Far-Servitude — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.6%

Resolved

443

Trades

821

lifetime

Volume

$10.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 10-19 16:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 117 days

Categories

Other

77% 77% -$5

Crypto

16% 86% +$1

Politics

4% 65% $0

Sports

2% 100% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 21?	6	$85	42	42	+0	No	$0	07-21 02:16
Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$83	42	42	+0	No	+$0	04-16 13:25
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 21?	5	$69	35	35	+0	No	+$0	07-20 03:34
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	2	$69	34	34	+0	No	+$0	10-12 04:46
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 23?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-23 08:08
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or below on July 25?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-25 10:30
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on July 24?	2	$65	34	31	+3	No	$0	07-23 12:58
will russia capture stavky by july 31	4	$62	31	31	+0	No	$0	07-30 20:39
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on July 29?	3	$62	31	31	+0	No	$0	07-28 19:00
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on July 19?	2	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-19 09:55
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on July 21?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-21 13:40
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on July 27?	4	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-27 09:30
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 25?	3	$59	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-24 10:52
Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-19 11:57
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 87°F or below on July 24?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-23 19:48
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-28 10:52
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on July 23?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-23 02:57
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 98-99°F on July 26?	3	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-26 09:35
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 25?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-24 16:08
will ethereum reach 2300 in july 2026	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-30 21:14
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 28?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-28 11:01
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	2	$53	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-29 01:21
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?	4	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-26 05:48
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 26?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	07-25 10:31
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 81°F or below on July 30?	5	$49	25	25	+0	No	$0	07-29 21:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?	3	$49	33	16	+18	No	+$0	05-11 11:21
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C or below on July 23?	2	$48	24	24	+0	No	$0	07-22 09:40
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	2	$47	24	24	+0	No	+$0	07-27 03:15
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 21?	2	$47	23	23	+0	No	+$0	07-21 13:41
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 63°F or below on July 22?	2	$47	23	23	+0	No	$0	07-21 21:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 16:44:57	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 37°C or higher on October 20?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x2a67c2…
10-18 17:28:41	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or higher on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x04e4b8…
10-16 11:20:13	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 16?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x627de9…
10-13 10:00:16	Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x9dc45c…
10-13 08:40:44	Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5e6b22…
10-13 01:25:14	Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x721c0c…
10-12 04:46:21	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x22aba2…
10-12 04:12:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 12?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xc8c038…
10-12 04:08:26	Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on October 12, 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x009197…
10-11 23:10:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7063cc…
10-11 19:07:06	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x28362f…
10-11 17:05:00	Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x173cae…
10-10 08:42:46	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C or higher on October 10?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0xd13bc3…
10-05 08:20:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 5?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xeb9e76…
10-02 02:37:12	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x82f75a…
10-01 22:42:29	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on October 2?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x80e726…
10-01 06:24:20	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C or higher on October 1?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x40a221…
09-27 20:46:24	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xee5558…
09-23 11:00:53	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x62b2ac…
09-23 03:49:22	Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the September meeting?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x9df73b…
09-22 20:29:56	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3db58b…
09-22 20:21:33	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xfafb91…
09-22 12:31:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x0d0946…
09-18 17:31:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 19?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xe72ec8…
09-18 01:13:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xfc65a7…
09-17 16:57:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 18?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xf25e15…
09-13 03:29:16	Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 41m?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x26bb63…
09-11 22:06:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on September 11?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb3bb13…
09-11 01:35:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1f2cba…
09-10 19:21:06	Will Taylor Brown be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 9)?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x2dc6ed…
09-07 13:57:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 7?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x61cde9…
09-06 15:43:21	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xddeb4b…
09-06 08:14:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 6?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xc399ed…
09-06 00:18:36	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x406d94…
09-05 06:19:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on September 5?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x5a3283…
09-05 04:53:57	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 5?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x55a030…
09-04 22:06:45	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on September 5?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xeda72c…
09-04 13:43:55	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or below on September 5?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x82620e…
09-04 07:50:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 4?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x94d5f3…
09-04 02:34:45	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C or below on September 4?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xc12fdd…
09-03 16:30:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on September 4?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb0cb48…
09-03 12:23:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on September 4?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x527039…
09-03 04:34:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 3?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xd26e84…
09-02 18:39:00	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x058099…
09-02 11:27:18	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd48a41…
09-02 08:47:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x5ea6c0…
09-01 22:02:33	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 2?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x24b4b0…
09-01 08:56:24	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on September 1?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x43b8ce…
09-01 02:01:33	Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xa06cd3…
08-31 05:25:09	Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x17a31c…
08-30 23:33:43	Will Tarsier Pharma's market cap be less than $250M at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$26	0x08dd37…
08-30 18:39:48	Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd094d2…
08-30 15:27:25	Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x96e088…
08-30 04:55:37	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 30?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x2e6485…
08-29 18:52:48	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on August 30?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0x365b18…
08-28 19:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 29?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x3a58ad…
08-28 07:05:33	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C or below on August 28?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x82622f…
08-28 05:08:33	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x45364a…
08-27 09:23:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on August 27?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x91ca35…
08-27 07:03:51	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xd5a8ed…
08-27 01:42:30	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C or below on August 27?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x39052b…
08-26 19:29:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on August 27?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2bd9f0…
08-26 10:36:10	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 27?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa7d998…
08-26 08:04:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xe85d7f…
08-25 09:56:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 25?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x83d813…
08-25 05:32:19	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or below on August 25?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xf57e3a…
08-25 00:03:36	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1acd59…
08-24 20:22:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 25?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc95e33…
08-24 10:31:10	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on August 24?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4d38c6…
08-24 01:38:49	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x07449c…
08-23 19:52:43	Will JSDP win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x21847b…
08-14 15:08:10	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x476773…
08-14 07:24:19	bitcoin above 60k on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x43117b…
08-13 18:52:54	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on August 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf2570e…
08-13 15:42:43	will ng dip to 2 10 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3d736c…
08-13 10:50:12	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on August 13?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xec8eb3…
08-13 06:26:16	Will William Clouston get second place in the Clacton by-election?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x09a7d5…
08-13 05:40:28	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 2–3%?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x0e92e2…
08-12 21:19:07	ethereum above 1700 on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xbee094…
08-12 08:21:25	Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on August 12?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5e1562…
08-12 03:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 12?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x940aec…
08-12 02:08:28	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on August 12?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xba0bd7…
08-11 15:14:10	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 11?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2e5f8d…
08-11 14:05:27	bitcoin above 66k on august 11 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x898949…
08-10 21:47:45	will ethereum reach 1950 on august 10	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xd7a62e…
08-10 20:56:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 11?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x5bdaf0…
08-10 15:10:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or below on August 11?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x8bff0d…
08-10 12:12:45	xrp above 1pt3 on august 11 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x28de99…
08-09 12:58:40	bitcoin above 60k on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x67eace…
08-09 10:26:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 9?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xa273a7…
08-09 03:37:25	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x95b121…
08-09 02:20:31	bitcoin above 62k on august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xac15f8…
08-08 17:49:45	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 90°F or higher on August 9?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7775c5…
08-08 04:43:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 41°C or higher on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd8fa67…
08-08 02:22:39	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 8?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x9ecd7b…
08-07 22:00:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x81ed99…
08-07 16:52:52	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on August 8?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe85e1d…
08-07 11:58:31	bitcoin above 62k on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xf133ed…
08-07 07:53:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C or higher on August 8?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x7a5b37…
08-06 07:23:26	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 6?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xa84e99…