Realized P&L (90d)
+$98
Unrealized P&L
-$128
Hit rate
74.0%
Resolved (90d)
31
Trades (90d)
256
905 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$10.6K
$28.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$4.13K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-03 02:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 59 days
Categories
Crypto
59% 40% -$331
Other
35% 57% +$247
Politics
5% 58% +$173
Sports
2% 100% +$94
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +991 $783 88¢ $872 +$89 11-02 14:04
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +451 $416 94¢ $422 +$6 10-30 05:59
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -371 -$290 93¢ $-345 -$55 07-28 12:42
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -297 -$169 91¢ $-271 -$101 07-16 19:04
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +513 $336 44¢ $223 -$113 09-02 08:52
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +431 $282 47¢ $203 -$79 10-21 14:53
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? No +188 $160 85¢ $161 +$1 10-12 23:11
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +186 $158 84¢ $156 -$1 09-16 09:23
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? No +170 $82 82¢ $139 +$57 10-02 21:44
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +179 $97 77¢ $138 +$41 11-01 21:37
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +511 $39 26¢ $135 +$96 09-24 03:10
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes -346 -$121 36¢ $-123 -$2 10-25 00:35
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? No +157 $98 76¢ $119 +$21 11-03 02:17
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +409 $266 28¢ $113 -$153 08-21 20:39
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +119 $0 76¢ $90 +$90 10-25 00:20
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? No +93 $83 95¢ $88 +$6 10-02 21:45
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -97 -$80 86¢ $-83 -$4 09-09 19:58
Printr FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -77 -$62 94¢ $-72 -$10 04-30 19:26
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes -95 -$66 72¢ $-69 -$3 09-09 19:57
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes -128 -$98 38¢ $-49 +$49 06-30 21:53
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -50 -$46 91¢ $-45 +$1 09-27 20:25
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +174 $9 26¢ $44 +$36 10-25 00:36
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +40 $34 98¢ $39 +$6 05-05 21:36
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No +70 $29 55¢ $39 +$10 08-23 20:38
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +150 $81 14¢ $21 -$60 05-13 10:44
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +95 $62 22¢ $21 -$41 08-13 10:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -20 -$17 82¢ $-16 +$1 10-18 16:22
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -155 -$71 9¢ $-14 +$57 09-27 20:27
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +191 $83 6¢ $11 -$72 10-05 21:01
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? Yes -40 -$12 27¢ $-11 +$1 09-27 20:27