Oval-Guilty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$877

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$8.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$184

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 06-23 15:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 38% $-877

Other

27% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18?	2	$634	1,546	0	+1,546	open	—	05-17 20:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	3	$605	802	0	+802	No	$-605	05-13 04:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?	2	$517	1,700	0	+1,700	open	—	05-18 19:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?	1	$505	523	0	+523	open	—	05-28 11:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	3	$469	510	0	+510	open	—	05-23 11:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	1	$400	421	0	+421	Yes	+$21	05-11 14:38
fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 team total away 0pt5	2	$396	357	357	+0	open	—	06-17 16:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?	1	$381	658	0	+658	open	—	05-17 04:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?	2	$367	453	0	+453	open	—	05-14 20:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?	2	$321	803	0	+803	open	—	05-20 20:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	1	$315	500	0	+500	open	—	05-12 22:17
fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 total 2pt5	1	$300	600	0	+600	open	—	06-22 16:58
fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 3pt5	1	$300	526	0	+526	open	—	06-23 15:43
fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 team total home 1pt5	1	$300	448	0	+448	open	—	06-17 15:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	1	$243	300	0	+300	Yes	+$57	05-12 10:48
fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 goals cristiano ronaldo gte1	1	$223	484	0	+484	open	—	06-17 16:11
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20?	1	$200	606	0	+606	open	—	05-19 21:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 20?	1	$200	1,111	0	+1,111	open	—	05-19 21:13
fifwc irn nzl 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	1	$200	323	0	+323	open	—	06-16 00:28
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$200	286	0	+286	open	—	05-12 10:46
fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 3pt5	1	$111	300	0	+300	open	—	06-20 16:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	1	$110	250	0	+250	Up	$-110	05-11 15:32
fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 total 2pt5	1	$104	200	0	+200	open	—	06-18 19:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$100	337	0	+337	Up	$-100	05-11 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	1	$100	545	0	+545	Up	$-100	05-11 16:12
fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 goals cristiano ronaldo gte1	1	$100	238	0	+238	open	—	06-23 15:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?	1	$91	120	0	+120	open	—	05-14 20:37
fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 team total home 1pt5	1	$88	200	0	+200	open	—	06-18 19:12
fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 goals lionel messi gte2	1	$50	282	0	+282	open	—	06-22 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	1	$49	134	0	+134	Up	$-49	05-11 16:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 15:43:04	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	526	57¢	$300	0x4b5dbe…
06-23 15:22:52	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 goals cristiano ronaldo gte1	No	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0xced77a…
06-22 16:59:11	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 goals lionel messi gte2	Yes	BUY	282	18¢	$50	0xbd3687…
06-22 16:58:14	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	600	50¢	$300	0x7280b2…
06-20 16:25:26	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	300	37¢	$111	0xf2c939…
06-18 19:12:05	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 team total home 1pt5	Under	BUY	200	44¢	$88	0x844b5a…
06-18 19:05:25	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x87fefa…
06-17 16:13:05	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 team total away 0pt5	Under	SELL	357	55¢	$196	0xa4d8cb…
06-17 16:11:52	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 goals cristiano ronaldo gte1	No	BUY	484	46¢	$223	0xd535a8…
06-17 15:51:35	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	357	56¢	$200	0x48258c…
06-17 15:50:01	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	448	67¢	$300	0xe39724…
06-16 00:28:45	fifwc irn nzl 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	323	62¢	$200	0x1cccdd…
05-28 11:22:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	523	96¢	$505	0xb57b5d…
05-23 11:05:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	75	92¢	$69	0x2e7db1…
05-23 11:00:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	218	92¢	$200	0xeb7878…
05-23 11:00:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	218	92¢	$200	0xdd376d…
05-20 20:57:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	500	6¢	$30	0x3a7d48…
05-20 20:48:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	800	40¢	$320	0xfe8100…
05-20 20:46:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xd5fc4b…
05-19 21:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20?	Down	BUY	606	33¢	$200	0x9762c2…
05-19 21:13:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	1,111	18¢	$200	0x880d6c…
05-18 19:20:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	1,699	30¢	$516	0x0ef9ea…
05-18 19:20:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xe3cad5…
05-17 20:53:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	50	41¢	$21	0x551d2f…
05-17 20:50:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	1,496	41¢	$613	0x0a9bfb…
05-17 04:22:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	658	58¢	$381	0x8b51c9…
05-14 20:43:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	56	82¢	$46	0xea4b6f…
05-14 20:38:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	85	29¢	$25	0x79f83b…
05-14 20:37:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	120	76¢	$91	0xd3fa34…
05-14 20:28:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	397	81¢	$322	0xebdc14…
05-13 04:12:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xab6c80…
05-12 23:18:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	269	74¢	$199	0xe25973…
05-12 23:06:32	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0xf896c0…
05-12 22:17:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	500	63¢	$315	0x391b5c…
05-12 22:03:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	526	76¢	$400	0x95994b…
05-12 10:48:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	300	81¢	$243	0x47ae03…
05-12 10:46:26	Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	286	70¢	$200	0x3b514e…
05-12 10:37:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?	No	SELL	31	93¢	$29	0x376b4b…
05-11 16:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	134	36¢	$49	0x6db14e…
05-11 16:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	545	18¢	$100	0xe60b43…
05-11 16:09:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xa996f4…
05-11 15:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	337	30¢	$100	0xa9b2c7…
05-11 15:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	250	44¢	$110	0xcbaebf…
05-11 14:38:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	421	95¢	$400	0xc3c41a…