(anonymous) 0xbd9109…c56262
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Realized P&L
-$10
Unrealized P&L
-$14
Hit rate
73.5%
Resolved
34
Trades
20,966
lifetime
Volume
$33.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$30
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 06-30 12:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Other
38% 50% $-6
Politics
34% 80% +$4
Crypto
22% 56% $-7
Sports
3% 67% $-1
Tech
2% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 210 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -8 $-6 72¢ $-6 +$1 06-19 19:08
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? Yes +66 $7 6¢ $4 $-3 06-23 16:04
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027? Yes +29 $3 11¢ $3 +$0 06-13 04:31
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes +11 $4 28¢ $3 $-1 06-23 20:11
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +18 $4 16¢ $3 $-1 06-27 13:20
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? Yes +23 $3 10¢ $2 $-0 06-16 04:39
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +23 $3 9¢ $2 $-1 06-25 04:57
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? No +21 $4 10¢ $2 $-2 06-28 10:30
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No -6 $-2 24¢ $-1 +$0 06-15 13:36
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Yes -9 $-1 13¢ $-1 +$0 05-30 06:22
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 Pacquiao -2 $-1 49¢ $-1 +$0 06-27 06:33
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes +9 $1 2¢ $0 $-1 06-14 05:45
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -33 $-0 0¢ $-0 +$0 06-29 20:10
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes -7 $-1 1¢ $-0 +$1 06-29 20:56
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No +1 $-2 9¢ $0 +$2 06-16 10:04
Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? Yes +19 $4 0¢ $0 $-3 06-20 21:12
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? Yes +8 $8 0¢ $0 $-8 06-29 19:40
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? Yes -17 $-1 0¢ $-0 +$1 06-02 18:34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? Yes +17 $1 0¢ $0 $-1 06-11 07:30
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? Yes -14 $-0 0¢ $-0 +$0 06-17 05:20
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes -10 $-2 0¢ $-0 +$2 06-15 00:52
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June? Yes +1 $1 0¢ $0 $-1 06-11 04:26
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? Yes +1 $-1 0¢ $0 +$1 06-12 16:31