Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?
Yes won
Total volume
$23,641
Trades
284
Unique wallets
172
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-06
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-06 17:53
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-6.2¢
(top1%: 85% YES on $150
vs crowd: 91% YES on $10.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $401 | $21 | +$379 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $173 | $104 | +$69 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 165 | $9.1K | $836 | +$8.3K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $127 | $23 | +$105 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 16 | $5.4K | $11 | +$5.4K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 17 | $1.7K | $10 | +$1.7K |
| Median | 42 | $1.1K | $27 | +$1.1K |
| Below median | 50 | $93 | $64 | +$30 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 19 | $384 | $77 | +$307 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 20 | $351 | $541 | $190 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $447 | $209 | +$238 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crowded-Petition 0x0712…f02e | Yes | +4,054 | $3,950 | $3,950 | 2 | 05-06 09:49 |
| Haunting-Beet 0xd63c…681f | No | +2,600 | $199 | $199 | 3 | 05-06 07:40 |
| Infantile-Toothpick 0x23ea…672b | No | +2,140 | $33 | $37 | 4 | 05-06 14:40 |
| Grandiose-Parole 0x2f2b…d743 | No | +1,200 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-06 11:50 |
| Cautious-Wrong 0xff73…67e9 | Yes | +806 | $797 | $797 | 2 | 05-06 14:32 |
| Jaded-Display 0x8a97…593d | Yes | +676 | $666 | $666 | 1 | 05-06 10:42 |
| Limited-Pincenez 0xbb66…a82f | No | +621 | $56 | $56 | 1 | 05-06 04:29 |
| Disgusting-Answer 0xe9c6…95c9 | No | +592 | $81 | $81 | 5 | 05-06 05:39 |
| Digital-Academy 0xb4fc…a926 | No | +483 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-05 23:25 |
| Carefree-Sandal-Underwriting 0x0161…b292 | No | +429 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 05-05 18:48 |
| Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | +421 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 05-06 14:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x6e48…f025 | Yes | +401 | $350 | $350 | 1 | 05-05 18:48 |
| Silent-Beastie 0xbecf…0903 | Yes | +387 | $387 | $387 | 1 | 05-06 15:17 |
| Distant-Platform 0xf800…daf7 | No | +334 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-06 07:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xc908…15a1 | No | +332 | $70 | $70 | 1 | 05-05 14:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +319 | $305 | $305 | 2 | 05-06 08:06 |
| International-Acquaintance 0x6d5e…77f0 | No | +315 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-06 10:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xb9f0…dc0a | No | +262 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-06 09:45 |
| Impure-Brain 0x7152…faac | No | +249 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-06 12:02 |
| Unconscious-Collection 0x5f65…2a00 | No | +239 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 05-06 15:17 |
| Tedious-Ford 0xd1e8…b38d | Yes | +229 | $227 | $227 | 2 | 05-06 11:47 |
| Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | +221 | $8 | $8 | 5 | 05-06 11:27 |
| AngryPancake 0x6dca…a7ac | Yes | +200 | $186 | $186 | 1 | 05-06 07:54 |
| Vast-Exocrine 0x0b67…584f | No | +177 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-06 14:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x7d4d…4f6b | Yes | +170 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 05-05 18:48 |
| Shy-Asphalt 0xbc54…2eec | No | +160 | $74 | $74 | 8 | 05-04 22:19 |
| Unused-Wording 0x33fb…897c | No | +158 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 05-06 05:35 |
| Gigantic-Apology 0x8320…904e | Yes | +154 | $127 | $127 | 4 | 05-06 09:06 |
| Enormous-Meet 0x1529…10a0 | No | +147 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-06 13:35 |
| Late-Misrepresentation 0x4ef5…453b | No | +144 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-06 07:46 |
| Pretty-Skywalk 0x3b34…cca8 | Yes | +132 | $130 | $130 | 1 | 05-06 09:40 |
| Severe-Recruit 0x0840…77d8 | Yes | +129 | $129 | $129 | 1 | 05-06 14:45 |
| Grubby-Swordfight 0xd6c7…ff77 | No | +126 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 15:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe1b…791d | No | +118 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-06 04:23 |
| Female-Stitch 0xf1d3…19d9 | No | +118 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 11:42 |
| Poor-Yoga 0xda42…dc4f | No | +117 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-06 13:10 |
| Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | +105 | $96 | $96 | 2 | 05-06 03:24 |
| Alarming-Dictaphone 0xf21c…9d55 | Yes | +100 | $90 | $90 | 1 | 05-06 04:53 |
| Overlooked-Means 0xfdf3…2583 | No | +100 | $11 | $14 | 4 | 05-06 14:10 |
| Caring-Rice 0x5342…d243 | Yes | +91 | $70 | $70 | 7 | 05-05 15:14 |
| Needy-Pattypan-Flung 0x93ec…0c47 | Yes | +81 | $69 | $69 | 1 | 05-05 15:39 |
| Disgusting-Answer 0xe9c6…95c9 | Yes | +80 | $46 | $46 | 5 | 05-06 08:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x6a1c…0949 | No | +71 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 10:46 |
| Guilty-Jail 0x4f4d…ebde | Yes | +65 | $64 | $64 | 2 | 05-06 13:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | No | +65 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-05 18:37 |
| Unselfish-Expectation 0x5016…8d65 | Yes | +60 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 05-06 14:32 |
| Icy-Charm 0x67ca…93b6 | Yes | +60 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-05 18:07 |
| Overcooked-Hydrolysis 0x78b8…e96c | No | +60 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-06 06:10 |
| Mundane-Hurdle 0x3c43…7501 | No | +60 | $10 | $15 | 10 | 05-06 00:33 |
| Worst-Asphalt 0xf497…5ce0 | No | +60 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-06 00:19 |
| Sure-Footed-Metaphor 0x60bc…4876 | Yes | +57 | $56 | $56 | 1 | 05-06 12:25 |
| Gorgeous-Prune-Deep 0xe7e9…4b5f | Yes | +54 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-06 07:15 |
| Lasting-Consonant 0x0a3f…99b8 | Yes | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-06 13:12 |
| Kosher-Nicety 0xde84…4cdb | Yes | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-06 09:35 |
| Silent-Light 0x6136…96cb | Yes | +25 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-05 18:53 |
| Sympathetic-Bias-Shadowbox 0x0dda…5a39 | Yes | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-06 14:25 |
| Overlooked-Donation 0xc947…9b91 | Yes | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-06 00:38 |
| Wobbly-Odyssey 0x3eb8…f0b7 | Yes | +19 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-06 15:08 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-06 17:53:09 | Bruised-Insight 0x639c…8960 | Yes | SELL | 2,090 | 100¢ | $2,088 | 0xfc2fc8… |
| 05-06 17:52:56 | Bony-Smoking 0x2088…2caf | Yes | SELL | 2,719 | 100¢ | $2,717 | 0x3f60a9… |
| 05-06 17:52:20 | Insidious-Pulley 0xaef4…53ef | Yes | SELL | 181 | 100¢ | $181 | 0xd6d212… |
| 05-06 17:51:08 | Yellowish-Soil 0xa986…30f6 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x25dab6… |
| 05-06 16:34:01 | Gruesome-Alloy 0x99ee…00bd | Yes | SELL | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0xaa8318… |
| 05-06 16:04:23 | Focused-Net 0x6469…b890 | Yes | SELL | 2,502 | 100¢ | $2,499 | 0x3d1fdf… |
| 05-06 15:58:26 | Dazzling-Oldie 0xebdf…7f61 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x4fd8c2… |
| 05-06 15:46:41 | Incredible-Locket 0xcfdd…5624 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x5129b2… |
| 05-06 15:42:16 | Cluttered-Cope 0x237c…543e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x4eac6a… |
| 05-06 15:36:18 | Roasted-Bathtub 0x66b8…8d8f | Yes | SELL | 1,028 | 100¢ | $1,027 | 0xad7ebe… |
| 05-06 15:32:06 | (anonymous) 0xcf0a…6d4e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xce6fff… |
| 05-06 15:27:59 | (anonymous) 0x780a…2d1d | Yes | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x68bfef… |
| 05-06 15:23:03 | Suspicious-Strip 0x5760…c860 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0x12c31d… |
| 05-06 15:17:45 | Unconscious-Collection 0x5f65…2a00 | No | BUY | 34 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc3dad7… |
| 05-06 15:17:20 | Silent-Beastie 0xbecf…0903 | Yes | BUY | 387 | 100¢ | $387 | 0x3d7a29… |
| 05-06 15:17:17 | Unconscious-Collection 0x5f65…2a00 | No | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc6a7b5… |
| 05-06 15:15:35 | Unconscious-Collection 0x5f65…2a00 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xbf983c… |
| 05-06 15:08:00 | Wobbly-Odyssey 0x3eb8…f0b7 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0x8699b8… |
| 05-06 15:06:24 | Questionable-Collar 0xb037…341c | Yes | SELL | 111 | 100¢ | $110 | 0xd2b6f6… |
| 05-06 15:00:29 | Grubby-Swordfight 0xd6c7…ff77 | No | BUY | 126 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xf7e988… |
| 05-06 14:45:19 | Severe-Recruit 0x0840…77d8 | Yes | BUY | 129 | 100¢ | $129 | 0xbc11a7… |
| 05-06 14:40:16 | Infantile-Toothpick 0x23ea…672b | No | SELL | 265 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x8bae3f… |
| 05-06 14:32:34 | Cautious-Wrong 0xff73…67e9 | Yes | BUY | 159 | 99¢ | $158 | 0x37b88b… |
| 05-06 14:32:30 | Unselfish-Expectation 0x5016…8d65 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 99¢ | $60 | 0x3a98da… |
| 05-06 14:27:43 | Imperturbable-Orchid 0x8113…288b | No | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa7f0fd… |
| 05-06 14:25:18 | Sympathetic-Bias-Shadowbox 0x0dda…5a39 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xe5c18f… |
| 05-06 14:22:30 | Cautious-Wrong 0xff73…67e9 | Yes | BUY | 646 | 99¢ | $639 | 0x8e3a18… |
| 05-06 14:20:26 | (anonymous) 0x9870…7d2a | Yes | SELL | 3,094 | 98¢ | $3,043 | 0x17a820… |
| 05-06 14:17:46 | Infantile-Toothpick 0x23ea…672b | No | BUY | 1,460 | 1¢ | $15 | 0xc69278… |
| 05-06 14:10:24 | Overlooked-Means 0xfdf3…2583 | No | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xb5549f… |
| 05-06 14:10:22 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 67 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xd5ae91… |
| 05-06 14:07:32 | Vast-Exocrine 0x0b67…584f | No | BUY | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x2d22b3… |
| 05-06 14:07:28 | Infantile-Toothpick 0x23ea…672b | No | BUY | 1,000 | 2¢ | $20 | 0xe4ee31… |
| 05-06 14:07:26 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 200 | 2¢ | $4 | 0x9e46ec… |
| 05-06 14:02:28 | Lovely-Hide 0xa0d1…4b1c | Yes | SELL | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0x497c3c… |
| 05-06 13:57:24 | Vast-Exocrine 0x0b67…584f | No | BUY | 77 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x4af808… |
| 05-06 13:52:28 | Infantile-Toothpick 0x23ea…672b | No | SELL | 55 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x5793d8… |
| 05-06 13:50:24 | Strong-Savory 0x6a84…7101 | No | BUY | 59 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xa375d7… |
| 05-06 13:50:12 | Piercing-Clam 0x6e6a…e281 | No | SELL | 148 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x7f4c6f… |
| 05-06 13:42:26 | Guilty-Jail 0x4f4d…ebde | Yes | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x1fa758… |
| 05-06 13:35:18 | Enormous-Meet 0x1529…10a0 | No | BUY | 147 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xf5711e… |
| 05-06 13:20:16 | (anonymous) 0xba15…3ee7 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xd30301… |
| 05-06 13:12:30 | Lasting-Consonant 0x0a3f…99b8 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xf620ad… |
| 05-06 13:10:22 | Poor-Yoga 0xda42…dc4f | No | BUY | 117 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x68c6e6… |
| 05-06 12:52:10 | Guilty-Jail 0x4f4d…ebde | Yes | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $49 | 0xcf8259… |
| 05-06 12:47:34 | Dental-Trinket 0x0ba7…995c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xa2a8d8… |
| 05-06 12:25:10 | Sure-Footed-Metaphor 0x60bc…4876 | Yes | BUY | 57 | 99¢ | $56 | 0x183a63… |
| 05-06 12:05:16 | Criminal-Precision 0x7469…3a0c | Yes | BUY | 19 | 99¢ | $19 | 0x4e75aa… |
| 05-06 12:02:26 | Impure-Brain 0x7152…faac | No | BUY | 249 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x3f286e… |
| 05-06 11:55:12 | Defensive-Woodshed 0x25c4…3a2d | Yes | SELL | 117 | 99¢ | $116 | 0xc01c96… |
| 05-06 11:50:10 | Grandiose-Parole 0x2f2b…d743 | No | BUY | 1,200 | 0¢ | $6 | 0x060216… |
| 05-06 11:47:24 | Tedious-Ford 0xd1e8…b38d | Yes | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xc749cb… |
| 05-06 11:47:18 | Tedious-Ford 0xd1e8…b38d | Yes | BUY | 129 | 99¢ | $128 | 0x743d5e… |
| 05-06 11:42:16 | Female-Stitch 0xf1d3…19d9 | No | BUY | 118 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xd4e2c2… |
| 05-06 11:42:12 | Unconscious-Collection 0x5f65…2a00 | No | BUY | 191 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x9da5b4… |
| 05-06 11:42:10 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 155 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xa500bd… |
| 05-06 11:35:06 | (anonymous) 0xfb48…17d7 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xb64c65… |
| 05-06 11:27:20 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x94ca78… |
| 05-06 10:59:42 | International-Acquaintance 0x6d5e…77f0 | No | BUY | 315 | 1¢ | $3 | 0xc26f90… |
| 05-06 10:50:04 | Glum-Nonsense 0x20aa…e26b | No | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0ee1db… |
| 05-06 10:46:54 | Only-Shadowbox 0x9eb5…ab99 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 99¢ | $18 | 0x9eebf8… |
| 05-06 10:46:52 | (anonymous) 0x6a1c…0949 | No | BUY | 71 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x84a881… |
| 05-06 10:46:50 | Frizzy-Snowflake 0xd32f…23a7 | No | SELL | 225 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x102bee… |
| 05-06 10:42:02 | Jaded-Display 0x8a97…593d | Yes | BUY | 676 | 98¢ | $666 | 0xf44d8f… |
| 05-06 10:26:52 | (anonymous) 0xaefb…30c6 | No | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x277ebe… |
| 05-06 10:26:52 | Villainous-Steppingstone 0xc655…c1ee | Yes | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x58d959… |
| 05-06 10:21:56 | Flaky-Spokesman 0x1def…f293 | Yes | SELL | 54 | 98¢ | $53 | 0x636240… |
| 05-06 10:21:56 | (anonymous) 0xd0e0…eb9c | Yes | SELL | 12 | 98¢ | $11 | 0x93afc4… |
| 05-06 10:16:52 | (anonymous) 0x1733…26f7 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xc051d3… |
| 05-06 10:05:06 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x9f525f… |
| 05-06 09:49:34 | (anonymous) 0x0364…a709 | No | SELL | 49 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x3cea5b… |
| 05-06 09:49:34 | (anonymous) 0x0364…a709 | No | SELL | 61 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x8b2ed2… |
| 05-06 09:49:32 | Crowded-Petition 0x0712…f02e | Yes | BUY | 3,048 | 98¢ | $3,000 | 0xee28a1… |
| 05-06 09:49:32 | (anonymous) 0x9eb3…7b73 | No | SELL | 42 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa7c846… |
| 05-06 09:46:48 | Glum-Nonsense 0x20aa…e26b | No | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7bb550… |
| 05-06 09:45:12 | (anonymous) 0xb9f0…dc0a | No | BUY | 251 | 2¢ | $5 | 0xf138d0… |
| 05-06 09:41:48 | Lawful-Joke 0xc27f…208f | No | SELL | 86 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x26c9c2… |
| 05-06 09:40:14 | Pretty-Skywalk 0x3b34…cca8 | Yes | BUY | 132 | 98¢ | $130 | 0x7d0c40… |
| 05-06 09:40:02 | Masculine-Proliferation 0xac1e…38a6 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 98¢ | $21 | 0x658d00… |
| 05-06 09:39:56 | Masculine-Proliferation 0xac1e…38a6 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 98¢ | $32 | 0x59f778… |
| 05-06 09:39:48 | Masculine-Proliferation 0xac1e…38a6 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x211eb2… |
| 05-06 09:39:40 | Masculine-Proliferation 0xac1e…38a6 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 98¢ | $32 | 0x823773… |
| 05-06 09:35:00 | Kosher-Nicety 0xde84…4cdb | Yes | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x271d6e… |
| 05-06 09:34:50 | Calculating-Prefix 0x25bf…7a56 | No | SELL | 295 | 2¢ | $6 | 0x26fac4… |
| 05-06 09:06:50 | Gigantic-Apology 0x8320…904e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x4c2746… |
| 05-06 09:06:50 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x365283… |
| 05-06 09:06:40 | Overlooked-Means 0xfdf3…2583 | No | SELL | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x0f0729… |
| 05-06 09:04:48 | Adventurous-Detection 0xdb8e…0169 | Yes | SELL | 106 | 97¢ | $102 | 0xa17db8… |
| 05-06 09:04:28 | Juvenile-Sin 0x08e8…377a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x921f5a… |
| 05-06 08:55:04 | Neglected-Brake 0xc1e1…05a6 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0x697bea… |
| 05-06 08:50:14 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | BUY | 60 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xe5a5b3… |
| 05-06 08:50:10 | Ashamed-Skullcap 0x5aad…0256 | No | SELL | 217 | 3¢ | $7 | 0x021214… |
| 05-06 08:49:56 | (anonymous) 0x173a…584c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xdac929… |
| 05-06 08:49:46 | Aware-Bachelor 0xe744…f96e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0x04a9a3… |
| 05-06 08:39:40 | Insecure-Transaction 0x73c5…9850 | Yes | SELL | 108 | 96¢ | $104 | 0xaafdff… |
| 05-06 08:36:26 | Fantastic-Birthday 0xde88…b496 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x88a282… |
| 05-06 08:34:54 | Dazzling-Oldie 0xebdf…7f61 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x8bf3f1… |
| 05-06 08:25:54 | Dazzling-Oldie 0xebdf…7f61 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 95¢ | $4 | 0xd55ea0… |
| 05-06 08:21:10 | Past-Badge 0xc6ec…8335 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 94¢ | $12 | 0xd69ff0… |
| 05-06 08:19:30 | Spiteful-Being 0x358d…e527 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0xfec671… |