Twin-Ratio — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$283

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

168

lifetime

Volume

$6.96K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 08-12 02:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

56% 100% +$255

Other

24% — —

Politics

18% — —

Sports

2% 100% +$28

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	14	$1.2K	1,210	1,010	+200	open	—	07-21 10:18
Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?	5	$1.1K	1,369	0	+1,369	open	—	03-05 07:42
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	2	$620	500	500	+0	open	—	03-20 20:37
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$604	400	400	+0	open	—	03-20 20:37
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	21	$380	1,322	200	+1,122	open	—	04-21 15:04
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$318	0	436	-436	open	—	06-16 16:54
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	4	$256	400	400	+0	open	—	03-19 13:59
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	7	$240	600	600	+0	open	—	03-27 09:48
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	4	$228	200	200	+0	open	—	03-21 02:41
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	1	$204	600	0	+600	open	—	03-27 08:38
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	5	$189	165	150	+15	open	—	08-18 03:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	2	$144	800	0	+800	open	—	04-08 11:23
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	5	$126	300	0	+300	open	—	03-16 19:15
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	2	$123	898	550	+348	open	—	04-07 12:04
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 80 by April 30?	5	$117	769	142	+627	open	—	04-13 00:48
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$77	1,411	0	+1,411	open	—	03-28 07:47
Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?	2	$70	57	57	+0	open	—	06-18 13:42
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$68	240	0	+240	open	—	07-22 08:13
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	2	$66	300	300	+0	open	—	03-20 20:42
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	6	$63	288	0	+288	open	—	07-21 08:12
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?	4	$63	1,271	0	+1,271	open	—	07-19 10:34
will the bitcoin volatility index hit 60 by july 31	9	$58	920	50	+870	open	—	07-26 04:19
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	3	$57	2,579	0	+2,579	open	—	03-27 09:57
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	13	$53	1,200	0	+1,200	open	—	04-07 22:37
Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?	7	$45	300	0	+300	No	+$255	03-17 17:48
mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	2	$33	398	0	+398	open	—	03-16 18:46
o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$32	404	0	+404	open	—	06-17 11:03
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	3	$32	45	45	+0	open	—	03-20 23:07
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays	1	$32	60	0	+60	Tampa Bay Rays	+$28	05-11 02:24
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	4	$30	200	0	+200	open	—	03-20 21:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-18 03:50:48	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0xe6e30b…
08-12 02:51:34	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	150	66¢	$99	0xae2900…
07-29 18:27:08	Will XRP dip to $1.00 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	73¢	$29	0x8ac320…
07-26 04:19:07	will the bitcoin volatility index hit 60 by july 31	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0xe04737…
07-22 16:46:55	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x55e987…
07-22 08:13:54	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	40	29¢	$12	0x26006c…
07-21 10:18:55	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	189	41¢	$78	0x4a56c5…
07-21 08:12:37	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0xbcda9c…
07-21 07:42:03	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	41¢	$4	0x945805…
07-21 05:49:48	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	501	60¢	$300	0x902a24…
07-21 05:48:01	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	9	60¢	$5	0xc414b6…
07-21 03:55:36	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	25	22¢	$6	0x5a11df…
07-21 03:55:28	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	25	22¢	$6	0x18ad9c…
07-21 03:55:15	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	25	22¢	$6	0x48e488…
07-21 03:54:45	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	53	22¢	$12	0x3c157f…
07-21 03:54:28	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0xa2c8bc…
07-20 17:09:22	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	28¢	$56	0xd90038…
07-19 12:14:46	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x951086…
07-19 10:44:28	Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	118	13¢	$15	0x53e571…
07-19 10:34:52	Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	211	4¢	$8	0x548a81…
07-19 10:34:46	Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	123	6¢	$7	0xa7c0bd…
07-13 13:10:29	Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0x1b4ac9…
07-13 08:36:34	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	281	8¢	$21	0x6fa890…
07-13 04:41:43	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	63	55¢	$35	0x5de8b2…
07-13 03:54:28	Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	460	5¢	$24	0x00215a…
07-13 03:54:16	Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	674	5¢	$31	0x45cae7…
07-12 21:29:41	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	437	55¢	$240	0xd1b603…
07-12 18:57:53	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	278	55¢	$153	0xa69628…
07-12 17:48:02	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0xa4430f…
07-12 15:31:49	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x97f439…
07-12 11:11:53	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xc002d8…
07-12 11:10:32	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xdc46d0…
07-12 11:06:58	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xce5b8b…
07-12 09:57:41	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	10	54¢	$6	0xdf394e…
07-12 08:11:46	will the bitcoin volatility index hit 60 by july 31	Yes	BUY	460	6¢	$28	0x681172…
07-12 08:09:40	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	675	54¢	$364	0x112b62…
07-11 09:59:46	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x6aea1a…
07-11 01:48:56	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xa90d59…
07-10 20:13:22	will the bitcoin volatility index hit 50 by july 31	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x5e8645…
07-10 12:01:05	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	45	8¢	$3	0x9cf904…
07-10 03:51:44	will the bitcoin volatility index hit 60 by july 31	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xc2fba7…
07-08 22:28:41	will the bitcoin volatility index hit 60 by july 31	Yes	BUY	45	6¢	$3	0x1efbbc…
07-08 21:47:32	will graham platner drop out by july 31 281 424 921	No	BUY	757	3¢	$22	0x8ac9e3…
07-06 11:50:01	will the bitcoin volatility index hit 60 by july 31	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x6598d3…
07-04 15:11:28	will the bitcoin volatility index hit 60 by july 31	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x47b0ff…
07-04 11:12:43	will the bitcoin volatility index hit 60 by july 31	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x01cc81…
07-04 06:10:44	will the bitcoin volatility index hit 70 by july 31	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0x56bb6b…
07-04 06:10:25	will the bitcoin volatility index hit 60 by july 31	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x5f7deb…
07-04 06:10:07	will the bitcoin volatility index hit 55 by july 31	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x57d7a9…
07-04 06:08:32	will the bitcoin volatility index hit 60 by july 31	Yes	BUY	150	6¢	$9	0x36c966…
06-23 17:35:43	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xc781a9…
06-23 13:30:08	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	92	14¢	$13	0xc44dd5…
06-18 13:42:29	Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	57	76¢	$43	0x79d2a6…
06-17 21:09:38	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0xb2bc4b…
06-17 11:03:29	o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	404	8¢	$32	0x105ac3…
06-17 10:57:07	Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	63	21¢	$13	0xe04df9…
06-16 16:54:04	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	136	73¢	$99	0x162f3a…
06-14 18:48:27	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	137	73¢	$100	0xef003f…
06-13 19:02:10	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	139	73¢	$101	0x450edd…
06-13 18:44:15	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	24	73¢	$17	0x1a1afd…
06-05 21:14:06	Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	57	47¢	$27	0x7afb09…
05-29 14:01:41	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 60 by May 31?	Yes	BUY	112	2¢	$2	0xe6d352…
05-13 05:35:13	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	160	1¢	$1	0xf43fdc…
05-11 02:24:12	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	60	53¢	$32	0xce0529…
04-21 15:04:00	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	14¢	$28	0xd1bec2…
04-18 15:56:48	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	900	0¢	$3	0x156ecb…
04-18 15:56:14	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	224	18¢	$40	0x49945e…
04-13 00:48:43	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 80 by April 30?	Yes	SELL	72	42¢	$30	0xc18dcf…
04-09 15:15:13	will bitcoin dip to 64k april 6 12	Yes	BUY	1,000	3¢	$29	0x911584…
04-09 14:53:19	will bitcoin reach 78k april 6 12	Yes	BUY	600	3¢	$18	0x9b7350…
04-08 11:23:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	200	18¢	$36	0x288b3e…
04-08 11:23:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	600	18¢	$108	0xb96622…
04-07 22:37:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	469	3¢	$16	0x3dbd02…
04-07 22:14:07	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 80 by April 30?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x1ad5de…
04-07 12:23:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xd42124…
04-07 12:23:53	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xbf6af8…
04-07 12:23:53	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x810409…
04-07 12:23:53	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x70c6b0…
04-07 12:19:51	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x0ffd46…
04-07 12:19:49	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xe33e08…
04-07 12:19:49	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x89b910…
04-07 12:19:49	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x5ea647…
04-07 12:16:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	140	4¢	$5	0xc52876…
04-07 12:11:45	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	140	4¢	$5	0xe4b669…
04-07 12:11:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	91	3¢	$3	0xa39ef8…
04-07 12:08:25	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 80 by April 30?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x588fa3…
04-07 12:05:23	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 80 by April 30?	Yes	BUY	706	9¢	$63	0x2d2467…
04-07 12:04:11	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	SELL	550	11¢	$60	0x340890…
04-05 16:13:23	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	BUY	898	7¢	$63	0xfd4511…
04-01 06:44:53	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	92	32¢	$30	0xf82c51…
04-01 06:43:21	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	55	32¢	$17	0x68b6b5…
03-29 13:47:46	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	142	32¢	$46	0xb1d498…
03-29 13:08:26	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x172217…
03-29 01:34:14	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x581cc6…
03-28 07:47:41	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	961	5¢	$48	0x397d1f…
03-27 09:57:33	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	259	1¢	$3	0xb2cda5…
03-27 09:48:25	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	58	23¢	$13	0x1991f9…
03-27 09:46:53	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0x01255f…
03-27 09:40:47	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	22	23¢	$5	0x396260…
03-27 08:38:19	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	600	34¢	$204	0x93f786…