Realized P&L
-$8.35K
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
68.5%
Resolved
151
Trades
1,165
lifetime
Volume
$465.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$400
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-14 17:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 67 days
Categories
Crypto
65%
74%
-$6,256
Politics
21%
43%
-$3,372
Other
14%
82%
+$1,281
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-14).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 17 | $23.8K | 77,571 | 13,285 | +64,286 | Yes | -$1,077 | 04-09 19:49 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 31 | 13 | $15.9K | 12,509 | 6,566 | +5,944 | No | +$519 | 03-25 10:17 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129 | 2 | $15.3K | 9,057 | 9,057 | +0 | Yes | -$1,902 | 06-13 16:19 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25? | 30 | $11.0K | 7,430 | 4,537 | +2,893 | Yes | -$594 | 05-24 13:58 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346 | 2 | $10.8K | 6,028 | 6,028 | +0 | Yes | -$533 | 04-07 20:57 |
| bitcoin above 72k on february 9 | 15 | $10.5K | 10,771 | 0 | +10,771 | No | +$237 | 02-09 10:40 |
| bitcoin above 74k on february 6 | 4 | $10.3K | 10,534 | 0 | +10,534 | No | +$211 | 02-05 20:15 |
| bitcoin above 76k on february 5 | 7 | $10.1K | 10,323 | 0 | +10,323 | No | +$206 | 02-05 07:02 |
| bitcoin above 80k on february 4 | 2 | $10.1K | 10,117 | 0 | +10,117 | No | +$51 | 02-04 14:01 |
| bitcoin above 66k on february 12 | 27 | $10.0K | 9,636 | 9,046 | +590 | No | -$8,278 | 02-12 16:58 |
| bitcoin above 80k on february 3 | 14 | $9.5K | 10,066 | 0 | +10,066 | No | +$578 | 02-03 15:48 |
| bitcoin above 74k on april 8 | 59 | $9.2K | 4,802 | 4,802 | +0 | No | -$178 | 04-08 13:35 |
| elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 580plus | 3 | $9.2K | 9,773 | 0 | +9,773 | No | +$601 | 01-05 23:18 |
| elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 520 539 | 1 | $9.1K | 9,131 | 0 | +9,131 | No | +$39 | 01-23 14:23 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 31? | 2 | $8.8K | 4,502 | 4,502 | +0 | No | +$176 | 05-29 12:11 |
| bitcoin above 92k on january 21 | 1 | $8.7K | 8,833 | 0 | +8,833 | No | +$150 | 01-21 12:42 |
| bitcoin above 68k on february 10 | 30 | $8.5K | 8,930 | 0 | +8,930 | Yes | +$398 | 02-10 16:11 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 29? | 19 | $8.4K | 4,928 | 4,928 | +0 | Yes | -$558 | 05-29 14:30 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | 3 | $7.9K | 8,426 | 0 | +8,426 | No | +$514 | 06-01 12:39 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 1 | $7.5K | 7,812 | 0 | +7,812 | No | +$312 | 05-30 06:36 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31? | 16 | $7.4K | 4,457 | 4,457 | +0 | No | -$661 | 05-27 04:12 |
| Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30? | 51 | $6.6K | 6,799 | 0 | +6,799 | Yes | +$164 | 05-29 19:12 |
| bitcoin above 72k on april 9 | 11 | $6.4K | 5,066 | 2,863 | +2,203 | Yes | -$231 | 04-09 15:54 |
| bitcoin above 68k on february 13 | 10 | $6.1K | 3,624 | 3,624 | +0 | Yes | -$319 | 02-13 10:19 |
| Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31? | 64 | $5.8K | 5,966 | 0 | +5,966 | Yes | +$198 | 05-16 14:45 |
| bitcoin above 66k on june 15 2026 | 3 | $5.8K | 3,764 | 3,764 | +0 | Yes | -$1,016 | 06-14 23:19 |
| bitcoin above 70k on february 11 | 13 | $5.6K | 5,714 | 0 | +5,714 | No | +$107 | 02-11 14:07 |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026? | 52 | $5.6K | 5,833 | 0 | +5,833 | Yes | +$226 | 05-21 12:23 |
| odds of khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 over 50 by january 16 | 3 | $5.5K | 3,187 | 3,187 | +0 | No | -$587 | 01-14 19:44 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12? | 5 | $5.3K | 3,945 | 1,784 | +2,161 | No | -$155 | 05-11 08:34 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||