Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$217

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

44.2%

Resolved

199

Trades

1,660

lifetime

Volume

$17.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$321

3 positions

First seen

2026-08-10

last 08-26 18:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Other

57% 39% -$168

Crypto

21% 57% -$15

Politics

19% 50% -$24

Tech

2% 20% -$5

Sports

0% 17% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 164 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	-321	-$275	88¢	$-281	-$6	08-26 12:03
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-321	-$46	12¢	$-40	+$6	08-26 17:33
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$0	96¢	$0	$0	08-14 10:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
atp jodar fils 2026 08 11	58	$819	942	942	+0	Rafael Jodar	-$7	08-11 15:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	7	$566	313	313	+0	open	—	08-26 18:54
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	15	$514	206	848	-642	open	—	08-26 17:33
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?	7	$506	372	372	+0	Yes	-$14	08-26 18:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	6	$416	246	246	+0	open	—	08-26 18:54
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	22	$413	248	248	+0	open	—	08-26 12:06
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	18	$400	225	225	+0	Yes	+$30	08-12 22:05
ucl nec oly 2026 08 11 total 2pt5	48	$334	350	350	+0	Under	-$4	08-11 15:44
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	16	$329	243	243	+0	Yes	-$7	08-26 18:54
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	19	$297	418	175	+243	Yes	+$233	08-12 21:35
Iran leadership change by December 31?	17	$297	181	181	+0	open	—	08-26 14:05
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	18	$270	146	146	+0	No	+$1	08-26 12:06
ucl kau din 2026 08 11 spread away 1pt5	46	$266	239	239	+0	FK Kauno Žalgiris	$0	08-11 15:44
atp samrej isomura 2026 08 11	26	$243	260	232	+28	Kasidit Samrej	-$28	08-11 13:02
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	22	$236	154	154	+0	open	—	08-26 12:03
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	7	$222	164	164	+0	No	-$10	08-26 18:54
itf basil robert 2026 08 11	15	$217	157	157	+0	Nicolas Robert	+$42	08-11 08:53
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	5	$209	214	214	+0	open	—	08-26 18:54
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	12	$195	227	227	+0	open	—	08-26 18:10
will bitcoin hit 100k by june 30 2027	2	$190	160	160	+0	open	—	08-26 18:54
atp kumasak sinclai 2026 08 11	6	$187	119	115	+4	Takuya Kumasaka	+$23	08-11 08:30
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	14	$186	211	132	+79	Yes	-$57	08-12 21:24
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	15	$183	104	104	+0	No	-$2	08-26 17:34
atp shevche ruiz 2026 08 11	16	$174	186	186	+0	Alexander Shevchenko	-$2	08-11 15:43
iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	13	$173	89	89	+0	No	+$0	08-16 08:13
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	3	$158	84	84	+0	open	—	08-26 17:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August?	10	$158	81	81	+0	No	+$2	08-23 13:39
itf stefano parcell 2026 08 11	17	$158	124	124	+0	Samira De Stefano	+$26	08-11 12:30
Will Guarani FC SP win on 2026-08-10?	12	$145	125	125	+0	No	+$1	08-11 00:15
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	17	$143	88	88	+0	open	—	08-26 12:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-26 18:55:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August?	Yes	SELL	70	11¢	$8	0x9aab19…
08-26 18:55:04	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	Yes	SELL	92	28¢	$26	0xa72a1c…
08-26 18:55:03	Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	199	29¢	$58	0xa7d422…
08-26 18:55:01	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	33¢	$8	0x045c8a…
08-26 18:54:58	will bitcoin dip to 75k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	56	34¢	$19	0x7e2066…
08-26 18:54:55	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	17	77¢	$13	0x6900bc…
08-26 18:54:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	116	64¢	$74	0x09f390…
08-26 18:54:52	will bitcoin hit 100k by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	160	56¢	$90	0x6fe61b…
08-26 18:54:49	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	214	46¢	$99	0x1d457e…
08-26 18:54:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	167	66¢	$110	0x202caf…
08-26 18:54:45	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	87¢	$5	0x91e3cc…
08-26 18:54:43	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	12¢	$5	0xdfc0d4…
08-26 18:54:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	76¢	$5	0xab2d6c…
08-26 18:54:37	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	25¢	$14	0x6c5e95…
08-26 18:54:36	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	372	66¢	$246	0x56330a…
08-26 18:54:25	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	18¢	$9	0xbb0200…
08-26 18:54:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	246	83¢	$204	0x3c7525…
08-26 18:54:19	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	137	29¢	$40	0x0d0db3…
08-26 18:54:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	307	90¢	$276	0x792c31…
08-26 18:54:10	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0xab0c1a…
08-26 18:54:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August?	No	SELL	34	87¢	$30	0xbe99df…
08-26 18:48:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	53	94¢	$50	0x3f4945…
08-26 18:48:42	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026 from august 25	Yes	SELL	34	64¢	$21	0xb6bd4a…
08-26 18:46:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August?	No	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0xa1d1f9…
08-26 18:46:42	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0xf51a56…
08-26 18:46:27	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xecb24c…
08-26 18:46:21	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	No	SELL	14	89¢	$13	0x86d421…
08-26 18:12:55	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	81¢	$11	0x174d33…
08-26 18:12:52	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	76	14¢	$11	0x34ea69…
08-26 18:12:48	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	7	94¢	$6	0x49da7a…
08-26 18:12:45	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0xafa6db…
08-26 18:12:43	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	53¢	$6	0xdd2c7a…
08-26 18:12:39	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x4cf133…
08-26 18:12:34	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x853c14…
08-26 18:12:33	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0xe66fca…
08-26 18:12:30	No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027	Yes	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0xe5aed3…
08-26 18:12:27	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	SELL	34	6¢	$2	0xc9e1b2…
08-26 18:12:25	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	12	14¢	$2	0x9f21db…
08-26 18:12:21	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	8	18¢	$1	0x7b5a56…
08-26 18:12:19	Weed rescheduled by December 31?	Yes	SELL	9	15¢	$1	0x524967…
08-26 18:12:15	Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	60	2¢	$1	0xf57f2e…
08-26 18:11:58	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	9¢	$1	0xababb4…
08-26 18:11:57	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	9¢	$1	0xd3c253…
08-26 18:11:28	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	43	5¢	$2	0x5c2f7d…
08-26 18:11:25	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	7¢	$2	0x85dc83…
08-26 18:11:21	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	11	26¢	$3	0x0af4b1…
08-26 18:11:16	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	116	3¢	$3	0x1f0f52…
08-26 18:11:07	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	11	38¢	$4	0x59432e…
08-26 18:11:03	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	56	7¢	$4	0xdfaae9…
08-26 18:10:57	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	41	11¢	$4	0xff6f02…
08-26 18:10:54	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	77	6¢	$5	0x63648a…
08-26 17:35:10	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	48	19¢	$9	0xbc0833…
08-26 17:35:06	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	28	35¢	$10	0x20289d…
08-26 17:35:00	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	47	23¢	$11	0x3d760b…
08-26 17:34:45	Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	19¢	$11	0x03a9fb…
08-26 17:34:33	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	30¢	$13	0xac2325…
08-26 17:34:22	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	122	15¢	$19	0xe4bbf9…
08-26 17:34:18	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	43	86¢	$37	0x40bdac…
08-26 17:33:51	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	321	14¢	$45	0xd89eff…
08-26 17:17:58	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xaad245…
08-26 17:17:51	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x721d34…
08-26 17:17:37	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xc1e47c…
08-26 17:16:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August?	No	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0xb8049b…
08-26 17:15:36	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0xfc2746…
08-26 17:14:46	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026 from august 25	Yes	BUY	34	60¢	$20	0x168d2e…
08-26 17:10:34	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	84	94¢	$79	0x713cba…
08-26 17:10:18	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	21	35¢	$8	0x501d1f…
08-26 17:10:12	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0x68535f…
08-26 14:05:58	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	137	30¢	$41	0x0a69d9…
08-26 14:05:24	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	53	82¢	$43	0x2d13f8…
08-26 13:05:03	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0x101a01…
08-26 13:03:19	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	SELL	22	98¢	$21	0x152405…
08-26 12:50:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xa975dd…
08-26 12:36:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xabffb0…
08-26 12:35:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf61bbc…
08-26 12:25:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x3e0df3…
08-26 12:17:22	will bitcoin dip to 75k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x4ceae0…
08-26 12:17:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August?	Yes	BUY	70	14¢	$10	0x867fdf…
08-26 12:13:49	will bitcoin hit 100k by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	160	63¢	$100	0x684978…
08-26 12:13:27	Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	169	36¢	$60	0x61feb5…
08-26 12:12:30	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	Yes	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0xaa44f9…
08-26 12:12:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xf16db2…
08-26 12:11:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xb18791…
08-26 12:09:55	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x67a417…
08-26 12:08:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	47	85¢	$40	0xbc87ea…
08-26 12:08:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x4f1728…
08-26 12:07:55	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0xff230b…
08-26 12:06:15	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0xe57f59…
08-26 12:06:10	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	263	5¢	$13	0x4c1bff…
08-26 12:06:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	129	84¢	$109	0xc46160…
08-26 12:06:00	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	42	94¢	$39	0x77d18a…
08-26 12:05:57	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	26	79¢	$20	0xc66c35…
08-26 12:05:51	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	67¢	$5	0xeec389…
08-26 12:05:45	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0x337ea7…
08-26 12:05:40	Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?	No	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x6188f8…
08-26 12:05:28	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	9	84¢	$8	0x39f042…
08-26 12:05:24	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0x23ed37…
08-26 12:05:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x5a4a18…
08-26 12:05:16	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	SELL	32	98¢	$32	0xf2b5c9…
08-26 12:05:04	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	87¢	$11	0x044b4c…