Paltry-Singing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.09K

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

85.9%

Resolved

6,225

Trades

17,889

lifetime

Volume

$251.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$404

13 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 10-30 09:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 184 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 77% -$519

Other

34% 57% -$1,367

Politics

4% 43% +$520

Sports

1% 31% -$648

Tech

0% 50% -$67

Pop-Culture

0% 17% -$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 983 trades/day

Open positions (13) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+105	$88	82¢	$86	-$2	10-04 14:03
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	+152	$77	54¢	$81	+$4	10-23 19:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30?	Yes	+50	$44	91¢	$46	+$1	10-29 23:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 30?	Yes	+45	$40	98¢	$44	+$4	10-30 00:23
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 30?	Yes	+43	$34	85¢	$37	+$3	10-30 00:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	No	+58	$38	63¢	$36	-$2	10-30 01:21
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?	No	+24	$23	96¢	$24	+$0	10-02 22:04
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?	No	+22	$21	97¢	$22	+$0	10-21 00:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	+16	$15	99¢	$16	+$1	10-21 05:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 30?	No	+10	$2	96¢	$10	+$8	10-29 16:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	Yes	+10	$7	37¢	$4	-$4	10-29 22:24
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 30?	Yes	+42	$5	1¢	$0	-$5	10-29 15:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 30?	Yes	+50	$4	0¢	$0	-$4	10-29 08:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 66k on august 1 2026	5	$3.2K	1,603	1,603	+0	No	+$12	07-31 23:39
bitcoin above 66k on july 30 2026	33	$2.7K	1,350	1,350	+0	No	+$34	07-30 14:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 28?	43	$2.6K	1,322	1,322	+0	No	+$56	07-28 15:39
bitcoin above 64k on august 15 2026	22	$2.5K	1,242	1,242	+0	No	+$13	08-15 15:30
bitcoin above 64k on august 16 2026	8	$2.4K	1,225	1,225	+0	No	+$21	08-16 13:58
bitcoin above 66k on august 11 2026	6	$2.2K	1,133	1,133	+0	No	+$27	08-11 14:23
bitcoin above 66k on august 12 2026	18	$2.2K	1,109	1,109	+0	No	+$11	08-12 14:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 14?	39	$2.2K	1,115	1,115	+0	No	+$45	08-14 15:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 4?	8	$2.0K	1,027	1,027	+0	No	+$9	08-04 16:02
bitcoin above 64k on august 1 2026	5	$2.0K	1,027	1,027	+0	No	+$27	08-01 13:13
bitcoin above 66k on august 8 2026	6	$1.9K	972	972	+0	No	+$14	08-08 13:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 30?	24	$1.9K	996	996	+0	No	+$64	07-30 12:22
bitcoin above 66k on august 5 2026	46	$1.9K	957	957	+0	No	+$25	08-05 15:24
bitcoin above 66k on august 14 2026	7	$1.7K	876	876	+0	No	+$16	08-14 12:13
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	45	$1.6K	1,658	1,658	+0	No	+$219	06-25 08:00
bitcoin above 66k on august 10 2026	6	$1.4K	776	776	+0	No	+$135	08-10 15:03
bitcoin above 68k on july 28 2026	2	$1.3K	635	635	+0	No	+$6	07-28 03:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 7?	11	$1.2K	624	624	+0	No	+$7	08-07 15:39
bitcoin above 66k on august 9 2026	7	$1.2K	631	631	+0	No	+$32	08-09 15:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 6?	60	$1.2K	623	623	+0	No	+$19	08-06 15:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 29?	37	$1.2K	1,278	0	+1,278	No	+$73	07-28 17:32
bitcoin above 66k on july 31 2026	3	$1.1K	1,209	0	+1,209	No	+$97	07-31 01:02
bitcoin above 66k on july 27 2026	19	$997	1,120	0	+1,120	No	+$123	07-26 19:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 25?	5	$972	986	0	+986	No	+$13	07-24 18:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 9?	19	$926	471	471	+0	No	+$16	08-09 16:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 10?	12	$925	498	498	+0	No	+$71	08-10 16:01
bitcoin above 66k on august 6 2026	14	$893	456	456	+0	No	+$19	08-06 15:24
bitcoin above 66k on august 7 2026	6	$885	446	446	+0	No	+$7	08-07 15:23
bitcoin above 66k on july 24 2026	20	$766	803	0	+803	No	+$37	07-24 12:06
bitcoin above 68k on july 23 2026	15	$749	765	0	+765	No	+$16	07-23 07:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 10:42:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x1d9d8a…
10-30 10:40:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 30?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x510c9a…
10-30 10:34:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x303ccf…
10-30 10:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x9880c1…
10-30 10:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xcdd630…
10-30 10:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	92¢	$0	0x5f9a05…
10-30 10:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xe111d4…
10-30 10:32:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0xa16b37…
10-30 10:32:40	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on October 30?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xce1f43…
10-30 10:07:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	42	94¢	$40	0x864754…
10-30 10:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x3fee80…
10-30 09:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x23412d…
10-30 09:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	35	95¢	$34	0x70ffb9…
10-30 09:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	95¢	$6	0xaaf78e…
10-30 09:22:18	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 30?	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x137556…
10-30 09:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x16d39e…
10-30 08:57:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 30?	No	BUY	4	92¢	$3	0x4a0644…
10-30 08:56:55	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x04d08f…
10-30 08:15:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 30?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x5c83c6…
10-30 08:07:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0x31ba4c…
10-30 07:47:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x7fb42b…
10-30 07:47:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x62b77b…
10-30 07:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	40	98¢	$40	0xe9e1ec…
10-30 07:47:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb52cce…
10-30 07:42:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x101dbe…
10-30 07:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x76e400…
10-30 07:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x354492…
10-30 07:35:49	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 30?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x225ace…
10-30 07:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0xcc5fbb…
10-30 07:31:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0x205fea…
10-30 07:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0xed6677…
10-30 07:23:01	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 30?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x0fc186…
10-30 07:08:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 30?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x03b90c…
10-30 07:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 30?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$29	0xfc135e…
10-30 06:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0xb6e0ab…
10-30 05:57:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0xa70337…
10-30 05:54:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x4fe917…
10-30 05:32:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0xfd3739…
10-30 05:32:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0xe338a4…
10-30 05:11:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x99bb28…
10-30 05:11:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x6b00f6…
10-30 05:09:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 30?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x194276…
10-30 05:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x6a1882…
10-30 05:02:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xd81791…
10-30 05:02:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	95¢	$12	0xaab7b0…
10-30 05:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	94¢	$14	0x86989c…
10-30 05:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	23	94¢	$22	0x5553fe…
10-30 05:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xe8997f…
10-30 05:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x6ab686…
10-30 04:24:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x689882…
10-30 04:23:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xb5450e…
10-30 04:17:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xb52c1a…
10-30 04:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	19	93¢	$17	0xda65a1…
10-30 04:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	24	93¢	$23	0x31feff…
10-30 04:11:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0xe6eaba…
10-30 04:11:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x1eebfc…
10-30 04:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0xe74d04…
10-30 04:04:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x1893c7…
10-30 04:04:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x13408f…
10-30 04:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x5c7922…
10-30 04:01:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0xe0d51c…
10-30 04:01:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	28	93¢	$26	0x8c7787…
10-30 03:57:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 30?	No	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x40cca0…
10-30 03:48:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0x29d881…
10-30 03:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0xea1401…
10-30 03:36:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0xce6787…
10-30 03:36:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x871f5b…
10-30 03:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0xd26438…
10-30 03:32:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 31?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0xe885b2…
10-30 03:24:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x8c001d…
10-30 03:17:19	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	92¢	$8	0xc8d804…
10-30 03:09:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x9346dc…
10-30 03:00:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 30?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x4c7266…
10-30 02:37:18	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 31?	No	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0x18a64e…
10-30 02:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on October 30?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x6a4d4d…
10-30 01:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x0b2e00…
10-30 01:30:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x45fff8…
10-30 01:21:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x53492a…
10-30 01:04:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xf5e10e…
10-30 01:04:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x54b574…
10-30 00:51:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x5ca1ee…
10-30 00:49:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x2402da…
10-30 00:47:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xd5778e…
10-30 00:44:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x166a9c…
10-30 00:43:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x735063…
10-30 00:42:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xe8d65f…
10-30 00:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe0049e…
10-30 00:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0x74de02…
10-30 00:35:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xf47e49…
10-30 00:33:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xce8a24…
10-30 00:31:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xe99fe4…
10-30 00:30:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xc35ef5…
10-30 00:30:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x0cf286…
10-30 00:30:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x8a1fd3…
10-30 00:29:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x2a9439…
10-30 00:28:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	7	89¢	$7	0x7be603…
10-30 00:27:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xd41c90…
10-30 00:27:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x130866…
10-30 00:24:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x7f1d9c…
10-30 00:23:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xc5f750…