Paltry-Singing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.66K

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

85.3%

Resolved

5,733

Trades

16,782

lifetime

Volume

$233.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$218

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 10-27 01:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 181 days

Categories

Crypto

59% 75% -$513

Other

35% 54% -$939

Politics

5% 43% +$520

Sports

1% 31% -$648

Tech

0% 50% -$67

Pop-Culture

0% 17% -$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 983 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+105	$88	82¢	$86	-$3	10-04 14:03
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	+152	$77	48¢	$72	-$5	10-23 19:18
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?	No	+24	$23	97¢	$24	+$0	10-02 22:04
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?	No	+22	$21	97¢	$21	+$0	10-21 00:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	+16	$15	98¢	$15	+$0	10-21 05:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 66k on august 1 2026	5	$3.2K	1,603	1,603	+0	No	+$12	07-31 23:39
bitcoin above 66k on july 30 2026	33	$2.7K	1,350	1,350	+0	No	+$34	07-30 14:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 28?	43	$2.6K	1,322	1,322	+0	No	+$56	07-28 15:39
bitcoin above 64k on august 15 2026	22	$2.5K	1,242	1,242	+0	No	+$13	08-15 15:30
bitcoin above 64k on august 16 2026	8	$2.4K	1,225	1,225	+0	No	+$21	08-16 13:58
bitcoin above 66k on august 11 2026	6	$2.2K	1,133	1,133	+0	No	+$27	08-11 14:23
bitcoin above 66k on august 12 2026	18	$2.2K	1,109	1,109	+0	No	+$11	08-12 14:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 14?	39	$2.2K	1,115	1,115	+0	No	+$45	08-14 15:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 4?	8	$2.0K	1,027	1,027	+0	No	+$9	08-04 16:02
bitcoin above 64k on august 1 2026	5	$2.0K	1,027	1,027	+0	No	+$27	08-01 13:13
bitcoin above 66k on august 8 2026	6	$1.9K	972	972	+0	No	+$14	08-08 13:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 30?	24	$1.9K	996	996	+0	No	+$64	07-30 12:22
bitcoin above 66k on august 5 2026	46	$1.9K	957	957	+0	No	+$25	08-05 15:24
bitcoin above 66k on august 14 2026	7	$1.7K	876	876	+0	No	+$16	08-14 12:13
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	45	$1.6K	1,658	1,658	+0	No	+$219	06-25 08:00
bitcoin above 66k on august 10 2026	6	$1.4K	776	776	+0	No	+$135	08-10 15:03
bitcoin above 68k on july 28 2026	2	$1.3K	635	635	+0	No	+$6	07-28 03:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 7?	11	$1.2K	624	624	+0	No	+$7	08-07 15:39
bitcoin above 66k on august 9 2026	7	$1.2K	631	631	+0	No	+$32	08-09 15:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 6?	60	$1.2K	623	623	+0	No	+$19	08-06 15:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 29?	37	$1.2K	1,278	0	+1,278	No	+$73	07-28 17:32
bitcoin above 66k on july 31 2026	3	$1.1K	1,209	0	+1,209	No	+$97	07-31 01:02
bitcoin above 66k on july 27 2026	19	$997	1,120	0	+1,120	No	+$123	07-26 19:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 25?	5	$972	986	0	+986	No	+$13	07-24 18:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 9?	19	$926	471	471	+0	No	+$16	08-09 16:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 10?	12	$925	498	498	+0	No	+$71	08-10 16:01
bitcoin above 66k on august 6 2026	14	$893	456	456	+0	No	+$19	08-06 15:24
bitcoin above 66k on august 7 2026	6	$885	446	446	+0	No	+$7	08-07 15:23
bitcoin above 66k on july 24 2026	20	$766	803	0	+803	No	+$37	07-24 12:06
bitcoin above 68k on july 23 2026	15	$749	765	0	+765	No	+$16	07-23 07:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 03:05:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x77fd8c…
10-27 03:02:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x1e943f…
10-27 03:02:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x1cccf3…
10-27 02:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xdd01b3…
10-27 01:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0x45e1df…
10-27 01:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x0f7e74…
10-27 01:43:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xb0fded…
10-27 01:43:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x86ea9d…
10-27 01:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x551ea0…
10-27 01:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	98¢	$40	0xb34558…
10-27 01:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	40	98¢	$40	0x751be0…
10-27 01:17:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	40	98¢	$40	0xc72d89…
10-27 01:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x05b53a…
10-27 01:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xe4b1d4…
10-27 01:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xbb20e0…
10-27 01:06:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0xfdc25b…
10-27 01:06:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xbc5221…
10-27 01:06:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x98c458…
10-27 01:06:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0x820285…
10-27 01:06:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x64af5e…
10-27 00:57:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 27?	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x51c455…
10-27 00:44:47	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 27?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x82f96a…
10-27 00:43:26	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 27?	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xcdfa7a…
10-27 00:43:26	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 27?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x17569f…
10-27 00:41:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x671491…
10-27 00:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	42	94¢	$40	0x26d2c8…
10-27 00:36:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	36	96¢	$35	0xa8b321…
10-27 00:36:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x418c7f…
10-27 00:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x464c62…
10-27 00:09:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 27?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x6028e8…
10-27 00:09:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 27?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x3bac32…
10-27 00:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xd0a357…
10-27 00:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	33	93¢	$31	0x7ec88b…
10-27 00:07:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xbabf18…
10-27 00:07:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x8ea7da…
10-27 00:07:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	92¢	$16	0x8f9e0a…
10-27 00:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0xa4029b…
10-27 00:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	42	94¢	$40	0x1f8695…
10-27 00:07:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x6082c8…
10-27 00:05:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 27?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x37fef9…
10-26 23:53:08	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 27?	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x5bd160…
10-26 23:51:08	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on October 27?	No	BUY	18	92¢	$17	0x5ced0a…
10-26 23:39:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 27?	No	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0x44fc7c…
10-26 23:37:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x7c46ea…
10-26 23:37:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	34	94¢	$32	0x799647…
10-26 23:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0x95b20c…
10-26 23:37:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	16	92¢	$14	0xac7e3d…
10-26 23:37:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0x4b7593…
10-26 23:37:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x500c72…
10-26 23:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	40	98¢	$40	0x022934…
10-26 23:26:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x3eced7…
10-26 23:23:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	26	93¢	$24	0x290bfb…
10-26 23:23:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0x0222b8…
10-26 23:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x960ddf…
10-26 23:05:38	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on October 27?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x3fa5b1…
10-26 23:04:35	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 27?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$7	0x03600c…
10-26 23:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on October 27?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x666ab6…
10-26 23:03:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0xca61f4…
10-26 23:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x6a1d8c…
10-26 23:03:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0xc2ba26…
10-26 23:02:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x77f13c…
10-26 23:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	27	98¢	$27	0x74d677…
10-26 23:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x4166d9…
10-26 22:21:20	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 27?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x67f7f8…
10-26 22:10:15	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 27?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xf55328…
10-26 22:07:14	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on October 28?	No	BUY	31	92¢	$28	0x7aab3d…
10-26 22:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	40	98¢	$40	0xea40dc…
10-26 22:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0xf1fbef…
10-26 22:04:39	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on October 26?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x16c1e0…
10-26 22:04:15	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on October 26?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf91eab…
10-26 22:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on October 26?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x50f19b…
10-26 21:58:12	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 27?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xdb7411…
10-26 21:44:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xddbbac…
10-26 21:37:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	40	98¢	$40	0x943bf8…
10-26 21:36:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0xf71968…
10-26 21:34:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 27?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x4187a6…
10-26 21:32:57	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xf9a97a…
10-26 21:32:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x474d1e…
10-26 21:30:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x5fb476…
10-26 21:27:47	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on October 27?	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x80b829…
10-26 21:19:03	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x92ba15…
10-26 21:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	42	94¢	$40	0xc02f59…
10-26 21:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0x1245af…
10-26 21:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x6c1f19…
10-26 21:01:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	40	98¢	$40	0x8168da…
10-26 20:43:57	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 26?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x6f7a0b…
10-26 20:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x64764d…
10-26 20:35:35	LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winner	LOS	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x151365…
10-26 20:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x9201e3…
10-26 20:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0xb97005…
10-26 20:27:54	LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winner	LOS	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0x6e50de…
10-26 20:27:06	LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winner	LOS	SELL	19	31¢	$6	0x9dbc84…
10-26 20:15:48	LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winner	LOS	SELL	9	69¢	$6	0x48e780…
10-26 20:14:23	LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winner	LOS	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0xbb4bd7…
10-26 20:14:14	LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winner	LOS	BUY	16	53¢	$9	0x76ffa9…
10-26 20:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xc247a0…
10-26 20:08:56	LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winner	LOS	BUY	8	54¢	$5	0x1a6c2b…
10-26 20:08:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x5038de…
10-26 20:07:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	34	92¢	$31	0xfbb2d9…
10-26 20:02:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x12473d…