Favorable-Motion 0x152fda…8da549
new
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
+$850
Unrealized P&L
-$1.32K
Hit rate
85.5%
Resolved (90d)
2
Trades (90d)
28
28 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$67.7K
$67.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$2.42K
Open exposure
$10.8K
11 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-10 20:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
80% — —
Sports
12% 50% +$850
Other
8% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -18,084 $-3,804 22¢ $-3888 $-84 05-10 04:22
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +75,482 $1,283 2¢ $1.5K +$264 05-07 14:01
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +20,910 $2,000 7¢ $1.5K $-484 05-07 13:39
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? Yes +28,188 $2,000 5¢ $1.4K $-591 05-10 05:13
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +38,781 $1,500 3¢ $1.3K $-181 05-10 04:51
Will South Korea send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? Yes +4,198 $400 8¢ $340 $-60 05-10 15:36
US x China Military clash before 2027? Yes +3,777 $300 8¢ $302 +$2 05-10 20:25
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +2,036 $400 15¢ $301 $-99 05-10 08:11
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? Yes +2,555 $100 4¢ $111 +$11 05-10 07:53
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair? Yes -13,651 $-26 0¢ $-55 $-28 05-10 08:08
Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +442 $80 3¢ $13 $-67 05-09 19:13