Ultimate-Thermals — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.6%

Resolved

Trades

127

lifetime

Volume

$12.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$100

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 06-01 07:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 100% +$0

Other

32% 40% +$5

Sports

13% — —

Politics

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$351	176	176	+0	open	—	03-17 03:51
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$342	172	172	+0	open	—	03-17 04:18
will will zalatoris win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$335	169	169	+0	open	—	04-03 05:53
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$335	168	168	+0	open	—	04-04 09:24
will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	2	$335	168	168	+0	open	—	03-12 07:57
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$312	157	157	+0	open	—	03-04 06:38
Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$311	156	156	+0	open	—	03-03 06:50
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	2	$309	155	155	+0	No	$-0	04-21 11:47
Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$304	152	152	+0	open	—	03-03 07:16
Will Katie Boulter win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	2	$300	150	150	+0	open	—	04-25 05:17
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on march 16	1	$176	176	0	+176	open	—	03-16 12:13
will dear me diane warren relentless win best original song at the 98th academy awards	1	$175	176	0	+176	open	—	03-14 11:56
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 13	1	$175	175	0	+175	open	—	03-13 06:19
bitcoin above 64k on march 30	1	$175	175	0	+175	open	—	03-30 11:39
will ethereum dip to 1500 march 2 8	1	$174	175	0	+175	open	—	03-08 08:21
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 6	1	$174	174	0	+174	open	—	03-06 06:27
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 10	1	$172	172	0	+172	open	—	03-10 04:17
bitcoin above 64k on march 22	1	$172	172	0	+172	open	—	03-22 07:31
bitcoin above 68k on march 21	1	$171	172	0	+172	open	—	03-21 09:26
will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on march 17	1	$171	171	0	+171	open	—	03-17 04:26
ethereum above 1800 on march 28	1	$170	170	0	+170	open	—	03-28 09:30
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 7	1	$170	170	0	+170	open	—	03-07 05:22
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 300 319	1	$170	170	0	+170	open	—	03-27 13:40
bitcoin above 72k on march 26	1	$169	170	0	+170	open	—	03-26 14:54
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 24	1	$169	169	0	+169	open	—	03-24 04:59
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 25	1	$169	169	0	+169	open	—	03-25 06:08
bitcoin above 70k on april 3	1	$167	168	0	+168	open	—	04-03 06:02
bitcoin above 62k on march 12	1	$167	167	0	+167	open	—	03-12 07:58
bitcoin above 76k on april 6	1	$163	163	0	+163	open	—	04-06 04:09
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 165 189	1	$162	163	0	+163	open	—	04-04 09:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 07:59:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x0129a1…
06-01 07:48:57	Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka	Naomi Osaka	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xf6f53b…
05-31 08:05:39	Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	Atlanta Braves	BUY	6	56¢	$4	0x2cdc28…
05-28 04:27:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x3b4ed8…
05-26 12:56:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x8302f9…
05-24 07:26:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x1207ad…
05-24 07:04:30	Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x111c11…
05-23 12:22:21	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	1,375	0¢	$6	0xdda2b7…
05-23 12:01:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xc85d6a…
05-23 10:28:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	1,250	0¢	$2	0x9203c8…
05-23 07:59:58	Geneva Open: Mariano Navone vs Learner Tien	Mariano Navone	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x1589ea…
05-19 12:20:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0x3b8319…
05-19 12:17:28	Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Anouk Koevermans	Anouk Koevermans	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0xc48a37…
05-18 12:49:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x4ed5d1…
05-17 07:32:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xd14fd8…
05-16 07:08:08	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Team Liquid	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x439144…
05-15 07:13:32	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	157	100¢	$157	0x8417c7…
05-14 05:54:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	1,800	0¢	$4	0x458c4d…
05-14 05:31:37	Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0x942e40…
05-12 19:57:11	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $300 on May 13?	No	BUY	156	94¢	$147	0x75ec4f…
05-11 08:22:13	Tunis: Dalibor Svrcina vs Henry Bernet	Henry Bernet	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x36254d…
05-10 03:06:04	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	149	100¢	$149	0xb39fe8…
05-08 03:12:47	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	149	100¢	$149	0x7f21a7…
05-07 09:33:51	Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs	Team Heretics	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xdcadf9…
05-04 09:09:32	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 4?	No	BUY	152	100¢	$152	0x175d1e…
05-02 07:34:50	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	147	100¢	$146	0x6d69d2…
05-01 10:38:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	152	100¢	$152	0x10f066…
04-30 08:05:06	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0x927d9f…
04-27 05:45:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0x60474e…
04-26 05:43:42	Madrid Open: Solana Sierra vs Zeynep Sonmez	Solana Sierra	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x715edf…
04-25 05:20:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 25?	No	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0xe7c094…
04-25 05:18:20	Madrid Open: Jaume Munar vs Casper Ruud	Jaume Munar	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x1dddd1…
04-25 05:17:18	Will Katie Boulter win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0x0b8cbf…
04-25 04:32:30	Will Katie Boulter win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xcff390…
04-24 12:19:12	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x6ed213…
04-24 11:54:30	LoL: Colossal Gaming vs EKO Esports (BO5) - LIT Playoffs	EKO Esports	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x63537a…
04-22 12:05:48	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	Yes	BUY	730	0¢	$2	0x361bed…
04-21 11:55:32	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 21	No	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0x2649fb…
04-21 11:47:28	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	155	100¢	$155	0xa7c75c…
04-21 11:28:00	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0x8a8175…
04-20 09:42:22	ethereum above 2500 on april 20	No	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0x6d1eb7…
04-20 09:38:12	Rome: Alex Barrena vs Gianluca Cadenasso	Gianluca Cadenasso	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xaa9917…
04-19 08:06:32	ethereum above 2500 on april 19	No	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0xdd031f…
04-17 08:58:40	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 17	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xd3640b…
04-17 08:55:56	ethereum above 2600 on april 17	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x3a7bc1…
04-17 07:17:30	bitcoin above 70k on april 17	No	BUY	1,650	0¢	$3	0xc3c65b…
04-17 06:10:32	will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on april 17	Yes	BUY	875	0¢	$2	0x1af364…
04-17 06:08:14	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 380 399	Yes	BUY	1,167	0¢	$4	0x098cea…
04-15 07:42:30	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 115 139	No	BUY	162	100¢	$162	0x474060…
04-14 05:43:15	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 380 399	No	BUY	162	100¢	$162	0xbd887c…
04-13 01:16:55	bitcoin above 66k on april 13	Yes	BUY	162	100¢	$161	0xe9640c…
04-11 03:55:11	bitcoin above 78k on april 11	No	BUY	161	100¢	$161	0x915901…
04-10 06:43:11	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 300 319	No	BUY	161	100¢	$161	0x6160fd…
04-09 10:29:37	ethereum above 2000 on april 9	No	BUY	852	0¢	$4	0xd2d7cd…
04-09 10:26:03	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 9	Yes	BUY	625	0¢	$1	0xb9ba7c…
04-08 11:27:35	bitcoin above 66k on april 8	Yes	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0x91c6fc…
04-08 11:17:43	atp cobolli blockx 2026 04 08	Alexander Blockx	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x22eec6…
04-06 04:09:45	bitcoin above 76k on april 6	No	BUY	163	100¢	$163	0xe93b91…
04-05 09:44:15	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 5	No	BUY	163	100¢	$162	0xa70d7e…
04-04 09:33:19	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 165 189	No	BUY	163	100¢	$162	0x8b8d04…
04-04 09:25:41	nhl wpg cbj 2026 04 04	Blue Jackets	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xc9cb51…
04-04 09:24:55	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	168	100¢	$167	0x931fdb…
04-04 09:07:29	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	168	100¢	$167	0x32ba17…
04-03 06:02:29	bitcoin above 70k on april 3	No	BUY	168	100¢	$167	0x117b1e…
04-03 05:53:41	will will zalatoris win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	169	99¢	$167	0x7ee657…
04-02 11:04:17	will will zalatoris win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	169	100¢	$168	0xdaec39…
04-02 11:02:49	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 2	Yes	BUY	785	0¢	$2	0x218c4c…
04-02 11:01:11	bitcoin above 62k on april 2	No	BUY	635	0¢	$1	0xb47a6d…
04-01 08:56:33	elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 115 139	Yes	BUY	748	0¢	$3	0xe72450…
04-01 08:55:23	bitcoin above 64k on april 1	No	BUY	635	0¢	$1	0xdd3637…
03-30 11:39:38	bitcoin above 64k on march 30	Yes	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0x077b95…
03-29 09:51:52	will ethereum dip to 1500 march 23 29	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x185c9f…
03-29 09:47:14	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 29	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x78cb28…
03-29 09:42:26	codmw tor lat1 2026 03 29	Toronto KOI	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x5f20bc…
03-28 09:30:17	ethereum above 1800 on march 28	Yes	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x90e6d6…
03-27 13:40:21	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 300 319	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x15314e…
03-26 14:54:17	bitcoin above 72k on march 26	No	BUY	170	100¢	$169	0xad25c5…
03-25 06:08:35	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 25	No	BUY	169	100¢	$169	0xe1a986…
03-24 04:59:01	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 24	No	BUY	169	100¢	$169	0x17ad6c…
03-24 04:49:01	atp safiull bailly 2026 03 23	Gilles Arnaud Bailly	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xa6593a…
03-22 07:31:51	bitcoin above 64k on march 22	Yes	BUY	172	100¢	$172	0x1783cd…
03-21 09:26:07	bitcoin above 68k on march 21	Yes	BUY	172	100¢	$171	0x88f27b…
03-17 04:26:33	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on march 17	No	BUY	171	100¢	$171	0x5ee504…
03-17 04:18:53	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	172	100¢	$171	0xc01610…
03-17 03:57:31	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	172	100¢	$171	0x0cce02…
03-17 03:55:11	nhl buf las 2026 03 17	Golden Knights	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x5b919b…
03-17 03:51:47	Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	176	100¢	$176	0xad818b…
03-17 03:34:29	Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	176	100¢	$176	0xd4a191…
03-16 12:13:49	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on march 16	No	BUY	176	100¢	$176	0xcc1e8f…
03-14 11:56:45	will dear me diane warren relentless win best original song at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	176	100¢	$175	0x20dc2a…
03-13 06:19:15	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 13	No	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0x520135…
03-12 07:58:55	bitcoin above 62k on march 12	Yes	BUY	167	100¢	$167	0xf3e3fb…
03-12 07:57:27	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	SELL	168	100¢	$167	0xb3f58c…
03-12 07:37:09	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	BUY	168	100¢	$167	0x9657c6…
03-12 07:34:25	dota2 lynx vpp 2026 03 12	Team Lynx	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xa7191f…
03-10 04:17:59	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 10	No	BUY	172	100¢	$172	0x50735c…
03-10 04:10:15	atp tiafoe zverev 2026 03 10	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x90c41e…
03-08 08:21:45	will ethereum dip to 1500 march 2 8	No	BUY	175	100¢	$174	0x7f7817…
03-08 07:48:03	nba chi sac 2026 03 08	Bulls	BUY	6	57¢	$4	0xcd2b3f…
03-07 05:22:23	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 7	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0xdb8992…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	64	$143.2K	2,500	05-31 18:21
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	51	$4.84K	3,495	04-21 08:29
Reasonable-Mover 0x0f62…922e	50	$2.14K	52	05-26 10:26
Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f	46	$89.1K	1,740	05-26 15:55
(anonymous) 0x90bb…531f	45	$555	2,318	04-27 08:52
Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5	44	$106.5K	647	05-28 03:43
Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965	41	$218.4K	1,761	05-28 02:15
Detailed-Rivulet 0xa2c0…fad2	41	$550	2,187	04-27 07:24