Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$19.3K

Unrealized P&L

-$86

Hit rate

76.3%

Resolved

290

Trades

3,582

lifetime

Volume

$691.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$193

Open exposure

$2.75K

9 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-07 20:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 88 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 59% +$11,930

Other

42% 70% +$9,448

Politics

6% 56% -$1,091

Sports

0% 0% -$942

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No		-1,905	-$1,522	95¢	$-1817	-$295	09-01 13:47
Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	—	+300	$207	84¢	$254	+$47	10-14 19:29
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	No		+300	$201	68¢	$202	+$2	11-06 13:25
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No		-178	-$148	99¢	$-176	-$28	07-31 16:26
Printr FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes		-500	-$298	29¢	$-143	+$155	04-30 07:42
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes		+300	$102	34¢	$100	-$1	11-07 03:58
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No		+200	$116	29¢	$57	-$59	10-14 04:13
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	No		+16	$3	26¢	$4	+$1	11-06 13:19
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No		+0	-$94	88¢	$0	+$94	08-04 02:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	78	$20.3K	13,610	13,610	+0	No	+$752	04-01 08:30
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	49	$18.8K	11,783	12,783	-1,000	Yes	+$769	04-07 22:34
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?	39	$17.7K	10,915	10,699	+217	No	+$370	01-16 14:52
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?	26	$14.4K	8,826	8,638	+188	No	+$426	01-09 21:27
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	6	$13.6K	8,645	8,645	+0	No	+$855	04-30 07:07
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	52	$12.7K	9,908	10,789	-881	Yes	+$1,077	02-18 10:08
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	20	$12.3K	7,300	7,300	+0	Yes	+$334	04-28 17:54
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	54	$11.3K	7,047	7,047	+0	No	-$40	04-30 10:25
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	52	$10.8K	7,879	6,427	+1,452	No	+$549	03-24 00:03
over 80m committed to the ranger public sale 675 826 682 419	47	$10.3K	7,875	7,875	+0	Yes	-$380	01-10 15:54
over 100m committed to the ranger public sale 221 979 762 217 192	53	$10.0K	7,825	7,233	+592	No	+$449	01-10 10:36
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	18	$9.9K	6,641	8,141	-1,500	No	-$279	02-05 10:25
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	27	$9.6K	5,476	5,010	+467	Yes	+$145	04-30 11:31
over 60m committed to the ranger public sale 296 929 632	45	$9.3K	11,224	7,357	+3,866	Yes	-$2,067	01-10 15:44
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	24	$8.9K	7,304	7,073	+231	Yes	-$1,310	04-07 22:38
over 120m committed to the ranger public sale 394 737 727 472 842	38	$8.7K	8,385	3,185	+5,200	No	+$1,270	01-10 13:12
Aztec FDV above $300M one day after launch?	31	$8.5K	6,611	5,150	+1,461	No	-$188	02-13 20:54
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?	8	$8.4K	4,406	4,406	+0	No	+$322	01-11 18:04
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?	51	$8.3K	6,660	6,660	+0	Yes	+$242	02-27 21:03
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	26	$7.8K	4,967	4,967	+0	No	+$179	03-25 18:18
over 140m committed to the ranger public sale 611 967 715 556 645	13	$7.4K	4,373	4,374	-0	No	+$154	01-09 19:40
Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?	10	$7.1K	4,071	4,071	+0	No	+$459	01-20 00:25
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	48	$6.5K	5,136	4,668	+468	No	-$146	04-01 19:55
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	41	$6.4K	4,234	4,356	-122	No	+$1,198	04-30 23:42
Over $20M committed to the Trove public sale?	4	$6.3K	7,325	0	+7,325	No	+$995	01-11 18:01
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	34	$6.2K	6,575	5,350	+1,225	No	+$604	03-05 22:27
Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?	3	$6.2K	3,341	3,341	+0	No	+$339	04-30 07:52
Sentient FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	6	$6.0K	3,238	3,238	+0	No	+$322	01-19 16:03
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	17	$6.0K	3,500	3,500	+0	Yes	+$120	03-25 03:16
Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?	16	$5.9K	5,009	4,259	+750	No	+$403	01-10 05:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 20:28:00	Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	859	10¢	$87	0xfebed1…
11-07 18:55:34	Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	859	20¢	$172	0x986413…
11-07 03:58:18	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	154	34¢	$52	0x89ab12…
11-07 03:16:21	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0x121386…
11-06 21:44:40	Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	218	8¢	$17	0x61b96b…
11-06 21:30:07	Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	430	60¢	$258	0x4475d4…
11-06 18:52:03	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xe0a205…
11-06 17:42:51	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x530724…
11-06 17:42:48	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	26	34¢	$9	0x996e3f…
11-06 16:07:09	Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	430	59¢	$253	0x2fb16f…
11-06 13:25:10	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	282	67¢	$189	0x41ed9a…
11-06 13:19:52	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	No	BUY	16	20¢	$3	0x04a449…
11-06 13:18:30	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	18	67¢	$12	0x56b0dc…
11-06 11:11:00	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in November?	No	SELL	829	85¢	$705	0x2732e9…
11-06 10:37:52	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in November?	No	SELL	192	85¢	$163	0x634546…
11-06 03:23:09	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in November?	No	SELL	153	84¢	$129	0x273c4b…
11-05 23:10:42	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in November?	No	SELL	19	84¢	$16	0xbeba27…
11-05 23:10:18	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in November?	No	SELL	115	84¢	$97	0xb126f6…
11-05 23:10:09	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in November?	No	SELL	276	84¢	$232	0x76e577…
11-05 23:08:28	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in November?	No	SELL	413	84¢	$347	0xd4abba…
11-05 23:01:39	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in November?	No	SELL	44	84¢	$37	0x3c96ce…
11-05 21:52:54	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November?	No	SELL	890	73¢	$650	0x858e78…
11-05 16:34:15	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in November?	No	BUY	1,442	81¢	$1,168	0x6c80be…
11-05 11:17:46	Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	150	39¢	$58	0x482acf…
11-05 11:15:21	Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	23	53¢	$12	0x9edc5b…
11-05 10:16:16	Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	16	59¢	$9	0x0225c8…
11-05 07:56:13	Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?	No	SELL	83	94¢	$78	0x68e160…
11-04 18:03:22	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in November?	No	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0xe40651…
11-04 17:39:22	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November?	No	BUY	190	46¢	$87	0xcfd7e5…
11-04 14:41:04	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November?	No	BUY	376	60¢	$226	0x2ebc09…
11-04 14:41:03	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November?	No	BUY	324	60¢	$194	0xeb437d…
11-04 14:40:37	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in November?	No	BUY	327	76¢	$248	0xcaf97d…
11-04 14:40:22	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in November?	No	BUY	53	76¢	$40	0xa84653…
11-04 14:40:16	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in November?	No	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0xa4cba4…
11-04 14:40:16	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in November?	No	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x512dce…
11-04 14:40:16	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in November?	No	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x3c8e6b…
11-04 14:40:16	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in November?	No	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x0222fe…
11-04 00:12:43	Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x7e4921…
11-03 16:22:55	Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?	No	SELL	95	94¢	$89	0x3b08f0…
11-02 19:56:48	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,000	76¢	$760	0xaea460…
11-02 07:34:07	Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?	No	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0x9fdb48…
11-02 00:10:37	Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x9a7508…
11-01 23:13:48	Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xe637da…
11-01 21:00:24	1win FDV above $70M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	47	4¢	$2	0x8fe43d…
11-01 21:00:12	1win FDV above $70M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0xf0f4b1…
11-01 20:58:42	1win FDV above $70M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	75	15¢	$11	0x6d3d8b…
11-01 20:49:10	1win FDV above $70M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0xcb2216…
11-01 20:42:22	1win FDV above $70M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0xd83477…
11-01 20:39:55	1win FDV above $70M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0xb27066…
11-01 15:07:51	1win FDV above $70M one day after launch?	No	SELL	148	55¢	$81	0x42c64f…
11-01 09:34:40	1win FDV above $70M one day after launch?	No	SELL	200	55¢	$110	0x5b05f0…
10-31 16:45:58	1win FDV above $70M one day after launch?	No	BUY	300	55¢	$165	0x810f92…
10-31 16:45:49	1win FDV above $70M one day after launch?	No	BUY	47	50¢	$24	0x58b50f…
10-31 16:15:18	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	60¢	$60	0x273b9c…
10-31 16:14:55	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	49¢	$49	0x447c52…
10-31 16:12:19	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x5d3dc2…
10-31 16:07:22	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x489577…
10-31 14:39:10	Over $500k committed to the over.computer public sale?	Yes	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0xaf31f9…
10-31 12:51:34	Over $500k committed to the over.computer public sale?	Yes	SELL	16	73¢	$12	0x036864…
10-31 12:10:46	Over $500k committed to the over.computer public sale?	Yes	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0xdd27a0…
10-31 11:57:13	Over $500k committed to the over.computer public sale?	Yes	SELL	19	73¢	$14	0x9a9f1b…
10-31 11:06:12	Over $500k committed to the over.computer public sale?	Yes	BUY	42	63¢	$27	0xb9bc88…
10-30 15:53:46	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	SELL	118	96¢	$113	0x5f8aef…
10-30 15:53:43	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x366920…
10-30 15:51:01	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?	Yes	BUY	242	69¢	$167	0x5156f6…
10-30 15:50:55	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?	Yes	BUY	18	69¢	$12	0x5cdd7d…
10-30 15:28:46	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	SELL	447	95¢	$425	0x857008…
10-30 15:28:45	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xdb8a02…
10-30 15:12:28	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	SELL	28	88¢	$25	0x491856…
10-30 14:59:25	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	SELL	38	82¢	$31	0x0ee163…
10-30 14:33:51	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	SELL	300	72¢	$216	0xd48c13…
10-30 08:22:49	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	500	71¢	$355	0xab68ba…
10-29 23:19:39	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	Yes	SELL	753	98¢	$742	0xb76ddc…
10-29 22:36:58	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	Yes	SELL	750	100¢	$747	0xf8aae3…
10-29 22:26:54	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	Yes	SELL	41	79¢	$32	0x3eee00…
10-29 22:25:33	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	Yes	SELL	209	79¢	$165	0xe86e02…
10-29 17:10:47	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	400	67¢	$268	0x0048a5…
10-29 16:32:41	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	Yes	SELL	155	69¢	$107	0x6ad30b…
10-29 15:53:32	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	400	66¢	$264	0x75bc2c…
10-29 14:07:43	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	Yes	SELL	243	86¢	$209	0x99898d…
10-29 13:55:52	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	Yes	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0x26874c…
10-29 13:14:01	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	Yes	BUY	145	62¢	$90	0x59fc19…
10-29 12:20:41	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xd4894b…
10-29 11:08:04	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	Yes	SELL	743	92¢	$684	0x383dac…
10-29 11:06:17	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	Yes	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0xc16c6c…
10-28 23:55:28	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	22	70¢	$16	0x674377…
10-28 22:26:26	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	9	73¢	$7	0x1e59b9…
10-28 22:26:13	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	489	73¢	$359	0x9c1b2e…
10-28 22:23:07	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	SELL	110	35¢	$38	0xd4a138…
10-28 22:23:07	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	SELL	605	35¢	$212	0x25074d…
10-28 21:44:20	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	SELL	286	35¢	$100	0xbb6254…
10-28 21:22:43	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	BUY	465	35¢	$163	0x93f4bc…
10-28 21:11:08	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	BUY	535	35¢	$187	0x64009f…
10-28 19:06:16	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	Yes	BUY	91	64¢	$58	0xa182a4…
10-28 19:06:14	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	Yes	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0xae75da…
10-28 19:06:14	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	Yes	BUY	400	64¢	$256	0x25ffad…
10-28 19:00:13	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	11	87¢	$10	0xe11f34…
10-28 18:42:08	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	Yes	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0x66bdbc…
10-28 18:38:31	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	Yes	SELL	21	53¢	$11	0xd9f783…
10-28 18:26:29	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	Yes	SELL	100	53¢	$53	0x3f47b3…