Empty-Oat-Trust — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15.6K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.8%

Resolved

4,324

Trades

8,482

lifetime

Volume

$194.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 07-30 04:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 91 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 39% +$15,649

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-30).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	22	$1.1K	1,066	1,066	+0	Down	+$366	05-17 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	8	$989	1,383	1,243	+140	Down	+$239	05-31 21:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	5	$704	997	748	+249	Down	+$614	05-31 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	10	$652	670	609	+61	Down	+$2	05-11 02:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	23	$579	399	399	+0	Down	+$179	05-17 21:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	47	$561	1,273	1,242	+31	Down	+$10	05-16 15:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	5	$550	1,468	0	+1,468	Up	-$550	05-17 21:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	9	$519	2,132	0	+2,132	Up	+$1,146	05-30 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	4	$513	1,403	1,012	+391	Down	+$364	05-16 05:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	5	$505	414	414	+0	Up	+$145	05-19 03:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	7	$485	1,180	0	+1,180	Down	-$485	05-17 21:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	5	$470	1,499	0	+1,499	Up	-$470	05-17 12:14
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 04:05 UTC	6	$434	621	554	+66	Down	+$326	06-20 04:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	2	$431	427	427	+0	Up	+$31	05-16 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	6	$422	706	388	+318	Up	+$400	05-08 04:27
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	7	$415	2,211	0	+2,211	Down	+$1,321	05-07 04:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	7	$410	1,715	0	+1,715	Down	-$410	05-17 19:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	6	$407	318	318	+0	Down	+$137	05-10 01:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	4	$407	350	350	+0	Down	+$172	05-18 06:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	5	$405	429	429	+0	Down	+$125	05-16 14:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	6	$403	2,260	0	+2,260	Down	-$403	05-07 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	3	$402	552	552	+0	Down	+$62	05-31 21:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 20:15 UTC	17	$400	495	495	+0	Down	+$91	07-25 20:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	5	$400	1,023	0	+1,023	Down	-$400	05-30 03:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 02:45 UTC	13	$394	591	528	+63	Down	+$44	06-20 02:56
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	19	$384	249	249	+0	Down	+$44	05-16 17:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	5	$371	451	367	+85	Down	+$237	05-26 04:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 05:45 UTC	5	$365	1,150	503	+647	Down	+$792	07-12 05:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	6	$353	1,248	0	+1,248	Down	-$353	05-30 07:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	6	$347	2,823	0	+2,823	Down	-$347	05-23 05:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-30 04:49:59	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	305	7¢	$20	0xbc5de2…
07-30 04:49:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0xe2fcdf…
07-30 04:44:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	35	87¢	$30	0xd7b6a6…
07-30 04:44:29	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x48c41b…
07-30 04:43:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	258	39¢	$100	0xe4db34…
07-30 04:42:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	115	26¢	$30	0x10d102…
07-30 04:42:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 04:30 UTC	Down	SELL	39	62¢	$24	0xd1c32d…
07-30 04:41:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0xb27871…
07-30 04:40:09	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 04:30 UTC	Up	SELL	209	38¢	$79	0x715a66…
07-30 04:38:18	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	209	38¢	$80	0x95b739…
07-30 04:38:02	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 04:35 UTC	Up	BUY	63	24¢	$15	0xf69b71…
07-30 04:37:51	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 04:35 UTC	Up	BUY	101	40¢	$40	0x5128dd…
07-30 04:37:38	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 04:35 UTC	Up	BUY	194	10¢	$20	0xedeeb2…
07-30 04:30:08	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 04:25 UTC	Down	SELL	136	99¢	$134	0xab8172…
07-30 04:29:47	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 04:25 UTC	Down	BUY	79	32¢	$25	0x5e480e…
07-30 04:29:30	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 04:25 UTC	Down	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0xcfa590…
07-30 04:28:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 04:15 UTC	Down	SELL	121	68¢	$82	0x57b88b…
07-30 04:28:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	121	33¢	$40	0x894f51…
07-30 04:14:45	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 04:10 UTC	Up	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0xe6d588…
07-30 04:13:51	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 04:10 UTC	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xd350a7…
07-30 04:12:44	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 04:10 UTC	Up	SELL	375	8¢	$29	0xdd067e…
07-30 04:12:32	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 04:10 UTC	Up	BUY	78	26¢	$20	0xbbe5c4…
07-30 04:12:17	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 04:10 UTC	Up	BUY	375	8¢	$30	0x8c5a0d…
07-30 04:09:11	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 04:05 UTC	Up	SELL	176	73¢	$130	0x7fc831…
07-30 04:08:53	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 04:05 UTC	Up	BUY	176	17¢	$30	0xbd2c7a…
07-30 03:59:12	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	58	12¢	$7	0x2da3c3…
07-30 03:58:53	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	157	13¢	$20	0x2531fa…
07-30 03:58:41	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	300	10¢	$30	0xdcae52…
07-29 05:48:54	Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	27	64¢	$17	0x3fbc21…
07-29 05:46:32	Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x14275f…
07-29 04:34:21	Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	72	57¢	$41	0xcab752…
07-29 04:33:51	Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	72	41¢	$30	0x8476e4…
07-29 04:33:15	Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	31	70¢	$22	0x5dee2b…
07-29 04:32:53	Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x368a31…
07-29 04:29:32	Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0xd31722…
07-29 04:29:20	Solana Up or Down - July 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	220	14¢	$30	0xab45b0…
07-29 04:29:02	Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x7aec4a…
07-29 04:28:54	Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	55	37¢	$20	0x76ceb7…
07-29 04:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xa7dee3…
07-29 04:09:14	Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xe03150…
07-29 04:03:27	Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x8340b3…
07-29 03:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x9ab663…
07-28 06:18:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x508610…
07-28 06:13:39	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	74	20¢	$15	0x7a4658…
07-28 06:12:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x0cf095…
07-28 06:12:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x14db0e…
07-28 06:09:28	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	18	65¢	$12	0x9a66f6…
07-28 06:09:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	66	61¢	$40	0xb98990…
07-28 06:08:49	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	105	38¢	$40	0x071094…
07-28 06:02:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 06:00 UTC	Down	SELL	42	82¢	$35	0x33f6c1…
07-28 06:02:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0x89529a…
07-28 05:49:54	Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0x03598e…
07-28 05:49:36	Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	51	58¢	$30	0xedd86b…
07-27 07:28:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xb4f621…
07-27 06:13:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 06:10 UTC	Down	SELL	125	22¢	$28	0x21a6ab…
07-27 06:12:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xd6d976…
07-27 06:09:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0xf50683…
07-27 05:54:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 05:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x2d7fc6…
07-27 05:44:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 05:40 UTC	Down	SELL	68	53¢	$36	0x8c416d…
07-27 05:44:34	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	54	33¢	$18	0x9baf68…
07-27 05:44:10	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xef5e9a…
07-27 05:44:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	101	30¢	$30	0x6e10cc…
07-27 05:43:52	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0xafd07b…
07-27 05:34:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 05:30 UTC	Down	SELL	25	93¢	$23	0x3a5462…
07-27 05:33:54	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x4e7763…
07-27 04:13:55	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 04:10 UTC	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xcd89ed…
07-27 04:12:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 04:00 UTC	Up	SELL	68	36¢	$25	0xe84c8a…
07-27 04:11:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	68	30¢	$20	0xd75bd3…
07-27 03:44:16	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 03:40 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe83a8c…
07-27 03:43:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xca2b14…
07-27 03:24:39	Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	18	29¢	$5	0xd0110d…
07-27 03:23:33	Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x98a3d0…
07-27 03:19:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	68	22¢	$15	0x19e448…
07-27 03:18:49	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	119	25¢	$30	0xe822be…
07-27 03:18:31	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0x341bfb…
07-27 03:13:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x333fd8…
07-27 03:13:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	65	23¢	$15	0x0dc81a…
07-27 03:05:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 03:00 UTC	Down	SELL	140	50¢	$70	0x35dc56…
07-27 03:04:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	140	43¢	$60	0x2b4935…
07-27 02:58:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0xf406fd…
07-27 02:19:54	Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	27	36¢	$10	0x1695c7…
07-27 02:17:25	Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0x77031b…
07-27 02:13:54	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x671d0a…
07-27 02:11:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	57	70¢	$40	0x6a9abd…
07-27 01:28:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	47	63¢	$30	0x5ad844…
07-27 01:28:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	115	26¢	$30	0xc0f1de…
07-26 18:29:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	108	37¢	$40	0xea72a0…
07-26 18:28:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0x074908…
07-26 17:59:28	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	311	19¢	$60	0xd31993…
07-26 17:59:01	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	90	17¢	$15	0x5be29b…
07-26 17:58:16	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	136	11¢	$15	0x3ddf8c…
07-26 13:32:55	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x2f1a19…
07-26 13:14:48	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	43	12¢	$5	0x6b2ecf…
07-26 13:14:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x590e65…
07-26 12:39:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 12:35 UTC	Down	SELL	37	95¢	$35	0x0f1202…
07-26 12:39:00	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x33c211…
07-26 08:29:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	119	4¢	$5	0x75e0de…
07-26 08:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x81fb4b…
07-26 07:59:28	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xe408d5…
07-26 07:43:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	95	63¢	$60	0xfe4810…