(anonymous) 0xbd9109…c56262
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Realized P&L
-$10
Unrealized P&L
+$13
Hit rate
73.5%
Resolved
34
Trades
19,315
lifetime
Volume
$29.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$39
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 06-10 00:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Other
40% 50% $-6
Politics
31% 80% +$4
Crypto
24% 56% $-7
Sports
4% 67% $-1
Tech
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 276 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? Yes +14 $1 91¢ $13 +$13 06-01 08:20
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +10 $1 100¢ $10 +$8 06-01 21:27
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes +24 $2 11¢ $3 +$0 06-09 23:58
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes +14 $2 15¢ $2 +$0 06-08 13:12
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +20 $2 9¢ $2 $-1 06-03 20:28
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No +14 $1 14¢ $2 +$1 06-08 01:17
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +6 $2 29¢ $2 $-0 06-01 13:25
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Yes -9 $-1 15¢ $-1 +$0 05-30 06:22
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? Yes +6 $1 22¢ $1 +$0 06-09 20:39
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? Yes +12 $3 10¢ $1 $-1 06-09 16:08
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? No +34 $5 3¢ $1 $-4 05-30 21:21
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? Yes -17 $-1 4¢ $-1 +$0 06-02 18:34
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +15 $2 4¢ $1 $-2 05-29 18:13
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? Yes +24 $2 1¢ $0 $-2 05-28 05:12
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? Yes +1 $-0 6¢ $0 +$0 05-28 04:56
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +0 $-1 26¢ $0 +$1 06-08 17:32