Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$69

Unrealized P&L

+$98

Hit rate

55.1%

Resolved

Trades

237

lifetime

Volume

$9.98K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

$16

1 position

First seen

2026-02-18

last 06-26 00:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Crypto

50% — —

Other

50% 80% +$69

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-26).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No		-57	-$114	28¢	$-16	+$98	06-26 00:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	51	$5.0K	3,558	3,615	-57	open	—	06-26 00:52
hood up or down on february 18 2026	13	$1.0K	665	600	+65	Down	-$62	02-18 17:17
hood up or down on february 20 2026	14	$762	580	580	+0	Up	-$54	02-20 19:44
hood up or down on march 5 2026	7	$320	256	193	+63	Down	+$16	03-05 17:41
hood up or down on february 24 2026	5	$288	200	200	+0	Up	+$8	02-24 20:00
hood up or down on april 9 2026	8	$251	200	199	+1	Down	-$32	04-09 17:50
hood up or down on february 26 2026	5	$246	181	181	+0	Up	+$2	02-26 20:00
hood up or down on march 12 2026	36	$233	160	115	+45	Down	+$40	03-12 18:35
hood up or down on march 23 2026	19	$229	140	127	+13	Up	+$14	03-23 18:41
hood up or down on march 17 2026	8	$219	140	139	+1	Up	+$5	03-17 19:11
hood up or down on march 9 2026	36	$199	153	97	+56	Up	+$49	03-09 19:28
hood up or down on march 24 2026	2	$194	100	100	+0	Down	+$2	03-24 18:16
hood up or down on march 6 2026	3	$189	100	100	+0	Down	+$9	03-06 20:00
hood up or down on february 19 2026	2	$164	100	99	+1	Up	-$18	02-19 20:00
hood up or down on march 2 2026	2	$150	100	91	+9	Up	+$35	03-02 16:43
hood up or down on march 10 2026	3	$132	175	75	+100	Down	+$31	03-10 17:39
hood up or down on february 25 2026	2	$83	100	1	+99	Up	+$18	02-25 15:11
hood up or down on march 4 2026	2	$74	38	38	+0	Up	+$1	03-04 20:00
hood up or down on april 8 2026	1	$60	64	0	+64	Up	+$4	04-08 12:52
hood up or down on march 20 2026	8	$53	34	24	+10	Down	+$4	03-20 19:01
hood up or down on march 11 2026	2	$42	36	36	+0	Up	-$8	03-11 18:35
hood up or down on march 19 2026	3	$33	19	18	+1	Down	+$2	03-19 19:00
hood up or down on march 3 2026	1	$24	25	0	+25	Down	+$2	03-03 18:50
hood up or down on february 27 2026	1	$19	22	0	+22	Down	+$2	02-27 14:45
hood up or down on march 18 2026	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	03-18 19:00
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	02-18 14:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 00:52:53	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0x3f8d40…
06-16 10:17:07	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x1b4177…
06-14 21:57:54	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	200	62¢	$124	0x71e79d…
06-13 06:40:36	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	192	62¢	$119	0x3ce971…
06-13 06:19:37	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	200	62¢	$124	0x48ea2c…
06-09 22:31:51	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0x952142…
06-05 18:23:12	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	200	62¢	$124	0x2874c7…
06-05 10:22:34	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0x449ab2…
06-05 03:43:58	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	200	59¢	$118	0xabaab8…
06-04 18:09:18	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0x70593f…
06-04 12:23:58	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	200	60¢	$120	0x897ef8…
06-03 04:16:02	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0x77ae70…
06-02 23:32:45	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	170	61¢	$104	0x74a6d8…
06-02 23:26:35	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	47	57¢	$27	0x193de1…
06-02 21:24:42	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0xd9357f…
05-27 07:37:42	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	200	63¢	$126	0x5f9b01…
05-26 17:14:44	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	62	61¢	$38	0xede99e…
05-21 07:22:51	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	61	60¢	$36	0xb490a6…
05-20 14:15:38	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	40	61¢	$24	0x797df9…
05-20 13:59:46	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	200	62¢	$124	0xff4487…
05-20 04:33:39	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	70¢	$70	0xee45c1…
05-20 04:33:33	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	70¢	$70	0x4f9e65…
05-20 02:52:16	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0x4d72e2…
05-19 12:41:37	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x95596e…
05-19 03:09:22	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0xeb6365…
05-14 18:10:13	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	200	77¢	$154	0xc7ecec…
05-10 00:56:53	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xb09bf1…
05-10 00:56:51	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x9e1134…
05-09 21:31:49	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	35	78¢	$27	0xe3d0cc…
05-08 13:57:14	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0x996bf4…
05-08 13:56:50	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0x24dbe5…
05-08 13:50:11	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	78¢	$6	0xaace20…
05-08 13:47:53	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	183	78¢	$142	0xe4ed6b…
05-08 13:47:32	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	200	77¢	$154	0xbe51a6…
05-06 08:55:24	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0xe9cc86…
05-04 15:11:36	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0x53997e…
05-04 12:10:42	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	79¢	$79	0x6bf009…
05-04 10:03:46	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x8ee6cf…
05-04 08:56:10	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	90	79¢	$71	0x2798cd…
05-03 18:24:00	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0xee9e60…
05-03 14:32:16	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	200	83¢	$166	0xd34e3c…
05-03 06:24:00	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	130	81¢	$105	0xdae6e9…
05-03 02:01:12	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	200	82¢	$164	0x6b7d25…
05-02 13:56:18	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	21	83¢	$17	0x61ca0d…
05-02 12:19:10	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0x6e0b23…
05-02 09:18:00	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	200	82¢	$164	0x6a835a…
05-02 07:38:26	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0xa6a551…
05-02 00:23:30	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	200	87¢	$174	0xcc5fac…
04-09 17:50:25	hood up or down on april 9 2026	Down	SELL	100	62¢	$62	0x6b8c3c…
04-09 17:38:05	hood up or down on april 9 2026	Down	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0xc5e45d…
04-09 15:57:39	hood up or down on april 9 2026	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x1f2fb9…
04-09 15:54:25	hood up or down on april 9 2026	Down	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0x9f71a3…
04-09 15:54:25	hood up or down on april 9 2026	Down	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0x10acb6…
04-09 15:54:23	hood up or down on april 9 2026	Down	SELL	77	48¢	$37	0x9fdead…
04-09 13:37:07	hood up or down on april 9 2026	Down	BUY	96	76¢	$73	0xc063d9…
04-09 13:37:03	hood up or down on april 9 2026	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xc390db…
04-08 12:52:59	hood up or down on april 8 2026	Up	BUY	64	94¢	$60	0x6bd122…
03-24 18:16:31	hood up or down on march 24 2026	Down	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xb81e0a…
03-24 15:15:35	hood up or down on march 24 2026	Down	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x9e84f7…
03-23 18:41:59	hood up or down on march 23 2026	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$9	0x8fa9c5…
03-23 18:38:49	hood up or down on march 23 2026	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x9cfb3c…
03-23 18:22:11	hood up or down on march 23 2026	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xf10861…
03-23 18:21:11	hood up or down on march 23 2026	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xb93dce…
03-23 18:06:51	hood up or down on march 23 2026	Up	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xf82f34…
03-23 17:18:43	hood up or down on march 23 2026	Up	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xa427fb…
03-23 16:00:55	hood up or down on march 23 2026	Up	SELL	25	73¢	$18	0x11c111…
03-23 16:00:07	hood up or down on march 23 2026	Up	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0x0f71b1…
03-23 15:52:31	hood up or down on march 23 2026	Up	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x838034…
03-23 15:04:53	hood up or down on march 23 2026	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$4	0xd1709f…
03-23 13:54:37	hood up or down on march 23 2026	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xc4d6ce…
03-23 13:54:17	hood up or down on march 23 2026	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xbfc01d…
03-23 13:54:01	hood up or down on march 23 2026	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x7d0b12…
03-23 13:53:41	hood up or down on march 23 2026	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x6952c4…
03-23 13:53:23	hood up or down on march 23 2026	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x5130bf…
03-23 13:53:05	hood up or down on march 23 2026	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xfc77de…
03-23 13:52:47	hood up or down on march 23 2026	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x5fe762…
03-23 13:52:09	hood up or down on march 23 2026	Up	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xa3195a…
03-23 13:47:59	hood up or down on march 23 2026	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x110305…
03-20 19:01:05	hood up or down on march 20 2026	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xc72540…
03-20 19:00:53	hood up or down on march 20 2026	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x365603…
03-20 19:00:29	hood up or down on march 20 2026	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x05b15f…
03-20 19:00:21	hood up or down on march 20 2026	Down	SELL	9	97¢	$8	0x574947…
03-20 16:55:13	hood up or down on march 20 2026	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xd550e5…
03-20 13:50:43	hood up or down on march 20 2026	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x816a90…
03-20 13:48:41	hood up or down on march 20 2026	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x24bc7d…
03-20 13:47:29	hood up or down on march 20 2026	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$3	0x994a04…
03-19 19:00:19	hood up or down on march 19 2026	Down	SELL	18	96¢	$17	0x7033ff…
03-19 16:58:15	hood up or down on march 19 2026	Down	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x0f696d…
03-19 15:03:09	hood up or down on march 19 2026	Down	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x15f458…
03-18 19:00:29	hood up or down on march 18 2026	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xa08f71…
03-18 14:30:27	hood up or down on march 18 2026	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x96c153…
03-17 19:11:51	hood up or down on march 17 2026	Up	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x65386d…
03-17 19:11:41	hood up or down on march 17 2026	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x544f4a…
03-17 19:11:29	hood up or down on march 17 2026	Up	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xe2d256…
03-17 14:38:25	hood up or down on march 17 2026	Up	BUY	16	80¢	$13	0x13a525…
03-17 14:32:33	hood up or down on march 17 2026	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x5f2d67…
03-17 14:18:39	hood up or down on march 17 2026	Up	SELL	100	73¢	$73	0xa2711d…
03-17 13:45:09	hood up or down on march 17 2026	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x643f74…
03-17 13:44:39	hood up or down on march 17 2026	Up	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x20485a…
03-12 18:35:25	hood up or down on march 12 2026	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xf26600…