Infantile-Toothpick — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7.46K

Unrealized P&L

+$947

Hit rate

55.2%

Resolved

1,041

Trades

10,328

lifetime

Volume

$129.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$2.17K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-26 15:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 187 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 31% +$9,407

Politics

15% 50% -$841

Other

1% 29% -$887

Sports

0% 0% -$215

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 661 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No		+2,600	$1,224	84¢	$2.2K	+$947	10-23 17:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 13	17	$8.5K	4,468	4,468	+0	No	+$21	03-13 14:45
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	199	$7.7K	18,204	18,204	+0	No	-$626	09-20 21:15
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 2	73	$4.7K	7,519	7,833	-314	Yes	+$4,022	03-02 16:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2?	69	$3.9K	6,095	4,145	+1,950	No	+$5,452	06-02 15:34
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	85	$3.4K	5,627	5,627	+0	Yes	-$759	09-20 21:05
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	41	$2.4K	2,711	2,711	+0	Yes	-$1,297	09-20 22:30
will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on february 2	8	$2.3K	1,292	1,000	+292	Yes	+$3	02-02 16:58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	37	$2.1K	3,141	540	+2,600	open	—	10-23 17:20
bitcoin up or down on january 9	28	$1.6K	2,454	2,454	+0	Up	+$1,022	01-09 16:51
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?	3	$1.6K	1,074	600	+474	No	+$83	08-28 10:35
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on february 25	25	$1.6K	3,761	1,648	+2,113	Yes	+$3,248	02-25 16:56
will the price of bitcoin be between 92000 94000 on january 12	39	$1.4K	1,931	1,450	+481	Yes	+$1,373	01-12 16:51
bitcoin above 80k on september 4 2026	3	$1.2K	1,300	0	+1,300	No	+$65	09-04 15:09
will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	28	$1.2K	2,246	750	+1,496	No	+$1,754	08-01 04:07
will the price of bitcoin be between 90000 92000 on january 21	27	$1.2K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	+$930	01-21 15:51
will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on february 12	24	$1.1K	1,796	1,291	+504	Yes	+$1,508	02-12 16:56
will the price of bitcoin be between 90000 92000 on january 23	35	$1.0K	1,279	1,013	+266	Yes	+$927	01-23 16:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 4?	6	$1.0K	1,000	999	+0	No	+$605	05-04 15:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 10?	4	$994	1,100	100	+1,000	Yes	+$6	09-10 15:36
bitcoin above 90k on january 21	9	$992	1,500	1,500	+0	No	-$988	01-21 16:54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	5	$933	500	500	+0	open	—	10-15 13:29
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on february 9	13	$915	1,500	867	+633	Yes	+$1,237	02-09 16:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 24?	14	$800	1,052	397	+656	Yes	-$44	09-24 15:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 8?	8	$692	790	100	+690	Yes	$0	09-08 15:50
bitcoin above 64k on march 29	21	$672	2,400	1,200	+1,200	Yes	-$192	03-27 19:30
bitcoin above 88k on january 21	14	$662	795	795	+0	No	+$20	01-21 16:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21?	5	$581	634	100	+534	No	+$35	09-21 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	20	$531	600	300	+300	Up	-$107	10-10 10:34
will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on february 11	25	$528	1,389	1,389	+0	No	+$177	02-11 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	16	$507	600	600	+0	Up	+$27	10-08 19:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 15:05:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	58	1¢	$1	0x1c8b4c…
10-26 15:02:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	35	1¢	$0	0x5657dc…
10-26 14:59:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xa8043b…
10-26 14:57:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x6d655e…
10-26 14:52:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x6f03c5…
10-26 14:50:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$4	0x2cad54…
10-26 14:49:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	861	0¢	$4	0x1d2f7c…
10-26 14:49:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1,023	0¢	$4	0x00e376…
10-26 14:33:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?	Yes	SELL	101	1¢	$1	0x41d866…
10-26 14:25:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x5a466f…
10-26 14:24:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?	Yes	SELL	106	1¢	$1	0xdd1729…
10-26 14:23:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?	Yes	SELL	290	2¢	$5	0x143509…
10-26 14:19:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$7	0x4b8f7d…
10-26 14:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xc205f2…
10-26 14:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xfd3173…
10-26 14:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0xc92d8e…
10-26 14:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x8c70c1…
10-26 14:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x4dcf22…
10-26 14:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x42aa7b…
10-26 14:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x40ad9f…
10-26 14:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	3¢	$0	0xf72bc3…
10-26 14:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x5f2f60…
10-26 14:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0xa29517…
10-26 14:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x875ce3…
10-26 13:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xb9c909…
10-26 13:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	28	2¢	$1	0xa6de04…
10-26 13:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x883cdf…
10-26 13:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x694ae2…
10-26 13:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xe52f77…
10-26 13:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xa63c2a…
10-26 13:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x105bd4…
10-26 13:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xa61355…
10-26 13:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x81adc2…
10-26 13:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x16cd43…
10-26 13:42:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xdb34a9…
10-26 13:42:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xa168ab…
10-26 13:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0xe1d636…
10-26 13:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0xc830e9…
10-26 13:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xaff794…
10-26 13:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x6d4342…
10-26 13:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	61	4¢	$2	0x27577d…
10-26 13:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	67	14¢	$9	0x898d52…
10-26 13:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x696c98…
10-26 13:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xb6acce…
10-26 13:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0x47fb01…
10-26 13:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0x3daeca…
10-26 13:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0xdec1ab…
10-26 13:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x09e25b…
10-23 17:20:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x63e09f…
10-23 17:20:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	79¢	$17	0x754f70…
10-23 17:06:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	79¢	$17	0x1b3ab3…
10-23 15:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xaf5e35…
10-23 15:15:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 23?	Yes	SELL	1,950	0¢	$2	0x28a51b…
10-23 15:10:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 23?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0xd1d29a…
10-23 15:05:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 23?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x6fbea1…
10-23 15:04:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 23?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x43f2b9…
10-23 15:04:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 23?	Yes	SELL	3,980	0¢	$8	0x9f65cd…
10-23 14:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x0f6d0b…
10-23 14:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x0e7c46…
10-23 14:47:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	79¢	$40	0x7796b5…
10-23 14:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4e7ec2…
10-23 14:40:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	995	0¢	$5	0xd19143…
10-23 14:38:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe5f06d…
10-23 14:17:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0xec4750…
10-23 14:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x4e1834…
10-23 14:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x66cd96…
10-23 14:11:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x0af850…
10-23 14:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9c940d…
10-23 14:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xf34f0c…
10-23 14:07:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$4	0x075831…
10-23 14:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x94b41b…
10-23 14:04:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	232	1¢	$2	0x6c491b…
10-23 14:04:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	34	1¢	$0	0x000d06…
10-23 14:03:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$6	0x5c5fc3…
10-23 14:00:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x8ace4c…
10-23 13:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0xcc0707…
10-23 13:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0xca9d2d…
10-23 13:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0xc21d8c…
10-23 13:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0x8e1302…
10-23 13:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	94	9¢	$8	0x51c5a0…
10-23 13:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x1d3bf0…
10-23 13:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0x070af0…
10-23 13:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xe45d51…
10-23 13:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	17	9¢	$2	0xe02e55…
10-23 13:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0xa804de…
10-23 13:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	9¢	$1	0x3ebbe8…
10-23 13:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0x3a54ba…
10-23 13:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x397a75…
10-23 13:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0x21ac09…
10-23 13:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x1f651d…
10-23 13:49:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xed9962…
10-23 13:49:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xdf7dbd…
10-23 13:49:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xcd1363…
10-23 13:49:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xc82124…
10-23 13:49:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xbfe28d…
10-23 13:49:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xbb4460…
10-23 13:49:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x8a9409…
10-23 13:49:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x6d45fc…
10-23 13:49:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x6968c8…
10-23 13:49:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x6091f2…