Frugal-Ferry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

115

lifetime

Volume

$1.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-01 11:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

48% 100% +$0

Other

30% 100% +$0

Politics

11% — —

Sports

11% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$69	34	34	+0	open	—	02-05 17:39
Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	6	$59	29	29	+0	Yes	+$0	05-10 03:55
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	2	$58	29	29	+0	open	—	06-30 01:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 16?	2	$57	29	29	+0	open	—	05-16 11:27
will strc hit 100 by june 30 20260618001621117	2	$53	27	27	+0	open	—	07-01 01:52
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 17?	2	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	05-17 10:47
Will Como win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	01-23 16:24
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 18?	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	05-17 18:58
will symbiotic launch a token by june 30 2026	3	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	06-30 00:46
bitcoin above 54k on june 25 2026	2	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	06-25 12:00
bitcoin above 56k on june 28 2026	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	06-27 23:35
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 3 2026	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	06-04 02:51
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	06-28 20:06
Will Ethereum dip to $1,950 on May 19?	3	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	05-19 21:13
will canvas valuation hit high 60b by june 30	3	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	06-30 19:14
Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025–26 La Liga?	3	$32	11	21	-10	open	—	02-05 17:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 25-31?	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	06-01 02:30
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	2	$31	15	15	+0	open	—	06-01 06:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	05-28 12:26
will the announcers say foul 10 times during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221711	2	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	06-26 06:48
Will Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.4B?	2	$28	14	14	+0	open	—	05-26 06:18
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 3?	2	$28	14	14	+0	open	—	06-03 00:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	05-15 07:07
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	3	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	05-29 20:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	3	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	05-20 06:21
bitcoin above 54k on june 28 2026	2	$23	12	12	+0	open	—	06-27 15:22
ethereum above 1700 on july 1 2026	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	07-01 11:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 13?	1	$22	22	0	+22	Yes	+$0	05-12 06:13
Will BNP Paribas fail by June 30, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-28 20:07
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 21?	2	$18	9	9	+0	open	—	05-21 13:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 11:35:20	ethereum above 1700 on july 1 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xb85d1f…
07-01 01:52:04	will strc hit 100 by june 30 20260618001621117	No	SELL	27	100¢	$26	0x1fb5c3…
07-01 00:00:59	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x3fbb04…
06-30 20:14:29	Over $250k committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xef8c66…
06-30 19:14:28	will canvas valuation hit high 60b by june 30	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x71f97a…
06-30 18:27:37	will strc hit 100 by june 30 20260618001621117	No	BUY	27	100¢	$26	0x9935f4…
06-30 17:41:38	tsla above 450 on june 30 2026	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x0fa0fb…
06-30 17:17:46	tsla above 450 on june 30 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x142d3a…
06-30 17:02:25	will ethereum dip to 1300 in june 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4a332d…
06-30 16:59:44	tsla above 470 on june 30 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x6b5fd6…
06-30 16:48:43	will canvas valuation hit high 60b by june 30	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x87fa08…
06-30 13:36:07	tsla above 450 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x347602…
06-30 12:55:08	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x575030…
06-30 12:20:35	will chainlink dip to 6 in june	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x414fd0…
06-30 10:27:52	tsla above 470 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc8122a…
06-30 08:55:02	will ethereum dip to 1300 in june 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x92a582…
06-30 07:43:50	will canvas valuation hit high 60b by june 30	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x064ba8…
06-30 04:53:14	Over $250k committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4e3f5b…
06-30 03:18:49	will chainlink dip to 6 in june	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3411da…
06-30 01:19:47	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x33b310…
06-30 00:46:56	will symbiotic launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x5ceb3d…
06-30 00:45:13	will symbiotic launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd8824d…
06-29 23:33:14	will symbiotic launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa47ffe…
06-29 11:03:49	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1201e3…
06-28 20:07:40	Will BNP Paribas fail by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xbd8478…
06-28 20:06:26	Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xeef12c…
06-28 19:20:37	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x0911ff…
06-28 17:32:10	Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x53059c…
06-28 15:50:10	Will BNP Paribas fail by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x41fe0f…
06-28 12:54:04	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xeef365…
06-28 10:40:47	will ethereum reach 1800 june 22 28 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x975c39…
06-28 09:09:25	will ethereum reach 1800 june 22 28 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0b7571…
06-27 23:35:44	bitcoin above 56k on june 28 2026	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x157c3a…
06-27 17:51:20	bitcoin above 56k on june 28 2026	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xf532f8…
06-27 15:22:16	bitcoin above 54k on june 28 2026	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$11	0x5961d0…
06-27 14:38:56	bitcoin above 54k on june 28 2026	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0xbee826…
06-26 06:48:01	will the announcers say foul 10 times during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221711	No	SELL	15	100¢	$14	0xde1778…
06-25 20:54:49	will the announcers say foul 10 times during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221711	No	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0x2d7338…
06-25 12:00:47	bitcoin above 54k on june 25 2026	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$17	0x0c8367…
06-24 23:54:19	bitcoin above 54k on june 25 2026	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0xe525c6…
06-04 02:51:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 3 2026	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x73049d…
06-03 05:05:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 3?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xf7e045…
06-03 00:07:01	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 3?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xa3dc64…
06-02 23:23:21	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 3?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x527ab9…
06-02 10:51:51	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x2afaca…
06-01 23:14:32	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4ba37f…
06-01 17:01:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 1?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xedb742…
06-01 06:18:57	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xf1b38c…
06-01 03:16:39	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on June 1?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x1b8826…
06-01 02:40:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x80a639…
06-01 02:30:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 25-31?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x7c4408…
06-01 00:59:22	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on June 1?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8620e9…
06-01 00:44:59	Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xcdf148…
05-31 17:11:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 25-31?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x9faad7…
05-31 09:10:15	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe2a326…
05-31 00:30:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0c9a62…
05-30 01:47:01	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x11d100…
05-29 22:23:03	Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x386c98…
05-29 20:14:03	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x7b2bbf…
05-29 18:37:59	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xee962e…
05-29 14:10:29	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xce80ad…
05-28 12:26:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x27fafd…
05-28 03:21:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x1bbc39…
05-27 13:52:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8f309f…
05-26 06:18:53	Will Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.4B?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x651b1c…
05-26 04:45:49	Will Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.4B?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x69ae02…
05-25 16:11:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x3c60be…
05-25 13:01:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x682ae4…
05-21 13:00:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 21?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xc30b4f…
05-21 06:24:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x19989e…
05-20 06:23:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x2fad83…
05-20 06:21:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xca4fc4…
05-20 06:21:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x2a263f…
05-20 00:19:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xee3d02…
05-19 23:03:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x946bb9…
05-19 21:13:22	Will Ethereum dip to $1,950 on May 19?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xb42c37…
05-19 21:13:05	Will Ethereum dip to $1,950 on May 19?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x4990e9…
05-19 19:38:40	Will Ethereum dip to $1,950 on May 19?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x85641e…
05-19 01:04:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2683bd…
05-18 23:35:27	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 18?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x33693c…
05-18 18:59:31	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x75659b…
05-17 18:58:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x930282…
05-17 12:21:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe62178…
05-17 10:47:53	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 17?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x2da34a…
05-17 05:59:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x564fbf…
05-16 11:27:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 16?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x546f8d…
05-16 01:19:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x554030…
05-15 22:21:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 11 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x56444c…
05-15 19:17:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x26582f…
05-15 07:31:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$5	0xaeecbd…
05-15 07:07:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x123bee…
05-14 21:56:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0xc33525…
05-12 06:13:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x44937b…
05-11 13:14:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xdf8eb8…
05-10 03:55:55	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x607da2…
05-10 03:33:57	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xb5e29f…
05-10 01:35:56	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x7c328f…
05-10 00:59:04	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xdf06a8…
05-10 00:40:19	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x5c78b2…
05-09 17:51:33	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x5b98cd…