Extroverted-Trigger — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$31.5K

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

69.4%

Resolved

2,941

Trades

3,147

lifetime

Volume

$666.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$212

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 21:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 284 days

Categories

Other

83% 45% -$24,612

Crypto

17% 25% -$6,949

Sports

0% 43% -$51

Politics

0% 67% +$109

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		+125	$10	2¢	$2	-$8	05-09 18:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	1	$12.4K	13,333	0	+13,333	No	-$12,400	06-15 13:20
fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	2	$11.0K	12,593	0	+12,593	Germany	+$1,625	06-14 12:29
bitcoin above 74k on april 21	2	$9.7K	4,883	4,877	+6	Yes	+$78	04-21 17:43
bitcoin above 76k on april 23	2	$9.1K	4,643	4,632	+10	Yes	+$138	04-23 17:25
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	1	$8.7K	9,657	0	+9,657	Yes	+$966	06-21 14:13
bitcoin above 74k on april 19	2	$8.7K	4,377	4,371	+6	Yes	+$72	04-19 16:36
bun bay stu 2026 04 19 total 4pt5	2	$8.3K	4,295	4,286	+9	Over	+$290	04-19 19:06
bitcoin above 76k on april 16	2	$7.9K	4,087	4,067	+21	No	+$283	04-16 17:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 27?	3	$7.8K	4,127	3,942	+185	Yes	+$31	04-27 16:47
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?	1	$7.5K	8,427	0	+8,427	Yes	+$927	06-19 21:14
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 4pt5	2	$7.1K	8,692	0	+8,692	Over	+$592	07-18 21:52
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 1pt5	3	$6.2K	7,071	821	+6,250	Cabo Verde	-$4,599	06-15 18:02
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	2	$6.0K	3,859	3,859	+0	France	+$10	07-09 20:56
bitcoin above 68k on june 4 2026	2	$5.9K	3,118	3,118	+0	No	+$150	06-04 04:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?	2	$5.6K	3,417	3,417	+0	Yes	-$992	05-04 10:21
bitcoin above 64k on june 5 2026	3	$5.2K	3,165	3,056	+108	No	-$677	06-05 08:05
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	1	$5.0K	5,376	0	+5,376	France	+$376	07-04 18:09
VfL Osnabrück vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5	1	$5.0K	5,504	0	+5,504	Over	+$504	09-02 18:21
FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5	2	$5.0K	6,204	0	+6,204	Over	+$1,204	08-31 18:10
fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 total 1pt5	1	$5.0K	5,495	0	+5,495	Over	+$495	06-22 20:47
bitcoin above 62k on june 6 2026 188	2	$4.7K	2,489	2,489	+0	No	+$286	06-06 16:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	3	$4.7K	2,477	2,360	+118	Yes	+$37	05-05 18:17
bitcoin above 76k on april 24	1	$4.5K	4,646	0	+4,646	Yes	+$146	04-24 09:05
spl nsr ett 2026 04 24 nsr	2	$4.0K	2,165	2,155	+10	Yes	+$323	04-15 20:04
bitcoin above 76k on april 15	2	$3.7K	1,853	1,850	+3	No	+$35	04-15 18:16
Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 2.5	2	$3.6K	1,954	1,954	+0	Over	+$258	06-09 19:14
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5	2	$3.4K	1,871	1,871	+0	Over	+$369	05-04 18:11
bitcoin above 78k on august 31 2026	2	$3.2K	2,461	2,461	+0	Yes	-$795	08-31 12:30
bitcoin above 76k on february 5	1	$3.2K	3,230	0	+3,230	No	+$40	02-05 10:51
Will Kosovo win on 2026-06-07?	2	$3.1K	1,687	1,687	+0	Yes	+$285	06-07 20:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 21:46:02	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	93	42¢	$39	0xcc4256…
10-27 20:10:27	Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xf8cf4f…
10-27 20:00:59	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0xcefb48…
10-27 19:36:20	AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x6579d4…
10-27 19:34:32	Al-Shamal vs. Al Hilal SFC: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	155	100¢	$154	0xa27575…
10-27 19:29:23	Al-Shamal vs. Al Hilal SFC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	155	82¢	$127	0xb8bbf6…
10-27 18:24:15	UD Pinatar vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x58690f…
10-27 18:17:08	US Sassuolo Calcio vs. SS Lazio: O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0xa4e731…
10-27 18:12:59	Will VfL Bochum win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x3a1c32…
10-27 18:12:32	SG Sonnenhof Großaspach vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xec3b15…
10-27 18:12:03	Will Rot-Weiss Essen vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xdfe946…
10-27 17:03:26	Spread: Girona FC (-1.5)	Girona FC	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xa6629d…
10-27 17:02:39	Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x347252…
10-27 17:01:39	GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. HNK Rijeka: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xd8cd82…
10-27 17:00:44	Will Al Hilal SFC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x90e6aa…
10-27 08:11:44	Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xc07929…
10-26 17:29:35	Will FC København win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	719	70¢	$504	0x271e70…
10-26 09:35:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	140	7¢	$10	0x56eb91…
10-25 21:12:53	Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x0fa121…
10-25 21:11:02	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	334	3¢	$10	0x81b303…
10-25 20:31:08	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0xdee2bf…
10-25 19:32:56	Union Saint-Gilloise vs. Cercle Brugge: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	244	82¢	$200	0x445b88…
10-25 19:31:36	Will Rio Ave FC vs. FC Famalicão end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	150	20¢	$30	0x29905c…
10-25 19:31:20	Will CD Nacional vs. SC Braga end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	91	33¢	$30	0xa5d329…
10-25 18:27:21	AZ vs. FC Twente: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x3e8b59…
10-25 16:07:02	Legia Warszawa vs. KKS Lech Poznan: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	111	64¢	$71	0x08306d…
10-25 16:04:11	RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0xdbd2d2…
10-25 15:38:18	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	1,071	0¢	$5	0x00d902…
10-25 15:37:20	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	91	33¢	$30	0x6508f2…
10-25 15:36:09	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x9df5fd…
10-25 15:34:42	PSV vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	135	100¢	$135	0xe4d782…
10-25 14:56:59	Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	64	83¢	$53	0x9ed79e…
10-25 14:54:41	Will AS Monaco FC vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0xde0fa5…
10-25 14:41:27	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	312	16¢	$50	0xbeb6dd…
10-25 14:31:50	Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x919e06…
10-25 14:27:18	Atalanta BC vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	247	81¢	$200	0x341241…
10-25 13:20:14	NEC vs. FC Groningen: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0xa5259e…
10-25 13:19:36	PSV vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0xa27f72…
10-25 13:18:51	Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xfdf4f6…
10-25 13:18:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	81	12¢	$10	0xd1524d…
10-24 19:08:18	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	387	79¢	$306	0x61876d…
10-24 18:25:24	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0x2205a0…
10-24 17:34:32	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-24?	No	SELL	154	78¢	$120	0x91a1b7…
10-24 17:33:53	Will SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xc1df3a…
10-24 17:21:06	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0x58b6c7…
10-24 17:04:35	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xdd19ae…
10-24 17:03:56	FC Utrecht vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	213	100¢	$213	0x20113c…
10-24 16:08:14	FC Utrecht vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	213	54¢	$115	0x275aea…
10-24 16:05:08	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x15f56a…
10-24 16:04:53	SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	162	62¢	$100	0x26d2dc…
10-24 14:10:48	Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	347	86¢	$300	0xe929eb…
10-24 14:09:24	FC Utrecht vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0xedd7b0…
10-24 14:08:20	RB Leipzig vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x5d2518…
10-24 14:07:59	Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	111	27¢	$30	0xa9144f…
10-24 14:07:06	Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0xe641d4…
10-24 13:32:00	Will Córdoba CF vs. SD Eibar end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x7b9d1e…
10-24 12:27:15	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x8b9a1a…
10-24 11:55:56	Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xad51e6…
10-24 09:35:30	Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xbb9c33…
10-23 20:09:17	Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0xd5f9a6…
10-23 17:12:59	Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x966d76…
10-22 20:32:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xa5ccd1…
10-22 20:31:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x786b15…
10-22 20:31:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x44233b…
10-22 20:31:17	Will FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. PFK Levski Sofia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x98fd00…
10-22 20:27:18	Will Jagiellonia Białystok vs. RSC Anderlecht end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xf851b1…
10-22 20:26:18	Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x46d958…
10-22 19:02:15	AFC Ajax vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x1ebd47…
10-22 18:58:26	Will Celtic FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xe9aac0…
10-22 18:58:21	Will Lillestrøm SK vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x84f157…
10-22 18:54:59	Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x0d24b4…
10-22 18:53:47	Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xeb66a3…
10-22 18:53:41	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0xa90721…
10-22 18:51:44	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x74eb33…
10-22 18:51:26	AFC Bournemouth vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x2c419b…
10-22 18:21:15	Will Páfos FC vs. Rīga FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xa995a8…
10-22 17:52:47	FK Crvena zvezda vs. FC København: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x9ea597…
10-22 17:30:59	Juventus FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	49	20¢	$10	0xde8c27…
10-22 17:17:14	Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	62	64¢	$40	0x3164eb…
10-22 17:15:29	Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0xd8f422…
10-22 17:15:05	Juventus FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xa8cf7c…
10-22 17:14:35	Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	138	7¢	$10	0x5faf24…
10-22 17:14:11	Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xce3589…
10-22 17:13:48	FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. SK Brann: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xe41b7d…
10-22 17:13:24	Will FC Lugano win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xc41f86…
10-21 07:23:00	Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x42faa0…
10-21 07:22:08	Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)	Sporting CP	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xb5e4a7…
10-21 07:21:36	Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)	FC Internazionale Milano	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xb08ce6…
10-21 07:20:47	Aston Villa FC vs. Viking FK: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xa62687…
10-21 07:20:35	Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x649d35…
10-21 07:20:26	Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x95e1e4…
10-21 07:20:12	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-3.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x9d1988…
10-21 07:19:50	Will FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xb71769…
10-21 07:19:39	Will Lille OSC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xf17eef…
10-21 07:15:24	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xd632ab…
10-20 16:05:39	Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x71c990…
10-20 13:16:42	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x5c2ed9…
10-20 13:16:23	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	286	3¢	$10	0xfe97b9…
10-20 13:15:20	FC Porto vs. PSV: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x9607e5…
10-20 13:14:53	Liverpool FC vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xfa8fa0…