Monumental-Union — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$504

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

28.6%

Resolved

Trades

3,398

lifetime

Volume

$506.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$149

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 08-10 03:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

49% 50% +$166

Politics

34% 100% +$319

Crypto

14% 67% +$19

Tech

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	5	$30.7K	25,884	5,884	+20,000	open	—	02-17 21:45
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	4	$14.1K	14,297	0	+14,297	open	—	02-22 22:04
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	4	$13.4K	13,552	0	+13,552	open	—	01-07 00:52
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	27	$12.5K	13,465	14,465	-1,000	open	—	02-28 07:43
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	5	$12.3K	8,397	8,397	+0	open	—	03-02 06:56
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	2	$10.7K	10,863	0	+10,863	open	—	02-23 23:24
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	3	$10.6K	7,986	2,986	+5,000	open	—	03-03 22:53
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	5	$9.1K	5,828	3,828	+2,000	open	—	02-28 11:50
will canada strike iran by march 31	27	$8.3K	6,146	2,243	+3,903	open	—	03-23 15:27
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	22	$7.2K	6,989	2,250	+4,739	open	—	03-01 09:20
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	9	$6.0K	3,036	3,330	-294	Yes	$-8	03-06 11:00
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	36	$6.0K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	03-07 14:57
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	1	$5.9K	5,934	0	+5,934	open	—	02-28 04:32
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	6	$5.7K	2,882	2,882	+0	open	—	01-27 21:42
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 5 million	6	$5.2K	3,268	2,205	+1,063	open	—	02-15 23:03
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 10 million	34	$4.9K	7,617	752	+6,865	open	—	02-16 00:10
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$4.7K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	03-07 15:10
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 7 million	17	$4.4K	5,115	845	+4,270	open	—	02-10 01:09
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	23	$4.3K	4,300	2,800	+1,500	open	—	02-19 10:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	17	$4.1K	4,000	1,000	+3,000	open	—	05-10 16:27
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 12 million 218	24	$4.1K	10,273	0	+10,273	open	—	02-15 23:21
will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	10	$4.0K	2,186	2,186	+0	open	—	07-19 00:35
nothing ever happens microstrategy	23	$3.9K	3,834	2,441	+1,393	open	—	03-09 12:47
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	6	$3.8K	4,553	0	+4,553	open	—	06-15 01:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	3	$3.5K	1,765	1,765	+0	open	—	05-15 20:49
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	10	$3.2K	1,934	1,934	+0	open	—	02-06 07:51
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 15 million 268	8	$3.2K	9,985	463	+9,523	open	—	02-16 03:36
will a contestant numbered 151 175 win beast games season 2	13	$3.0K	4,652	77	+4,575	open	—	01-27 08:38
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$3.0K	1,585	1,585	+0	open	—	04-27 20:17
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 520 539	7	$2.9K	3,003	0	+3,003	open	—	01-13 06:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 01:58:52	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	250	92¢	$230	0xa035d6…
08-10 03:50:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	312	60¢	$187	0xb4598f…
08-08 03:35:43	will dune part three be delayed 20260720163825706	No	BUY	648	90¢	$583	0x09f18d…
08-07 22:24:03	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	SELL	816	65¢	$530	0x92382a…
08-07 20:01:19	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	SELL	9	65¢	$6	0x0ff936…
08-07 19:28:57	will dune part three be delayed 20260720163825706	No	BUY	989	89¢	$880	0x1178e0…
08-07 09:36:42	Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?	Yes	BUY	94	89¢	$83	0x2a95e6…
08-07 06:55:58	Brie Larson as Captain Marvel?	Yes	BUY	27	28¢	$8	0xc64e65…
08-07 05:55:21	Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange?	Yes	BUY	500	73¢	$365	0xe35b1f…
08-07 01:07:33	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	BUY	800	58¢	$464	0x5e634a…
08-06 10:11:54	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,940	95¢	$1,851	0x63719c…
08-06 09:07:23	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	95¢	$14	0x16bb61…
08-06 08:46:39	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	SELL	118	60¢	$71	0xead877…
08-05 17:27:12	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	45	95¢	$43	0x8792c7…
08-05 03:43:29	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	No	BUY	235	43¢	$101	0x818772…
08-05 03:35:27	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	No	BUY	95	43¢	$41	0x0e9668…
08-05 03:02:35	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	No	BUY	25	43¢	$11	0x349eae…
08-05 02:40:23	Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?	Yes	BUY	23	89¢	$21	0xd857bc…
08-04 23:08:59	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	No	BUY	198	73¢	$145	0x145ace…
08-04 23:05:14	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	No	BUY	302	73¢	$220	0xfdd6d8…
08-04 21:40:23	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	350	78¢	$273	0xe3b292…
08-04 06:29:44	will ethereum reach 2500 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xa4fecf…
08-04 06:24:03	will ethereum reach 2500 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0xec3344…
08-04 04:25:29	will doctor strange die in avengers doomsday 20260701214259198	No	BUY	110	70¢	$77	0xc77129…
08-04 00:16:41	will ethereum reach 2500 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	145	62¢	$90	0xe2afa0…
08-03 06:55:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1,000	80¢	$800	0xd0eee1…
08-03 06:42:23	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x4e7b70…
08-03 06:31:15	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x5b28a3…
08-03 06:26:53	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x00513a…
08-03 06:17:33	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x04ace5…
08-03 06:16:48	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xe0428c…
08-03 06:08:12	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x1adccb…
08-03 05:50:33	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	19	59¢	$11	0x2bad17…
08-03 05:49:51	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	770	77¢	$593	0x534342…
08-03 05:48:53	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	141	59¢	$83	0x9deec8…
08-03 05:43:12	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	228	45¢	$103	0xa0a5b8…
08-03 05:42:33	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x445871…
08-03 05:42:29	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0x8e4632…
08-03 05:42:29	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x55b626…
08-03 05:42:27	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	80	59¢	$47	0x40a23a…
08-02 21:43:23	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	No	BUY	451	19¢	$86	0xc1245b…
08-02 21:42:14	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	50¢	$149	0xd1448a…
08-02 21:23:45	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	202	71¢	$144	0x6c86cd…
08-02 21:17:15	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	50¢	$25	0x4ea33d…
08-02 21:14:53	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xf1b89f…
08-02 21:14:26	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x973c91…
08-02 21:09:05	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	345	71¢	$245	0x7d8b9c…
08-02 21:02:47	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x8eccd7…
08-02 21:02:09	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	No	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x25211a…
08-02 20:29:57	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	No	BUY	37	19¢	$7	0xe4a56f…
08-02 20:26:02	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	No	BUY	121	20¢	$24	0xc74afc…
08-02 20:13:33	will ethereum reach 2500 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	14	62¢	$9	0xd98443…
08-02 15:00:45	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	250	35¢	$88	0x189c87…
08-02 08:55:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	250	12¢	$30	0x712aa4…
08-02 08:47:42	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	No	BUY	155	43¢	$67	0xa1e2ff…
08-02 06:36:38	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	30	81¢	$25	0xa91768…
08-02 06:36:38	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	93	81¢	$76	0x6f02db…
08-02 06:17:09	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	91	81¢	$74	0xa96235…
08-02 06:17:09	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	158	81¢	$128	0x6a909b…
08-02 06:16:18	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	137	81¢	$111	0x4ccd65…
07-31 04:10:41	Will Zcash reach $900 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	189	82¢	$155	0x168f0e…
07-31 04:09:45	Will Zcash reach $800 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	556	82¢	$456	0x74e4cb…
07-30 21:13:18	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xe47779…
07-30 20:36:26	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xdb7cb0…
07-30 20:10:21	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	1,180	100¢	$1,176	0x616632…
07-30 19:56:14	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1,000	76¢	$760	0x91ce5a…
07-30 18:57:59	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	747	100¢	$746	0xa0c371…
07-30 18:47:41	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	600	100¢	$598	0x7bd325…
07-28 21:06:58	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	80	67¢	$54	0xcfee21…
07-28 20:51:14	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	40	67¢	$27	0x9b0992…
07-28 20:50:14	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x60cdf1…
07-28 20:48:41	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x9e74e6…
07-28 19:27:50	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x960165…
07-28 19:15:52	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x6e9450…
07-25 19:01:19	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	BUY	1,005	91¢	$915	0x66b651…
07-25 18:37:06	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026 367	No	SELL	2,005	99¢	$1,990	0x58340f…
07-24 19:09:21	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	1,010	78¢	$788	0xcef291…
07-24 02:22:58	Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	166	87¢	$145	0xfbbe6c…
07-23 19:30:42	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	62	82¢	$51	0xff2f62…
07-23 19:30:27	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	194	82¢	$159	0xba7a05…
07-23 19:29:37	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	194	82¢	$159	0x3fc884…
07-23 19:16:09	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	152	84¢	$127	0xce4cbc…
07-23 19:15:37	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x08f53c…
07-23 19:07:31	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	194	84¢	$163	0xc52f7d…
07-23 19:07:18	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	194	84¢	$163	0x8a7ead…
07-23 19:06:25	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	194	84¢	$163	0x6ff077…
07-23 18:29:58	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0x601160…
07-23 18:29:16	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	No	BUY	72	83¢	$59	0x4a1107…
07-23 18:27:22	will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	219	60¢	$131	0xa4f65c…
07-23 18:24:13	will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	219	60¢	$131	0x9865c1…
07-23 18:10:19	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xd48732…
07-23 18:09:27	will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	550	61¢	$336	0x274616…
07-21 11:43:57	Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x7d1931…
07-21 07:58:15	Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0x2aa6d6…
07-20 10:57:39	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	Yes	BUY	4	63¢	$3	0x5effd4…
07-20 10:24:25	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	Yes	BUY	496	63¢	$312	0xf52bdb…
07-20 08:25:21	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	505	78¢	$391	0x14e6f7…
07-20 08:23:03	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	SELL	1,010	34¢	$343	0x88d463…
07-20 08:23:00	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x89c2eb…
07-19 14:37:33	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	420	85¢	$357	0x65c14b…