Roasted-Bathtub — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$115

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$18.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$669

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 06-01 12:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$115

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$2.2K	2,381	1,087	+1,294	open	—	06-01 12:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?	2	$2.0K	1,028	1,028	+0	Yes	+$27	05-06 15:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?	3	$1.4K	721	721	+0	open	—	05-04 04:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	1	$1.2K	1,223	0	+1,223	open	—	05-21 08:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 20?	1	$1.2K	1,215	0	+1,215	open	—	05-20 16:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	1	$1000	1,061	0	+1,061	No	+$61	05-11 18:36
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 18?	1	$1000	1,015	0	+1,015	open	—	05-18 19:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	1	$1000	1,054	0	+1,054	open	—	05-23 08:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	1	$1000	1,024	0	+1,024	open	—	05-14 06:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?	1	$1000	1,009	0	+1,009	open	—	05-18 10:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 6?	1	$1000	1,011	0	+1,011	No	+$11	05-06 17:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 4-10?	1	$1000	1,016	0	+1,016	No	+$16	05-09 10:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 29?	1	$700	706	0	+706	open	—	05-29 08:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 26?	1	$700	763	0	+763	open	—	05-26 11:59
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	1	$700	709	0	+709	open	—	05-31 13:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?	2	$365	185	185	+0	open	—	05-04 16:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	2	$210	149	149	+0	open	—	05-04 16:05
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 18-24?	1	$200	204	0	+204	open	—	05-24 15:47
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$162	88	88	+0	open	—	06-01 11:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-19 20:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 12:17:50	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,381	84¢	$2,000	0xb6d4cc…
06-01 12:17:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,087	16¢	$177	0x14bb26…
06-01 11:57:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	88	93¢	$82	0xb162c4…
05-31 13:35:45	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	No	BUY	709	99¢	$700	0xb3b476…
05-29 09:33:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	91¢	$80	0xb19926…
05-29 08:37:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	706	99¢	$700	0xbe2412…
05-26 11:59:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	763	92¢	$700	0x67662c…
05-24 15:47:36	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0x5570fe…
05-23 08:20:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	1,054	95¢	$1,000	0x1143de…
05-21 08:56:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	1,223	98¢	$1,200	0xa3ae4f…
05-20 16:48:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	1,215	99¢	$1,200	0x248e4b…
05-19 20:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x683364…
05-18 19:40:59	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	1,015	98¢	$1,000	0xa43227…
05-18 10:01:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	1,009	99¢	$1,000	0xe7dd32…
05-14 06:20:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	1,024	98¢	$1,000	0xef5f69…
05-11 18:36:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	1,061	94¢	$1,000	0x466918…
05-09 10:48:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	1,016	98¢	$1,000	0x46cf11…
05-06 17:15:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	1,011	99¢	$1,000	0xcf7e51…
05-06 15:36:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	1,028	100¢	$1,027	0xad7ebe…
05-06 09:23:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	1,028	97¢	$1,000	0xa5c7c6…
05-04 16:05:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	149	74¢	$110	0x6d46d2…
05-04 16:04:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	185	100¢	$185	0xf4218f…
05-04 04:39:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?	No	SELL	721	100¢	$720	0x155a18…
05-03 18:24:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	185	97¢	$180	0xccdd42…
05-03 05:20:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	711	98¢	$700	0x71d7a7…
05-02 03:48:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xaa384d…
05-02 03:07:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x8a5897…