Amazing-Sample — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$618

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

20.3%

Resolved

Trades

925

lifetime

Volume

$135.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$146

Open exposure

$12

1 position

First seen

2026-02-10

last 06-09 17:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 68% $-618

Other

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-18	$-13	68¢	$-12	+$1	06-02 02:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 70k on march 8	52	$19.2K	34,968	34,968	+0	open	—	03-07 01:59
bitcoin above 68k on march 3	97	$11.8K	15,441	15,441	+0	open	—	03-02 15:10
will ethereum reach 2100 march 2 8	28	$11.3K	9,240	9,240	+0	open	—	03-04 13:22
bitcoin above 66k on march 3	73	$10.9K	9,358	10,306	-948	open	—	03-02 15:11
bitcoin above 68k on march 5	33	$10.6K	10,601	10,601	+0	open	—	03-04 06:47
bitcoin above 68k on march 4	52	$7.2K	7,411	7,589	-178	open	—	03-04 15:27
bitcoin above 70k on march 5	32	$6.9K	11,419	11,907	-488	open	—	03-04 09:36
ethereum above 2100 on march 7	8	$5.9K	8,607	8,607	+0	open	—	03-06 13:08
ethereum above 2100 on march 8	8	$3.1K	7,087	7,086	+0	open	—	03-06 14:47
bitcoin above 72k on march 7	26	$2.8K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	03-05 15:21
bitcoin above 70k on march 9	5	$2.8K	7,960	7,960	+0	open	—	03-08 02:38
bitcoin above 74k on march 6	3	$2.7K	2,002	2,002	+0	open	—	03-05 06:10
bitcoin above 72k on march 8	19	$2.3K	2,567	2,567	+0	open	—	03-05 15:22
bitcoin above 72k on march 6	15	$2.3K	2,933	2,933	+0	open	—	03-05 04:17
will ethereum dip to 1800 in march 2026	4	$2.1K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-04 12:26
bitcoin above 72k on march 5	5	$2.1K	3,245	3,245	+0	open	—	03-04 15:59
ethereum above 2200 on march 6	4	$1.9K	4,425	4,425	+0	open	—	03-04 15:25
will ethereum reach 2300 march 2 8	85	$1.9K	4,116	4,116	+0	open	—	03-05 09:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	3	$1.8K	1,766	1,766	+0	open	—	05-08 04:15
will ethereum reach 2200 march 2 8	5	$1.6K	1,580	1,580	+0	open	—	03-05 08:43
bitcoin above 70k on march 4	30	$1.5K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	03-03 10:47
bitcoin up or down on march 8	13	$1.3K	2,510	2,499	+11	open	—	03-08 05:04
bitcoin above 68k on april 4	10	$1.3K	5,500	21	+5,479	open	—	04-03 08:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?	7	$1.2K	1,300	1,300	+0	No	$-61	05-05 10:58
bitcoin up or down on march 7	5	$1.2K	1,878	1,863	+15	open	—	03-07 11:15
bitcoin above 70k on march 3	20	$1.1K	4,118	4,118	+0	open	—	03-01 17:01
bitcoin up or down on march 4	2	$1.0K	524	524	+0	open	—	03-04 15:27
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	6	$967	66,188	80,110	-13,922	open	—	06-03 03:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 4-10?	8	$944	2,541	2,541	+0	No	$-74	05-05 10:54
bitcoin above 68k on march 9	6	$892	1,011	1,011	+0	open	—	03-08 10:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 17:18:52	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 8 14 2026	Yes	BUY	1	60¢	$0	0xb2efa3…
06-09 17:18:49	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 8 14 2026	Yes	BUY	37	60¢	$22	0x0ff228…
06-09 16:19:13	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 8 14 2026	Yes	SELL	32	75¢	$24	0x72e178…
06-09 14:42:43	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 8 14 2026	Yes	BUY	32	68¢	$21	0xf9ffad…
06-09 14:38:18	bitcoin up or down on june 9 2026	Down	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xcc095f…
06-08 16:20:52	bitcoin up or down on june 9 2026	Down	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0xd04f7f…
06-08 15:18:43	btc updown 15m 1780931700	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x005899…
06-08 15:14:37	bitcoin above 64k on june 8 2026	No	SELL	34	27¢	$9	0x685f01…
06-08 05:28:54	bitcoin above 64k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	34	84¢	$28	0x855668…
06-08 05:28:28	bitcoin above 62k on june 8 2026	No	SELL	104	28¢	$30	0x03cfe4…
06-07 08:57:46	bitcoin above 62k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	104	35¢	$37	0x1fafd7…
06-07 07:13:31	bitcoin above 62k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x906099…
06-04 03:15:39	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	569	25¢	$142	0x27b819…
06-03 16:05:52	Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?	Yes	BUY	569	40¢	$227	0x3a10ae…
06-03 03:57:38	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	79,980	0¢	$240	0x327769…
06-02 15:15:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57,143	1¢	$400	0xad15bd…
06-02 10:37:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8,915	1¢	$98	0xf7d2b5…
06-02 02:10:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	71¢	$13	0x2201e9…
06-02 02:10:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	129	100¢	$129	0x47ee58…
06-01 01:00:55	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x0332c1…
06-01 01:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	21	62¢	$13	0x41a4ef…
05-30 07:13:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0xc7b3d7…
05-30 07:13:50	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0xbb4b32…
05-27 08:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 27?	Up	SELL	189	27¢	$50	0xf3561b…
05-27 03:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	148	27¢	$40	0x1361ea…
05-27 03:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	41	27¢	$11	0x201ba9…
05-26 16:21:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 25-31?	Yes	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0xff6012…
05-26 14:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 26?	Down	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0x6641d3…
05-22 03:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x126eeb…
05-18 16:34:37	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 May 18-24?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xce93b4…
05-13 16:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x7252c6…
05-13 16:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x959287…
05-13 16:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x3d62db…
05-13 16:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xdd74ce…
05-13 16:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x622ff4…
05-13 16:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xfc5326…
05-13 16:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xa2be02…
05-13 16:53:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0xcd2328…
05-13 16:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x833d0f…
05-13 16:20:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 13?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x9789b9…
05-13 16:19:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xe3f4e7…
05-13 16:19:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0xab6726…
05-13 16:19:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?	No	SELL	20	68¢	$13	0xea978e…
05-13 16:19:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	No	SELL	19	77¢	$15	0x599ba0…
05-13 16:19:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?	No	SELL	41	36¢	$15	0xf93714…
05-13 16:19:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18?	No	SELL	39	39¢	$15	0xd6550d…
05-13 16:19:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	SELL	27	63¢	$17	0x0d592c…
05-13 15:34:58	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x483222…
05-13 15:19:08	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x193b69…
05-13 15:17:23	Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	Natus Vincere	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1f5ff1…
05-13 15:16:57	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0028b0…
05-13 15:16:20	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0xe6c04f…
05-13 15:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xf61404…
05-13 15:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xc0e34e…
05-13 15:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xa09764…
05-13 15:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa42b94…
05-13 14:58:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 13?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xab0f0c…
05-13 14:56:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x476363…
05-13 14:56:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	39	28¢	$11	0x3048ab…
05-13 14:56:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	41	27¢	$11	0xed6099…
05-13 14:55:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x63820f…
05-13 14:55:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xdfdbf1…
05-13 14:55:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	19	58¢	$11	0xb186d1…
05-13 14:54:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x78594e…
05-13 14:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	8	97¢	$7	0x58e665…
05-13 14:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	9	76¢	$7	0x71e1a9…
05-13 14:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xfd4921…
05-13 14:51:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x6dc478…
05-09 15:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x700986…
05-09 15:04:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x74781d…
05-09 15:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	32	13¢	$4	0x446305…
05-09 15:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x2f60e4…
05-09 15:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x0f2321…
05-09 13:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0x75c127…
05-09 13:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	82	31¢	$25	0xde154d…
05-09 13:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	74	31¢	$23	0x2d2d63…
05-09 13:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xb94f86…
05-09 13:34:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0x0bda1a…
05-09 13:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	373	27¢	$100	0xadf043…
05-09 13:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	368	27¢	$100	0xaaaf59…
05-09 13:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x267acb…
05-09 13:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xb3794b…
05-09 13:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xaf46d6…
05-09 13:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x69c340…
05-09 13:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe931c5…
05-09 13:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6448bc…
05-09 13:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x8f355c…
05-09 13:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xeb4702…
05-09 13:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9f66c9…
05-09 13:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x28ed99…
05-09 13:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xa86639…
05-09 13:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xfb0afa…
05-09 13:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xe980cd…
05-09 13:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xa2685d…
05-09 13:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x9b1bdf…
05-09 13:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x507f07…
05-09 13:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	119	4¢	$5	0x208c4b…
05-09 13:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x785900…
05-09 13:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa58020…
05-09 12:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	92	37¢	$34	0x06cce4…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Crooked-Noir 0x4ee2…46e1	61	$318.3K	12,771	06-09 16:38
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	61	$89.7K	798	06-09 06:43
Austere-Heavy 0xeee9…7ecb	60	$1.45M	21,028	06-10 02:26
(anonymous) 0x997c…251e	58	$1.24M	51,366	06-10 00:48
Oily-Container 0x0fe4…01b7	57	$1.20M	5,832	06-10 00:58
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	57	$6.90K	1,562	06-09 14:56
Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a	53	$2.00M	57,969	06-10 03:31
Clear-Tower 0xddcd…725f	53	$2.00K	832	06-09 13:40