Unwritten-Suite — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$152

Unrealized P&L

-$133

Hit rate

85.3%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

903 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$4.51K

$28.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

$3.79K

30 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-01 21:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 40% -$331

Other

35% 57% +$247

Politics

5% 58% +$173

Sports

2% 100% +$94

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	+550	$417	85¢	$468	+$50	10-31 02:59
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	+451	$416	94¢	$422	+$6	10-30 05:59
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	-371	-$290	92¢	$-340	-$50	07-28 12:42
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	-297	-$169	88¢	$-260	-$91	07-16 19:04
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	+314	$217	76¢	$237	+$20	10-21 19:47
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	+513	$336	44¢	$228	-$108	09-02 08:52
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	+431	$282	45¢	$193	-$89	10-21 14:53
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?	No	+188	$160	94¢	$176	+$17	10-12 23:11
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	+186	$158	84¢	$156	-$2	09-16 09:23
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	+511	$39	26¢	$134	+$95	09-24 03:10
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	+179	$97	73¢	$130	+$33	11-01 21:37
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?	No	+170	$82	75¢	$128	+$45	10-02 21:44
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?	Yes	-346	-$121	34¢	$-116	+$5	10-25 00:35
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	+409	$266	28¢	$113	-$153	08-21 20:39
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?	No	+93	$83	95¢	$89	+$6	10-02 21:45
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	-97	-$80	88¢	$-85	-$5	09-09 19:58
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	+119	$0	67¢	$80	+$80	10-25 00:20
Printr FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	-77	-$62	94¢	$-72	-$10	04-30 19:26
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	-95	-$66	72¢	$-69	-$3	09-09 19:57
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	-128	-$98	42¢	$-54	+$44	06-30 21:53
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	-50	-$46	94¢	$-47	-$1	09-27 20:25
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	+40	$34	98¢	$39	+$6	05-05 21:36
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	+174	$9	18¢	$31	+$23	10-25 00:36
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	+70	$29	44¢	$30	+$1	08-23 20:38
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	-155	-$71	12¢	$-19	+$52	09-27 20:27
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	+150	$81	12¢	$19	-$63	05-13 10:44
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	+95	$62	18¢	$17	-$44	08-13 10:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	-20	-$17	82¢	$-16	+$0	10-18 16:22
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?	Yes	-40	-$12	26¢	$-10	+$2	09-27 20:27
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	-54	-$9	16¢	$-9	+$0	09-27 20:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	34	$1.7K	1,506	1,387	+119	open	—	10-25 00:20
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	19	$1.3K	1,057	507	+550	open	—	10-31 02:59
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	18	$1.1K	701	701	+0	No	+$153	03-23 19:05
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	13	$1.0K	820	641	+179	open	—	11-01 21:37
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	7	$863	310	627	-317	No	-$27	03-10 05:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	3	$787	400	400	+0	No	+$8	04-15 10:49
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	14	$616	470	410	+60	No	+$59	03-24 04:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	11	$584	557	557	+0	Yes	+$131	05-09 16:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	5	$565	300	299	+1	No	+$22	04-08 12:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	3	$498	260	260	+0	No	+$14	04-08 12:59
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	11	$488	161	529	-368	No	-$97	03-14 12:39
Ventuals FDV above $500M one day after launch?	6	$434	225	225	+0	open	—	09-27 20:19
Will Perpl launch a token by December 31, 2026?	4	$422	476	0	+476	open	—	10-25 00:10
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	2	$416	451	0	+451	open	—	10-30 05:59
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	5	$414	221	221	+0	No	+$14	03-20 07:25
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	5	$393	249	304	-55	No	+$15	03-10 05:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	2	$390	200	200	+0	No	+$7	04-28 19:10
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	7	$336	513	0	+513	open	—	09-02 08:52
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	8	$331	409	95	+314	open	—	09-09 19:57
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?	3	$311	17	388	-371	open	—	07-28 12:42
StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?	3	$303	3	350	-347	open	—	10-14 21:04
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$303	395	0	+395	No	+$92	07-15 21:54
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	4	$292	182	182	+0	No	+$8	10-31 15:14
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	11	$282	431	0	+431	open	—	10-21 14:53
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?	6	$240	0	452	-452	open	—	09-27 20:27
Will N1 launch a token by December 31, 2026?	1	$230	255	0	+255	open	—	10-25 00:16
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2026?	2	$227	0	256	-256	No	-$29	05-11 18:52
will hyperliquid hit 30 in january	15	$222	194	217	-23	Yes	+$37	01-27 18:48
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2027?	8	$221	240	240	+0	open	—	09-27 20:23
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	2	$221	141	141	+0	Yes	+$21	04-07 21:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 21:37:10	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	149	73¢	$108	0xb824ff…
11-01 21:36:57	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0xf1026d…
11-01 21:22:18	1win FDV above $70M one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xed9b48…
10-31 15:14:36	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x77db11…
10-31 02:59:19	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x1272b2…
10-30 05:59:36	Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	326	93¢	$303	0x965623…
10-30 05:41:03	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	169	81¢	$137	0x8bc422…
10-29 22:08:19	1win FDV above $70M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x7a9c24…
10-27 23:11:47	Will N1 launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0xd69775…
10-27 10:16:57	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	61	72¢	$44	0x736510…
10-26 22:14:47	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x69f690…
10-26 22:14:47	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x30659f…
10-26 21:59:27	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	538	86¢	$463	0xb4fc46…
10-26 15:48:26	Will N1 launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x117bf4…
10-26 07:18:23	Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	55	81¢	$45	0xa3a59f…
10-25 00:36:42	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	174	29¢	$50	0xf9a05b…
10-25 00:35:51	Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	346	35¢	$121	0x3c1fd2…
10-25 00:20:06	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	89	63¢	$56	0x56d1d4…
10-25 00:17:12	Multipli.fi FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	SELL	60	45¢	$27	0x33ed09…
10-25 00:16:30	Will N1 launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	255	90¢	$230	0xf94757…
10-25 00:16:06	Will N1 launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	73	50¢	$36	0x915eae…
10-25 00:10:59	Will Perpl launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	210	89¢	$187	0xfedd73…
10-25 00:10:59	Will Perpl launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x372128…
10-24 23:58:44	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	190	63¢	$120	0xd66cb5…
10-24 22:32:06	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x21769d…
10-24 06:45:57	Will GTE launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0xc3004f…
10-23 06:49:32	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	45	30¢	$13	0x81206f…
10-22 19:04:09	Will 1win launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x32f76c…
10-22 04:41:45	Multipli.fi FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	SELL	70	37¢	$26	0x1c156b…
10-22 04:40:56	Multipli.fi FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	37¢	$18	0x3c9fa9…
10-21 22:05:57	Will N1 launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x94124c…
10-21 22:05:47	Will N1 launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x4ad671…
10-21 19:47:05	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0xa48838…
10-21 17:18:26	LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Dplus KIA	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0x395a59…
10-21 17:15:02	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x488fad…
10-21 17:12:47	LoL: Team Liquid vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	CTBC Flying Oyster	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0xa9e195…
10-21 17:12:02	LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	60	23¢	$14	0x5dec91…
10-21 14:53:15	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xf06afe…
10-21 14:52:30	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x7dc1ee…
10-21 07:09:35	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0xb7dd49…
10-20 23:11:29	Will QFEX launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	60	47¢	$28	0xed8358…
10-20 13:31:41	Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	24	59¢	$14	0x90aa08…
10-20 02:45:06	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	60	58¢	$35	0xf86a3a…
10-20 02:45:05	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	40	58¢	$23	0xe4371c…
10-18 18:55:06	Hotstuff FDV above $80M one day after launch?	No	BUY	77	79¢	$61	0x84596d…
10-18 16:22:27	Extended listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?	Yes	SELL	30	32¢	$10	0x10bd69…
10-18 16:22:14	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0xbdb653…
10-18 16:19:09	Will StripChain launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	79	62¢	$49	0xb1e74b…
10-18 16:15:06	Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	155	74¢	$115	0x089c50…
10-18 12:17:20	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	25	30¢	$8	0xdec6b6…
10-17 21:52:09	Will Perpl launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x28e375…
10-17 20:08:57	will n1 launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	21	45¢	$9	0x97e285…
10-17 20:06:18	will n1 launch a token by march 31 2027	No	BUY	80	73¢	$59	0x45b53c…
10-17 19:59:38	Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	125	90¢	$112	0x4bc064…
10-17 19:10:51	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0x551599…
10-17 19:10:29	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	121	81¢	$98	0xea50a5…
10-17 18:49:36	Will GTE launch a token by September 30, 2027?	No	BUY	62	56¢	$35	0xcb3bc4…
10-17 18:47:48	Will Perpl launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	116	58¢	$67	0x325f62…
10-17 18:47:33	Will Perpl launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	41	66¢	$27	0x1f2364…
10-16 09:54:03	lol fur c9 2026 10 16	FURIA Esports	BUY	55	19¢	$10	0xabcca7…
10-16 09:52:37	lol mvk kc 2026 10 16 game2	Karmine Corp	BUY	55	73¢	$40	0x181d12…
10-16 09:51:52	lol mvk kc 2026 10 16 total games 3pt5	Under	BUY	55	40¢	$22	0xcc7a7a…
10-16 09:49:21	lol mvk kc 2026 10 16	MVK Esports	BUY	55	19¢	$10	0x029c24…
10-14 21:04:16	StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	242	90¢	$218	0x26558a…
10-14 10:04:08	LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	MVK Esports	BUY	55	23¢	$13	0x1223d7…
10-14 10:02:26	LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner	Karmine Corp	BUY	55	60¢	$33	0x2fec54…
10-14 09:59:47	LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In	Cloud9	BUY	55	33¢	$18	0x0f477f…
10-14 09:26:01	Will StandX launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	35	72¢	$26	0xe410c3…
10-14 09:25:29	Will StandX launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	81	72¢	$58	0xf1d3b3…
10-12 23:11:57	Next Token Sale on Coinbase by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x9f7803…
10-12 23:11:24	Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?	No	BUY	111	82¢	$91	0xed6d70…
10-07 16:50:53	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	130	73¢	$95	0x523d36…
10-06 19:39:53	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	70	73¢	$52	0x103cb7…
10-06 19:03:06	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	104	73¢	$76	0x97e9f2…
10-06 19:02:47	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0xbf5e7a…
10-06 18:50:21	Dreamcash FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	23	75¢	$17	0x85820e…
10-05 21:01:50	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	56¢	$22	0x8b201d…
10-04 09:39:47	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	296	63¢	$187	0xbd8b9b…
10-03 20:25:41	Will Perpl launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	155	89¢	$138	0x6a3654…
10-02 21:54:48	Will Perpl launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0xf32459…
10-02 21:45:50	Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?	No	BUY	93	89¢	$83	0x53f185…
10-02 21:45:09	Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?	No	BUY	77	88¢	$68	0x0cc1b2…
10-02 21:44:38	Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?	No	BUY	80	66¢	$53	0x19247a…
10-02 21:39:42	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	156	80¢	$125	0x91d4c6…
10-02 09:49:18	Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	80	23¢	$18	0xb54844…
10-01 23:31:33	Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	151	67¢	$101	0x421ec1…
10-01 23:29:29	Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x8a8361…
10-01 20:14:20	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	67¢	$135	0xa62bbe…
10-01 03:02:53	Concrete FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	40	15¢	$6	0x4201ea…
09-27 23:28:30	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	441	74¢	$328	0x76413f…
09-27 20:41:50	Will GTE launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	69	50¢	$34	0x635855…
09-27 20:41:33	Will GTE launch a token by September 30, 2027?	No	BUY	39	60¢	$23	0x3a330d…
09-27 20:36:24	Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?	No	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0xdd3992…
09-27 20:36:11	Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?	No	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0xff00a8…
09-27 20:33:05	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x9d24b6…
09-27 20:32:53	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	101	40¢	$40	0x085790…
09-27 20:28:27	Will StandX launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	105	39¢	$41	0xeb7a94…
09-27 20:27:26	Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	40	30¢	$12	0xb92b4c…
09-27 20:27:17	Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	54	17¢	$9	0x5fdc19…
09-27 20:27:06	Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	76	15¢	$12	0x6cdd98…