Realized P&L
+$25
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
67.0%
Resolved
40
Trades
311
lifetime
Volume
$329
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$36
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-04
last 10-26 09:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 26 days
Categories
Politics
49% 45% +$7
Other
34% 58% +$10
Crypto
12% 33% -$1
Sports
3% 75% +$9
Tech
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +5 $1 36¢ $2 +$1 10-23 09:18
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2 $1 72¢ $2 +$1 09-18 09:35
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +3 $1 52¢ $1 +$0 10-12 06:35
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? No +5 $1 30¢ $1 +$0 10-20 05:10
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $1 62¢ $1 +$0 10-16 17:50
Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat? No +2 $1 62¢ $1 +$0 10-25 00:32
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +3 $1 52¢ $1 +$0 10-13 04:39
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +2 $1 56¢ $1 +$0 09-23 14:00
Blue tsunami in 2026? Yes +2 $1 66¢ $1 +$0 10-15 18:45
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? Yes +2 $1 59¢ $1 +$0 10-24 03:24
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat? Yes +2 $1 55¢ $1 +$0 10-25 20:40
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +4 $1 30¢ $1 +$0 10-25 13:37
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 07-01 03:12
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? No +2 $1 55¢ $1 +$0 09-18 12:37
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes +2 $1 54¢ $1 +$0 08-29 16:42
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +3 $1 34¢ $1 +$0 10-25 01:32
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +3 $1 34¢ $1 +$0 10-12 09:35
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2 $1 52¢ $1 +$0 07-21 02:18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1 $1 82¢ $1 +$0 07-29 00:17
Trump out as President before 2027? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 07-01 07:46
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes +2 $1 71¢ $1 +$0 10-20 02:09
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2 $1 48¢ $1 $0 07-24 09:41
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? Yes +4 $1 26¢ $1 $0 10-25 11:36
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? No +4 $1 26¢ $1 +$0 10-15 06:44
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +2 $1 42¢ $1 $0 09-21 20:48
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? Yes +3 $1 28¢ $1 $0 10-12 21:37
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes +2 $1 42¢ $1 $0 09-24 01:03
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +2 $1 43¢ $1 $0 08-14 01:24
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2 $1 38¢ $1 $0 08-01 21:46
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2 $1 34¢ $1 $0 08-05 13:22