Happy-Go-Lucky-Letter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.5%

Resolved

238

Trades

3,804

lifetime

Volume

$12.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 06-11 08:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 30% $-27

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 398 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 72k on april 9	5	$327	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	04-09 15:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 30?	13	$227	1,402	202	+1,200	open	—	04-30 15:54
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	6	$150	40,000	0	+40,000	open	—	06-04 00:34
bitcoin above 76k on april 22	5	$144	250	100	+150	open	—	04-22 03:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	3	$114	100	100	+0	open	—	05-01 17:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	10	$112	200	200	+0	open	—	04-30 09:34
btc updown 5m 1775838600	3	$105	110	100	+10	open	—	04-10 16:35
btc updown 5m 1775922300	2	$101	100	100	+0	open	—	04-11 15:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 28?	10	$95	120	100	+20	open	—	04-28 15:23
btc updown 5m 1775815500	2	$92	50	50	+0	open	—	04-10 10:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 27?	16	$87	380	60	+320	open	—	04-27 15:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	11	$86	100	100	+0	open	—	04-29 09:39
btc updown 5m 1775820000	4	$79	70	70	+0	open	—	04-10 11:25
btc updown 5m 1775826900	9	$78	60	59	+1	open	—	04-10 13:19
btc updown 5m 1775817600	3	$72	40	40	+0	open	—	04-10 10:45
bitcoin above 72k on april 7	20	$70	5,059	1,927	+3,132	open	—	04-07 13:12
btc updown 5m 1775813100	1	$59	97	0	+97	open	—	04-10 09:29
btc updown 5m 1775905200	3	$58	100	94	+6	open	—	04-11 11:02
btc updown 5m 1775909400	7	$57	87	86	+1	open	—	04-11 12:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	8	$55	50	50	+0	open	—	05-01 07:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	13	$55	200	200	+0	open	—	04-29 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	2	$53	50	50	+0	open	—	04-29 07:40
btc updown 5m 1775872800	7	$51	140	40	+100	open	—	04-11 02:05
btc updown 5m 1775814300	1	$50	56	0	+56	open	—	04-10 09:48
btc updown 5m 1775907900	7	$50	60	59	+1	open	—	04-11 11:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 29?	5	$49	2,040	40	+2,000	open	—	04-29 16:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 28?	5	$48	90	40	+50	open	—	04-28 09:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	3	$48	50	50	+0	open	—	05-19 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	9	$48	100	90	+10	open	—	05-02 05:50
btc updown 5m 1775818500	3	$46	30	30	+0	open	—	04-10 10:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 08:53:07	btc updown 5m 1781167800	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x728e6d…
06-11 08:42:12	btc updown 5m 1781167200	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x699411…
06-11 08:35:00	btc updown 5m 1781166600	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xb2585b…
06-09 15:08:46	btc updown 5m 1781017500	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x9281fa…
06-09 15:08:46	btc updown 5m 1781017500	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x202891…
06-09 15:08:45	btc updown 5m 1781017500	Down	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xbdc2d2…
06-09 15:08:45	btc updown 5m 1781017500	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x951e08…
06-09 15:08:45	btc updown 5m 1781017500	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x848aac…
06-09 15:08:45	btc updown 5m 1781017500	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3736c8…
06-09 15:08:45	btc updown 5m 1781017500	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x2ad111…
06-09 15:08:43	btc updown 5m 1781017500	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xf95a8e…
06-04 00:34:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9,313	0¢	$9	0xf0f4dd…
06-04 00:34:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	687	0¢	$1	0x524c82…
06-03 22:59:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$30	0xcd2d14…
06-03 14:21:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$50	0xbe5cfd…
06-03 13:47:02	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,418	1¢	$39	0x512a29…
06-03 13:47:00	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,582	1¢	$21	0x5d3654…
05-28 15:48:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x04c95e…
05-28 14:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x3dea66…
05-28 14:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x0480a2…
05-28 03:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x347dd8…
05-27 15:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xd2c8dd…
05-27 14:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x511484…
05-27 14:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xfb3ec5…
05-27 13:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9d804c…
05-27 13:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6ef4c0…
05-27 12:08:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2862ef…
05-26 15:57:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0xfe6348…
05-26 15:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x844508…
05-26 15:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x0b7ff3…
05-26 15:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xdfb00e…
05-26 15:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x87ea64…
05-26 04:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x036cba…
05-26 03:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x269687…
05-26 03:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x480b4a…
05-24 03:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x061008…
05-23 01:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0xc9c31a…
05-23 01:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0x5d9d88…
05-23 01:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xbcf0b3…
05-23 01:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0x722e3e…
05-23 01:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xbffa52…
05-23 01:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x103cbc…
05-23 01:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x31016b…
05-23 01:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x6ce13d…
05-23 01:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x48265a…
05-23 01:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x1b3452…
05-23 01:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xf18c18…
05-23 00:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x99c51a…
05-23 00:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc13db4…
05-23 00:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xdeff6b…
05-23 00:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x0433d6…
05-23 00:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x662976…
05-23 00:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x9bf9ff…
05-22 14:22:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x578fa1…
05-22 13:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x2fb2b4…
05-22 13:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x2ddc0e…
05-22 09:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xe7cfd6…
05-21 12:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x5e6858…
05-21 12:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x2185ba…
05-21 11:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x5a8ba7…
05-21 11:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xc95893…
05-21 11:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xfa0456…
05-21 10:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x0013c4…
05-21 10:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x423a83…
05-21 10:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	0	18¢	$0	0x03f803…
05-21 10:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x73f0b0…
05-21 10:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x572527…
05-21 10:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0x0e6ff4…
05-21 10:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xc44dd1…
05-21 10:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x827088…
05-21 10:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x7eb7d3…
05-21 09:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xbd6146…
05-21 09:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x5c5696…
05-21 09:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xeb5fd8…
05-21 09:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0xbb7f1e…
05-21 08:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x644efe…
05-21 08:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0xebe3e4…
05-21 08:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xbc15ff…
05-21 08:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x4c8500…
05-21 08:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x181e97…
05-21 08:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xdc5e8c…
05-21 08:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x75318d…
05-21 08:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0xc16d03…
05-21 08:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xeabebc…
05-21 08:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x74fb30…
05-21 08:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x4da009…
05-21 07:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x60a849…
05-21 07:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x8cf59d…
05-21 07:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x89572e…
05-21 07:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x3949ca…
05-21 07:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0x367f6d…
05-21 07:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x870e7a…
05-21 07:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x82d1d9…
05-21 07:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0xbc31c8…
05-21 07:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x5b1c72…
05-21 03:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x3026e6…
05-21 03:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x2eeff5…
05-21 02:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x88176a…
05-21 02:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0x589db0…
05-21 02:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	24¢	$0	0x5286f2…