Realized P&L
+$10.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$8.13K
Hit rate
75.9%
Resolved
698
Trades
4,891
lifetime
Volume
$641.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$131
Open exposure
$34.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 11-09 19:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 176 days
Categories
Other
51% 61% +$17,210
Politics
32% 59% -$3,533
Crypto
13% 63% -$6,666
Tech
3% 89% +$2,594
Sports
1% 71% +$426
Pop-Culture
0% 60% +$463
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes -3,812 -$6,857 90¢ $-3412 +$3,445 09-27 07:26
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +4,209 $2,448 72¢ $3.0K +$561 11-07 20:20
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes +4,000 $1,431 74¢ $3.0K +$1,529 11-09 19:05
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +3,000 $2,370 92¢ $2.7K +$375 08-03 06:55
will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31 No +2,005 $1,447 92¢ $1.9K +$408 08-16 20:47
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? No +2,067 $1,610 82¢ $1.7K +$95 11-06 11:07
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +1,550 $1,231 91¢ $1.4K +$180 09-27 04:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1,500 $1,185 90¢ $1.3K +$158 09-29 08:04
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? No +1,538 $1,234 86¢ $1.3K +$81 09-28 05:22
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,070 $835 98¢ $1.0K +$210 05-03 20:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,500 $1,110 66¢ $998 -$112 10-30 09:56
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,011 $748 98¢ $992 +$244 10-09 00:37
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $882 98¢ $984 +$101 08-11 01:58
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,250 $1,025 78¢ $981 -$44 07-04 11:56
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +1,000 $780 98¢ $978 +$198 06-14 10:30
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +1,100 $639 88¢ $974 +$334 08-17 01:15
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +934 $736 99¢ $924 +$187 10-22 09:57
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31? No +1,000 $860 86¢ $855 -$5 11-09 09:27
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +750 $765 90¢ $671 -$94 08-19 07:07
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +758 $559 82¢ $624 +$66 10-28 18:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? Yes +2,510 $678 24¢ $615 -$63 10-22 10:12
Will Anthropic IPO by November 18, 2026? No +750 $510 78¢ $589 +$79 11-09 08:57
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +750 $525 78¢ $582 +$57 10-28 00:29
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No -550 -$528 98¢ $-541 -$13 08-15 12:10
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +550 $390 97¢ $535 +$145 08-02 21:23
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -1,000 -$253 48¢ $-477 -$224 10-28 18:19
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +500 $418 92¢ $462 +$44 10-27 05:49
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? No +500 $440 90¢ $452 +$12 08-02 19:46
Will "Dune: Part Three" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 130m? No +600 $384 68¢ $405 +$21 11-09 08:03
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? Yes +450 $243 89¢ $400 +$158 10-29 02:50