Favorable-Motion 0x152fda…8da549
2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (24h)
+$19.1K
Unrealized P&L
-$363
Hit rate
99.6%
Resolved (24h)
3
Trades (24h)
4
33 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$601
$68.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$2.08K
Open exposure
$12.9K
14 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-14 00:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
80% 50% +$19,065
Sports
12% 67% +$4,150
Other
9% 100% +$26
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -18,084 $-3,804 22¢ $-4069 $-265 05-10 04:22
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +81,072 $1,483 4¢ $3.5K +$2,003 05-14 00:13
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +38,781 $1,500 5¢ $2.0K +$478 05-10 04:51
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +20,910 $2,000 7¢ $1.5K $-505 05-07 13:39
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? Yes +28,188 $2,000 3¢ $916 $-1,084 05-10 05:13
US x China Military clash before 2027? Yes +3,777 $300 8¢ $302 +$2 05-10 20:25
Will Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 American League Championship Series? Yes +4,784 $300 5¢ $242 $-58 05-14 00:07
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? Yes +16,566 $250 1¢ $191 $-59 05-12 06:41
Will Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 AL East title? Yes +1,377 $100 6¢ $89 $-11 05-14 00:08
Will South Korea send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? Yes +4,198 $400 1¢ $44 $-356 05-10 15:36
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? Yes +2,555 $100 2¢ $38 $-62 05-10 07:53
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +2,036 $400 1¢ $29 $-371 05-10 08:11
Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +442 $80 2¢ $7 $-73 05-09 19:13
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? Yes +19 $1 4¢ $1 $-0 05-14 00:18