Favorable-Motion 0x152fda…8da549
whale hot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$175.8K
Unrealized P&L
-$12.1K
Hit rate
99.3%
Resolved
6
Trades
288
lifetime
Volume
$535.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.86K
Open exposure
$2.55K
16 positions
First seen
2026-04-24
last 06-25 00:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
90% 50% +$171,963
Other
6% 0% $-184
Sports
3% 67% +$4,030
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? Yes -11,040 $-535 6¢ $-657 $-122 06-20 19:19
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes -13,575 $350 4¢ $-577 $-927 06-17 05:53
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5,455 $600 6¢ $355 $-245 06-05 19:49
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5,512 $300 6¢ $303 +$3 06-22 08:33
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes +90,895 $1,155 0¢ $182 $-973 06-24 14:20
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,270 $200 6¢ $180 $-20 06-22 08:33
Will Trump attend NATO Summit? No -5,528 $-319 1¢ $-80 +$239 06-05 19:57
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? Yes -540 $-55 12¢ $-65 $-10 05-31 05:28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? Yes -23,798 $4,189 0¢ $-48 $-4,237 06-24 00:36
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? Yes +23,257 $1,300 0¢ $23 $-1,277 06-15 20:17
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? Yes -8,239 $315 0¢ $-21 $-336 06-21 06:37
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +8,825 $3,369 0¢ $18 $-3,351 06-18 16:31
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? Yes +15,614 $1,000 0¢ $16 $-984 05-31 05:25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? Yes -14,505 $-244 0¢ $-15 +$229 06-01 04:41
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? Yes +1,447 $105 1¢ $9 $-96 06-15 20:18
Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2026? No +34 $10 16¢ $5 $-5 05-31 05:29