Wretched-Tanker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21.4K

Unrealized P&L

-$98

Hit rate

59.6%

Resolved

2,147

Trades

5,038

lifetime

Volume

$1.32M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$261

Open exposure

$277

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-04 13:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 147 days

Categories

Other

59% 68% -$9,468

Politics

21% 62% -$11,999

Crypto

16% 81% +$98

Tech

4% 70% -$80

Sports

1% 60% +$23

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-04).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?	Yes		-1,525	-$189	18¢	$-274	-$86	06-21 00:17
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes		+39	$14	7¢	$3	-$12	06-21 00:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	149	$59.0K	77,703	89,503	-11,800	Yes	-$10,113	02-24 16:06
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	70	$50.2K	27,446	32,445	-5,000	No	+$78	01-27 14:47
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	60	$37.5K	26,494	26,307	+187	No	-$2	01-24 12:55
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	25	$23.9K	15,100	15,100	+0	No	-$271	01-30 15:23
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	32	$20.8K	16,160	16,160	+0	Yes	-$142	03-31 11:26
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	52	$19.4K	10,325	9,957	+369	Yes	+$23	01-22 13:01
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by January 31, 2026?	34	$16.4K	8,449	8,449	+0	No	-$36	01-29 12:23
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 200 219	21	$15.2K	7,656	7,656	+0	No	-$40	02-16 16:03
will silver si hit low 40 by end of february 776 791 516 257 572 135 547 179	34	$14.5K	7,428	7,428	+0	No	-$67	02-16 16:27
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	27	$13.5K	12,629	12,629	+0	No	-$2	02-20 20:49
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 160 179	10	$12.7K	6,380	6,380	+0	No	+$7	02-15 11:23
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	32	$12.1K	6,210	6,210	+0	No	-$51	03-03 03:59
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	27	$12.1K	6,304	6,304	+0	Yes	-$6	03-24 15:29
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	26	$12.0K	6,361	6,197	+164	No	+$18	01-20 00:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	41	$10.1K	18,007	18,007	+0	No	+$17	04-21 22:26
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 300 319	17	$9.4K	4,700	4,700	+0	No	+$14	02-11 12:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	14	$9.3K	6,300	6,300	+0	Yes	+$163	05-28 14:49
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	45	$9.0K	29,945	29,945	+0	No	-$609	04-20 23:29
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	41	$8.6K	12,356	12,356	+0	No	-$638	04-20 14:21
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 400 419	33	$8.5K	4,352	4,347	+5	No	+$34	04-04 10:08
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 140 159	117	$8.5K	4,271	4,271	+0	No	+$4	02-11 10:14
will solana reach 150 in january 2026	28	$8.0K	4,000	4,000	+0	No	+$4	01-30 23:12
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	24	$7.5K	9,021	9,021	+0	No	-$14	03-23 10:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	33	$7.5K	7,661	10,661	-3,000	No	-$366	05-10 23:31
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	7	$7.2K	3,630	3,630	+0	No	-$4	03-31 00:00
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 40 59	2	$7.0K	3,500	3,500	+0	No	+$1	03-01 19:30
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 520 539	5	$6.9K	3,460	3,460	+0	No	-$4	03-23 15:36
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	47	$6.8K	3,607	3,607	+0	Yes	-$126	02-18 14:50
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 120 139	3	$6.6K	3,311	3,311	+0	No	+$4	02-09 06:36
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 500 519	5	$6.6K	3,305	3,305	+0	No	-$10	03-14 12:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 13:31:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	1,557	21¢	$327	0xd9c916…
07-04 13:27:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	13	21¢	$3	0x750759…
07-04 13:23:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	68	21¢	$14	0x66cc21…
07-04 13:18:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0x34161d…
07-04 13:15:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	7	21¢	$1	0x332e50…
07-04 13:15:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	29	21¢	$6	0x28df9c…
07-04 13:06:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	1,318	21¢	$277	0x538f4d…
07-04 13:04:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	24	21¢	$5	0xb25d4d…
07-04 12:50:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	7	21¢	$1	0x4f942b…
07-04 12:50:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	21	21¢	$4	0xd81393…
07-04 12:49:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	7	21¢	$1	0x093061…
07-04 12:47:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	200	21¢	$42	0xacb9df…
07-04 12:47:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	76	21¢	$16	0x6f9d5f…
07-04 12:47:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	3,388	21¢	$712	0x2a681c…
06-30 17:55:32	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171	Yes	BUY	348	65¢	$226	0xdc9eff…
06-30 16:41:28	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171	Yes	BUY	552	65¢	$359	0x69ced6…
06-30 12:22:07	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	2,265	4¢	$91	0x523eea…
06-30 12:21:43	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,100	11¢	$122	0x3895bf…
06-26 16:25:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	152	34¢	$52	0xc8a244…
06-26 16:23:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xa3746c…
06-26 16:22:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xab70b2…
06-26 16:22:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	230	34¢	$78	0x4b2563…
06-22 10:18:47	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,100	14¢	$153	0x79e140…
06-22 10:13:46	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	2,000	25¢	$500	0x13d4fd…
06-21 11:25:41	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	230	2¢	$5	0xaebdd7…
06-21 02:02:26	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	SELL	2,470	14¢	$346	0x9236a4…
06-21 00:29:08	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xfba171…
06-21 00:29:07	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x3b5315…
06-21 00:29:07	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x380531…
06-21 00:29:05	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xdb4e00…
06-21 00:29:05	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xa12343…
06-21 00:29:05	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x6b25d6…
06-21 00:29:04	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xa15f33…
06-21 00:29:02	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xf53d05…
06-21 00:29:02	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x9ec855…
06-21 00:29:01	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xadb4bc…
06-21 00:28:59	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x8bbf13…
06-21 00:28:59	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x199631…
06-21 00:28:58	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xfd637c…
06-21 00:28:58	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xf4e75e…
06-21 00:28:58	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xe78179…
06-21 00:28:58	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xe1d112…
06-21 00:28:58	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xd7c271…
06-21 00:28:58	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xb97809…
06-21 00:28:58	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xa8c151…
06-21 00:28:58	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x4d560d…
06-21 00:28:58	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x19d7de…
06-21 00:28:58	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x18ff16…
06-21 00:28:58	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x1036c9…
06-21 00:28:58	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x0b1312…
06-21 00:25:46	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,618	30¢	$486	0xb13899…
06-21 00:25:44	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0x91a77b…
06-21 00:25:29	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0x0d228e…
06-21 00:19:47	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	18	29¢	$5	0xe6e48e…
06-21 00:19:47	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	57	29¢	$17	0x7d4cb9…
06-21 00:18:25	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	BUY	501	14¢	$70	0x9cd690…
06-21 00:18:17	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	BUY	11	14¢	$2	0xa34bd6…
06-21 00:18:05	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	218	29¢	$63	0x896827…
06-21 00:18:05	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	57	29¢	$17	0x4634f1…
06-21 00:18:05	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	44	29¢	$13	0x06f421…
06-21 00:17:43	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x9dba64…
06-21 00:17:41	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x572432…
06-21 00:17:40	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	BUY	670	15¢	$100	0xe58ae5…
06-21 00:17:22	Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,525	12¢	$189	0x1779ca…
06-21 00:16:41	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	BUY	57	14¢	$8	0xe4652f…
06-21 00:16:32	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	BUY	17	14¢	$2	0xbe11ee…
06-21 00:16:32	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	BUY	1,199	14¢	$168	0x4192ba…
06-21 00:16:08	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	41	2¢	$1	0x0e1f9d…
06-21 00:13:23	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	39	37¢	$14	0xf10ac5…
06-21 00:10:55	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	46	27¢	$12	0x885e17…
06-21 00:04:52	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x449c24…
06-21 00:03:41	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0xa49a9d…
06-21 00:00:59	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x548119…
06-21 00:00:56	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x68b2ad…
06-20 23:54:17	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1,950	2¢	$43	0xa03d7a…
06-20 23:54:17	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	67	2¢	$1	0x0bc5f7…
06-20 23:50:11	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x76e893…
06-20 23:50:10	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x74aa0a…
06-20 23:50:08	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xeef424…
06-20 23:50:07	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x694d92…
06-20 23:50:07	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x588df1…
06-20 23:50:07	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x02656d…
06-20 23:50:05	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	4,478	2¢	$99	0x2c1922…
06-20 23:44:04	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x1aeb9e…
06-20 23:44:02	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xd27438…
06-20 23:44:01	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x9523a8…
06-20 23:44:01	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x84b9ce…
06-20 23:43:59	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	2,460	2¢	$52	0xbe2876…
06-14 22:13:51	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	SELL	400	99¢	$398	0xd62048…
06-14 18:31:39	Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	700	100¢	$699	0x7633fb…
06-14 16:29:07	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	400	88¢	$352	0x048ad0…
06-14 11:13:57	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	180	95¢	$170	0x5b9350…
06-14 11:12:37	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?	No	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0xa32217…
06-14 11:12:36	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?	No	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x5261a2…
06-14 11:12:34	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?	No	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x114f35…
06-14 11:12:31	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?	No	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0xfdf27c…
06-14 11:11:28	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xc0902c…
06-13 21:04:22	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	177	99¢	$175	0x156533…
06-13 20:04:07	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	512	99¢	$507	0x50938d…
06-12 18:31:01	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	60	46¢	$28	0x366c27…