Virtuous-Grandparent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.58K

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

61.6%

Resolved

7,881

Trades

15,516

lifetime

Volume

$36.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$24

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 10-26 00:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 165 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 58% -$1,095

Other

23% 33% -$482

Sports

3% 48% -$15

Politics

1% 61% +$9

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 263 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	+26	$9	45¢	$12	+$3	07-06 19:07
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	+26	$8	30¢	$8	+$0	07-06 19:07
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?	Yes	+26	$1	12¢	$3	+$2	07-06 19:07
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes	+17	$1	6¢	$1	+$0	07-08 22:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 23:40 UTC	8	$83	100	58	+42	Up	+$5	07-04 23:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1PM ET	9	$68	75	45	+30	Up	-$9	05-11 18:58
highest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 23corhigher	9	$62	40	40	+0	No	-$3	04-22 21:07
highest temperature in shanghai on april 23 2026 17c	8	$60	35	35	+0	No	+$1	04-22 21:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 17:45 UTC	6	$60	52	11	+41	Down	+$1	06-29 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	23	$54	55	50	+5	Up	+$10	05-15 02:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 17:35 UTC	7	$53	36	26	+10	Down	+$2	06-29 17:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 17:50 UTC	5	$52	40	26	+13	Down	+$6	06-29 17:53
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-10 04:00 UTC	2	$52	100	0	+100	Up	-$2	08-10 05:03
highest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 20c	8	$50	35	30	+5	No	-$1	04-22 21:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 17:30 UTC	9	$48	63	23	+40	Down	-$2	07-06 17:41
cs2 b8 ice 2026 04 07 game2	3	$47	29	28	+1	B8	+$11	04-07 10:43
highest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 19c	7	$47	25	25	+0	No	$0	04-22 21:07
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 08:00 UTC	6	$45	50	0	+50	Down	-$45	08-10 08:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	8	$44	25	25	+0	Up	+$4	05-25 14:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 17:25 UTC	7	$44	29	29	+0	Up	+$2	06-29 17:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	5	$43	86	0	+86	Down	+$0	05-05 20:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 18:10 UTC	19	$42	26	26	+0	Down	$0	07-01 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	5	$41	29	23	+6	Down	+$3	05-24 23:59
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	19	$41	81	0	+81	Up	-$10	05-13 19:57
will trump say communist or communism during tele rallies 20260729141144279	2	$38	20	20	+0	Yes	+$1	07-29 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	4	$37	43	19	+24	Down	-$5	05-03 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	5	$37	30	24	+6	Down	+$3	05-24 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	8	$36	25	25	+0	Down	-$3	05-25 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	10	$36	24	24	+0	Down	-$3	05-25 15:29
lal mal rea 2026 04 04 mal	2	$35	31	30	+1	Yes	+$26	04-04 16:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	8	$35	26	26	+0	Up	-$3	05-25 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	14	$35	45	25	+20	Up	-$13	05-11 15:09
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	7	$35	1,229	0	+1,229	Down	-$35	04-26 03:42
highest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 27c	8	$35	25	25	+0	No	+$15	04-23 15:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 00:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc9ae3a…
10-22 13:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x01a7b8…
10-22 12:39:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x29b509…
10-22 12:09:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x00a271…
10-22 11:54:15	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x703f07…
10-22 07:39:14	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xffdc6a…
10-22 03:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x05dc6a…
10-22 03:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x0664f3…
10-21 14:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xb177dc…
10-21 13:29:09	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xab983d…
10-21 13:19:03	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xc7f9e6…
10-21 12:59:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x71e01c…
10-21 06:24:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x5f7bdc…
10-21 05:59:23	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xe1c083…
10-21 02:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x6c4311…
10-21 01:19:09	XRP Up or Down - October 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x75b43f…
10-21 00:44:08	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xc09af0…
10-20 20:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x0f9a81…
10-20 18:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x99e2b9…
10-20 10:14:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0xbc9f9a…
10-20 09:04:10	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x65c028…
10-20 07:09:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x3a1d6f…
10-20 06:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xfff041…
10-20 01:49:05	XRP Up or Down - October 19, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x421a19…
10-19 22:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x52b67b…
10-19 21:59:21	XRP Up or Down - October 19, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xd93a3a…
10-19 16:19:18	Solana Up or Down - October 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x759a14…
10-19 12:29:09	XRP Up or Down - October 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x237872…
10-19 12:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x249b7b…
10-19 08:29:11	Solana Up or Down - October 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x2fe1c6…
10-19 08:29:05	Solana Up or Down - October 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x1fec09…
10-19 00:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xa19fc4…
10-18 13:54:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x55d0ea…
10-15 03:49:10	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x6535c0…
10-15 01:44:25	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x6bea31…
10-15 00:59:52	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x52b694…
10-14 23:29:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x0dabd2…
10-14 18:39:04	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x536b08…
10-14 17:44:52	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xa50398…
10-14 16:54:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 16:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x858573…
10-14 15:12:18	Exact Score: LASK Linz 2 - 0 Liverpool FC?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x2936b5…
10-14 15:11:57	Exact Score: LASK Linz 4 - 3 Liverpool FC?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x585297…
10-14 15:11:48	Exact Score: LASK Linz 3 - 5 Liverpool FC?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xee2c3f…
10-14 15:11:24	Exact Score: LASK Linz 2 - 3 Liverpool FC?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xa64403…
10-14 15:11:21	Exact Score: LASK Linz 3 - 2 Liverpool FC?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x6f0216…
10-14 15:11:09	Exact Score: LASK Linz 2 - 4 Liverpool FC?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0xc22ced…
10-14 14:44:04	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xc70b50…
10-14 12:09:08	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xc68186…
10-14 07:44:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xcf54d1…
10-14 07:14:04	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xda80a0…
10-14 05:39:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xc07f6f…
10-14 03:29:22	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x051e81…
10-14 01:59:52	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x7ead8c…
10-13 23:09:04	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xf2c842…
10-13 22:54:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xeedb2e…
10-13 21:14:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xe1c9bf…
10-13 18:14:13	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xfc4caa…
10-13 16:09:13	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x8324ff…
10-13 08:04:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x57ee31…
10-13 06:54:04	XRP Up or Down - October 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x00ebb4…
10-13 01:59:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xefd156…
10-12 20:49:21	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xc246a3…
10-12 18:09:21	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x8058ba…
10-12 18:04:17	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xf4a504…
10-12 17:44:11	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xaff82d…
10-12 17:34:17	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x6f3708…
10-12 16:24:17	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x489719…
10-12 16:19:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x1e2e34…
10-12 15:24:05	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xf3fe03…
10-12 10:39:09	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xcfc802…
10-12 07:29:20	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x025f26…
10-12 01:19:21	XRP Up or Down - October 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xf6e9fa…
10-11 23:14:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x7ed3d7…
10-11 18:29:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x9411e8…
10-11 15:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x2bed88…
10-11 14:59:19	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x181ebb…
10-11 09:39:27	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xbd0d05…
10-11 00:39:25	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x765fd3…
10-10 23:29:30	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x236a87…
10-10 17:34:22	Solana Up or Down - October 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xe062f9…
10-10 16:49:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xe3d112…
10-10 15:44:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x63d3c5…
10-10 11:29:19	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x5627fc…
10-10 06:39:27	Solana Up or Down - October 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x1274ac…
10-09 14:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x2ff5e9…
10-09 07:14:21	XRP Up or Down - October 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x9be9e9…
10-08 16:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x3a4df5…
10-07 20:54:29	Solana Up or Down - October 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x25563c…
10-07 18:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xc28d73…
10-07 15:29:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x6b627a…
10-07 10:14:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xe4f000…
10-07 04:29:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x7511bc…
10-07 03:44:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xccf9b2…
10-07 02:59:24	Solana Up or Down - October 6, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x8d6776…
10-06 20:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x1cd1f1…
10-06 12:09:37	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xf95014…
10-06 11:49:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xe7b6d2…
10-03 17:14:39	Solana Up or Down - October 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x0434cf…
10-03 16:24:29	Solana Up or Down - October 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x846d95…
10-02 22:19:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xa406b0…