Stimulating-Capacity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.7%

Resolved

Trades

161

lifetime

Volume

$2.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 07-20 22:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

53% 100% +$0

Crypto

41% 80% +$0

Politics

4% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti dip to 45 by june 22 2026	2	$65	32	32	+0	open	—	06-26 13:32
will bitcoin reach 70k on july 20	2	$64	32	32	+0	open	—	07-20 20:20
ethereum above 2200 on july 21 2026	2	$61	30	30	+0	open	—	07-20 09:10
highest temperature in atlanta on april 18 2026 76 77f	3	$55	28	28	+0	open	—	04-18 17:17
bitcoin above 58k on july 20 2026	2	$46	23	23	+0	open	—	07-19 21:28
highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 17c	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	04-21 07:31
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 22 2026 24c	2	$39	19	19	+0	open	—	04-22 16:03
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 17 2026 28c	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	04-17 16:57
highest temperature in helsinki on april 23 2026 6c	2	$37	38	0	+38	open	—	04-23 02:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 3?	2	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	05-02 20:20
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 17	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	04-17 16:59
highest temperature in kuala lumpur on april 20 2026 27c	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	04-19 19:53
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	2	$35	17	17	+0	open	—	05-29 22:32
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	05-01 00:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	2	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	05-18 15:02
highest temperature in moscow on april 15 2026 18corhigher	6	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	04-15 17:12
will the price of solana be between 60 70 on april 21	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	04-20 19:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	05-28 12:45
Will Nikolai Denkov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	04-19 04:11
highest temperature in nyc on april 19 2026 66forhigher	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	04-19 19:47
ethereum above 1700 on july 10 2026	1	$29	30	0	+30	open	—	07-10 13:52
will bitcoin reach 68k on july 20	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	07-20 22:23
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $680 Week of May 18 2026?	2	$28	14	14	+0	open	—	05-21 19:51
Netanyahu out by May 31?	2	$28	14	14	+0	open	—	05-30 22:02
ethereum above 2100 on april 22	2	$27	14	14	+0	open	—	04-22 16:04
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?	2	$27	14	14	+0	No	+$0	05-12 11:59
highest temperature in san francisco on april 19 2026 56 57f	3	$27	13	13	+0	open	—	04-19 06:26
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 2?	2	$26	13	13	+0	open	—	05-02 06:33
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 27?	2	$25	13	13	+0	open	—	05-28 04:01
highest temperature in mexico city on april 19 2026 22c	2	$25	13	13	+0	open	—	04-19 18:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 15:03:46	bitcoin above 60k on july 22 2026	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xf0508e…
07-20 22:23:31	will bitcoin reach 68k on july 20	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x77fdb1…
07-20 20:20:40	will bitcoin reach 70k on july 20	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x7ff6e6…
07-20 19:16:09	will bitcoin reach 70k on july 20	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x6bd065…
07-20 09:10:40	ethereum above 2200 on july 21 2026	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xf0eaf3…
07-20 04:05:34	ethereum above 2200 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf6a6a3…
07-19 21:28:57	bitcoin above 58k on july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xc877a0…
07-19 20:50:57	bitcoin above 58k on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xe28e1c…
07-10 13:52:17	ethereum above 1700 on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$29	0x9c2f81…
07-08 21:54:13	will bitcoin dip to 58k on july 8	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x88d4fd…
06-26 16:11:11	will nvda reach 224 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x6f08df…
06-26 13:32:10	will wti dip to 45 by june 22 2026	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xa7b545…
06-26 12:55:01	will wti dip to 45 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xc1607e…
06-08 19:41:34	ethereum above 1400 on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x69d437…
06-08 02:09:15	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4313a2…
06-03 13:55:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7321a7…
06-03 12:03:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$11	0x32ea75…
06-03 02:04:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x71cce5…
06-01 01:37:15	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x7c2bbf…
05-30 23:14:56	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x44b66d…
05-30 22:02:11	Netanyahu out by May 31?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x2c7efc…
05-30 13:43:26	Netanyahu out by May 31?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x84970f…
05-29 22:32:13	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x342692…
05-29 18:12:15	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe3cbd4…
05-28 12:45:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xcd8c7e…
05-28 07:13:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7eb3c5…
05-28 04:17:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x1f0c3e…
05-28 04:01:13	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 27?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xa2199b…
05-27 20:09:39	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xf3cc59…
05-26 13:27:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x37a341…
05-26 06:48:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0x0bcc41…
05-25 05:18:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x284210…
05-22 06:28:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xee6a54…
05-21 19:51:06	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $680 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x1cc714…
05-21 07:47:00	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $680 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x131a5c…
05-19 19:43:55	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x00d678…
05-19 04:18:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6e45a9…
05-18 15:02:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x673441…
05-18 03:27:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x69ea5a…
05-17 00:57:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 17?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x027682…
05-16 18:54:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 17?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x10956d…
05-16 18:06:48	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 16?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$7	0xc273a7…
05-16 17:53:16	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xb50719…
05-12 11:59:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x5caaef…
05-12 07:12:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x718050…
05-09 17:51:33	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5b98cd…
05-09 14:34:11	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x682043…
05-08 14:36:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 8?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xafe409…
05-07 16:18:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 8?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0x786173…
05-07 05:14:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 7?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xc828bd…
05-07 04:36:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 7?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x72e73b…
05-06 15:02:52	Will the price of Solana be above $110 on May 7?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb69a78…
05-06 12:55:20	Will the price of Solana be above $110 on May 7?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0xa4602a…
05-02 20:20:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 3?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x2f901f…
05-02 08:45:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x6f36f8…
05-02 07:05:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 2?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe35895…
05-02 06:33:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 2?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x10619c…
05-02 01:11:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 2?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x861538…
05-01 22:08:50	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4a45d2…
05-01 18:05:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9d667d…
05-01 00:40:14	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x1d1d06…
04-30 12:17:26	Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xc523ff…
04-29 16:45:40	Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x768938…
04-29 12:59:32	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x8b835a…
04-27 14:58:20	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C on April 28?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x662533…
04-27 11:49:36	Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xbc83d6…
04-26 13:31:42	Will "Michael" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x5205eb…
04-26 12:04:38	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa2a0f6…
04-26 09:11:36	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 26?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd2aa3c…
04-25 04:09:44	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 47°C on April 25?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x05f1c3…
04-25 02:00:46	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on April 25?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe2ae3a…
04-24 21:43:04	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on April 25?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xaac497…
04-24 14:20:40	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 24	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x758207…
04-24 12:45:16	Will the price of Solana be above $70 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x781917…
04-24 11:32:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on April 25?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xaa3866…
04-24 08:37:34	highest temperature in tokyo on april 24 2026 19c	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xc84a92…
04-24 07:30:16	highest temperature in chongqing on april 24 2026 31c	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x3ac08f…
04-23 19:34:06	will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on april 23	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x6e541f…
04-23 17:31:46	highest temperature in beijing on april 24 2026 22corbelow	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x60d735…
04-23 14:40:28	highest temperature in chongqing on april 24 2026 31c	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xd1d3c6…
04-23 07:55:42	highest temperature in warsaw on april 23 2026 14c	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xcf2271…
04-23 02:15:28	highest temperature in helsinki on april 23 2026 6c	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x8bcb3e…
04-23 00:01:16	will the price of solana be between 100 110 on april 23	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf0b7cc…
04-22 21:48:16	highest temperature in helsinki on april 23 2026 6c	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x21046f…
04-22 19:18:24	highest temperature in manila on april 23 2026 29corbelow	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbd8f5d…
04-22 18:05:28	will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on april 23	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9a7c73…
04-22 16:04:48	ethereum above 2100 on april 22	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xe727b7…
04-22 16:03:32	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 22 2026 24c	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x0b6d9c…
04-22 09:35:00	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 22 2026 24c	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x4535d7…
04-22 03:17:50	highest temperature in lucknow on april 22 2026 38corbelow	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xffcf3c…
04-22 02:49:00	ethereum above 2100 on april 22	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x2e9ee0…
04-22 01:29:30	highest temperature in chicago on april 22 2026 50forhigher	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xcd8ebe…
04-22 01:01:48	highest temperature in miami on april 22 2026 68 69f	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x7dd092…
04-21 23:33:04	highest temperature in lucknow on april 22 2026 44c	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x11f10c…
04-21 23:33:00	highest temperature in lucknow on april 22 2026 44c	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x9a5e37…
04-21 23:05:22	highest temperature in chicago on april 22 2026 50forhigher	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1db000…
04-21 15:24:46	highest temperature in miami on april 22 2026 68 69f	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6892cb…
04-21 11:43:44	highest temperature in lucknow on april 22 2026 44c	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa4d89f…
04-21 07:33:14	highest temperature in lagos on april 21 2026 38corhigher	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x94372d…
04-21 07:31:28	highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 17c	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x132555…