Fixed-Evolution — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.89K

Unrealized P&L

+$337

Hit rate

97.4%

Resolved

1,525

Trades

2,561

lifetime

Volume

$374.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$146

Open exposure

$15.3K

30 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-25 14:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 189 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 98% +$3,367

Other

19% 96% +$451

Tech

0% 92% +$55

Sports

0% 100% +$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,329	$1,248	97¢	$1.3K	+$46	09-12 13:50
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,289	$1,202	97¢	$1.2K	+$44	09-02 14:56
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,249	$1,160	98¢	$1.2K	+$68	08-28 16:15
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,228	$1,151	97¢	$1.2K	+$39	08-25 13:20
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,122	$1,075	98¢	$1.1K	+$19	10-03 15:50
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,100	$1,036	92¢	$1.0K	-$30	08-03 14:10
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+776	$754	98¢	$763	+$9	10-03 16:00
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+800	$768	94¢	$756	-$12	08-03 14:10
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	No	+700	$661	97¢	$682	+$21	09-13 15:30
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	+600	$566	96¢	$575	+$9	09-04 13:58
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?	No	+566	$539	99¢	$560	+$22	06-08 11:37
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026?	No	+581	$539	94¢	$546	+$7	08-29 15:13
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+450	$424	98¢	$440	+$15	09-18 10:28
Will Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026?	No	+425	$402	97¢	$412	+$10	08-28 16:27
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?	No	+400	$380	98¢	$392	+$12	08-01 03:36
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	No	+400	$391	97¢	$390	-$2	10-03 15:51
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+367	$349	96¢	$354	+$5	10-03 15:50
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?	No	+315	$302	98¢	$310	+$8	07-12 13:27
Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	No	+250	$248	100¢	$250	+$2	10-22 16:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+250	$239	98¢	$245	+$6	08-25 13:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+200	$192	100¢	$199	+$7	06-12 11:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+200	$192	99¢	$199	+$6	07-09 13:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+200	$188	97¢	$194	+$6	09-02 14:28
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	+200	$187	94¢	$187	+$0	08-25 13:29
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	No	+200	$154	86¢	$173	+$19	09-18 10:25
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+200	$182	82¢	$163	-$19	08-01 13:54
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	No	+150	$141	98¢	$146	+$6	08-01 13:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+150	$138	96¢	$144	+$6	09-11 13:53
Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	+100	$97	99¢	$99	+$1	09-13 15:26
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	No	+100	$92	98¢	$98	+$6	07-12 03:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ethereum reach 2600 in august 2026	27	$5.1K	11,901	11,901	+0	No	+$3,384	08-24 17:26
will bitcoin reach 115k in january 2026	8	$4.0K	2,028	2,028	+0	No	+$51	01-26 15:30
will bitcoin reach 110k in january 2026	13	$3.9K	2,030	2,030	+0	No	+$89	01-30 15:45
will bitcoin reach 82k march 30 april 5	5	$3.1K	3,088	0	+3,088	No	+$6	04-04 04:22
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	6	$2.9K	1,900	1,000	+900	No	+$19	04-27 16:46
will bitcoin reach 120k in january 2026	6	$2.2K	1,126	1,126	+0	No	+$15	01-29 17:09
will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	11	$2.1K	1,100	1,016	+84	No	+$7	07-29 14:07
will bitcoin reach 80k in july 2026	10	$2.0K	1,020	1,020	+0	No	+$10	07-29 14:07
will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	8	$2.0K	2,017	0	+2,017	No	+$24	03-18 11:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?	3	$2.0K	1,000	999	+1	No	+$7	04-26 06:12
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	5	$2.0K	1,490	500	+990	No	+$14	04-26 06:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	3	$1.8K	1,800	0	+1,800	No	+$7	04-27 16:46
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	3	$1.6K	1,600	0	+1,600	No	+$8	04-09 14:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	5	$1.6K	1,600	0	+1,600	No	+$27	04-14 12:42
will bitcoin reach 95k in march 2026	11	$1.6K	1,600	0	+1,600	No	+$31	03-17 11:50
pltr above 184 on january 30 2026	21	$1.4K	1,750	660	+1,090	No	-$9	01-30 11:52
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?	6	$1.4K	1,435	0	+1,435	No	+$14	05-16 05:50
will ethereum reach 2700 in june 2026	3	$1.4K	868	550	+318	No	+$8	06-25 10:12
will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	8	$1.4K	823	600	+223	No	+$15	01-30 16:22
bitcoin above 96k on february 3	5	$1.4K	1,384	0	+1,384	No	+$11	01-31 17:18
will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	6	$1.4K	688	688	+0	No	+$12	07-28 14:10
will ethereum reach 4000 in january 2026	6	$1.3K	700	700	+0	No	+$54	01-13 16:17
Will Solana reach $130 in May?	6	$1.3K	923	357	+566	No	+$12	05-26 17:17
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	6	$1.2K	1,329	0	+1,329	open	—	09-12 13:50
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in June?	3	$1.2K	619	619	+0	No	+$11	06-25 10:36
will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	5	$1.2K	1,258	0	+1,258	No	+$42	02-07 09:57
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	6	$1.2K	1,289	0	+1,289	open	—	09-02 14:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	4	$1.2K	1,200	0	+1,200	No	+$20	05-24 04:31
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?	3	$1.2K	1,249	0	+1,249	open	—	08-28 16:15
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$1.2K	1,228	0	+1,228	open	—	08-25 13:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 14:04:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October?	No	BUY	96	99¢	$95	0x9fcefe…
10-25 06:22:36	Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x425566…
10-25 06:22:20	Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x9ebd2d…
10-25 06:21:41	Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x4d6cc8…
10-24 15:10:50	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of October?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1056d4…
10-22 16:54:41	Will Solana reach $150 in October?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa64740…
10-22 16:54:18	Will Solana reach $150 in October?	No	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x013b9a…
10-22 16:53:54	Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in October?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x22e533…
10-22 16:53:15	Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x8023e8…
10-22 16:52:12	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	SELL	192	100¢	$191	0x1c75d1…
10-22 16:51:48	Will Robinhood (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0xc8be6d…
10-19 23:52:53	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in October?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x46f15b…
10-19 23:46:30	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $600 in October?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x9b6f19…
10-19 23:45:17	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $188 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb781ee…
10-19 23:43:03	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x39b4b1…
10-19 23:42:17	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x250cca…
10-19 23:19:41	Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xbee4e2…
10-06 16:14:06	Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?	No	BUY	229	96¢	$219	0xbd4aff…
10-06 16:13:05	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of October?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd99abf…
10-06 16:12:59	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of October?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x598565…
10-06 16:12:51	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of October?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xe34a2e…
10-06 16:11:48	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x25f749…
10-06 16:11:39	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc224a9…
10-04 16:29:50	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $820 in October?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xfd9465…
10-04 16:28:38	Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x7b3138…
10-04 16:28:26	Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0xda71ef…
10-04 16:27:41	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in October?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x903971…
10-04 16:27:10	will nvda dip to 208 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x7a34b5…
10-03 16:02:08	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,300 (HIGH) in December?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0x7e1976…
10-03 16:00:00	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xac946d…
10-03 15:58:41	Will Solana dip to $70 in October?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xbd4e17…
10-03 15:57:41	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $210-$215 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 5 – Oct 9?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0xc6a901…
10-03 15:57:24	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at <$210 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 5 – Oct 9?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x62eac8…
10-03 15:55:26	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $472.50 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$29	0xc03a11…
10-03 15:52:26	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in October?	No	BUY	400	98¢	$391	0x6b353f…
10-03 15:51:11	Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xdb03c1…
10-03 15:50:41	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x4ec16a…
10-03 15:50:17	Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	97¢	$193	0x672956…
10-03 15:48:35	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	429	97¢	$417	0x294a7a…
10-03 15:48:20	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	147	97¢	$143	0x66dd89…
09-27 06:15:41	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 in September?	No	BUY	98	99¢	$97	0x16dcc5…
09-18 10:28:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x5a723a…
09-18 10:25:43	Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0xd79ea3…
09-17 14:08:04	Will Solana reach $260 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	49	97¢	$48	0x12a845…
09-17 14:07:42	Will Solana reach $260 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0xc841ca…
09-17 13:39:19	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x55550a…
09-13 15:30:18	Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xeed63c…
09-13 15:26:48	Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x52cf49…
09-12 13:50:45	Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x4c37b4…
09-11 14:00:37	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,300 in September?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x4ef6f3…
09-11 13:59:01	Will Claude go down 11-13 times in September?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x5ccf1d…
09-11 13:54:18	Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0xc6c695…
09-11 13:53:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	150	92¢	$138	0x106511…
09-04 14:16:40	Will Solana reach $260 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xeec4a1…
09-04 14:15:45	will ethereum reach 3300 in september 2026	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x819f22…
09-04 14:15:27	will ethereum reach 4000 in september 2026	No	BUY	200	99¢	$197	0xf14c12…
09-04 14:12:42	Will Claude go down 14+ times in September?	No	BUY	94	86¢	$81	0x56ad4a…
09-04 14:09:31	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,080 Week of August 31 2026?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0x44dea5…
09-04 14:08:31	Will XRP dip to $0.80 in September?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xbc59f6…
09-04 14:07:51	Will Solana dip to $50 in September?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x3486c4…
09-04 14:07:12	will ethereum dip to 1500 in september 2026	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x8db3a7…
09-04 14:06:48	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in september 2026	No	BUY	200	98¢	$195	0x8bc1b7…
09-04 14:05:45	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$91	0x7eb0ee…
09-04 14:01:48	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $435 in September?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xef07e4…
09-04 14:00:52	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $290 in September?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x144fb1…
09-04 13:59:57	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 in September?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xb4fbfc…
09-04 13:59:31	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in September?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x66c858…
09-04 13:58:40	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xf211d5…
09-02 14:56:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x9caec8…
09-02 14:56:10	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xc8a5c3…
09-02 14:55:40	Will Ethena reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	99	95¢	$94	0xe4553a…
09-02 14:53:34	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0xf8411c…
09-02 14:50:58	Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xb4fdc0…
09-02 14:49:07	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x42f129…
09-02 14:44:36	Will Ethereum reach $3,100 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x53bbb5…
09-02 14:44:06	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x084de7…
09-02 14:41:39	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in September?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x2fac5e…
09-02 14:39:31	Will Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	177	96¢	$170	0x9e1b30…
09-02 14:37:12	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?	No	BUY	78	92¢	$72	0x3a58cc…
09-02 14:34:57	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in September?	No	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0x4cdb5a…
09-02 14:34:28	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,320 in September?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x07a8d8…
09-02 14:33:16	Will BNB dip to $300 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xb02255…
09-02 14:32:48	Will BNB reach $1500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	65	94¢	$61	0x572333…
09-02 14:31:54	Will Zcash dip to $200 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	80	93¢	$74	0x477b8a…
09-02 14:31:39	Will Zcash reach $1400 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	41	90¢	$37	0xddfb29…
09-02 14:30:15	Will XRP reach $3.20 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	94¢	$189	0xed4461…
09-02 14:29:27	Will Hyperliquid dip to $30 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x4c599e…
09-02 14:29:06	Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$191	0xcfe765…
09-02 14:28:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x3b2424…
09-02 14:27:31	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	264	95¢	$251	0xfac479…
08-30 16:35:10	Will XRP dip to $0.40 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	31	95¢	$29	0x3fd0f7…
08-30 16:34:15	Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x019160…
08-30 16:33:58	Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0xbedf2b…
08-29 15:13:31	Will Solana reach $220 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xd97bc3…
08-29 15:13:16	Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	81	89¢	$72	0x8e32f1…
08-28 16:32:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	150	95¢	$142	0x1a6ff1…
08-28 16:31:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0xb17895…
08-28 16:30:06	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $370 end of August?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xb60701…
08-28 16:29:37	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $270 end of August?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x53710e…
08-28 16:28:13	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in August?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x00e27c…