Joint-Recipient — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

51.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$30

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-11

last 07-19 10:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

67% 30% $-1

Politics

22% — —

Other

11% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No		-3	$-1	99¢	$-3	$-2	05-28 06:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	2	$7	6	6	+0	No	+$5	05-13 17:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	4	$5	12	12	+0	open	—	05-25 16:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	2	$2	103	0	+103	Down	$-2	05-12 09:40
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	2	$2	4	4	+0	open	—	05-29 15:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	05-14 11:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	1	$1	0	3	-3	open	—	05-28 06:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	1	$1	111	0	+111	Down	$-1	05-12 04:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	1	$1	11	0	+11	Down	$-1	05-12 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-11 11:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	1	$1	50	0	+50	Up	$-1	05-11 11:54
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team total away 2pt5	1	$1	11	0	+11	open	—	07-19 10:21
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team total home 1pt5	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	07-19 10:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	1	$1	143	0	+143	No	$-1	05-13 04:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-21 15:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-12 10:03
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	Down	$-1	05-12 10:22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Down	$-1	05-12 10:31
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?	1	$1	8	0	+8	open	—	05-13 17:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 10:22:25	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x208dbb…
07-19 10:21:22	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team total away 2pt5	Over	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x26a0a8…
05-29 15:23:35	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	No	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0xc0aca6…
05-29 15:21:20	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd638a3…
05-28 06:29:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x7e06f5…
05-25 16:04:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x4b0c41…
05-25 04:56:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x44a6b1…
05-24 15:08:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	2	87¢	$1	0xcd2a28…
05-24 13:21:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x1e7213…
05-21 15:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x3daa72…
05-14 11:33:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	3	18¢	$1	0x58e7c6…
05-13 17:46:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x40552e…
05-13 17:31:31	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x8ebe19…
05-13 17:25:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xc08cd6…
05-13 12:04:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc06f3a…
05-13 04:46:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xb19f0d…
05-12 10:31:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xa7c377…
05-12 10:22:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x905cd5…
05-12 10:14:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x313591…
05-12 10:03:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4131cb…
05-12 09:40:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc36370…
05-12 09:37:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xef6679…
05-12 04:53:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x0a6a2d…
05-11 11:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xcf3a63…
05-11 11:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x47357f…