Cruel-Overweight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,822

lifetime

Volume

$767.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$421

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-21 14:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 100% +$25

Politics

3% — —

Other

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum up or down on april 5 2026	34	$22.5K	21,357	7,842	+13,515	open	—	04-05 15:59
bitcoin above 66k on march 29	33	$22.1K	11,523	11,523	+0	open	—	03-29 15:50
bitcoin above 90k on january 29	6	$19.9K	19,928	0	+19,928	open	—	01-29 15:41
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$19.2K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	02-28 16:03
bitcoin above 72k on march 10	38	$18.7K	10,000	9,039	+961	open	—	03-10 15:42
bitcoin up or down on february 28	7	$17.5K	8,756	8,756	+0	open	—	02-28 17:01
bitcoin up or down on april 1 2026	35	$14.5K	15,040	0	+15,040	open	—	04-01 13:03
ethereum up or down on april 9 2026	12	$13.9K	12,410	12,393	+16	open	—	04-09 16:01
ethereum up or down on april 4 2026	34	$12.1K	9,716	3,345	+6,370	open	—	04-04 16:00
bitcoin above 70k on march 14	1	$12.0K	12,041	0	+12,041	open	—	03-14 15:47
bitcoin above 82k on february 3	5	$11.9K	5,979	5,979	+0	open	—	02-03 16:48
will bitcoin dip to 66k on april 5	3	$11.4K	11,749	0	+11,749	open	—	04-05 22:46
bitcoin above 80k on january 30	13	$11.2K	11,776	0	+11,776	open	—	01-29 20:36
bitcoin up or down on february 12	20	$10.8K	10,176	10,176	+0	open	—	02-12 17:15
ethereum up or down on march 7	9	$10.3K	10,743	0	+10,743	open	—	03-07 16:55
bitcoin above 84k on february 2	6	$10.2K	10,276	0	+10,276	open	—	02-02 09:37
bitcoin above 66k on march 30	7	$10.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	03-30 15:41
btc updown 15m 1773331200	14	$10.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	03-12 16:14
bitcoin up or down february 3 9pm et	54	$9.5K	9,460	0	+9,460	open	—	02-04 04:57
bitcoin up or down on march 18 2026	33	$9.2K	9,189	0	+9,189	open	—	03-18 18:30
bitcoin up or down on march 24 2026	28	$9.1K	9,167	0	+9,167	open	—	03-24 16:04
bitcoin up or down on march 1	92	$8.8K	9,744	551	+9,193	open	—	03-01 14:58
bitcoin up or down on march 9	39	$8.7K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	03-09 13:20
bitcoin above 72k on march 4	11	$8.6K	9,287	0	+9,287	open	—	03-04 16:37
bitcoin above 80k on february 1	3	$8.2K	8,269	0	+8,269	open	—	02-01 15:59
bitcoin up or down april 6 2026 1pm et	1	$8.2K	8,245	0	+8,245	open	—	04-06 17:55
bitcoin above 70k on march 17	6	$8.0K	8,000	0	+8,000	open	—	03-17 14:23
bitcoin up or down on february 11	3	$8.0K	8,000	0	+8,000	open	—	02-11 15:45
bitcoin up or down on february 9	21	$7.5K	7,888	0	+7,888	open	—	02-09 15:36
bitcoin up or down on february 8	6	$7.5K	7,601	0	+7,601	open	—	02-08 16:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 14:15:28	bitcoin up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	208	99¢	$206	0x5dd600…
07-21 11:52:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x278aee…
07-21 11:50:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa9c248…
07-21 11:33:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x50be75…
07-21 10:50:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xdfcc21…
07-21 10:32:31	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xb46428…
07-20 11:17:49	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	2,000	99¢	$1,986	0xa98535…
07-20 00:12:34	bitcoin above 62k on july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	443	99¢	$439	0x865e5b…
07-19 08:35:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 18 20260716224448964	Yes	BUY	709	100¢	$707	0xff5e5f…
07-19 08:35:07	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 18 20260716224448964	Yes	BUY	436	100¢	$435	0x015c2f…
07-18 21:51:22	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	800	98¢	$781	0xc18157…
07-18 21:28:52	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 btts	Yes	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0x1f39bb…
07-18 15:17:33	ethereum up or down on july 18 2026	Up	BUY	76	98¢	$75	0xe7c6e0…
07-18 15:13:42	bitcoin above 62k on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x35ebe3…
07-18 15:13:34	bitcoin above 62k on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	56	95¢	$53	0xc80952…
07-18 15:13:25	bitcoin above 62k on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	367	95¢	$349	0x50425f…
07-16 15:16:28	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 16	No	BUY	664	96¢	$637	0x388abc…
07-16 15:14:38	will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 16	No	BUY	924	100¢	$922	0x74cf1e…
07-16 15:14:01	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 16	No	BUY	336	96¢	$322	0x3ee531…
07-16 15:13:31	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 16	No	BUY	857	99¢	$845	0x010022…
07-16 14:50:58	bitcoin up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	2,000	3¢	$58	0xaf6e11…
07-16 14:40:32	bitcoin up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	901	3¢	$26	0xd16dbf…
07-16 14:40:22	bitcoin up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0x13ce76…
07-11 16:54:55	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 11	No	BUY	436	100¢	$434	0x77b0cf…
07-11 16:54:23	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 11	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6d1373…
07-11 16:06:50	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 11	No	BUY	442	100¢	$440	0x41ea0a…
07-11 16:02:16	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 11	No	BUY	120	100¢	$119	0x85d27a…
07-11 15:12:44	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 11	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0b63a0…
07-11 15:11:44	bitcoin above 64k on july 11 2026	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x9fd998…
07-09 19:50:02	will ethereum dip to 1650 on july 9	No	BUY	325	100¢	$324	0x401a50…
07-09 19:48:40	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 9	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf4a6f9…
07-09 19:48:26	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 9	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1467c8…
07-08 16:24:25	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	1,208	79¢	$954	0xb4cc54…
07-04 23:11:13	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 4	No	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0x3086d3…
07-04 23:10:37	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 4	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb502b7…
07-04 17:53:10	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	France	BUY	2,349	93¢	$2,185	0x07ab1a…
06-30 17:47:17	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	France	BUY	3,923	89¢	$3,491	0x372117…
06-27 07:53:08	bitcoin above 58k on june 27 2026	Yes	BUY	176	99¢	$174	0xde4534…
06-27 07:52:56	bitcoin above 58k on june 27 2026	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x0967d8…
06-27 07:46:25	bitcoin above 58k on june 27 2026	Yes	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0xa83735…
06-09 15:29:22	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3,500	94¢	$3,290	0x84441a…
06-09 15:26:12	ethereum above 1700 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	956	100¢	$954	0xa0741a…
06-08 13:33:31	bitcoin above 62k on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	166	93¢	$155	0xd6fde0…
06-08 13:32:10	bitcoin above 62k on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	7	95¢	$6	0x03344f…
06-08 13:32:07	bitcoin above 62k on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	993	95¢	$944	0x23dc4d…
06-08 13:28:00	bitcoin above 62k on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	867	95¢	$825	0x9eaccb…
06-08 13:26:13	bitcoin up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xf90ea4…
06-08 13:25:01	bitcoin above 62k on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	480	95¢	$456	0x494501…
06-08 13:24:40	bitcoin above 62k on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x539b5e…
06-08 13:24:31	bitcoin above 62k on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	60	96¢	$58	0xdcd392…
06-08 13:24:16	bitcoin above 60k on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	1,710	100¢	$1,702	0x2a25a5…
06-08 13:23:54	bitcoin above 62k on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	83	96¢	$79	0x882552…
06-08 01:26:34	will bitcoin dip to 60k on june 7	No	BUY	281	100¢	$280	0x942bd3…
06-08 01:26:18	will bitcoin dip to 61k on june 7	No	BUY	150	97¢	$146	0x3fd605…
06-08 01:25:54	will bitcoin dip to 61k on june 7	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x0a9a84…
06-06 02:11:55	bitcoin above 58k on june 6 2026	Yes	BUY	71	95¢	$68	0x99ffba…
06-06 02:11:48	bitcoin above 58k on june 6 2026	Yes	BUY	81	95¢	$77	0x0b8a82…
06-06 02:10:00	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 5	No	BUY	2,237	100¢	$2,233	0xc7c43c…
06-04 17:12:33	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 4	No	BUY	3,000	98¢	$2,925	0xd1c3d9…
06-04 17:11:46	will bitcoin dip to 60k on june 4	No	BUY	392	97¢	$380	0x5fbfc2…
05-26 16:00:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0x020dc3…
05-26 16:00:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xe9db8b…
05-26 16:00:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0x3cf88d…
05-26 15:57:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xd39584…
05-26 15:57:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x6e2b57…
05-25 13:39:31	Ethereum Up or Down on May 25?	Up	SELL	380	95¢	$361	0xae59de…
05-25 13:01:43	Ethereum Up or Down on May 25?	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf6689d…
05-25 13:01:36	Ethereum Up or Down on May 25?	Up	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x42707a…
05-25 13:01:33	Ethereum Up or Down on May 25?	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xa5c86b…
05-25 12:58:03	Ethereum Up or Down on May 25?	Up	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0xc88513…
05-25 12:57:35	Ethereum Up or Down on May 25?	Up	BUY	152	94¢	$143	0x9ec514…
05-25 12:56:44	Ethereum Up or Down on May 25?	Up	BUY	150	94¢	$141	0xf86f65…
05-25 12:56:37	Ethereum Up or Down on May 25?	Up	BUY	154	94¢	$145	0x3df876…
05-25 12:56:30	Ethereum Up or Down on May 25?	Up	BUY	689	94¢	$648	0x859674…
05-25 12:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 25?	Up	BUY	346	98¢	$339	0x0ebed1…
05-24 18:13:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	1,000	96¢	$956	0xa438f0…
05-24 18:12:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	143	93¢	$133	0xc671b5…
05-24 18:11:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x72cd2d…
05-24 18:10:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	212	98¢	$208	0x22142b…
05-24 05:04:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	300	99¢	$298	0xc3aa1a…
05-24 05:04:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	800	99¢	$794	0xe822e0…
05-24 05:03:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	1,423	99¢	$1,415	0x4c6422…
05-23 03:52:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	703	97¢	$685	0x3608dd…
05-22 05:21:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	254	89¢	$226	0x03d261…
05-22 05:20:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x1918b3…
05-22 05:20:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	1,000	90¢	$900	0xe16088…
05-22 05:18:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	1,060	98¢	$1,039	0x2217f3…
05-22 00:45:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7923e8…
05-22 00:32:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	348	99¢	$344	0x21c409…
05-22 00:32:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x871dca…
05-21 14:54:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	3,900	98¢	$3,842	0x3d96f7…
05-21 02:42:06	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 on May 20?	No	BUY	2,795	100¢	$2,787	0x823f46…
05-21 02:40:54	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 on May 20?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x623be2…
05-21 02:40:24	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 on May 20?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$995	0x22817b…
05-21 02:38:36	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 on May 20?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xc730d7…
05-21 02:37:52	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 on May 20?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x9d1d2b…
05-20 15:59:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	35	96¢	$33	0x66293d…
05-20 15:57:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	295	94¢	$278	0xac0989…
05-20 15:56:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	279	92¢	$257	0xe2f1ba…
05-20 15:56:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	311	91¢	$283	0x220c51…