Realized P&L
-$4
Unrealized P&L
+$482
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
506
lifetime
Volume
$153.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$304
Open exposure
$9.71K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 07-01 08:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
72%
Crypto
11%
Sports
8% 0% $-4
Politics
6%
Tech
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +4,993 $1,646 34¢ $1.7K +$76 06-30 03:13
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +1,656 $1,430 96¢ $1.6K +$151 06-09 03:09
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -1,629 $-999 46¢ $-757 +$241 06-01 08:20
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -862 $-760 88¢ $-755 +$5 06-11 07:47
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No +968 $658 76¢ $731 +$73 06-17 02:37
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +1,890 $742 38¢ $728 $-14 06-26 14:24
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +1,019 $695 70¢ $718 +$23 06-27 11:49
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -439 $-340 76¢ $-336 +$4 05-31 03:05
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +566 $289 54¢ $303 +$14 06-23 03:08
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? No -440 $-276 68¢ $-299 $-23 06-16 02:25
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +634 $330 46¢ $295 $-36 06-26 14:20
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +462 $139 55¢ $252 +$113 06-17 03:08
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 No -294 $-224 85¢ $-250 $-26 06-17 00:08
MagicBlock FDV above $10M one day after launch? Yes -356 $-258 67¢ $-240 +$18 06-25 10:52
Discord IPO before 2027? No -442 $-157 48¢ $-214 $-57 06-08 14:47
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? Yes +352 $140 38¢ $132 $-8 06-26 04:02
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +511 $188 20¢ $100 $-88 06-26 04:03
Cambria FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -124 $-102 77¢ $-95 +$6 06-25 10:15
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? No -94 $-90 94¢ $-89 +$1 06-24 11:54
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No -266 $-69 24¢ $-65 +$4 05-29 11:57
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? Yes -79 $-26 28¢ $-22 +$4 06-03 00:12
Felix Protocol FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +224 $14 $11 $-3 06-30 03:09
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +100 $5 $9 +$4 07-01 00:14