Splendid-Collection — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$61.9K

Unrealized P&L

-$20.0K

Hit rate

65.0%

Resolved

850

Trades

11,930

lifetime

Volume

$2.01M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$169

Open exposure

$44.8K

30 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-28 14:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 138 days

Categories

Other

59% 51% +$13,363

Crypto

16% 78% +$8,805

Politics

15% 58% +$33,703

Sports

9% 36% +$5,360

Tech

2% 60% +$645

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 247 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	+17,000	$11,010	66¢	$11.3K	+$295	10-28 13:18
will bitcoin reach 95000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	+8,003	$6,523	76¢	$6.0K	-$480	06-22 14:09
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+6,000	$5,280	82¢	$5.0K	-$330	06-29 07:04
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	+19,791	$4,777	20¢	$4.0K	-$789	10-27 12:06
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+4,000	$3,200	60¢	$2.4K	-$820	06-29 07:04
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+2,303	$2,073	97¢	$2.2K	+$165	06-05 09:28
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	Yes	+14,437	$2,967	15¢	$2.1K	-$873	10-24 14:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+2,000	$1,600	98¢	$2.0K	+$355	06-02 15:55
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?	Yes	+12,267	$2,261	12¢	$1.4K	-$850	10-16 20:21
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+1,786	$1,143	74¢	$1.3K	+$180	10-28 06:33
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?	Yes	+2,000	$860	52¢	$1.1K	+$190	10-21 23:55
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+1,194	$861	72¢	$854	-$7	10-21 23:58
nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	+876	$514	92¢	$810	+$297	07-20 19:42
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+15,511	$2,792	4¢	$698	-$2,094	10-27 20:54
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+4,000	$1,000	16¢	$660	-$340	10-20 08:31
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	+1,000	$467	57¢	$573	+$106	10-22 19:44
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	Yes	+12,920	$1,062	3¢	$401	-$662	10-26 14:15
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	Yes	+7,370	$1,626	4¢	$332	-$1,294	10-23 19:06
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+20,296	$4,281	2¢	$304	-$3,976	10-23 18:38
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	Yes	+872	$277	30¢	$262	-$16	10-27 16:20
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+6,258	$848	4¢	$241	-$607	10-28 02:23
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+2,816	$668	8¢	$239	-$429	10-23 19:47
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?	Yes	+25,975	$1,309	1¢	$221	-$1,088	10-28 16:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	Yes	+2,000	$460	6¢	$130	-$330	10-25 04:07
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	+2,000	$360	6¢	$110	-$250	09-21 15:48
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+8,972	$1,048	1¢	$90	-$958	10-09 19:07
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	+2,894	$1,601	2¢	$56	-$1,545	09-26 14:53
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+2,671	$2,920	2¢	$53	-$2,867	10-28 09:09
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes	+3,867	$870	1¢	$33	-$837	10-23 07:53
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	+526	$206	4¢	$19	-$187	10-19 14:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	502	$102.5K	145,882	148,962	-3,080	No	-$25,283	06-01 12:38
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	136	$84.6K	97,264	21,811	+75,453	Yes	+$21,550	06-01 11:55
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	59	$39.1K	42,167	300	+41,867	Yes	+$2,834	06-08 11:20
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	47	$31.1K	20,000	20,000	+0	Yes	+$802	07-28 15:42
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	56	$29.5K	20,497	20,497	+0	open	—	10-27 20:39
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	113	$25.2K	33,272	33,272	+0	No	+$3,818	10-15 10:52
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	41	$24.8K	17,007	17,007	+0	Yes	+$1,356	06-21 09:16
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 23 29	31	$24.6K	13,375	13,375	+0	No	+$2,083	06-29 13:05
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	47	$24.0K	19,050	19,050	+0	Yes	+$10,281	10-26 00:12
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	112	$22.4K	25,980	25,980	+0	No	-$1,162	07-14 15:30
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	81	$20.6K	40,000	40,000	+0	Yes	+$11,120	07-16 13:47
will javokhir sindarov win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	23	$17.8K	20,261	0	+20,261	Yes	+$2,451	04-12 10:12
will france reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149741	174	$17.4K	21,235	1,003	+20,232	Yes	+$4,443	07-09 15:37
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	44	$16.9K	14,000	9,637	+4,363	Yes	-$20	01-30 08:56
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	30	$16.8K	14,256	12,838	+1,418	Yes	+$4,332	08-08 14:52
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	53	$16.3K	16,473	16,473	+0	No	+$1,072	06-12 18:39
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	41	$16.0K	15,000	10,000	+5,000	No	+$1,913	07-04 01:26
Will TSG Hoffenheim win on 2026-08-16?	50	$15.1K	13,901	3,151	+10,751	No	+$1,047	08-16 08:15
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	18	$14.5K	23,040	4,500	+18,540	Yes	+$6,325	06-15 15:54
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	8	$14.1K	16,000	16,000	+0	No	-$6,638	07-18 17:45
will morocco reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149718	36	$14.0K	12,000	6,000	+6,000	No	+$1,326	07-09 12:53
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	68	$13.5K	19,000	2,000	+17,000	open	—	10-28 13:18
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	163	$13.2K	40,000	40,000	+0	No	+$4,790	07-15 04:14
will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	43	$12.6K	25,040	5,249	+19,791	open	—	10-27 12:06
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	170	$11.7K	14,805	14,805	+0	No	+$1,955	07-22 04:30
starmer out by july 31 2026	15	$11.6K	13,314	0	+13,314	Yes	+$1,682	06-21 23:21
Fed rate hike in 2026?	48	$11.4K	12,737	12,737	+0	Yes	+$469	07-29 17:16
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?	39	$11.0K	16,000	4,000	+12,000	Yes	-$6,680	08-22 13:35
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	2	$11.0K	0	11,060	-11,060	No	-$76	06-01 11:10
will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	95	$10.9K	36,639	10,878	+25,760	No	-$5,651	09-30 06:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 16:30:58	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?	Yes	BUY	2,016	1¢	$16	0x7eeabb…
10-28 16:28:29	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x4ce477…
10-28 16:17:32	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?	Yes	BUY	454	1¢	$4	0xe6cf48…
10-28 16:13:59	Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xfb3796…
10-28 16:13:58	Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?	No	BUY	82	84¢	$69	0xecb50e…
10-28 16:13:53	Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?	No	BUY	340	84¢	$286	0x013712…
10-28 16:13:44	Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?	No	BUY	548	84¢	$460	0x5d7d10…
10-28 16:08:14	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?	Yes	BUY	504	1¢	$4	0x2cb2e8…
10-28 14:59:44	Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	No	BUY	512	32¢	$164	0x6d35ab…
10-28 13:47:32	Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	No	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x48b40b…
10-28 13:31:20	Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	No	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0x5c22c5…
10-28 13:31:20	Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	No	BUY	61	32¢	$20	0x0a47a6…
10-28 13:18:43	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	519	65¢	$337	0xeb3e19…
10-28 13:18:43	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	1,952	65¢	$1,269	0x80509a…
10-28 13:18:43	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	2,529	65¢	$1,644	0x3e0906…
10-28 13:02:43	Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	No	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0xa17e91…
10-28 10:20:35	Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	No	BUY	92	32¢	$30	0x3867d2…
10-28 09:09:37	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	3¢	$30	0x732b90…
10-28 09:09:37	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,366	3¢	$131	0x54700a…
10-28 06:58:49	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	3¢	$15	0x975daf…
10-28 06:54:35	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	3¢	$1	0x0b7751…
10-28 06:43:13	Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	No	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xf0de5d…
10-28 06:38:50	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	3¢	$1	0xc6c310…
10-28 06:37:11	Houthis enter Aden by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	152	9¢	$14	0xb349b7…
10-28 06:33:14	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0x79bd63…
10-28 06:28:59	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	599	64¢	$383	0xd8e624…
10-28 05:05:31	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1,173	64¢	$751	0xa1953a…
10-28 02:23:21	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6,258	4¢	$269	0x4c8ec7…
10-28 00:22:30	Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	No	BUY	710	29¢	$206	0xcc34ec…
10-28 00:17:24	Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	No	BUY	971	30¢	$291	0x7817e0…
10-28 00:17:24	Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	No	BUY	290	29¢	$84	0x62f4fb…
10-27 23:54:35	Houthis enter Aden by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	386	9¢	$35	0xf0cff6…
10-27 23:49:06	Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x100129…
10-27 23:34:32	Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	No	BUY	24	30¢	$7	0x9e4289…
10-27 23:14:05	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	287	70¢	$201	0x9a38e6…
10-27 23:09:42	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	143	70¢	$100	0x735dda…
10-27 22:57:48	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	1,500	11¢	$165	0x99cf2c…
10-27 22:51:02	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	70¢	$30	0x183bc9…
10-27 22:50:33	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,653	70¢	$1,857	0xadc510…
10-27 20:54:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	4,000	7¢	$280	0xebdd84…
10-27 20:54:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	560	7¢	$39	0xa5d65c…
10-27 20:54:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	143	7¢	$10	0x45fd40…
10-27 20:44:53	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	467	7¢	$33	0x38a801…
10-27 20:39:56	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	4,026	71¢	$2,859	0x7351c2…
10-27 20:26:23	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	297	71¢	$211	0x72ae23…
10-27 20:26:12	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x5d99a6…
10-27 20:26:03	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2,083	71¢	$1,479	0x439fc7…
10-27 20:25:45	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	70	71¢	$50	0xa270c0…
10-27 20:25:39	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5,246	71¢	$3,725	0xb9eaac…
10-27 20:25:36	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	272	71¢	$193	0x79b96a…
10-27 20:11:51	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	3,999	72¢	$2,879	0xa75da6…
10-27 18:42:05	Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	No	BUY	706	30¢	$212	0xf07885…
10-27 18:41:44	Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	No	BUY	294	30¢	$88	0x528368…
10-27 18:41:44	Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	No	BUY	480	31¢	$149	0x33d49a…
10-27 17:22:02	Houthis enter Aden by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	332	9¢	$30	0x4ba3e7…
10-27 16:35:21	Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x83cdaf…
10-27 16:21:24	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,170	68¢	$795	0x495ae0…
10-27 16:20:06	Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	872	32¢	$277	0x4ecd03…
10-27 16:19:20	Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	No	BUY	1,000	32¢	$320	0xd6da49…
10-27 16:18:35	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,770	22¢	$381	0x15ac38…
10-27 15:43:15	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	451	76¢	$343	0xf75477…
10-27 15:43:15	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	120	76¢	$91	0xdff145…
10-27 15:43:15	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	929	76¢	$706	0x8c4a42…
10-27 15:42:09	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6,929	3¢	$228	0xaf8f46…
10-27 15:30:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	6,000	6¢	$360	0xe50755…
10-27 14:11:12	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1,654	78¢	$1,290	0x4ab325…
10-27 14:10:57	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	23	78¢	$18	0xd476c5…
10-27 14:10:36	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0xe6bdf9…
10-27 14:10:30	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0xfe2580…
10-27 14:10:18	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	909	78¢	$709	0xb6fd33…
10-27 14:10:18	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1,980	78¢	$1,544	0x2e2d33…
10-27 14:10:12	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x0f0a68…
10-27 14:10:09	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	546	78¢	$426	0x0a3429…
10-27 14:10:05	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	848	78¢	$662	0x06ec7b…
10-27 12:06:17	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	BUY	249	21¢	$52	0xcbb5c9…
10-27 12:04:59	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	610	65¢	$396	0x5f7cb6…
10-27 11:51:45	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	143	65¢	$93	0x4563a9…
10-27 11:38:39	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	13	65¢	$8	0xbb4f2d…
10-27 11:19:03	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xd3335a…
10-27 11:01:57	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x5abedd…
10-27 10:51:00	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	29	65¢	$19	0x9a1aff…
10-27 10:13:59	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	857	65¢	$557	0xbc2631…
10-27 09:44:47	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	143	65¢	$93	0xdb852e…
10-27 09:33:59	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xac829d…
10-27 09:23:03	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	51	65¢	$33	0x4e7a13…
10-27 09:07:18	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xeaf3d6…
10-27 08:59:39	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	13	65¢	$9	0xf2ff85…
10-27 08:51:53	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	57	65¢	$37	0xf2076a…
10-27 08:36:35	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xf012d3…
10-27 08:26:15	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xb2f776…
10-27 08:17:18	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x75e1da…
10-27 08:15:09	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	812	72¢	$584	0xa31516…
10-27 08:15:06	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	825	72¢	$594	0xad0bac…
10-27 08:14:59	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xf2bc14…
10-27 08:14:30	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	607	72¢	$437	0xc248bf…
10-27 08:12:54	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	36	72¢	$26	0x098ae2…
10-27 08:11:00	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	344	72¢	$247	0xdc3687…
10-27 08:10:42	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	59	72¢	$42	0x2df4b1…
10-27 08:10:38	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	71	72¢	$51	0xd5ba9e…
10-27 08:10:35	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$15	0xaf1de9…