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x64a815…
10-12 01:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0xfde533…
10-12 01:24:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xf8a37f…
10-11 09:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	69¢	$5	0x138e0c…
10-11 09:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x7bb6c1…
10-11 08:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0xf58466…
10-11 08:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x7cce42…
10-11 02:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	88¢	$6	0xd53c21…
10-11 02:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x40d311…
10-10 04:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0xe6c5cd…
10-10 04:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xf40665…
10-10 00:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x95e98a…
10-10 00:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x4b682f…
10-09 13:37:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-09 13:30 UTC	Down	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0xbe3f03…
10-09 13:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xd411cb…
10-09 10:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x980c25…
10-08 01:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xa550fb…
10-08 00:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x8c48e1…
10-08 00:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x2cb3c4…
10-07 01:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x3b812e…
10-07 01:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	86¢	$6	0x1b4eea…
10-07 01:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x11b496…
10-05 13:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x443560…
10-05 13:32:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x110cfa…
10-05 05:40:19	bitcoin up or down october 5 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x80299c…
10-04 08:37:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 08:30 UTC	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x66a3e1…
10-04 08:31:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xfa4c15…
10-03 06:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0x385b8c…
10-03 06:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x84acbc…
10-03 06:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x028488…
10-03 06:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x371ce3…
10-03 06:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x77cb5a…
10-03 06:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x68644c…
10-02 12:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x9efa3c…
09-30 15:47:45	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x511da6…
09-30 13:37:44	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xc79e00…
09-30 13:20:32	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x98ce55…
09-30 01:22:15	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x0d2ed2…
09-30 00:46:59	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-30 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x0e4f59…
09-28 03:27:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 03:15 UTC	Down	SELL	12	96¢	$11	0x7462d8…
09-28 03:25:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x06a5d7…
09-28 03:25:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x9cb4bd…
09-28 03:24:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 03:15 UTC	Down	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0xc737f2…
09-28 03:22:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xa54449…
09-28 03:21:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 03:15 UTC	Up	SELL	7	57¢	$4	0x7889ba…
09-28 03:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xba6737…
09-27 14:36:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 14:30 UTC	Up	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0xcbb739…
09-27 14:35:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x830137…
09-27 09:43:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x82a7eb…
09-27 08:28:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 08:15 UTC	Down	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x71a796…
09-27 08:26:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x453924…
09-25 06:10:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa1158d…
09-23 13:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x285057…
09-23 13:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xc12293…
09-23 01:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x8492bf…
09-22 03:08:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 03:05 UTC	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$5	0xcb4d64…
09-22 03:07:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 03:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x880ce9…
09-21 13:52:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xfb84a1…
09-21 13:47:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xebf3e6…
09-20 12:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x63eff7…
09-20 11:34:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x0c60d9…
09-20 02:21:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 02:15 UTC	Down	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0xb0bec9…
09-20 02:18:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x067c83…
09-20 00:29:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0x7d2cef…
09-20 00:27:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x503de6…
09-19 14:10:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x517829…
09-19 12:13:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc5069a…
09-19 11:02:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 11:00 UTC	Up	SELL	18	77¢	$14	0xca5187…