Limited-Pincenez — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$966

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

31.8%

Resolved

Trades

3,093

lifetime

Volume

$106.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 05-11 01:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 19% $-966

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 95 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down february 27 5pm et	43	$2.5K	2,252	2,252	+0	open	—	02-27 22:59
bitcoin up or down february 26 10pm et	22	$2.4K	2,313	2,313	+0	open	—	02-27 03:49
bitcoin up or down february 26 11am et	5	$2.3K	1,834	1,834	+0	open	—	02-26 16:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12PM ET	18	$1.9K	2,502	2,293	+209	Down	$-41	05-07 16:54
btc updown 15m 1772105400	5	$1.4K	1,126	1,115	+11	open	—	02-26 11:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	21	$1.3K	1,569	1,278	+291	No	+$434	05-07 15:53
btc updown 15m 1772131500	39	$1.3K	1,072	1,059	+13	open	—	02-26 18:59
btc updown 15m 1772307900	37	$1.3K	1,576	1,562	+15	open	—	02-28 19:58
bitcoin up or down february 27 4pm et	12	$1.2K	965	965	+0	open	—	02-27 21:54
btc updown 15m 1772114400	7	$1.2K	1,708	847	+861	open	—	02-26 14:13
bitcoin up or down february 28 12pm et	11	$1.1K	1,993	931	+1,062	open	—	02-28 17:57
bitcoin up or down february 28 6am et	20	$1.1K	1,204	1,204	+0	open	—	02-28 11:54
btc updown 15m 1772270100	21	$1.1K	1,544	765	+779	open	—	02-28 09:24
bitcoin up or down february 28 2pm et	26	$1.1K	5,609	2,758	+2,851	open	—	02-28 19:45
btc updown 5m 1772131200	29	$1.1K	1,844	1,378	+466	open	—	02-26 18:44
solana up or down february 26 8pm et	25	$1.0K	767	766	+0	open	—	02-27 01:58
bitcoin up or down february 27 2am et	19	$986	936	936	+0	open	—	02-27 07:59
btc updown 15m 1772283600	36	$969	1,123	800	+324	open	—	02-28 13:13
bitcoin up or down march 1 4am et	9	$959	880	880	+0	open	—	03-01 09:38
btc updown 5m 1772125800	7	$887	2,554	865	+1,689	open	—	02-26 17:14
btc updown 5m 1772304300	28	$873	600	591	+9	open	—	02-28 18:49
bitcoin up or down february 26 1pm et	13	$866	583	583	+0	open	—	02-26 18:39
btc updown 5m 1772224200	15	$789	756	343	+413	open	—	02-27 20:34
bitcoin up or down february 27 12am et	8	$778	671	671	+0	open	—	02-27 05:57
btc updown 15m 1772308800	24	$773	1,420	1,408	+12	open	—	02-28 20:10
btc updown 15m 1772161200	3	$758	2,952	1,471	+1,481	open	—	02-27 03:09
bitcoin up or down february 28 3pm et	54	$757	2,710	2,006	+704	open	—	02-28 20:44
btc updown 15m 1772306100	17	$726	541	520	+21	open	—	02-28 19:29
bitcoin up or down march 1 3am et	8	$713	917	652	+266	open	—	03-01 08:28
btc updown 5m 1772211900	14	$709	941	470	+470	open	—	02-27 17:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 01:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x286266…
05-10 05:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	27	13¢	$3	0x6da88c…
05-10 05:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0x3cd528…
05-10 05:29:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	No	SELL	380	7¢	$27	0xb385d0…
05-10 05:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	117	9¢	$11	0x8920fd…
05-10 05:16:44	Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?	Yes	SELL	200	6¢	$12	0xeeba9e…
05-10 05:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	101	31¢	$31	0x9c1626…
05-10 05:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x2632f9…
05-10 05:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	91	49¢	$45	0x578d6b…
05-10 05:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x4490a2…
05-10 05:08:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0x8bf8c0…
05-10 05:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x270c66…
05-10 05:05:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	114	11¢	$13	0x913d5f…
05-10 05:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0x186abb…
05-10 05:04:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0x655864…
05-10 05:02:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x95cbeb…
05-10 05:01:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	60	11¢	$7	0x1ea591…
05-10 04:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	58	69¢	$40	0xb88c97…
05-10 04:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	115	44¢	$51	0x339999…
05-09 03:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xc81864…
05-09 03:03:38	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	1,396	12¢	$168	0x1c39ed…
05-09 01:52:05	Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0x3409d0…
05-08 01:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x5a5e11…
05-07 17:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	27	59¢	$16	0x43ecf8…
05-07 17:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	6	57¢	$4	0xcacb5e…
05-07 17:27:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	5,000	2¢	$99	0x91f41e…
05-07 17:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	11	80¢	$9	0xf8f41d…
05-07 17:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	74	80¢	$59	0xbe5dfd…
05-07 17:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	55	80¢	$44	0x856616…
05-07 17:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0x601010…
05-07 17:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0x3f2b2e…
05-07 17:19:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xb8caa0…
05-07 17:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x1675cd…
05-07 17:13:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0xeee41f…
05-07 17:13:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	135	12¢	$16	0xf0573b…
05-07 17:10:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	374	12¢	$43	0x7b267f…
05-07 17:10:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x957096…
05-07 17:10:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x7fa139…
05-07 17:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x4e7fee…
05-07 17:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	67	37¢	$25	0x634b39…
05-07 17:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0xa2977c…
05-07 17:02:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xef58d1…
05-07 17:02:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xf04c9a…
05-07 17:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0xd024b9…
05-07 17:02:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	1,478	2¢	$22	0x3d154e…
05-07 17:01:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0xa72960…
05-07 17:00:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	60	12¢	$7	0xb23745…
05-07 16:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x290b49…
05-07 16:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x309074…
05-07 16:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	308	35¢	$107	0x91fdc8…
05-07 16:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	308	43¢	$133	0x67d2ea…
05-07 16:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	154	48¢	$73	0x26d440…
05-07 16:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0x50d231…
05-07 16:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x78ac5a…
05-07 16:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1,019	1¢	$10	0xeec7bf…
05-07 16:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	85	1¢	$1	0xc4a290…
05-07 16:39:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	500	4¢	$20	0x083e08…
05-07 16:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	375	8¢	$30	0x156fe2…
05-07 16:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	375	33¢	$124	0xcecb40…
05-07 16:36:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	375	38¢	$141	0x16a4dc…
05-07 16:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x1b7556…
05-07 16:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	172	70¢	$121	0xb06edb…
05-07 16:22:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 8?	No	SELL	460	12¢	$55	0xaf3fd1…
05-07 16:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0x92b47d…
05-07 16:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0x202593…
05-07 16:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	224	45¢	$100	0x302911…
05-07 16:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	756	30¢	$223	0x44262d…
05-07 16:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0xf81f11…
05-07 16:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	236	42¢	$100	0xeea00a…
05-07 16:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0xc813d5…
05-07 16:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0xf3ebc9…
05-07 16:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xf2b895…
05-07 16:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xf1e084…
05-07 16:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0xd7765f…
05-07 16:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	120	15¢	$18	0xd629f1…
05-07 16:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	15	15¢	$2	0xb9832c…
05-07 16:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0xb7a1ea…
05-07 16:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xb4f3fe…
05-07 16:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xa2db52…
05-07 16:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	18	15¢	$3	0x797cec…
05-07 16:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x41366c…
05-07 16:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	71	15¢	$11	0x37c201…
05-07 16:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	14	15¢	$2	0x2f3a4d…
05-07 16:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x0d9ebd…
05-07 16:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x05d3e4…
05-07 16:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	205	12¢	$25	0x0119f5…
05-07 16:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	177	14¢	$25	0xf54fc5…
05-07 16:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0xf53e63…
05-07 16:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	266	34¢	$91	0xba3150…
05-07 16:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	54	47¢	$25	0x5ad5f4…
05-07 16:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x9c9c96…
05-07 15:53:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	Yes	SELL	348	45¢	$156	0xc71808…
05-07 15:51:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0x1f866d…
05-07 15:50:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	74	54¢	$40	0xf135cc…
05-07 15:49:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	158	63¢	$100	0x677faf…
05-07 15:41:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xd4de8d…
05-07 15:40:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	125	44¢	$55	0xb3dc82…
05-07 15:29:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xf59839…
05-07 15:29:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x488ad0…
05-07 15:29:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	99	28¢	$28	0x0cfafb…