Realized P&L
-$10
Unrealized P&L
-$10
Hit rate
73.5%
Resolved
34
Trades
21,832
lifetime
Volume
$36.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$21
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 07-20 18:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Other
39% 50% $-6
Politics
33% 80% +$4
Crypto
21% 56% $-7
Sports
3% 67% $-1
Tech
3%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 194 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -8 $-6 82¢ $-7 $-0 06-19 19:08
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +41 $7 10¢ $4 $-3 07-16 10:45
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027? Yes +29 $3 10¢ $3 +$0 06-13 04:31
Yoon out of custody before 2027? Yes +25 $3 10¢ $3 $-1 07-17 05:36
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No -6 $-2 28¢ $-2 $-0 06-15 13:36
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Yes -9 $-1 12¢ $-1 +$0 05-30 06:22
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 Pacquiao -2 $-1 43¢ $-1 +$0 06-27 06:33
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? Yes +10 $3 $1 $-2 07-13 17:13
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? Yes +1 $4 $0 $-4 07-15 23:53
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? Yes -0 $1 10¢ $-0 $-1 07-17 04:56