Frugal-Ferry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

157

lifetime

Volume

$2.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-22 12:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 100% +$0

Other

21% 100% +$0

Sports

8% 100% +$0

Politics

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$69	34	34	+0	open	—	02-05 17:39
will bitcoin reach 69k on july 21	3	$65	44	21	+23	open	—	07-22 00:27
Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	6	$59	29	29	+0	Yes	+$0	05-10 03:55
ethereum above 2100 on july 23 2026	4	$59	29	29	+0	open	—	07-22 13:05
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	2	$58	29	29	+0	open	—	06-30 01:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 16?	2	$57	29	29	+0	open	—	05-16 11:27
xrp above 1pt3 on july 17 2026	2	$56	28	28	+0	open	—	07-17 06:43
bitcoin above 68k on july 12 2026	3	$55	27	27	+0	open	—	07-11 23:08
will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 5	2	$54	27	27	+0	open	—	07-06 01:20
will strc hit 100 by june 30 20260618001621117	2	$53	27	27	+0	open	—	07-01 01:52
bitcoin above 70k on july 13 2026	2	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	07-12 08:43
will bitcoin reach 69k on july 16	2	$48	24	24	+0	open	—	07-16 12:43
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 17?	2	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	05-17 10:47
bitcoin above 70k on july 21 2026	2	$41	20	20	+0	open	—	07-20 23:39
Will Como win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	01-23 16:24
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 18?	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	05-17 18:58
will symbiotic launch a token by june 30 2026	3	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	06-30 00:46
ethereum above 1700 on july 21 2026	2	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	07-21 04:07
bitcoin above 54k on june 25 2026	2	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	06-25 12:00
bitcoin above 70k on july 22 2026	2	$35	17	17	+0	open	—	07-22 05:14
bitcoin above 56k on june 28 2026	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	06-27 23:35
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 3 2026	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	06-04 02:51
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	06-28 20:06
Will Ethereum dip to $1,950 on May 19?	3	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	05-19 21:13
will canvas valuation hit high 60b by june 30	3	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	06-30 19:14
Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025–26 La Liga?	3	$32	11	21	-10	open	—	02-05 17:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 25-31?	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	06-01 02:30
will bitcoin reach 66k on july 19	3	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	07-20 03:19
will wti dip to 45 by july 13 2026	3	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	07-17 00:56
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	2	$31	15	15	+0	open	—	06-01 06:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 13:05:45	ethereum above 2100 on july 23 2026	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf31ae3…
07-22 13:02:52	ethereum above 2100 on july 23 2026	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x5bf567…
07-22 12:49:48	ethereum above 2100 on july 23 2026	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x016ac9…
07-22 12:10:42	ethereum above 2100 on july 23 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x61a7c2…
07-22 05:14:16	bitcoin above 70k on july 22 2026	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xb0895a…
07-22 01:23:54	bitcoin above 70k on july 22 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x53b052…
07-22 00:27:54	will bitcoin reach 69k on july 21	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xa48292…
07-21 23:28:03	will bitcoin reach 69k on july 21	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xe30ea3…
07-21 18:51:48	will bitcoin reach 69k on july 21	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x7e69a9…
07-21 05:13:15	xrp above 1pt2 on july 21 2026	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x40a605…
07-21 04:07:57	ethereum above 1700 on july 21 2026	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x2f5e95…
07-20 23:39:15	bitcoin above 70k on july 21 2026	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x538893…
07-20 23:28:43	ethereum above 1700 on july 21 2026	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x518a83…
07-20 20:18:03	xrp above 1pt2 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x49b6b5…
07-20 12:27:01	bitcoin above 70k on july 21 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb26255…
07-20 03:19:28	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 19	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x22c830…
07-20 03:17:01	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 19	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xceadc3…
07-20 03:07:10	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 19	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x255e2c…
07-17 06:43:21	xrp above 1pt3 on july 17 2026	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x3e7313…
07-17 01:14:35	xrp above 1pt3 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x568c71…
07-17 00:56:50	will wti dip to 45 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x20473a…
07-17 00:56:26	will wti dip to 45 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x42d200…
07-16 22:56:38	will ethereum reach 2050 on july 16	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xe72cee…
07-16 19:39:01	will ethereum reach 2050 on july 16	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x1ac951…
07-16 14:56:19	will wti dip to 45 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0x211c4f…
07-16 12:43:47	will bitcoin reach 69k on july 16	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xc29ff6…
07-16 11:43:02	will bitcoin reach 69k on july 16	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xaba6d4…
07-13 14:53:50	bitcoin above 64k on july 13 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x7d3d36…
07-12 21:37:25	ethereum above 2000 on july 13 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x3eec42…
07-12 17:42:28	ethereum above 2000 on july 13 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xefc1ea…
07-12 12:39:53	bitcoin above 66k on july 12 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x4ae2c4…
07-12 08:43:26	bitcoin above 70k on july 13 2026	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x74a898…
07-12 07:04:35	bitcoin above 70k on july 13 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x2f7989…
07-11 23:08:29	bitcoin above 68k on july 12 2026	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x594268…
07-11 22:32:20	bitcoin above 68k on july 12 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x9b67c3…
07-11 19:36:52	bitcoin above 68k on july 12 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xfc9569…
07-07 22:28:56	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 7	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xf6ecea…
07-07 18:27:01	will steve witkoff attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204726	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x499b5d…
07-06 12:49:32	solana above 100 on july 7 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x75680c…
07-06 05:02:23	solana above 100 on july 7 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x21a5f2…
07-06 01:20:32	will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 5	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xc464e2…
07-05 21:27:37	will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 5	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x9040bb…
07-04 14:57:37	bitcoin above 64k on july 4 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xa88eef…
07-02 15:32:29	will the announcers say home soil during the usa vs bosnia herzegovina fifa world cup match 20260630205154113	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x2f0f42…
07-01 11:35:20	ethereum above 1700 on july 1 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xb85d1f…
07-01 01:52:04	will strc hit 100 by june 30 20260618001621117	No	SELL	27	100¢	$26	0x1fb5c3…
07-01 00:00:59	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x3fbb04…
06-30 20:14:29	Over $250k committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xef8c66…
06-30 19:14:28	will canvas valuation hit high 60b by june 30	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x71f97a…
06-30 18:27:37	will strc hit 100 by june 30 20260618001621117	No	BUY	27	100¢	$26	0x9935f4…
06-30 17:41:38	tsla above 450 on june 30 2026	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x0fa0fb…
06-30 17:17:46	tsla above 450 on june 30 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x142d3a…
06-30 17:02:25	will ethereum dip to 1300 in june 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4a332d…
06-30 16:59:44	tsla above 470 on june 30 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x6b5fd6…
06-30 16:48:43	will canvas valuation hit high 60b by june 30	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x87fa08…
06-30 13:36:07	tsla above 450 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x347602…
06-30 12:55:08	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x575030…
06-30 12:20:35	will chainlink dip to 6 in june	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x414fd0…
06-30 10:27:52	tsla above 470 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc8122a…
06-30 08:55:02	will ethereum dip to 1300 in june 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x92a582…
06-30 07:43:50	will canvas valuation hit high 60b by june 30	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x064ba8…
06-30 04:53:14	Over $250k committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4e3f5b…
06-30 03:18:49	will chainlink dip to 6 in june	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3411da…
06-30 01:19:47	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x33b310…
06-30 00:46:56	will symbiotic launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x5ceb3d…
06-30 00:45:13	will symbiotic launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd8824d…
06-29 23:33:14	will symbiotic launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa47ffe…
06-29 11:03:49	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1201e3…
06-28 20:07:40	Will BNP Paribas fail by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xbd8478…
06-28 20:06:26	Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xeef12c…
06-28 19:20:37	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x0911ff…
06-28 17:32:10	Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x53059c…
06-28 15:50:10	Will BNP Paribas fail by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x41fe0f…
06-28 12:54:04	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xeef365…
06-28 10:40:47	will ethereum reach 1800 june 22 28 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x975c39…
06-28 09:09:25	will ethereum reach 1800 june 22 28 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0b7571…
06-27 23:35:44	bitcoin above 56k on june 28 2026	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x157c3a…
06-27 17:51:20	bitcoin above 56k on june 28 2026	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xf532f8…
06-27 15:22:16	bitcoin above 54k on june 28 2026	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$11	0x5961d0…
06-27 14:38:56	bitcoin above 54k on june 28 2026	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0xbee826…
06-26 06:48:01	will the announcers say foul 10 times during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221711	No	SELL	15	100¢	$14	0xde1778…
06-25 20:54:49	will the announcers say foul 10 times during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221711	No	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0x2d7338…
06-25 12:00:47	bitcoin above 54k on june 25 2026	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$17	0x0c8367…
06-24 23:54:19	bitcoin above 54k on june 25 2026	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0xe525c6…
06-04 02:51:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 3 2026	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x73049d…
06-03 05:05:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 3?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xf7e045…
06-03 00:07:01	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 3?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xa3dc64…
06-02 23:23:21	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 3?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x527ab9…
06-02 10:51:51	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x2afaca…
06-01 23:14:32	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4ba37f…
06-01 17:01:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 1?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xedb742…
06-01 06:18:57	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xf1b38c…
06-01 03:16:39	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on June 1?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x1b8826…
06-01 02:40:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x80a639…
06-01 02:30:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 25-31?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x7c4408…
06-01 00:59:22	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on June 1?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8620e9…
06-01 00:44:59	Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xcdf148…
05-31 17:11:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 25-31?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x9faad7…
05-31 09:10:15	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe2a326…
05-31 00:30:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0c9a62…