Favorable-Motion 0x152fda…8da549
whale hot 2L streak
6Unusual bets: 1 position →
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$199.7K
Unrealized P&L
-$24.5K
Hit rate
67.7%
Resolved
138
Trades
720
lifetime
Volume
$853.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.19K
Open exposure
$71.4K
12 positions
First seen
2026-04-24
last 10-28 02:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 48 days
Categories
Politics
73% 15% +$266,151
Other
17% 10% -$40,411
Sports
9% 10% -$24,120
Crypto
1% 0% -$1,234
Tech
0% 0% -$695
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +708,936 $41,719 3¢ $24.5K -$17,260 10-28 02:07
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +729,998 $17,713 2¢ $18.2K +$537 10-24 02:30
another fed rate hike in 2026 No +74,243 $16,364 20¢ $15.2K -$1,145 10-24 19:38
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +92,037 $6,296 6¢ $5.1K -$1,234 10-27 16:48
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +89,351 $3,500 4¢ $3.3K -$239 10-28 02:07
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +9,563 $3,200 34¢ $3.2K +$4 10-24 19:35
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +43,459 $6,006 4¢ $1.5K -$4,464 10-24 02:29
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +21,850 $1,050 1¢ $317 -$733 10-18 05:40
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -9,307 -$495 1¢ $-51 +$444 05-05 22:54
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +14,176 $90 0¢ $28 -$62 06-19 15:24
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +9,760 $400 0¢ $15 -$385 06-19 19:02
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +909 $10 0¢ $2 -$8 06-19 15:25