Stimulating-Capacity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.9%

Resolved

430

Trades

832

lifetime

Volume

$11.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 10-19 15:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 122 days

Categories

Other

75% 81% +$3

Crypto

19% 87% +$1

Politics

5% 67% $0

Tech

1% 75% +$0

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 87°F or below on July 25?	7	$98	49	49	+0	No	+$0	07-25 06:12
ethereum above 1700 on july 25 2026	4	$93	46	46	+0	Yes	+$0	07-25 10:48
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	4	$85	42	42	+0	No	+$0	07-28 12:10
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on July 23?	5	$83	42	42	+0	No	$0	07-22 17:57
Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?	5	$73	37	37	+0	No	+$0	05-27 19:15
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C or higher on July 20?	4	$71	36	36	+0	No	+$0	07-20 20:22
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on July 20?	2	$69	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-19 16:01
bitcoin above 60k on july 23 2026	2	$68	34	34	+0	Yes	+$0	07-23 02:14
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 19?	2	$67	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-19 02:56
Will MrBeast's next video get between 32 and 33 million views on day 5?	2	$67	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-30 12:48
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on July 30?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-29 07:37
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 22?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-21 23:27
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 20?	4	$65	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-19 21:30
will wti dip to 45 by june 22 2026	2	$65	32	32	+0	No	$0	06-26 13:32
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C or below on July 24?	3	$65	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-23 07:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 13?	2	$64	32	32	+0	Yes	$0	10-13 09:19
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 27?	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-26 19:30
will bitcoin reach 70k on july 20	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-20 20:20
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C or below on July 18?	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-17 11:14
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on July 26?	3	$64	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-25 14:30
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 71°F or below on July 28?	3	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-28 07:00
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 73°F or below on July 29?	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-29 20:10
ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	4	$62	31	31	+0	Yes	$0	07-27 04:52
bitcoin above 60k on july 25 2026	2	$61	30	30	+0	Yes	+$0	07-25 05:12
ethereum above 2200 on july 21 2026	2	$61	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-20 09:10
will bitcoin reach 68k on july 23	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-23 22:11
will bitcoin reach 68k on july 20	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-20 22:59
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on July 21?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-21 18:51
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on July 22?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-21 15:01
highest temperature in atlanta on april 18 2026 76 77f	3	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	04-18 17:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 15:51:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 20?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x8eb5e6…
10-18 17:21:38	Will "Whalefall" score at least 78 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xfa3da0…
10-16 10:41:40	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on October 16?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x4b4283…
10-13 09:19:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 13?	Yes	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x82052a…
10-13 08:33:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x297181…
10-12 16:43:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 13?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x48bd7f…
10-12 09:23:55	Will the price of Solana be above $120 on October 12?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0xb9b252…
10-12 08:09:08	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 13?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb73e02…
10-12 00:34:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 12?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x2b68e3…
10-12 00:30:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 12?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x409667…
10-11 21:04:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4251b2…
10-11 07:37:12	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 10?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x2f076a…
10-10 09:45:34	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 10?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe25ced…
10-07 19:09:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x033731…
10-05 12:39:47	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 6?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x21e959…
10-02 01:33:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x3f3d1e…
10-01 22:03:54	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on October 2?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xceb0fc…
10-01 05:58:44	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 1?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xaceea0…
09-28 02:04:26	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x412aaa…
09-27 19:51:11	will bitcoin reach 90k september 21 27 2026	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x04de6b…
09-23 20:24:52	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 89°F or below on September 24?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x0ce4b2…
09-23 04:48:29	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 23?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x84086d…
09-22 21:25:28	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 23?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x5f73af…
09-22 17:33:19	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb0800b…
09-22 14:01:31	Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x74e6c2…
09-21 23:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C or higher on September 22?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x909087…
09-18 22:19:30	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 18?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x0dc2c8…
09-17 16:19:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on September 18?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x0027af…
09-13 03:35:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C or higher on September 13?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xacc5ac…
09-11 18:34:49	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on September 11?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x4c0e46…
09-11 03:05:10	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on September 11?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf19b83…
09-10 20:00:58	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on September 11?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x9567ca…
09-07 17:34:39	Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.80 on September 8?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x5941b0…
09-06 21:31:57	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xf59193…
09-06 06:23:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on September 6?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$29	0x12658f…
09-06 01:21:06	Will Grüne win less than 3% of all valid second votes?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7ad3d4…
09-05 08:11:51	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 5?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd74d2c…
09-05 04:41:16	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 5?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$29	0x0bb55d…
09-04 22:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on September 5?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc53e7d…
09-04 14:18:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of August 31 2026?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x5d8df0…
09-04 11:55:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or below on September 5?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xe65e49…
09-04 04:29:37	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C or below on September 4?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x82d2bc…
09-03 22:18:16	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C on September 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x199115…
09-03 05:34:16	Will a 6.0+ earthquake occur in Mexico by August 31?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xf823df…
09-03 00:55:10	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 3?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x365717…
09-02 19:59:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 3?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x857e0c…
09-02 12:29:25	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x85b4a7…
09-02 08:03:57	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 84°F or higher on September 2?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x2da105…
09-01 10:15:45	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on September 1?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x99be87…
09-01 01:25:39	Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in August 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xd255ce…
08-31 05:48:54	bitcoin above 84k on august 31 2026	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xa42129…
08-31 02:08:45	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xfdf26c…
08-30 17:00:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x4440e4…
08-30 16:39:25	Will Tropical Storm Saudel peak as a "Violent Typhoon"?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0x8b119c…
08-30 00:52:43	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xe65cc4…
08-29 17:33:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on August 30?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x9e10e5…
08-29 15:17:54	bitcoin above 84k on august 30 2026	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x0aac3e…
08-29 07:28:48	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 37°C on August 29?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x52244d…
08-28 08:44:27	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 28?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3a91cd…
08-27 11:53:27	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x16e66b…
08-27 07:38:22	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0x8baea1…
08-26 23:20:15	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0x42d47b…
08-26 20:02:13	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on August 27?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xf2de58…
08-26 17:51:51	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on August 27?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xb7d349…
08-26 10:56:30	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on August 27?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9ab68e…
08-25 11:59:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x19c11b…
08-25 04:48:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xabcfe3…
08-25 01:38:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 25?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x18d208…
08-24 15:13:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb44a0c…
08-24 13:07:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 25?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x1e7ea2…
08-24 09:34:21	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on August 24?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0x904163…
08-23 21:16:52	Will Baytaq win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x60b8f0…
08-14 17:36:25	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on August 15?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xbc38a1…
08-14 08:37:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on August 15?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x272cb0…
08-13 18:04:34	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x87b5d1…
08-13 16:08:58	Will "This & That" - Stray Kids first week album sales be between 240k and 280k?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x0b7659…
08-13 09:04:55	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on August 13?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x09a4de…
08-13 07:14:24	bitcoin above 66k on august 13 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xfb65a2…
08-12 20:59:30	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9d5ff3…
08-12 08:47:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 13?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$29	0x376bb9…
08-12 03:48:39	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C or below on August 13?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x35a25b…
08-12 01:18:31	bitcoin above 60k on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x4a0c70…
08-11 21:48:06	bitcoin above 60k on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xfc1e47…
08-11 12:36:46	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on August 11?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x9771e5…
08-10 21:46:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C or higher on August 11?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1730c5…
08-10 20:12:46	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe5668f…
08-10 12:52:45	wti closes above 73 on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe50f96…
08-10 10:56:40	ethereum above 2100 on august 11 2026	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x3e6c71…
08-09 18:17:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C or below on August 10?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xdc970e…
08-09 18:05:57	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 10 20260807213124699	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xda7c30…
08-09 05:30:58	bitcoin above 62k on august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9b056a…
08-09 01:34:42	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on August 9?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x701e24…
08-08 17:49:00	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 9?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x7047ce…
08-08 06:24:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 8?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$26	0xa6a6fb…
08-08 02:06:18	will bitcoin reach 66k on august 7	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xd8c43b…
08-07 20:57:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 8?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xd18346…
08-07 18:05:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 8?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xda4224…
08-07 10:31:15	ethereum above 1700 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xc7faae…
08-07 10:13:01	will spy dip to 730 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x11b515…
08-06 07:15:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or below on August 7?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb70428…