Realized P&L
-$73
Unrealized P&L
-$123
Hit rate
50.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
390
lifetime
Volume
$77.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$199
Open exposure
$1.37K
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-27
last 06-08 05:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
46%
Other
40%
Tech
6%
Sports
5% 50% $-73
Crypto
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No +553 $492 80¢ $445 $-47 06-03 10:09
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +635 $400 61¢ $387 $-13 06-05 19:29
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? No +233 $200 90¢ $210 +$10 06-03 08:53
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +268 $200 63¢ $168 $-32 06-03 08:59
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +140 $104 62¢ $88 $-16 06-08 05:22
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No +114 $100 65¢ $74 $-26 06-03 08:54