Realized P&L
+$129
Unrealized P&L
-$271
Hit rate
71.6%
Resolved
145
Trades
893
lifetime
Volume
$27.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$3.39K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 22:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 57 days
Categories
Crypto
57% 39% -$379
Other
36% 57% +$242
Politics
5% 58% +$173
Sports
2% 100% +$94
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +520 $392 86¢ $447 +$55 10-26 21:59
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -371 -$290 93¢ $-345 -$55 07-28 12:42
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -297 -$169 88¢ $-263 -$94 07-16 19:04
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +513 $336 44¢ $223 -$113 09-02 08:52
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? No +314 $217 63¢ $199 -$19 10-21 19:47
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +431 $282 44¢ $190 -$92 10-21 14:53
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? No +188 $160 90¢ $170 +$10 10-12 23:11
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +186 $158 72¢ $133 -$25 09-16 09:23
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? No +170 $82 78¢ $133 +$50 10-02 21:44
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? No +182 $142 70¢ $127 -$15 10-27 10:16
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes -346 -$121 36¢ $-126 -$5 10-25 00:35
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +125 $112 94¢ $117 +$4 10-17 19:59
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +409 $266 29¢ $117 -$149 08-21 20:39
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +511 $39 19¢ $97 +$58 09-24 03:10
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? No +93 $83 93¢ $87 +$4 10-02 21:45
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -97 -$80 88¢ $-86 -$6 09-09 19:58
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +119 $0 68¢ $80 +$81 10-25 00:20
Printr FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -77 -$62 93¢ $-72 -$10 04-30 19:26
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes -95 -$66 72¢ $-68 -$2 09-09 19:57
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No +70 $29 78¢ $54 +$25 08-23 20:38
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes -128 -$98 40¢ $-52 +$46 06-30 21:53
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -50 -$46 88¢ $-44 +$2 09-27 20:25
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +40 $34 98¢ $39 +$5 05-05 21:36
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +174 $9 18¢ $31 +$23 10-25 00:36
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +95 $62 24¢ $22 -$40 08-13 10:36
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -155 -$71 12¢ $-18 +$53 09-27 20:27
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +150 $81 12¢ $17 -$64 05-13 10:44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -20 -$17 84¢ $-17 +$0 10-18 16:22
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? Yes -54 -$9 18¢ $-10 -$1 09-27 20:27
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? Yes -40 -$12 24¢ $-10 +$2 09-27 20:27