Stimulating-Capacity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.7%

Resolved

Trades

216

lifetime

Volume

$2.98K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 08-10 12:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 80% +$0

Other

45% 100% +$0

Politics

4% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 1700 on july 25 2026	4	$93	46	46	+0	open	—	07-25 10:48
bitcoin above 60k on july 23 2026	2	$68	34	34	+0	open	—	07-23 02:14
will wti dip to 45 by june 22 2026	2	$65	32	32	+0	open	—	06-26 13:32
will bitcoin reach 70k on july 20	2	$64	32	32	+0	open	—	07-20 20:20
ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	4	$62	31	31	+0	open	—	07-27 04:52
bitcoin above 60k on july 25 2026	2	$61	30	30	+0	open	—	07-25 05:12
ethereum above 2200 on july 21 2026	2	$61	30	30	+0	open	—	07-20 09:10
will bitcoin reach 68k on july 23	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	07-23 22:11
highest temperature in atlanta on april 18 2026 76 77f	3	$55	28	28	+0	open	—	04-18 17:17
uptspt x russia nuclear deal by july 31 20260626165517058	6	$55	28	28	+0	open	—	07-30 14:34
will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	3	$54	27	27	+0	open	—	07-31 02:01
israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	4	$47	24	24	+0	open	—	07-30 08:05
ethereum above 1700 on july 28 2026	2	$46	23	23	+0	open	—	07-27 07:43
bitcoin above 58k on july 20 2026	2	$46	23	23	+0	open	—	07-19 21:28
highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 17c	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	04-21 07:31
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 22 2026 24c	2	$39	19	19	+0	open	—	04-22 16:03
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 17 2026 28c	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	04-17 16:57
highest temperature in helsinki on april 23 2026 6c	2	$37	38	0	+38	open	—	04-23 02:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 3?	2	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	05-02 20:20
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 17	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	04-17 16:59
highest temperature in kuala lumpur on april 20 2026 27c	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	04-19 19:53
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	2	$35	17	17	+0	open	—	05-29 22:32
will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 30 2026	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	07-27 12:35
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	05-01 00:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	2	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	05-18 15:02
will spy dip to 730 by august 3 2026	1	$33	33	0	+33	open	—	08-07 10:13
highest temperature in moscow on april 15 2026 18corhigher	6	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	04-15 17:12
will the price of solana be between 60 70 on april 21	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	04-20 19:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	05-28 12:45
Will Nikolai Denkov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	04-19 04:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 12:52:45	wti closes above 73 on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe50f96…
08-10 10:56:40	ethereum above 2100 on august 11 2026	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x3e6c71…
08-09 18:05:57	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 10 20260807213124699	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xda7c30…
08-09 05:30:58	bitcoin above 62k on august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9b056a…
08-08 02:06:18	will bitcoin reach 66k on august 7	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xd8c43b…
08-07 10:31:15	ethereum above 1700 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xc7faae…
08-07 10:13:01	will spy dip to 730 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x11b515…
08-01 01:08:17	will russia capture all of drobysheve by july 31	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xf164e8…
07-31 02:01:32	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x36e963…
07-31 01:18:30	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x79ae69…
07-31 00:45:27	xrp above 1pt3 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x372589…
07-30 20:21:33	will russia capture all of drobysheve by july 31	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x16f806…
07-30 17:28:44	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x0a7618…
07-30 14:34:39	uptspt x russia nuclear deal by july 31 20260626165517058	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xe428a6…
07-30 13:56:33	uptspt x russia nuclear deal by july 31 20260626165517058	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xe78336…
07-30 12:51:51	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x7879f2…
07-30 11:56:18	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xffe740…
07-30 08:57:24	uptspt x russia nuclear deal by july 31 20260626165517058	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0c6baf…
07-30 08:05:03	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4b660d…
07-30 06:07:17	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x5bda86…
07-30 06:06:41	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x0f90c2…
07-30 05:01:20	uptspt x russia nuclear deal by july 31 20260626165517058	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x1bc06b…
07-30 01:56:09	uptspt x russia nuclear deal by july 31 20260626165517058	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x13413c…
07-30 01:13:51	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x7bbaf4…
07-29 19:46:53	uptspt x russia nuclear deal by july 31 20260626165517058	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xe9bbb4…
07-27 19:18:28	bitcoin above 70k on july 28 2026	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xaf037c…
07-27 13:39:43	bitcoin above 70k on july 28 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0x8e44e9…
07-27 12:35:25	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 30 2026	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x3e7da4…
07-27 07:43:25	ethereum above 1700 on july 28 2026	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x2d5bae…
07-27 05:06:49	ethereum above 1700 on july 28 2026	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xf464ed…
07-27 04:52:37	ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$15	0xb0d194…
07-27 04:06:36	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 30 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xa197e3…
07-26 22:04:36	ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0x066e83…
07-26 19:54:28	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 20 26 2026	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xae3f36…
07-26 19:43:13	ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xc23113…
07-26 18:31:45	ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x057b18…
07-26 14:34:13	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x1fb0f7…
07-25 10:48:28	ethereum above 1700 on july 25 2026	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x3b8c4b…
07-25 10:43:31	ethereum above 1700 on july 25 2026	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xfaf67a…
07-25 07:30:25	ethereum above 1700 on july 25 2026	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xcc5223…
07-25 06:17:31	solana above 80 on july 25 2026	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xfe0301…
07-25 05:12:16	bitcoin above 60k on july 25 2026	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xae802f…
07-25 04:56:21	solana above 80 on july 25 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0fefbd…
07-25 01:21:10	bitcoin above 60k on july 25 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x0867b7…
07-24 20:25:00	ethereum above 1700 on july 25 2026	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x6f3f04…
07-24 13:35:40	bitcoin above 66k on july 24 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xcf5a7a…
07-24 03:24:54	will amzn reach 272 by july 20 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x2621d0…
07-23 23:26:33	will amzn reach 272 by july 20 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xfb012b…
07-23 22:11:45	will bitcoin reach 68k on july 23	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x8700a9…
07-23 22:06:30	will amzn reach 272 by july 20 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc4168b…
07-23 18:43:04	will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 23	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xff2b3f…
07-23 17:26:04	will bitcoin reach 68k on july 23	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x17852e…
07-23 02:14:37	bitcoin above 60k on july 23 2026	Yes	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x2e25bb…
07-22 22:01:43	bitcoin above 60k on july 23 2026	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x8b2cca…
07-21 15:03:46	bitcoin above 60k on july 22 2026	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xf0508e…
07-20 22:23:31	will bitcoin reach 68k on july 20	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x77fdb1…
07-20 20:20:40	will bitcoin reach 70k on july 20	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x7ff6e6…
07-20 19:16:09	will bitcoin reach 70k on july 20	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x6bd065…
07-20 09:10:40	ethereum above 2200 on july 21 2026	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xf0eaf3…
07-20 04:05:34	ethereum above 2200 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf6a6a3…
07-19 21:28:57	bitcoin above 58k on july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xc877a0…
07-19 20:50:57	bitcoin above 58k on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xe28e1c…
07-10 13:52:17	ethereum above 1700 on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$29	0x9c2f81…
07-08 21:54:13	will bitcoin dip to 58k on july 8	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x88d4fd…
06-26 16:11:11	will nvda reach 224 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x6f08df…
06-26 13:32:10	will wti dip to 45 by june 22 2026	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xa7b545…
06-26 12:55:01	will wti dip to 45 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xc1607e…
06-08 19:41:34	ethereum above 1400 on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x69d437…
06-08 02:09:15	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4313a2…
06-03 13:55:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7321a7…
06-03 12:03:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$11	0x32ea75…
06-03 02:04:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x71cce5…
06-01 01:37:15	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x7c2bbf…
05-30 23:14:56	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x44b66d…
05-30 22:02:11	Netanyahu out by May 31?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x2c7efc…
05-30 13:43:26	Netanyahu out by May 31?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x84970f…
05-29 22:32:13	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x342692…
05-29 18:12:15	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe3cbd4…
05-28 12:45:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xcd8c7e…
05-28 07:13:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7eb3c5…
05-28 04:17:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x1f0c3e…
05-28 04:01:13	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 27?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xa2199b…
05-27 20:09:39	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xf3cc59…
05-26 13:27:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x37a341…
05-26 06:48:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0x0bcc41…
05-25 05:18:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x284210…
05-22 06:28:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xee6a54…
05-21 19:51:06	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $680 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x1cc714…
05-21 07:47:00	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $680 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x131a5c…
05-19 19:43:55	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x00d678…
05-19 04:18:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6e45a9…
05-18 15:02:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x673441…
05-18 03:27:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x69ea5a…
05-17 00:57:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 17?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x027682…
05-16 18:54:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 17?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x10956d…
05-16 18:06:48	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 16?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$7	0xc273a7…
05-16 17:53:16	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xb50719…
05-12 11:59:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x5caaef…
05-12 07:12:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x718050…
05-09 17:51:33	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5b98cd…