Realized P&L
+$10.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$7.71K
Hit rate
75.9%
Resolved
698
Trades
4,862
lifetime
Volume
$634.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$131
Open exposure
$37.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 11-06 11:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 176 days
Categories
Other
50% 61% +$17,210
Politics
33% 59% -$3,533
Crypto
13% 63% -$6,666
Tech
3% 89% +$2,594
Sports
1% 71% +$426
Pop-Culture
0% 60% +$463
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes +7,717 $4,219 75¢ $5.8K +$1,569 10-30 18:56
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +4,835 $2,911 73¢ $3.5K +$618 10-16 20:33
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes -3,812 -$6,857 90¢ $-3450 +$3,407 09-27 07:26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +3,000 $2,370 88¢ $2.7K +$285 08-03 06:55
will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31 No +2,005 $1,447 92¢ $1.9K +$408 08-16 20:47
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? No +2,067 $1,610 80¢ $1.7K +$43 11-06 11:07
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? No +1,538 $1,234 92¢ $1.4K +$181 09-28 05:22
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +1,550 $1,231 90¢ $1.4K +$172 09-27 04:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1,500 $1,185 90¢ $1.4K +$172 09-29 08:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,070 $835 98¢ $1.0K +$213 05-03 20:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,500 $1,110 68¢ $1.0K -$82 10-30 09:56
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,011 $748 99¢ $996 +$248 10-09 00:37
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $882 98¢ $982 +$100 08-11 01:58
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +1,100 $639 88¢ $974 +$334 08-17 01:15
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +1,000 $780 97¢ $965 +$185 06-14 10:30
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,250 $1,025 76¢ $956 -$69 07-04 11:56
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +934 $736 99¢ $922 +$185 10-22 09:57
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +750 $765 90¢ $671 -$94 08-19 07:07
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +758 $559 84¢ $634 +$75 10-28 18:18
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +750 $525 80¢ $597 +$72 10-28 00:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? Yes +2,510 $678 24¢ $590 -$88 10-22 10:12
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No -550 -$528 98¢ $-538 -$10 08-15 12:10
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +550 $390 98¢ $536 +$146 08-02 21:23
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -1,000 -$253 46¢ $-464 -$212 10-28 18:19
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? No +500 $440 90¢ $452 +$12 08-02 19:46
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +500 $418 88¢ $438 +$19 10-27 05:49
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? No +500 $275 74¢ $372 +$97 08-08 04:43
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +500 $353 74¢ $372 +$19 10-09 05:52
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +340 $282 92¢ $311 +$29 10-27 05:43
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +1,000 $630 30¢ $305 -$325 07-08 11:27