Realized P&L
+$10.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$8.75K
Hit rate
75.9%
Resolved
699
Trades
4,916
lifetime
Volume
$645.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$131
Open exposure
$37.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 11-10 06:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 177 days
Categories
Other
51% 61% +$17,210
Politics
32% 59% -$3,533
Crypto
13% 63% -$6,581
Tech
3% 89% +$2,594
Sports
1% 71% +$426
Pop-Culture
0% 60% +$463
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes -3,812 -$6,857 90¢ $-3412 +$3,445 09-27 07:26
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +4,209 $2,448 74¢ $3.1K +$667 11-07 20:20
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes +4,000 $1,431 74¢ $3.0K +$1,549 11-09 19:05
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +3,000 $2,370 90¢ $2.7K +$345 08-03 06:55
will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31 No +2,005 $1,447 94¢ $1.9K +$428 08-16 20:47
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? No +2,067 $1,610 82¢ $1.7K +$95 11-06 11:07
will dune part three be delayed 20260720163825706 No — +1,637 $1,463 98¢ $1.6K +$139 08-08 03:35
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +1,550 $1,231 90¢ $1.4K +$172 09-27 04:14
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? No +1,538 $1,234 90¢ $1.4K +$158 09-28 05:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1,500 $1,185 90¢ $1.4K +$172 09-29 08:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,070 $835 98¢ $1.0K +$209 05-03 20:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,500 $1,110 68¢ $1.0K -$82 10-30 09:56
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,250 $1,025 80¢ $1.0K -$19 07-04 11:56
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,011 $748 99¢ $999 +$251 10-09 00:37
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $882 99¢ $986 +$103 08-11 01:58
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +1,000 $780 98¢ $978 +$198 06-14 10:30
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +1,100 $639 88¢ $968 +$329 08-17 01:15
canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the us by december 31 No — +1,055 $897 90¢ $954 +$57 08-26 20:17
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +934 $736 100¢ $933 +$197 10-22 09:57
Jensen Huang divorce in 2026? No +1,000 $900 90¢ $895 -$5 11-10 06:22
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31? No +1,000 $860 86¢ $855 -$5 11-09 09:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in November? No +1,009 $670 78¢ $782 +$112 11-10 05:36
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by December 31, 2026? No +809 $720 90¢ $724 +$4 11-10 06:18
Will Anthropic IPO by November 18, 2026? No +750 $510 90¢ $675 +$165 11-09 08:57
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +750 $765 90¢ $671 -$94 08-19 07:07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? Yes +2,510 $678 24¢ $615 -$63 10-22 10:12
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +758 $559 78¢ $592 +$33 10-28 18:18
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +750 $525 77¢ $578 +$53 10-28 00:29
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +550 $390 99¢ $544 +$153 08-02 21:23
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No -550 -$528 99¢ $-542 -$14 08-15 12:10