Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$839

Unrealized P&L

+$57

Hit rate

74.6%

Resolved

Trades

677

lifetime

Volume

$76.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$114

Open exposure

$1.67K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 08-22 19:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Other

50% 46% +$803

Politics

42% 59% -$871

Sports

5% 25% -$81

Crypto

4% 27% -$693

Tech

0% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+906	$852	97¢	$879	+$27	07-01 10:19
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+700	$658	97¢	$677	+$19	06-30 16:28
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?	Yes	+1,000	$118	11¢	$105	-$13	08-07 14:02
AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	+82	-$18	8¢	$6	+$24	05-16 17:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	75	$6.0K	5,200	4,600	+600	No	+$12	05-07 02:17
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$6.0K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$3	02-02 08:09
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	49	$5.5K	3,300	3,300	+0	Yes	+$25	02-19 15:01
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	6	$3.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	-$48	02-28 10:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	33	$3.6K	2,600	2,300	+300	Yes	-$269	04-12 12:36
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	34	$3.5K	5,422	5,603	-181	No	+$338	03-25 06:59
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$3.5K	1,850	1,809	+41	No	+$2	03-10 22:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	13	$3.5K	2,600	2,600	+0	No	+$240	04-12 13:06
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	12	$3.5K	1,800	1,800	+0	Yes	+$62	02-23 21:51
us strikes iran by february 15 2026	2	$3.3K	1,650	1,650	+0	No	+$15	02-16 05:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	6	$2.7K	2,500	700	+1,800	No	+$198	04-24 11:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	5	$2.3K	1,319	1,319	+0	No	+$51	04-22 05:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	7	$2.0K	2,552	600	+1,952	Yes	+$769	04-02 03:28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	13	$1.7K	2,600	2,600	+0	Yes	-$81	03-28 22:41
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$0	03-31 10:07
us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	1	$1.6K	1,660	0	+1,660	No	+$22	02-16 05:29
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	2	$1.6K	1,600	0	+1,600	No	+$6	02-14 03:17
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	17	$1.6K	1,600	0	+1,600	No	+$42	02-18 11:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	2	$1.2K	1,400	0	+1,400	No	+$220	04-24 11:30
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	8	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$66	03-31 13:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	28	$1.1K	1,338	1,261	+78	Yes	+$15	04-07 23:58
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	4	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$503	04-10 21:14
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	8	$988	800	300	+500	No	+$46	03-08 07:38
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	26	$946	750	750	+0	Yes	+$1	04-08 06:11
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	7	$852	906	0	+906	open	—	07-01 10:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$744	400	400	+0	No	+$0	05-01 12:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	15	$732	400	800	-400	No	+$324	04-03 15:04
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	10	$673	1,700	1,700	+0	No	-$3	03-01 08:22
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	10	$658	700	0	+700	open	—	06-30 16:28
will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	12	$624	730	580	+150	Yes	-$49	07-27 18:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-22 19:18:16	Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	46¢	$10	0xa33917…
08-19 15:26:52	will ethereum reach 2200 in august 2026	No	BUY	21	74¢	$15	0x3615c2…
08-19 15:26:34	will ethereum reach 2200 in august 2026	No	BUY	98	74¢	$72	0x0e75b7…
08-19 15:26:33	will ethereum reach 2200 in august 2026	No	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x2a09f9…
08-19 15:26:30	will ethereum reach 2200 in august 2026	No	BUY	32	74¢	$24	0x4d70d9…
08-19 15:26:28	will ethereum reach 2200 in august 2026	No	BUY	38	74¢	$28	0x6c032c…
08-19 15:24:45	will ethereum reach 2200 in august 2026	No	BUY	32	74¢	$24	0x26ad91…
08-19 15:24:31	will ethereum reach 2200 in august 2026	No	BUY	45	74¢	$33	0x729ee9…
08-19 15:24:30	will ethereum reach 2200 in august 2026	No	BUY	53	74¢	$39	0xa6c130…
08-19 15:24:19	will ethereum reach 2200 in august 2026	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xb29966…
08-19 15:23:36	will ethereum reach 2200 in august 2026	No	BUY	155	77¢	$119	0x3f4f72…
08-19 15:11:46	will ethereum reach 2200 in august 2026	No	BUY	45	77¢	$35	0xbd0569…
08-19 15:05:12	will ethereum reach 2000 in august 2026	No	BUY	500	8¢	$40	0xba539c…
08-18 21:58:39	Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	46¢	$14	0x4b256f…
08-16 16:30:46	will ethereum dip to 1800 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	84	55¢	$46	0x64b61a…
08-16 14:37:46	will ethereum dip to 1800 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe17935…
08-15 19:41:49	will ethereum dip to 1800 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x97b635…
08-15 18:21:42	will ethereum dip to 1800 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xd061f5…
08-15 17:32:34	will ethereum dip to 1800 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x26253f…
08-15 17:16:27	will ethereum dip to 1800 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x06cb21…
08-15 17:07:07	will ethereum dip to 1800 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x839db4…
08-10 10:24:16	Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	36¢	$29	0xc79931…
08-08 02:24:42	will ethereum reach 2000 in august 2026	No	SELL	197	31¢	$61	0x0e68b9…
08-07 21:54:30	will ethereum reach 2000 in august 2026	No	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x38ccf7…
08-07 14:02:10	Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0x1fa37b…
08-07 13:05:13	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	120	36¢	$43	0x152e4d…
08-07 13:04:09	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	31	36¢	$11	0x5bfd00…
08-07 12:53:27	will ethereum reach 2000 in august 2026	No	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0xe3fba2…
08-07 12:49:07	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	48	36¢	$17	0x61bb9e…
08-01 14:00:56	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	BUY	145	62¢	$90	0x415f8c…
08-01 12:40:08	will ethereum dip to 1800 july 27 august 2 2026	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x11d763…
08-01 12:39:54	will ethereum dip to 1800 july 27 august 2 2026	Yes	BUY	111	11¢	$12	0xa56de1…
08-01 11:14:39	will ethereum dip to 1800 july 27 august 2 2026	Yes	BUY	56	11¢	$6	0xb2e784…
08-01 09:52:50	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x35f060…
08-01 09:39:27	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x34e439…
08-01 08:40:33	will ethereum dip to 1800 july 27 august 2 2026	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0xdb90ea…
08-01 07:21:18	will ethereum dip to 1800 july 27 august 2 2026	Yes	BUY	120	11¢	$13	0x5954a0…
08-01 06:45:59	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	150	76¢	$114	0xb86d4e…
08-01 06:36:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	150	22¢	$33	0xebb698…
08-01 06:28:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	SELL	300	23¢	$69	0xf3f683…
08-01 05:58:29	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	200	18¢	$36	0xa5c110…
08-01 05:41:11	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xb3fc3b…
08-01 05:36:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	28	23¢	$6	0x4fcc0c…
08-01 05:36:26	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xc3cd87…
08-01 05:35:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x1c384d…
08-01 05:33:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	66	23¢	$15	0xfd6000…
08-01 05:32:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x28daf2…
08-01 05:29:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	200	18¢	$36	0xe0a770…
08-01 05:29:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	150	24¢	$36	0x73f5d6…
07-29 05:43:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x61628d…
07-28 00:16:28	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x8ae7f5…
07-27 18:57:01	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	27	35¢	$10	0x282b80…
07-27 18:19:03	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xed28e3…
07-27 18:01:19	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	89	35¢	$31	0x0ead74…
07-27 13:36:37	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	SELL	121	50¢	$60	0x30f3b4…
07-27 13:32:27	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	SELL	99	50¢	$50	0x5ef34f…
07-27 13:22:27	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0x401e7a…
07-27 13:01:22	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	240	48¢	$115	0x64123c…
07-27 13:00:03	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x96b8a2…
07-27 12:54:48	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	SELL	260	49¢	$127	0x457979…
07-27 08:41:55	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	140	47¢	$66	0x72ed80…
07-27 08:19:34	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	110	51¢	$56	0xd57645…
07-27 08:17:57	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa1a93a…
07-20 05:11:09	will ethereum reach 2100 in july 2026	No	SELL	200	86¢	$172	0x53c5d7…
07-20 00:16:04	will ethereum reach 2100 in july 2026	No	BUY	192	82¢	$157	0x87d295…
07-20 00:10:46	will ethereum reach 2100 in july 2026	No	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0x0afa89…
07-12 14:33:41	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?	Yes	BUY	33	87¢	$28	0x15bba5…
07-12 03:40:13	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?	Yes	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0xdc8385…
07-12 03:28:59	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0xaab5d5…
07-11 16:07:37	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x76d925…
07-01 10:19:20	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb72a15…
06-30 16:28:55	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	253	94¢	$238	0x5bbd60…
06-30 14:16:34	Will USD/JPY hit 170 (High) in 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	33¢	$6	0x04a8f8…
06-30 14:15:05	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	94¢	$470	0x67ab4d…
06-29 16:46:38	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	133	94¢	$125	0x9bda06…
06-29 12:25:22	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	62	94¢	$59	0x157bdd…
06-27 19:43:08	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	60	69¢	$41	0x0a3440…
06-27 16:11:22	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x0419f6…
06-26 23:49:02	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0xef44dc…
06-26 23:23:11	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x63a9e5…
06-26 12:25:29	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x928626…
06-25 21:20:47	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0x2aef72…
06-25 13:03:53	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	94¢	$23	0xdb0f39…
06-25 11:54:56	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	39	94¢	$36	0x41e0a8…
06-25 11:00:05	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	62	94¢	$58	0x1a454f…
06-25 06:59:13	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x9a9000…
06-24 10:55:31	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	364	94¢	$342	0x3bcb1c…
06-24 02:37:10	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x81d855…
06-23 13:17:55	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	94¢	$21	0xb999ae…
06-16 19:15:28	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	95	78¢	$74	0x4027dd…
06-16 19:15:28	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0x2ea919…
06-16 19:15:04	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xf20fcb…
06-14 14:44:36	Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)	Netherlands	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x42f81f…
06-14 14:41:51	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 3pt5	Germany	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x0bd69b…
06-14 14:33:51	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	No	SELL	100	52¢	$52	0xbe6e3d…
06-14 12:06:21	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	No	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0xc93908…
06-11 16:00:48	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	No	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0xfd7279…
05-16 17:10:08	AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	21¢	$104	0x913750…
05-12 07:53:29	Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?	Yes	BUY	290	12¢	$35	0xa7e48c…
05-11 07:47:46	Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?	Yes	BUY	110	12¢	$13	0x61db68…