Eager-Boyhood — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.4%

Resolved

441

Trades

813

lifetime

Volume

$11.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 10-19 16:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 123 days

Categories

Other

78% 81% +$3

Crypto

16% 86% +$1

Politics

4% 76% +$0

Sports

2% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 21?	6	$91	46	46	+0	No	+$0	07-21 06:20
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	6	$73	37	37	+0	No	$0	05-31 07:28
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 56-57°F on May 28?	3	$72	36	36	+0	No	+$0	05-28 05:23
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 81°F or below on July 30?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-29 18:58
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?	3	$68	34	34	+0	No	$0	05-25 21:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 21?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-21 07:37
will russia enter khatnie by july 31 2026	3	$67	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-29 23:36
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C or higher on May 27?	3	$67	34	34	+0	No	+$0	05-27 12:18
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on July 27?	2	$67	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-26 11:57
will trump meet with netanyahu by july 24 2026 20260714195149523	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-23 23:22
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on July 27?	2	$65	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-27 06:50
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on July 20?	2	$65	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-20 21:35
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on July 25?	2	$65	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-25 07:35
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 41°C or higher on July 11?	4	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-11 05:03
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	08-01 03:35
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the Silver Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-18 23:40
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 41°C on July 29?	3	$61	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-29 03:14
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on July 19?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-19 15:53
Will Vitinha have the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 Champions League?	4	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-31 00:14
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on October 13?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	10-13 01:43
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C or below on July 31?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-30 16:06
will bitcoin reach 68k july 20 26 2026	3	$58	38	20	+18	No	+$0	07-26 21:09
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 98-99°F on July 26?	3	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-26 08:09
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 23?	4	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-23 11:36
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-30 21:17
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 23?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-23 02:41
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 30?	3	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-30 07:54
bitcoin above 60k on july 25 2026	2	$54	27	27	+0	Yes	+$0	07-25 06:57
will progressive bulgaria pb finish second in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	4	$53	27	27	+0	No	$0	04-19 10:54
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 40°C or higher on July 29?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-28 03:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 16:37:11	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on October 20?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x16e80d…
10-16 11:30:09	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$25	0xa2e84b…
10-13 01:43:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on October 13?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x52ba62…
10-13 00:50:48	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on October 13?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc5e38e…
10-12 20:55:15	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on October 12?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x418410…
10-12 15:48:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 12?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$22	0x185a70…
10-12 12:35:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 12?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x219ffb…
10-12 09:36:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 12?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$22	0x88b0ce…
10-12 07:21:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 12?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xc68792…
10-11 22:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on October 12?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x99b2ab…
10-10 06:11:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 10?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x534e92…
10-10 03:03:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 10?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x481d48…
10-05 09:16:16	Will David Lavoie win the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x16f15c…
10-02 02:28:42	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 2?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xdfd164…
10-01 23:36:06	ethereum above 3100 on october 2 2026	No	BUY	33	100¢	$32	0x17f908…
10-01 06:39:36	bitcoin above 78k on october 1 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x7846bc…
09-28 05:18:21	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 38°C on September 29?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x2478d4…
09-27 18:45:03	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 28?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x9bdd4e…
09-23 21:50:56	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 89°F or below on September 24?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x19627b…
09-23 04:22:41	Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate after the September meeting?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x4befb4…
09-23 02:01:02	Will the Swiss National Bank decrease the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x3927fb…
09-22 18:52:37	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x4711a5…
09-22 18:33:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 23?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd8b750…
09-21 22:41:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 22?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc982e9…
09-19 00:37:39	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on September 19?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x147bba…
09-18 00:38:34	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x85c6d1…
09-17 16:44:00	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 18?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xfc6634…
09-13 05:03:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on September 13?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x39ed9b…
09-11 01:51:30	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C or below on September 11?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0x664da7…
09-10 19:08:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on September 11?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xde3318…
09-07 17:21:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on September 8?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0xe9bf8c…
09-06 15:01:49	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on September 6?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x2eb9b6…
09-06 06:28:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 6?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x7e9f33…
09-06 05:30:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xaa7590…
09-05 06:45:45	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on September 5?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x55f166…
09-05 05:04:49	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on September 5?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x63f4c9…
09-04 23:05:03	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 78°F or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x3b4c38…
09-04 19:33:07	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0x9a5bc0…
09-04 10:39:10	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of August 31 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc51406…
09-03 23:53:52	will bitcoin reach 85k on september 3 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x1720d3…
09-03 21:31:00	will ethereum dip to 2300 on september 3 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xcb1670…
09-03 11:23:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on September 4?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x2b9300…
09-02 23:04:55	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 3?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x219b6c…
09-02 14:41:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 3?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe0014e…
09-02 11:05:39	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on September 2?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x7145b4…
09-02 09:10:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x411d31…
09-02 00:15:40	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x84c43e…
09-01 06:42:30	Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x962258…
09-01 02:35:12	Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$32	0x8e7212…
08-31 05:33:33	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by August 31?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x79c3c3…
08-30 22:38:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xd3a2da…
08-30 18:31:37	Lecornu out as French PM by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xb90771…
08-30 13:55:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on August 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x776462…
08-30 03:08:10	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x494562…
08-29 21:20:54	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on August 30?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xa631f0…
08-29 16:38:09	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x113c22…
08-29 13:49:51	bitcoin above 88k on august 30 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x16d59c…
08-28 04:54:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 28?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5533e2…
08-27 12:11:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3f8f6b…
08-27 06:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x665952…
08-27 01:22:58	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C or below on August 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xce8e90…
08-26 19:32:16	will bitcoin dip to 73k on august 26 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x34997a…
08-26 12:25:21	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on August 27?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xda9f3b…
08-26 12:04:52	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on August 27?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x756a9c…
08-25 10:24:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x35765a…
08-25 07:34:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0x1f528b…
08-25 00:31:10	will ethereum reach 2650 on august 24 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xfe9e14…
08-24 18:14:19	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x4d50f5…
08-24 13:33:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb39da0…
08-24 01:30:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0xa4a7cb…
08-23 21:29:16	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1a44a3…
08-14 18:34:04	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on August 15?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x7fa675…
08-14 07:47:36	bitcoin above 66k on august 14 2026	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x627f2b…
08-13 17:31:52	will ng dip to 2 10 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x3bd2a9…
08-13 14:04:21	Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be at least 60,000?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xf98ab2…
08-13 08:49:55	will xauusd dip to 4000 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xc3aa2a…
08-13 05:21:45	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on August 13?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x2eeafd…
08-12 22:25:34	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 13?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x551595…
08-12 07:24:15	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 12?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb03561…
08-12 01:37:39	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on day 4?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x53f5f6…
08-11 23:12:57	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on August 12?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xf09a82…
08-11 21:57:10	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe2bb29…
08-11 14:05:22	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on August 11?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x27d574…
08-10 23:03:30	will bitcoin reach 66k on august 10	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xac5cbe…
08-10 20:29:12	will bitcoin reach 67k on august 10	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x4f90c7…
08-10 14:34:16	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 11?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x7ef68e…
08-10 12:26:46	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C or higher on August 11?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x6822fe…
08-09 11:58:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 9?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x52691b…
08-09 07:35:18	will ethereum dip to 1700 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x178779…
08-09 03:42:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C or below on August 10?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0x3d8feb…
08-09 01:39:04	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on August 9?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xdb6e7d…
08-08 19:22:03	will ethereum reach 2200 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4a9bc0…
08-08 01:09:49	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xff8fb4…
08-08 00:32:19	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 7	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x02c9ac…
08-07 19:55:42	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on August 8?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x745dde…
08-07 19:18:16	will ng dip to 2 10 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x67a4e4…
08-07 16:02:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 8?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x5f2b7f…
08-07 09:56:45	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on August 7?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x070efc…
08-06 16:34:47	will spy dip to 715 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x0bc5fa…
08-06 03:15:29	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on August 7?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xf74157…